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Omame A, Han Q, Iyaniwura SA, Ebenezer A, Bragazzi NL, Wang X, Kong JD, Woldegerima WA. Understanding the impact of HIV on mpox transmission in the MSM population: A mathematical modeling study. Infect Dis Model 2024; 9:1117-1137. [PMID: 39022298 PMCID: PMC11253271 DOI: 10.1016/j.idm.2024.05.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/16/2024] [Revised: 05/13/2024] [Accepted: 05/15/2024] [Indexed: 07/20/2024] Open
Abstract
The recent mpox outbreak (in 2022-2023) has different clinical and epidemiological features compared with previous outbreaks of the disease. During this outbreak, sexual contact was believed to be the primary transmission route of the disease. In addition, the community of men having sex with men (MSM) was disproportionately affected by the outbreak. This population is also disproportionately affected by HIV infection. Given that both diseases can be transmitted sexually, the endemicity of HIV, and the high sexual behavior associated with the MSM community, it is essential to understand the effect of the two diseases spreading simultaneously in an MSM population. Particularly, we aim to understand the potential effects of HIV on an mpox outbreak in the MSM population. We develop a mechanistic mathematical model of HIV and mpox co-infection. Our model incorporates the dynamics of both diseases and considers HIV treatment with anti-retroviral therapy (ART). In addition, we consider a potential scenario where HIV infection increases susceptibility to mpox, and investigate the potential impact of this mechanism on mpox dynamics. Our analysis shows that HIV can facilitate the spread of mpox in an MSM population, and that HIV treatment with ART may not be sufficient to control the spread of mpox in the population. However, we showed that a moderate use of condoms or reduction in sexual contact in the population combined with ART is beneficial in controlling mpox transmission. Based on our analysis, it is evident that effective control of HIV, specifically through substantial ART use, moderate condom compliance, and reduction in sexual contact, is imperative for curtailing the transmission of mpox in an MSM population and mitigating the compounding impact of these intertwined epidemics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andrew Omame
- Abdus Salam School of Mathematical Sciences, Government College University, Lahore, Pakistan
- Department of Mathematics, Federal University of Technology, Owerri, Nigeria
| | - Qing Han
- Laboratory for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (LIAM), Department of Mathematics and Statistics, York University, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Africa-Canada Artificial Intelligence and Data Innovation Consortium (ACADIC), Canada
- Global South Artificial Intelligence for Pandemic and Epidemic Preparedness and Response Network (AI4PEP), Canada
| | - Sarafa A. Iyaniwura
- Theoretical Biology and Biophysics, Theoretical Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, 87545, USA
| | - Adeniyi Ebenezer
- Laboratory for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (LIAM), Department of Mathematics and Statistics, York University, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Africa-Canada Artificial Intelligence and Data Innovation Consortium (ACADIC), Canada
- Global South Artificial Intelligence for Pandemic and Epidemic Preparedness and Response Network (AI4PEP), Canada
| | - Nicola L. Bragazzi
- Laboratory for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (LIAM), Department of Mathematics and Statistics, York University, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Postgraduate School of Public Health, Department of Health Sciences (DISSAL), University of Genoa, 16126, Genoa, Italy
- United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO), Health Anthropology Biosphere and Healing Systems, University of Genoa, 16126, Genoa, Italy
- Department of Food and Drugs, University of Parma, 43125, Parma, Italy
| | - Xiaoying Wang
- Department of Mathematics, Trent University Peterborough, Ontario, Canada
| | - Jude D. Kong
- Africa-Canada Artificial Intelligence and Data Innovation Consortium (ACADIC), Canada
- Artificial Intelligence & Mathematical Modeling Lab (AIMM Lab), Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, 155 College St Room 500, Toronto, ON, M5T 3M7, Canada
- Department of Mathematics, University of Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Global South Artificial Intelligence for Pandemic and Epidemic Preparedness and Response Network (AI4PEP), Canada
| | - Woldegebriel A. Woldegerima
- Laboratory for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (LIAM), Department of Mathematics and Statistics, York University, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Africa-Canada Artificial Intelligence and Data Innovation Consortium (ACADIC), Canada
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León-Figueroa DA, Barboza JJ, Siddiq A, Sah R, Valladares-Garrido MJ, Rodriguez-Morales AJ. Knowledge and attitude towards mpox: Systematic review and meta-analysis. PLoS One 2024; 19:e0308478. [PMID: 39121048 PMCID: PMC11315308 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0308478] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/06/2024] [Accepted: 07/23/2024] [Indexed: 08/11/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The increase in mpox incidence underscores the crucial need to understand and effectively address prevention, early detection, and agile response to this disease. Therefore, the present study aims to determine the knowledge and attitude towards mpox. METHODS A systematic review and comprehensive literature meta-analysis were conducted using prominent databases such as PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, Embase, and ScienceDirect, with an updated search until June 25, 2023. The quality of the included observational studies was assessed using the Joanna Briggs Institute's Statistical Meta-Analysis Review Instrument. The collected data were recorded in a Microsoft Excel spreadsheet, and analyses were conducted using R software version 4.2.3. Additionally, Cochran's Q statistics were applied to assess the heterogeneity of the included studies. RESULTS A total of 299 articles were retrieved from 5 databases. This study included 27 cross-sectional articles with a total sample of 22,327 participants, of which 57.13% were women. The studies were conducted in 15 countries through an online survey. All studies had a moderate level of quality. The combined prevalence of a good level of knowledge about mpox was 33% (95% CI: 22%-45%; 22,327 participants; 27 studies; I2 = 100%), and the combined prevalence of a positive attitude towards mpox was 40% (95% CI: 19%-62%; 2,979 participants; 6 studies; I2 = 99%). Additionally, as a secondary outcome, the combined prevalence of the intention to vaccinate against mpox was 58% (95% CI: 37%-78%; 2,932 participants; 7 studies; I2 = 99%). CONCLUSION Good knowledge and a positive attitude towards mpox were found to be low. The findings of this study highlight the need to identify gaps and focus on implementing educational programs on mpox. TERMS USED Joanna Briggs Institute Meta-Analysis of Statistics Assessment and Review Instrument (JBI-MAStARI), Prospective International Registry of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO), and Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA).
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Joshuan J. Barboza
- Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Escuela de Medicina, Universidad César Vallejo, Trujillo, Peru
| | | | - Ranjit Sah
- Department of Microbiology, Tribhuvan University Teaching Hospital, Institute of Medicine, Kathmandu, Nepal
- Department of Microbiology, Dr. D. Y. Patil Medical College, Hospital and Research Centre, Dr. D. Y. Patil Vidyapeeth, Pune, Maharashtra, India
- Department of Public Health Dentistry, Dr. D.Y. Patil Dental College and Hospital, Dr. D.Y. Patil Vidyapeeth, Pune, Maharashtra, India
| | | | - Alfonso J. Rodriguez-Morales
- Master of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Universidad Cientifica del Sur, Lima, Peru
- Gilbert and Rose-Marie Chagoury School of Medicine, Lebanese American University, Beirut, Lebanon
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Tan DHS, Pico Espinosa O, Matelski J, Khera SS, Qamar A, Persaud R, Hurst JR, Ly A, Lam J, Naghibosadat M, Christie N, Hasso M, Gough K, Taggart LR, Tan C, Ostrowski M, Ma H, Gray-Owen SD, Kozak R, Mishra S. Longitudinal Analysis of Mpox Virus DNA Detectability From Multiple Specimen Types During Acute Illness: A Cohort Study. Open Forum Infect Dis 2024; 11:ofae073. [PMID: 38390463 PMCID: PMC10883290 DOI: 10.1093/ofid/ofae073] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/30/2023] [Accepted: 02/05/2024] [Indexed: 02/24/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Longitudinal data on the detectability of monkeypox virus (MPXV) genetic material in different specimen types are scarce. Methods We describe MPXV-specific polymerase chain reaction (PCR) results from adults with confirmed mpox infection from Toronto, Canada, including a cohort undergoing weekly collection of specimens from multiple anatomic sites until 1 week after skin lesions had fully healed. We quantified the time from symptom onset to resolution of detectable viral DNA (computed tomography [Ct] ≥ 35) by modeling exponential decay in Ct value as a function of illness day for each site, censoring at the time of tecovirimat initiation. Results Among 64 men who have sex with men, the median (interquartile range [IQR]) age was 39 (32.75-45.25) years, and 49% had HIV. Twenty received tecovirimat. Viral DNA was detectable (Ct < 35) at baseline in 74% of genital/buttock/perianal skin swabs, 56% of other skin swabs, 44% of rectal swabs, 37% of throat swabs, 27% of urine, 26% of nasopharyngeal swabs, and 8% of semen samples. The median time to resolution of detectable DNA (IQR) was longest for genital/buttock/perianal skin and other skin swabs at 30.0 (23.0-47.9) and 22.4 (16.6-29.4) days, respectively, and shortest for nasopharyngeal swabs and semen at 0 (0-12.1) and 0 (0-0) days, respectively. We did not observe an effect of tecovirimat on the rate of decay in viral DNA detectability in any specimen type (all P > .05). Conclusions MPXV DNA detectability varies by specimen type and persists for over 3-4 weeks in skin specimens. The rate of decay did not differ by tecovirimat use in this nonrandomized study.
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Affiliation(s)
- Darrell H S Tan
- Division of Infectious Diseases, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- MAP Centre for Urban Health Solutions, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Institute of Medical Science, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, Dalla Lana School of Public Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Oscar Pico Espinosa
- MAP Centre for Urban Health Solutions, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - John Matelski
- Division of Infectious Diseases, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Shreya S Khera
- MAP Centre for Urban Health Solutions, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Attia Qamar
- Scarborough Health Network, Scarborough, Ontario, Canada
| | - Reva Persaud
- MAP Centre for Urban Health Solutions, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Jacklyn R Hurst
- Biological Sciences, Sunnybrook Research Institute, Sunnybrook Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Angel Ly
- Toronto High Containment Facility, Temerty Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Jessica Lam
- Toronto High Containment Facility, Temerty Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Maedeh Naghibosadat
- Biological Sciences, Sunnybrook Research Institute, Sunnybrook Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Natasha Christie
- Toronto High Containment Facility, Temerty Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Maan Hasso
- Public Health Ontario Laboratory, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Kevin Gough
- Division of Infectious Diseases, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Linda R Taggart
- Division of Infectious Diseases, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Charlie Tan
- Division of Infectious Diseases, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Mario Ostrowski
- Division of Infectious Diseases, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Huiting Ma
- MAP Centre for Urban Health Solutions, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Scott D Gray-Owen
- Toronto High Containment Facility, Temerty Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Molecular Genetics, Temerty Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Robert Kozak
- Biological Sciences, Sunnybrook Research Institute, Sunnybrook Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathobiology, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Sharmistha Mishra
- Division of Infectious Diseases, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- MAP Centre for Urban Health Solutions, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Institute of Medical Science, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, Dalla Lana School of Public Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- ICES, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
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León-Figueroa DA, Barboza JJ, Valladares-Garrido MJ, Sah R, Rodriguez-Morales AJ. Prevalence of intentions to receive monkeypox vaccine. A systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Public Health 2024; 24:35. [PMID: 38166776 PMCID: PMC10763398 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-023-17473-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/26/2023] [Accepted: 12/13/2023] [Indexed: 01/05/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Immunization, as a preventive strategy against infectious diseases, has consolidated its position as a fundamental pillar in the field of public health. Therefore, the present study aimed to determine the prevalence of the intention to receive the monkeypox (Mpox) vaccine. METHODS A systematic review and meta-analysis of the available evidence was performed using five databases (PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, Embase, and ScienceDirect) with a search strategy until July 24, 2023. Data analysis was performed in R software version 4.2.3. The quality of the included cross-sectional studies was assessed using the "JBI-MAStARI". In addition, a subgroup analysis by population and continent was developed. RESULTS Twenty-nine cross-sectional articles with a total sample of 52 658 participants were included. The pooled prevalence of intention to vaccinate against Mpox was 61% (95% CI: 53-69%; 52,658 participants; 29 studies; I2 = 100%). In the subgroup analysis, the intention to be vaccinated against Mpox according to continents was 64% (95% CI: 53-74%; 13,883 participants; 17 studies; I2 = 99%) in Asian countries, 43% (95% CI: 39-47%; 1538 participants; 3 studies; I2 = 53%) in African countries, 62% (95% CI: 45-78%; 35,811 participants; 6 studies; I2 = 99%) in European countries, and 63% (95% CI: 32-89%; 1426 participants; 3 studies; I2 = 99%) in American countries. In the subgroup analysis on the intention to be vaccinated against Mpox, according to study subjects, it was 54% (95% CI: 45-62%; 10,296 participants; 11 studies; I2 = 99%) in the general population, 57% (95% CI: 33-79%; 3333 participants; 10 studies; I2 = 99%) in health care workers, and 76% (95% CI: 70-82%; 39,029 participants; 8 studies; I2 = 98%) in the lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, and intersex (LGBTI) community. In addition, as a secondary outcome, a prevalence of refusal of Mpox vaccination was found to be 22% (95% CI: 16-30%; 45,577 participants; 21 studies; I2 = 99%). CONCLUSION The study highlights the importance of recognizing regional and subgroup disparities in Mpox vaccine willingness and refusal. It emphasizes the importance of employing strategies to achieve widespread vaccination coverage and safeguard public health worldwide. TERMS USED Joanna Briggs Institute Meta-Analysis of Statistics Assessment and Review Instrument (JBI-MAStARI), Prospective International Registry of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO), and Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA).
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Joshuan J Barboza
- Unidad de Revisiones Sistemáticas y Meta-análisis, Universidad San Ignacio de Loyola, Lima, 15046, Peru
| | - Mario J Valladares-Garrido
- Universidad Continental, Lima, 15046, Peru.
- Oficina de Epidemiología, Hospital Regional Lambayeque, Chiclayo, 14012, Peru.
| | - Ranjit Sah
- Department of Microbiology, Institute of Medicine, Tribhuvan University Teaching Hospital, Kathmandu, 44600, Nepal
- Department of Microbiology, Hospital and Research Centre, Dr. D. Y. Patil Medical College, Dr. D. Y. Patil Vidyapeeth, Pune, 411018, Maharashtra, India
- Department of Public Health Dentistry, Dr. D.Y. Patil Dental College and Hospital, Dr. D.Y. Patil Vidyapeeth, Pune, 411018, Maharashtra, India
| | - Alfonso J Rodriguez-Morales
- Master of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Universidad Cientifica del Sur, Lima, 15067, Peru
- Gilbert and Rose-Marie Chagoury School of Medicine, Lebanese American University, Beirut, 1102, Lebanon
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Andrei G, Snoeck R. Differences in pathogenicity among the mpox virus clades: impact on drug discovery and vaccine development. Trends Pharmacol Sci 2023; 44:719-739. [PMID: 37673695 DOI: 10.1016/j.tips.2023.08.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/19/2023] [Revised: 08/11/2023] [Accepted: 08/11/2023] [Indexed: 09/08/2023]
Abstract
Since May 2022, mpox virus (MPXV) has attracted considerable attention due to a multi-country outbreak. Marked differences in epidemiology, transmission, and pathology between the 2022 global mpox outbreak (clade IIb) and classical mpox disease, endemic in Africa (clades I and IIa) have been highlighted. MPXV genome analysis has identified the genomic changes characterizing clade IIb and the drivers of MPXV rapid evolution. Although mpox cases have largely declined, MPXV cryptic transmission and microevolution continues, which may lead to an MPXV of unpredictable pathogenicity. Vaccines and antivirals developed against variola virus, the agent that caused the extinguished plague smallpox, have been used to contain the 2022 mpox outbreak. In this review article, recent findings on MPXV origin and evolution and relevant models able to recapitulate differences in MPXV pathogenicity, which are important for drug and vaccine development, are discussed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Graciela Andrei
- Laboratory of Virology and Chemotherapy, Rega Institute for Medical Research, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.
| | - Robert Snoeck
- Laboratory of Virology and Chemotherapy, Rega Institute for Medical Research, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
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Ajmera K, Shah H, Chourasia P, Chitturi S. Current Evidence and Practice Guidelines of Systemic Complications of 2022 Mpox Outbreak: A Scoping Review. Cureus 2023; 15:e45754. [PMID: 37771934 PMCID: PMC10529470 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.45754] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 09/21/2023] [Indexed: 09/30/2023] Open
Abstract
In May of 2022, the World Health Organization declared a worldwide Mpox virus (MPXV) outbreak. Due to the widespread implementation of vaccination protocols and heightened awareness among the general population, there has been a notable decline in the incidence of Mpox (formerly known as Monkeypox) cases since March 2023. Nevertheless, it is crucial to remember that Mpox has the potential to impact multiple physiological systems in humans, encompassing the cardiovascular, gastrointestinal, ear/nose/throat, and ocular systems. The mortality rate of the Mpox disease is comparatively lower than that of smallpox. However, it is essential to note that this disease can still lead to significant systemic consequences. The specific pathophysiological mechanisms by which the virus affects various physiological systems are now being investigated. Direct inoculation through mucosal damage or intranasal exposure, direct viral toxicity, and lymphatic transmission via the seminal fluid are all viable hypotheses. The prompt recognition of such complications is crucial to decrease morbidity and mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kunal Ajmera
- Hospital Medicine, Sentara Northern Virginia Medical Center, Woodbridge, USA
| | - Harshal Shah
- Internal Medicine, Doctors Hospital of Augusta, Augusta, USA
| | - Prabal Chourasia
- Hospital Medicine, Mary Washington Hospital, Fredericksburg , USA
| | - Satyakant Chitturi
- Hospital Medicine, Doctors Hospital of Manteca, Manteca, USA
- Family Medicine, California Health Care Facility, Stockton, USA
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