Irrigation in the Ili River Basin of Central Asia: From Ditches to Dams and Diversion

Diversity and biogeography of bacterial community in the Ili River network varies locally and regionally

Microorganisms in rivers indeed play a crucial role in nutrient cycling within aquatic ecosystems. Understanding the assembly mechanisms of bacterial communities in river networks is essential for predicting their special composition and functional characteristics in natural rivers. This study employed 16S rRNA gene amplicon sequence variation (ASVs) to scrutinize the bacterial community within the uniquely topographical Ili River network. The bacterial community composition varied across the three tributaries with distinct sources and the mainstream. The confluence of various sources diminished the diversity of the bacterial community and altered the functionality of within mainstream. We suggest that strong dispersal limitation predominantly shaped the community at the regional scale (46.6 %), underscoring the significant contribution of headwater sites to bacterial community composition. Contrary to expectation, the bacterial resources in the mainstream were not enriched by the higher diversity in three tributaries. Instead, confluence disturbance potentially increased the undominated processes (36.7 %) and alter the bacterial community composition at the local scale of the mainstream. The intricate coalescence at the confluence could potentially be an intriguing causative factor. Our research indicates that the composition of bacterial communities within intricate river networks exhibits biogeographic patterns, simultaneously influenced by river confluence and geographical features, necessitating multi-scale analysis.

Responses of sediment n-alkanes to climate factors and anthropogenic disturbances from three lakes with different elevations, arid Central Asia

Biomarkers n-alkanes and pertinent indices in lake sediments are frequently used to infer past changes in climate and environmental conditions in and around lakes. Interpretation of n-alkane records can be confounded by a lack of understanding of the multiple factors that control n-alkanes in sediments. Here, we studied n-alkanes in sediment cores from two alpine lakes, Lakes Son-Kul and Issyk-Kul, and from terminal Lake Balkhash, in arid Central Asia to identify natural and human-mediated influences on sediment n-alkane profiles. Altitudinal differences in climate, as well as in lake trophic status, proved to be important drivers of n-alkane compositional differences in the lake sediments. In the alpine lakes, the distribution of n-alkanes was biased toward long-chain components (n-C29, n-C31, and n-C33), and showed higher carbon preference index (CPIH) values, which come from dense terrestrial plant communities, promoted by greater precipitation. In contrast, n-alkanes in the core from the terminal lake displayed higher proportions of short-chain n-alkanes (n-C17, n-C19, and n-C21) because a greater proportion of the organic matter (OM) input to the sediments was derived from algae, a consequence of higher temperatures and trophic status. In recent decades, increasing nutrient inputs from human activities have caused greater accumulation of short-chain n-alkanes in sediments of alpine, oligotrophic Lake Issyk-Kul. In Lake Balkhash, n-C20 and n-C22 alkanes are exceptionally abundant, suggesting large contributions from microbial reworking of terrestrial OM. In all three study lakes, ∑(n-C29-n-C33) was elevated in sediments that correspond to periods of intense agricultural exploitation. Moreover, expansion of agriculture from low to high altitudes resulted in both synchronous and asynchronous peaks in ∑ (n-C29-n-C33) in the studied cores, suggesting the n-alkanes faithfully record the history of agricultural expansion. These findings provide insights into applications of n-alkane proxies and the response of the lake system to climate and anthropogenic impacts.

The Changing Dynamics of Kazakhstan’s Fisheries Sector: From the Early Soviet Era to the Twenty-First Century

Kazakhstan, a former Soviet republic that is now independent, lies near the center of arid Eurasia. Its sparse hydrographic network includes a small number of large rivers, lakes, and reservoirs, many ponds and smaller streams, as well as littoral zones bordering the Caspian Sea and the Aral Sea. A diverse fisheries sector, initially based on wild fish capture and later including aquaculture, developed in these waters during the Soviet era, when animal agriculture was unable to meet the protein needs of Soviet citizens. The sector, which was originally centered on the Volga–Caspian basin, was tightly managed by Moscow and benefitted from coordinated investments in research, infrastructure, and human resources, as well as policies to increase the consumption of fish products. Independence in 1991 administered a political and economic shock that disrupted these relationships. Kazakhstan’s wild fish harvests plummeted by more than two-thirds, and aquaculture collapsed to just 3% of its previous level. Per capita consumption of fish products also declined, as did processing capacity. Favorable recent policies to define fishing rights, incentivize investments, prevent illegal fishing, and make stocking more effective have helped to reverse these trends and stabilize the sector. Continued recovery will require additional steps to manage water resources sustainably, prioritize the use of water for fish habitats, and minimize the effects of climate change. This comprehensive assessment of Kazakhstan’s fisheries sector over the past century provides the basis to understand how long-term dynamic interactions of the environment with the political economy influence fisheries in Eurasia’s largest country.

Evaluating Vulnerability of Central Asian Water Resources under Uncertain Climate and Development Conditions: The Case of the Ili-Balkhash Basin

The Ili-Balkhash basin (IBB) is considered a key region for agricultural development and international transport as part of China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). The IBB is exemplary for the combined challenge of climate change and shifts in water supply and demand in transboundary Central Asian closed basins. To quantify future vulnerability of the IBB to these changes, we employ a scenario-neutral bottom-up approach with a coupled hydrological-water resource modelling set-up on the RiverWare modelling platform. This study focuses on reliability of environmental flows under historical hydro-climatic variability, future hydro-climatic change and upstream water demand development. The results suggest that the IBB is historically vulnerable to environmental shortages, and any increase in water consumption will increase frequency and intensity of shortages. Increases in precipitation and temperature improve reliability of flows downstream, along with water demand reductions upstream and downstream. Of the demand scenarios assessed, extensive water saving is most robust to climate change. However, the results emphasize the competition for water resources among up- and downstream users and between sectors in the lower Ili, underlining the importance of transboundary water management to mitigate cross-border impacts. The modelling tool and outcomes may aid decision-making under the uncertain future in the basin.

Water and Land as Shared Resources for Agriculture and Aquaculture: Insights from Asia

Although agriculture and aquaculture depend on access to increasingly scarce, shared water resources to produce food for human consumption, they are most often considered in isolation. We argue that they should be treated as integrated components of a single complex system that is prone to direct or indirect tradeoffs that should be avoided while also being amenable to synergies that should be sought. Direct tradeoffs such as competition for space or the pollution of shared water resources usually occur when the footprints of agriculture and aquaculture overlap or when the two practices coexist in close proximity to one another. Interactions can be modulated by factors such as hydropower infrastructure and short-term economic incentives, both of which are known to disrupt the balance between aquaculture and agriculture. Indirect tradeoffs, on the other hand, play out across distances, i.e., when agricultural food sources are diverted to feed animals in aquaculture. Synergies are associated with the culture of aquatic organisms in rice paddies and irrigation waters, seasonal rotations of crop cultivation with aquaculture, and various forms of integrated agriculture–aquaculture (IAA), including jitang, a highly developed variant of pond-dike IAA. Policy decisions, socioeconomic considerations, and technology warrant increased scrutiny as determinants of tradeoffs and synergies. Priority issues for the future include guiding the expansion of aquaculture from its traditional base in Asia, taking advantage of the heterogeneity that exists within both agricultural and aquaculture systems, the development of additional metrics of tradeoffs and synergies, and adapting to the effects of climate change.

Does China’s Belt and Road Initiative Threaten Food Security in Central Asia?

China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) needs little introduction; the infrastructure investment will reconfigure development in Central Asia. As its origin story and initial encounter, Central Asia offers a prismatic lens to delve into the vital impacts and significant changes wrought by the BRI. In the dryland region, the BRI impact on watersheds and agriculture is a critical challenge with direct implications for food security. Framed by diverse research sources, we utilized spatial datasets from the European Space Agency Climate Change Initiative and the World Bank to explore the intersection of food production, water and development. Investigation evaluates the possible trade-offs that Chinese infrastructure investment can have on the communities and environment of Central Asia. The findings identify more than 15,000 km of rail and 20,000 km of roads linked to the BRI crisscrossing the region in 2018. Whilst these transport corridors have improved connectivity, many of these rails and roads traverse important agricultural and water zones, creating undetermined risks and opportunities. Land use change was examined within a 10-km buffer around BRI roads and rails from 2008 to 2018. Railways increased by 23% during this time, yet irrigated and rainfed agriculture decreased whilst urban areas markedly expanded. Contextual research identifies how Chinese policies may encourage agribusiness investment for food exports as possible disruptions to national and regional food supply. However, to date Central Asia provides <1% of Chinese agricultural imports. In fact, Afghanistan is the region’s dominant export market, tripling agricultural imports >300% in this time. Similarly, five times more livestock are traded within the region than to China. Evaluating infrastructure change is essential to understand BRI impacts on environments and societies, with the food-water nexus a particular concern in Central Asia. Limited Chinese imports of Central Asian agriculture suggests the region’s food security will not be significantly altered by the Belt and Road Initiative.

Quality of Drinking Water in the Balkhash District of Kazakhstan’s Almaty Region

The thinly populated Balkhash District of Kazakhstan’s Almaty Region lies in the lower reaches of the Ili-Balkhash basin, which is shared by China and Kazakhstan. The district is arid and heavily dependent on inflows of surface water, which are threatened by the effects of upstream population growth, economic development, and climate change. The quality of drinking water from centralized water systems and tube wells in nine villages of the district was analyzed, and the organoleptic properties of water from these sources was also assessed by an expert and via surveys of local residents. Although most samples met governmental standards for the absence of chemical impurities, high concentrations of mineralization, chlorides, boron, iron, and/or uranium were present in some well water samples. Levels of these pollutants were as much as 4-fold higher than governmental maxima and as much as 16-fold higher than concentrations reported previously in surface water. All centralized water samples met standards for absence of microbial contamination, but total microbial counts in some well water samples exceeded standards. Organoleptic standards were met by all the water from five villages, but centralized water from one village and well water from four villages failed to meet standards based on expert judgment. Residents were, for the most part, more satisfied with centralized rather than well water, but there was no obvious relationship between the failure of water to meet standards and the locations or populations of the settlements. This is the first comprehensive assessment of groundwater used for drinking in the lower Ili-Balkhash basin, and although it relies on a limited number of samples, it nevertheless provides evidence of potentially serious groundwater contamination in the Balkhash District. It is thus imperative that additional and more detailed studies be undertaken.