Minimal Building Flood Fragility and Loss Function Portfolio for Resilience Analysis at the Community Level

Developing assessment flow for damage estimation of mud housing typology through a case study against coastal floods

Rising instances of prolonged inundation due to climate-aggravated high tide flooding are economically burdensome for resource-crunched developing nations that bear enormous damage due to loss of built infrastructure (housing in this case). Regardless of the loss, coastal flood impact on buildings is rarely given precedence. The mud building typology in India captures 34% of existing housing demand primarily within ruralIndia; for instance, 75% of the housing in Sagar Island uses mud as the dominant construction material, making it an ideal case for the proposed research. The multivariate nature of damage and empirical data constraint associated with mud buildings propels the development of two unconventional damage assessment approaches using multivariate-probabilistic technique. The proposed literature-based approach uses logical reasoning based on the available scientific evidence whereas the lab-based approach uses the insights from structural analysis of scaled model. The damage matrix created from both the approaches are used to analyse a common flood data (depth & duration) generated using 1000 Montecarlo simulations. The resultant Damage Stage values confirm the versatility of either approach over spatial (local to regional)-temporal (flood character and intensity) dimensions. The lab-based approach proved to be a better alternative considering the availability of continuous records on damage behaviour and precise information on the flood threshold of dominant building material, a crucial component of the multivariate damage assessment process.

Modeling the Impact of Building-Level Flood Mitigation Measures Made Possible by Early Flood Warnings on Community-Level Flood Loss Reduction

The growing number of flood disasters worldwide and the subsequent catastrophic consequences of these events have revealed the flood vulnerability of communities. Flood impact predictions are essential for better flood risk management which can result in an improvement of flood preparedness for vulnerable communities. Early flood warnings can provide households and business owners additional time to save certain possessions or products in their buildings. This can be accomplished by elevating some of the water-sensitive components (e.g., appliances, furniture, electronics, etc.) or installing a temporary flood barrier. Although many qualitative and quantitative flood risk models have been developed and highlighted in the literature, the resolution used in these models does not allow a detailed analysis of flood mitigation at the building- and community level. Therefore, in this article, a high-fidelity flood risk model was used to provide a linkage between the outputs from a high-resolution flood hazard model integrated with a component-based probabilistic flood vulnerability model to account for the damage for each building within the community. The developed model allowed to investigate the benefits of using a precipitation forecast system that allows a lead time for the community to protect its assets and thereby decreasing the amount of flood-induced losses.