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Kumar M, Mahato LL, Suryavanshi S, Singh SK, Kundu A, Dutta D, Lal D. Future prediction of water balance using the SWAT and CA-Markov model using INMCM5 climate projections: a case study of the Silwani watershed (Jharkhand), India. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2023:10.1007/s11356-023-27547-4. [PMID: 37402047 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-023-27547-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/01/2022] [Accepted: 05/06/2023] [Indexed: 07/05/2023]
Abstract
The aim of this research was to simulate the future water balance of the Silwani watershed, Jharkhand, India, under the combined effect of land use and climate change based on the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) and Cellular Automata (CA)-Markov Chain model. The future climate prediction was done based on daily bias-corrected datasets of the INMCM5 climate model with Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 585 (SSP585), which represent the fossil fuel development of the world. After a successful model run, water balance components like surface runoff, groundwater contribution to stream flow, and ET were simulated. The anticipated change in land use/land cover (LULC) between 2020 and 2030 reflects a slight increase (3.9 mm) in groundwater contribution to stream flow while slight decrease in surface runoff (4.8 mm). The result of this research work helps the planners to plan any similar watershed for future conservation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mukesh Kumar
- Centre for Geospatial Technologies, Sam Higginbottom University of Agriculture, Technology and Sciences, Prayagraj, Uttar Pradesh, India
| | - Lakhan Lal Mahato
- Rural Development Department, Government of Jharkhand, Jharkhand State Watershed Mission, Ranchi, Jharkhand, India
| | - Shakti Suryavanshi
- Department of Soil and Water Conservation Engineering, Sam Higginbottom University of Agriculture, Technology and Sciences, Prayagraj, Uttar Pradesh, India.
| | - Sudhir Kumar Singh
- K. Banerjee Centre of Atmospheric and Ocean Studies, IIDS, Nehru Science Centre, University of Allahabad, Prayagraj, Uttar Pradesh, India
| | - Arnab Kundu
- Department of Geo-Informatics, Pandit Raghunath Murmu Smriti Mahavidyalaya, Bankura University, Bankura, West Bengal, India
| | - Dipanwita Dutta
- Department of Remote Sensing and GIS, Vidyasagar University, Midnapore, West Bengal, India
| | - Deepak Lal
- Centre for Geospatial Technologies, Sam Higginbottom University of Agriculture, Technology and Sciences, Prayagraj, Uttar Pradesh, India
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