Palmstedt E, Månsson M, Kollberg KS, Carlsson S, Hellström M, Wallström J, Hugosson J, Arnsrud Godtman R. How a population-based cohort of men estimate lifetime risk of prostate cancer in a survey before entering a prostate cancer screening trial in Sweden?
BMJ Open 2024;
14:e083562. [PMID:
39153780 PMCID:
PMC11331866 DOI:
10.1136/bmjopen-2023-083562]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/21/2023] [Accepted: 07/19/2024] [Indexed: 08/19/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES
Investigating men's perceived lifetime risk of prostate cancer.
DESIGN
Survey-based study to men invited for prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening in the GÖTEBORG-2 trial between September 2015 and June 2020.
SETTING
38 775 men in the Gothenburg area, Sweden, were invited for PSA-testing and participated in a survey.
PARTICIPANTS
17 980 men participated in PSA-testing, of whom 13 189 completed the survey. In addition, 1264 men answered the survey only.
INTERVENTIONS
Before having the PSA-test, men answered an electronic survey and estimated their lifetime risk of receiving a prostate cancer diagnosis on a visual analogue scale from 0% to 100%.
MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES
The primary outcome was the median lifetime risk estimation, which was compared with Wilcoxon test to an anticipated lifetime risk of 20% (based on GÖTEBORG-1 trial). The secondary outcome was to determine factors associated with risk estimation in a multivariable linear regression model: previous prostate examination, family history, physical exercise, healthy diet, comorbidity, alcohol consumption, smoking, education level, marital status, urinary symptoms and erectile dysfunction.
RESULTS
Among PSA-tested men, the median estimated lifetime risk of prostate cancer was 30% (IQR 19% to 50%), corresponding to a 10 percentage-points higher estimation compared with the anticipated risk (p<0.001). Family history of prostate cancer, moderate to severe urinary symptoms and mild to moderate erectile dysfunction were associated with >5 percentage-points higher risk estimation. Similar results were obtained for non-PSA-tested men.
CONCLUSIONS
Most men overestimated their prostate cancer risk which underscores the importance of providing them accurate information about prostate cancer.
TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER
ISRCTN94604465.
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