Modeling Time to Death of Patients with Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis at Saint Peter's Specialized Hospital

Identifying risk factors for recurrent multidrug resistant tuberculosis based on patient's record data from 2016 to 2021: retrospective study

Globally, the prevalence of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) has been increasing recently. This is a major public health concern, as MDR-TB is more difficult to treat and has poorer outcomes compared to drug-sensitive tuberculosis. The main objective of the study was to identify risk factors for recurrent multidrug-resistant tuberculosis, at Alert Specialized Hospital, Addis Ababa, by using different parametric shared frailty models. From January 2016 to December 2021, a retrospective study was conducted on MDR-TB patients at Alert Specialized Hospital in Addis Ababa. The data for the study were collected from the medical records of MDR-TB patients at the hospital during this time period. Gamma and inverse-Gaussian shared frailty models were used to analyze the dataset, with the exponential, Weibull, and lognormal distributions included as baseline hazard functions. The data were analyzed using R statistical software. The median recurrence time of the patients was 12 months, and 149 (34.3%) had recurrences. The clustering effect was statistically significant for multiple drug-resistant tuberculosis patients' recurrence. According to the Weibull-Inverse-Gaussian model, factors that reduced time to MDR-TB recurrence included lower weight (ɸ = 0.944), smoking (ɸ = 0.045), alcohol use (ɸ = 0.631), hemoptysis (ɸ = 0.041), pneumonia (ɸ = 0.564), previous anti-TB treatment (ɸ = 0.106), rural residence (ɸ = 0.163), and chronic diseases like diabetes (ɸ = 0.442) were associated with faster recurrence. While, higher education (ɸ = 3.525) and age (ɸ = 1.021) extended time to recurrence. For weight increment, smokers and alcohol users, clinical complications of hemoptysis and pneumonia, patients with pulmonary disease who had a history of previous anti-TB treatment, and being rural residents are prognostic factors. There was a significant clustering effect at the Alert Specialized Hospital in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. The Weibull-Inverse Gaussian Shared Frailty Model was chosen as the best model for predicting the time to recurrence of MDR-TB.

Prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors in active tuberculosis in Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis

People with tuberculosis (TB) are at risk of major adverse cardiovascular events. We estimated the prevalence of cardiovascular risk (CVR) factors among people with active TB in Africa. This was a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies from Africa. We searched EMBASE, MEDLINE through PubMed, Web of Science, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, mRCTs, Clinical trials.gov, and International Clinical Trials Registry Platform from inception to 31st December 2021. Among 110 eligible studies, 79 (238,316 participants) were included in the meta-analysis for smoking, 67 (52,793 participants) for current alcohol use, 30 (31,450 participants) for hazardous alcohol use, 51 (37,879 participants) for diabetes mellitus (DM), 19 (18,211 participants) for hypertension and 18 (13,910 participants) for obesity. The pooled prevalence was 26.0% (95% confidence interval 22.0–29.0) for smoking, 30.0% (25.0–35.0) for any current alcohol use, 21.0% (17.0–26.0) for hazardous alcohol use, 14.0% (9.0–18.0) for hypertension, 7.0% (6.0–9.0) for DM, and 4.0% (2.0–5.0) for obesity. Cost-effective strategies are needed to screen for CVR factors among people with active TB in Africa.