Diabetes Mellitus, Obesity, and Risk of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: a Large Case-Control Study from Iran

Incidence and risk factors of pancreatic cancer during 15 years follow-up in the Golestan Cohort Study in Iran

BACKGROUND

Cancer is one of the main causes of death in the worldwide. Pancreatic Cancer (PC) is prevalent in developed and increasing in developing countries. PC is important because of its low survival rate, high fatality, and increasing incidence. Therefore, identifying risk factors to prevent its development is necessary. This study aimed to determine incidence of PC and its risk factors in the Golestan Cohort Study (GCS) in Iran.

METHOD

This study is a prospective population-based cohort study in the frame of GCS with 15 years of follow-up for PC. GCS was launched in the Golestan province of Iran with 50045 participants who were 40 to 75 years old. variables included: age, gender, education status, smoking, alcohol consumption, opium usage, type of blood group, dyslipidemia, body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), family history (FH) of PC, ethnicity, and history of diabetes mellitus (DM).

RESULT

Among 50045 participants of GCS during 15 years of follow up, 100 people were diagnosed PC. PC incidence was 0.2%. Age-standardized incidence rate (ASR) of PC in the study population was 11.12 per 100,000 person-years. People with age ≥60 years were 46, in 50-59 years old group were 36, and 18 of them were <50 years (p<0.001). The smoking rate in PC group was 27% (p<0.01). Univariate model of cox regression analysis showed age 50-59, ≥60 years compared to <50 years [HR:3.006, 95%CI (1.707-5.294), p<0.001], [HR: 6.727, 95% CI (3.899-11.608), p<0.001], male gender [HR:1.541, 95%CI (1.041-2.281), p = 0.031], opium use [HR:1.436, 95% CI (0.887-2.324), p = 0.141], and smoking [HR:1.884, 95%CI (1.211-2.929), p = 0.005] were predictors for PC. In the multivariate model after adjusting, age 50-59 [HR:2.99, 95% CI (1.698-5.265), p<0.001], and ≥60 years [HR: 6.564, 95% CI (3.797-11.346), p<0.001] was the only predictor for PC.

CONCLUSION

This study revealed an incidence of PC 0.2% in GCS in Iran. Main risk factor for PC was older age.

Prevalence of tobacco use among cancer patients in Iran: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of tobacco use among various cancer types in Iran remains a significant concern, necessitating a comprehensive analysis to understand the extent and patterns of consumption. This study aimed to systematically review and analyze existing literature to delineate the prevalence of tobacco use across different cancer types in Iran, thereby providing a robust basis for future interventions and policy formulations.

METHODS

Adhering to the PRISMA guidelines, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of literature available in PubMed and Scopus databases. The initial search identified 351 records, out of which 44 studies were selected based on their relevance and design. These studies spanned various time frames, starting from the 2001s up until 2022, and encompassed diverse geographical locations and cancer types in Iran. To avoid bias and potential data overlap, we opted to incorporate a single comprehensive study from the Golestan Cohort, encompassing all data, while excluding 10 other studies. Our final analysis incorporated data from 34 studies, which accounted for 15,425 patients and 5,890 reported smokers. Statistical analyses were performed to calculate the overall proportion of tobacco consumption and to conduct subgroup analyses based on different variables such as cancer types, gender, geographical locations, and types of tobacco used.

RESULTS

The analysis revealed a substantial prevalence of tobacco use among cancer patients in Iran, with an overall consumption rate of 43%. This rate varied significantly, ranging from 10 to 88% across individual studies. Subgroup analyses further highlighted disparities in tobacco consumption rates across different demographics, geographic areas, and cancer types. Notably, the 'ever' smokers category exhibited the highest prevalence of tobacco use. The study also identified a worrying trend of high cigarette smoking rates, along with variable consumption patterns of other forms of tobacco, including waterpipe, 'Naas', and 'Pipe'.

CONCLUSIONS

This systematic review and meta-analysis underscores a significant association between tobacco consumption and various cancer types in Iran, with a prevalence rate among cancer patients being three times higher than the average Iranian population. The findings indicate substantial heterogeneity in tobacco use patterns, emphasizing the need for targeted interventions to address this pressing health issue. The study serves as a critical resource for shaping future policies and strategies aimed at curbing tobacco use and mitigating its adverse effects on cancer prevalence in Iran.

Opium use and gastrointestinal cancers: a systematic review and meta-analysis study

Aim

The current systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to assess the association between Gastrointestinal (GI) cancers and opium use.

Background

GI malignancies are a global public health issue and are associated with many risk factors including genetic and lifestyle factors.

Methods

PubMed, Web of Science, Embase and Scopus and the Google Scholar search engine in addition to Persian databases including Magiran and SID were searched using relevant keywords. The associations of opium use, long duration of opium use, high daily amount opium use and high cumulative opium use and GI cancer and various subtypes of GI cancers were estimated and pooled in format of odds ratios (OR) and their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI) with a random effects model.

Results

22 articles that were published between 1983 and 2022 entered the analyses. There were significant relationships between opium use based on crude effect sizes (OR: 2.53, 1.95-3.29) and adjusted effect sizes (OR: 2.64, 1.99-3.51), high daily opium use (or: 3.41, 1.92-6.06), long duration of opium use (OR: 3.03, 1.90-4.84) and high cumulative opium use (OR: 3.88, 2.35-6.41), all compared to never opium use, and GI cancer. The results were not sensitive to sensitivity analyses and no influential publication biases were found in these analyses.

Conclusion

Our meta-analysis showed that opium use could be associated with increased risk of overall and some particular GI cancers including oropharyngeal, gastric, pancreatic and colorectal cancers. Opium use as a potentially modifiable factor, therefore, should be more emphasized.

Aspirin Use and Risk of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: A Large Case-Control Study

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is one of the deadliest cancers, with a five-year survival rate of approximately 5%. The incidence and mortality rates of PDAC are increasing, and the results of medical treatments remain unsatisfactory. Some conflicting evidence suggests that aspirin intake may reduce the risk of PDAC. This study aimed to evaluate the association between regular low-dose aspirin use (80-mg aspirin tablets, 5-7 tablets/week) and the risk of PDAC.

METHODS

This prospective, hospital-based, case-control study was performed on 470 PDAC patients (case group) and 526 sex and age-matched controls, in Tehran, Iran from 2011 to 2018. The participants were interviewed regarding the patterns of aspirin use. Data are expressed as mean±SD or frequency and percentage as appropriate. Differences in frequency between the case and control groups were evaluated based on the analysis of the contingency table (χ2 test and Fisher's exact test). Propensity score models were designed to calculate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for PDAC with respect to aspirin use, adjusted for age, sex, smoking status, opium use, diabetes mellitus, place of residence, and family history of cancer in first-degree relatives.

RESULTS

About 60% of PDAC patients were male in this study. Also, 25.2% of PDAC patients had a family history of cancer in one of their first-degree relatives, 21.99% were smokers, 13.9% were opium users, and 11.7% had a history of diabetes. Aspirin was used by 22.77% of PDAC patients and 18.25% of the controls. Ever aspirin use (OR: 1.01, 95% CI: 0.89 - 1.14) was not associated with PDAC.

CONCLUSION

Overall, aspirin use was not associated with a reduced risk of PDAC.

The carcinogenicity of opium consumption: a systematic review and meta-analysis

The carcinogenicity of opium consumption was recently evaluated by a Working Group convened by the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC). We supplement the recent IARC evaluation by conducting an extended systematic review as well as a quantitative meta-analytic assessment of the role of opium consumption and risk for selected cancers, evaluating in detail various aspects of study quality on meta-analytic findings. We searched the published literature to identify all relevant studies on opium consumption and risk of selected cancers in humans through 31 October, 2022. Meta-relative risks (mRRs) and associated 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using random-effects models for studies of cancer of the urinary bladder, larynx, lung, oesophagus, pancreas, and stomach. Heterogeneity among studies was assessed using the I2 statistic. We assessed study quality and conducted sensitivity analyses to evaluate the impact of potential reverse causation, protopathic bias, selection bias, information bias, and confounding. In total, 2 prospective cohort studies and 33 case-control studies were included. The overall pooled mRR estimated for 'ever or regular' versus 'never' use of opium ranged from 1.50 (95% CI 1.13-1.99, I2 = 0%, 6 studies) for oesophageal cancer to 7.97 (95% CI 4.79-13.3, I2 = 62%, 7 studies) for laryngeal cancer. Analyses of cumulative opium exposure suggested greater risk of cancer associated with higher opium consumption. Findings were robust in sensitivity analyses excluding studies prone to potential methodological sources of biases and confounding. Findings support an adverse association between opium consumption and cancers of the urinary bladder, larynx, lung, oesophagus, pancreas and stomach.

Opium consumption and pancreatic cancer: A meta-analysis

Pancreatic cancer represents a serious public health problem worldwide. Due to its high mortality, efforts on identifying risk factors are very important since only a few risk-related factors have been well established. The present study aimed to address this knowledge gap by estimating the risk of pancreatic cancer associated with opium use. We performed a thorough literature search of PubMed, Web of Science and Scopus, which yielded 3 case-control and 1 cohort study which were included in the analysis. A meta-analysis was conducted using the DerSimonian and Laird inverse-variance approach as the random effects method. The pooled risk ratio for pancreatic cancer in opium users was significantly increased (RR=1.98, 95 % CI 1.33-2.96, p = 0.0008) compared to never users. Subgroup analyses identified a significantly increased risk for pancreatic cancer in men (RR=1.74, 95 % CI 1.22-2.47, p = 0.002), in persons who consumed both raw teriak and refined shireh opium (RR=4.21, 95 % 1.27-13.93, p = 0.02) and in persons who smoked opium (RR=4.21, 95 % 1.27-13.93, p = 0.02). The findings of this study will help in efforts aimed at prevention of pancreatic cancer. Still, further epidemiological research is necessary.