[Prognostic analysis of 182 newly diagnosed multiple myeloma patients with high risk cytogenetic abnormalities]

[Influence of the number of high-risk cytogenetic abnormalities on the clinical characteristics and prognosis in 360 patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma]

Objective: To investigate the influence of the number of high-risk cytogenetic abnormalities (HRCA) on the clinical characteristics and prognosis of patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (MM) . Methods: A total of 360 patients with newly diagnosed MM admitted to Jiangsu Province Hospital between November 2013 and September 2020 were included in this study. Cytoplasmic light chain immunofluorescence with fluorescence in situ hybridization (cIg-FISH) was used to detect HRCA. Cytogenetic abnormalities were combined with clinical characteristics and outcomes for further analysis. Results: Among the 360 patients, 120 patients (33.3%) presented with no HRCAs, and 175 (48.6%) , 61 (16.9%) , and four (1.1%) patients had one, two, and three HRCA (s) , respectively. Patients were divided into three groups, including the no-HRCA group, one-HRCA group, and ≥two-HRCA group, according to the number of HRCAs. There were significant differences in the R-ISS stage, hemoglobin level, albumin level, and the proportion of bone marrow plasma cells among the three groups (P<0.05) . The COX proportional-hazards model identified extramedullary disease (P=0.018) , HRCA ≥ 2 (P=0.001) , and absence of autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (P<0.001) as independent risk factors for progression free survival (PFS) and identified lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level ≥ 220 U/L (P<0.001) , HRCA ≥2 (P=0.001) , and absence of autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (P=0.005) as independent risk factors for overall survival (OS) . The median PFS was 28 months, 22 months, and 14 months (P=0.005) for the three cohorts, and their OS was not reached,60 months, and 30 months (P=0.001) , respectively. Conclusions: HRCA ≥ 2 is an independent risk factor for decreased survival in patients with newly diagnosed MM. More HRCAs result in heavier tumor burden, as well as a higher risk of disease progression and death.

[A predictive model based on risk factors for early mortality in patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma]

Objective: To investigate risk factors for early mortality (EM) in patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) and to build an EM-predictive model. Methods: In a cohort of 275 patients with NDMM, risk factors for EM at 6, 12, and 24 months after diagnosis (EM6, EM12, and EM24, respectively) were determined to establish a model to predict EM. Results: The rates of EM6, EM12, and EM24 were 5.5% , 12.7% , and 30.2% , respectively. The most common cause for EM was disease progression/relapse, accounting for 60.0% , 77.1% , and 84.3% of EM6, EM12, and EM24, respectively. EM6 was associated with corrected serum calcium >2.75 mmol/L and platelet count <100×10(9)/L, whereas risk factors for EM12 included age >75 years, ISS Ⅲ, R-ISS Ⅲ, corrected serum calcium >2.75 mmol/L, serum creatinine >177 µmol/L, platelet count <100×10(9)/L, and bone marrow plasma cell ratio ≥ 60% . In addition to the risk factors for EM12, EM24 was also associated with male sex and 1q21 gain. By multivariate analysis, age >75 years, platelet count <100×10(9)/L, and 1q21 gain were independent risk factors for EM24 but there were no independent risk factors significantly associated with EM6 and EM12. Using a scoring system including these three risk factors, a Cox model for EM24 was generated to distinguish patients with low (score<3) and high (score ≥ 3) risk. The sensitivity and specificity of the model were 20.7% and 99.2% , respectively. Further, an internal validation performed in a cohort of 183 patients with NDMM revealed that the probability of EM24 in high-risk patients was 26 times higher than that in low-risk patients. Moreover, this model was also able to predict overall survival. The median overall survival of patients with scores of 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 were 59, 41, 22, 17.5, and 16 months, respectively. Conclusion: In the study cohort, the EM6, EM12, and EM24 rates were 5.5% , 12.7% , and 30.2% , respectively, and disease progression or relapse were main causes of EM. An EM24-predictive model built on three independent risk factors for EM24 (age>75 years, platelet count<100×10(9)/L, and 1q21 gain) might predict EM risk and overall survival.

[Epidemiological analysis of cytogenetic abnormalities in patients with newly-diagnosed multiple myeloma: a multi-center retrospective study]

Objective: To analyze the frequency and composition of risk-related cytogenetic abnormalities (CAs) in patients with newly-diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) . Methods: The frequency and composition of risk-related CAs from a cohort of 1 015 Chinese patients with NDMM were determined by interphase fluorescence in situ hybridization (iFISH) , individually or in combination. Results: Of the cohort of 1 015 Chinese patients with NDMM, the frequencies of IgH arrangement, del (13q) /13q14, 1q gain and del (17p) were 54.0%, 46.4%, 46.1% (35.8% and 12. 7% for 3 or more than 3 copies) and 9.9%, respectively. Among 454 patients who had the baseline information for all risk-related CAs [except t (14;20) , which was not covered by the FISH panels performed routinely at all five centers], the frequencies of t (4;14) , t (11;14) or t (14;20) were 14.1%, 11.2% and 4.8%, respectively; of them, 44.3% patients carried 2 or more CAs (28.0%, 13.4% and 2.9% for 2, 3 or ≥4 CAs) ; 83.3%, 95.0% or 68.6% patients with 1q gain, del (17p) or IgH rearrangement had 1 or more additional CA (s) , with del (13q) /13q14 as the most frequently accompanied CA; 57.7% patients carried at least 1 HRCA; the incidences of double-hit (DH) MM (DHMM) (=2 HRCAs) and triple-hit (TH) (THMM) (≥3 HRCAs) were 14.3% and 2.9%, respectively. Conclusions: Our results provided an up-to-date profile of CAs in Chinese NDMM patients, which revealed that approximately 58% patients might carry at least 1 HRCA, and 17% could experience so-called DHMM or THMM who presumably had the worst outcome.