[Research advances in pathophysiology and diagnosis and treatment of hepatorenal syndrome]

Value of cystatin C, β2 macroglobulin, serum creatinine, and blood urea nitrogen in predicting hepatorenal syndrome in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

AIM

To assess the predictive value of cystatin C (Cys-C), β2 macroglobulin (β2-MG), serum creatinine (Scr), and blood urea nitrogen (BUN) for hepatorenal syndrome (HRS) in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) .

METHODS

Thirty-six ACLF patients with HRS (HRS group) treated at our hospital from February 2014 to December 2017 were analyzed retrospectively. Thirty-six patients with ACLF without HRS were selected as an ACLF group, and 50 patients with chronic liver disease (CLD) were selected as a CLD group. Cys-C, β2-MG, Scr, and BUN were compared between the three groups. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate the diagnostic efficacy of Cys-C, β2-MG, Scr, and BUN, alone or in combination, in predicting HRS in patients with ACLF.

RESULTS

The levels of Cys-C, β2-MG, Scr, and BUN in the three groups were statistically different (F = 47.330, 23.693, 41.220, 26.715; P = 0.000 for all). Compared with the CLD and ACLF groups, Cys-C (t = 9.386, 4.807, P = 0.000 for both), β2-MG (t = 30.265, 4.116; P = 0.000 for both), Scr (t = 7.457, 7.415; P = 0.000 for both), and BUN (t = 6.608, 5.014; P = 0.000 for both) were significantly increased in the HRS group. ROC curve analysis showed that Scr had the highest AUC (0.799), followed by Cys-C (AUC = 0.789), β2-MG (AUC = 0.741), and BUN (AUC = 0.910). The combination of Cys-C, β2-MG, and Scr (AUC = 0.910) performed significantly better than any of the four indexes alone. Using the best cutoff point of the ROC curve as the predictive index, the diagnostic accuracy rate of the combination of Cys-C, β2-MG, and Scr for HRS was 80.33% (sensitivity, 91.67%; specificity, 75.58%; positive predictive value, 61.11%; negative predictive value, 95.59%). The sensitivity of combined indexes was significantly higher than any of the four indexes alone (χ² = 10, 8.692, 7.432, 3.956; P = 0.002, 0.003, 0.006, 0.047).

CONCLUSION

The levels of Cys-C, β2-MG, Scr, and BUN in ACLF patients with HRS significantly increase. The combination of Cys-C, β2-MG, and Scr has higher accuracy for predicting HRS in ACLF patients.