Population pharmacokinetics of tacrolimus in pediatric refractory nephrotic syndrome and a summary of other pediatric disease models

Population pharmacokinetic analyses of tacrolimus in non-transplant patients: a systematic review

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Tacrolimus (TAC) has been increasingly used in patients with non-transplant settings. Because of its large between-subject variability, several population pharmacokinetic (PPK) studies have been performed to facilitate individualized therapy. This review summarized published PPK models of TAC in non-transplant patients, aiming to clarify factors affecting PKs of TAC and identify the knowledge gap that may require further research.

METHODS

The PubMed, Embase databases, and Cochrane Library, as well as related references, were searched from the time of inception of the databases to February 2023, to identify TAC population pharmacokinetic studies modeled in non-transplant patients using a non-linear mixed-effects modeling approach.

RESULTS

Sixteen studies, all from Asian countries (China and Korea), were included in this study. Of these studies, eleven and four were carried out in pediatric and adult patients, respectively. One-compartment models were the commonly used structural models for TAC. The apparent clearance (CL/F) of TAC ranged from 2.05 to 30.9 L·h^-1 (median of 14.9 L·h^-1). Coadministered medication, genetic factors, and weight were the most common covariates affecting TAC-CL/F, and variability in the apparent volume of distribution (V/F) was largely explained by weight. Coadministration with Wuzhi capsules reduced CL/F by about 19 to 43%. For patients with CYP3A5*1*1 and *1*3 genotypes, the CL/F was 39-149% higher CL/F than patients with CYP3A5*1*1.

CONCLUSION

The optimal TAC dosage should be adjusted based on the patient's co-administration, body weight, and genetic information (especially CYP3A5 genotype). Further studies are needed to assess the generalizability of the published models to other ethnic groups. Moreover, external validation should be frequently performed to improve the clinical practicality of the models.

Tacrolimus pharmacokinetics in pediatric nephrotic syndrome: A combination of population pharmacokinetic modelling and machine learning approaches to improve individual prediction

Background and Aim: Tacrolimus (TAC) is a first-line immunosuppressant for the treatment of refractory nephrotic syndrome (RNS), but the pharmacokinetics of TAC varies widely among individuals, and there is still no accurate model to predict the pharmacokinetics of TAC in RNS. Therefore, this study aimed to combine population pharmacokinetic (PPK) model and machine learning algorithms to develop a simple and accurate prediction model for TAC.

Methods: 139 children with RNS from August 2013 to December 2018 were included, and blood samples of TAC trough and partial peak concentrations were collected. The blood concentration of TAC was determined by enzyme immunoassay; CYP3A5 was genotyped by polymerase chain reaction-restriction fragment length polymorphism method; MYH9, LAMB2, ACTN4 and other genotypes were determined by MALDI-TOF MS method; PPK model was established by nonlinear mixed-effects method. Based on this, six machine learning algorithms, including eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Random Forest (RF), Extra-Trees, Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT), Adaptive boosting (AdaBoost) and Lasso, were used to establish the machine learning model of TAC clearance.

Results: A one-compartment model of first-order absorption and elimination adequately described the pharmacokinetics of TAC. Age, co-administration of Wuzhi capsules, CYP3A5 *3/*3 genotype and CTLA4 rs4553808 genotype were significantly affecting the clearance of TAC. Among the six machine learning models, the Lasso algorithm model performed the best (R2 = 0.42).

Conclusion: For the first time, a clearance prediction model of TAC in pediatric patients with RNS was established using PPK combined with machine learning, by which the individual clearance of TAC can be predicted more accurately, and the initial dose of administration can be optimized to achieve the goal of individualized treatment.

Population Pharmacokinetic Evaluation with External Validation of Tacrolimus in Chinese Primary Nephrotic Syndrome Patients

PURPOSE

The generalizability of numerous tacrolimus population pharmacokinetic (popPK) models constructed to promote optimal tacrolimus dosing in patients with primary nephrotic syndrome (PNS) is unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the predictive performance of published tacrolimus popPK models for PNS patients with an external data set.

METHODS

We prospectively collected 223 concentrations from 50 Chinese adult patients with PNS who were undergoing tacrolimus treatment. Data on published tacrolimus popPK models for adults and children with PNS were extracted from the literature. Model predictability was evaluated with prediction-based and simulation-based diagnostics and Bayesian forecasting.

RESULTS

In prediction-based evaluation, none of the 11 identified published popPK models of tacrolimus had met a predefined criteria of a mean prediction error ≤  ± 20%, and the prediction error within ± 30% of the identified models didn't exceed 50%. Simulation-based diagnostics also indicated unsatisfactory predictability. Bayesian forecasting demonstrated amelioration in the model predictability with the inclusion of 2-3 prior observations. Moreover, the predictive performance of nonlinear models was not better than that of one-compartment models.

CONCLUSIONS

The prediction of tacrolimus concentrations for patients with PNS remains challenging; published models are not applicable for extrapolation to other hospitals. Bayesian forecasting significantly improved model predictability and thereby helped to individualize tacrolimus dosing.

Prediction of Tacrolimus Dose/Weight-Adjusted Trough Concentration in Pediatric Refractory Nephrotic Syndrome: A Machine Learning Approach

Purpose

Tacrolimus (TAC) is a first-line immunosuppressant for patients with refractory nephrotic syndrome (NS). However, there is a high inter-patient variability of TAC pharmacokinetics, thus therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) is required. In this study, we aimed to employ machine learning algorithms to investigate the impact of clinical and genetic variables on the TAC dose/weight-adjusted trough concentration (C₀/D) in Chinese children with refractory NS, and then develop and validate the TAC C₀/D prediction models.

Patients and Methods

The association of 82 clinical variables and 244 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) with TAC C₀/D in the third month since TAC treatment was examined in 171 children with refractory NS. Extremely randomized trees (ET), gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT), random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and Lasso regression were carried out to establish and validate prediction models, respectively. The best prediction models were validated on a cohort of 30 refractory NS patients.

Results

GBDT algorithm performed best in the whole group (R²=0.444, MSE=591.032, MAE=20.782, MedAE=18.980) and CYP3A5 nonexpresser group (R²=0.264, MSE=477.948, MAE=18.119, MedAE=18.771), while ET algorithm performed best in the CYP3A5 expresser group (R²=0.380, MSE=1839.459, MAE=31.257, MedAE=19.399). These prediction models included 3 clinical variables (ALB0, AGE0, and gender) and 10 SNPs (ACTN4 rs3745859, ACTN4 rs56113315, ACTN4 rs62121818, CTLA4 rs4553808, CYP3A5 rs776746, IL2RA rs12722489, INF2 rs1128880, MAP3K11 rs7946115, MYH9 rs2239781, and MYH9 rs4821478).

Conclusion

The association between the clinical and genetic variables and TAC C₀/D was described, and three TAC C₀/D prediction models integrating clinical and genetic variables were developed and validated using machine learning, which may support individualized TAC dosing.

Early Prediction of Tacrolimus-Induced Tubular Toxicity in Pediatric Refractory Nephrotic Syndrome Using Machine Learning

Background and Aims: Tacrolimus(TAC)-induced nephrotoxicity, which has a large individual variation, may lead to treatment failure or even the end-stage renal disease. However, there is still a lack of effective models for the early prediction of TAC-induced nephrotoxicity, especially in nephrotic syndrome(NS). We aimed to develop and validate a predictive model of TAC-induced tubular toxicity in children with NS using machine learning based on comprehensive clinical and genetic variables. Materials and Methods: A retrospective cohort of 218 children with NS admitted between June 2013 and December 2018 was used to establish the models, and 11 children were prospectively enrolled for external validation. We screened 47 clinical features and 244 genetic variables. The changes in urine N- acetyl- β-D- glucosaminidase(NAG) levels before and after administration was used as an indicator of renal tubular toxicity. Results: Five machine learning algorithms, including extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT), extremely random trees (ET), random forest (RF), and logistic regression (LR) were used for model generation and validation. Four genetic variables, including TRPC6 rs3824934_GG, HSD11B1 rs846910_AG, MAP2K6 rs17823202_GG, and SCARB2 rs6823680_CC were incorporated into the final model. The XGBoost model has the best performance: sensitivity 75%, specificity 77.8%, accuracy 77.3%, and AUC 78.9%. Conclusion: A pre-administration model with good performance for predicting TAC-induced nephrotoxicity in NS was developed and validated using machine learning based on genetic factors. Physicians can estimate the possibility of nephrotoxicity in NS patients using this simple and accurate model to optimize treatment regimen before administration or to intervene in time after administration to avoid kidney damage.

Population pharmacokinetics model and initial dose optimization of tacrolimus in children and adolescents with lupus nephritis based on real-world data

The present study aimed to establish a population pharmacokinetics model of tacrolimus and further optimize the initial dosing regimen of tacrolimus in pediatric and adolescent patients with lupus nephritis (LN). Pediatric and adolescent patients with LN were recruited between August 2014 and September 2019 at the Children's Hospital of Fudan University (Shanghai, China). Relevant information was used to set up a population pharmacokinetics model with a Nonlinear Mixed Effect Model and the initial dosage regimen was simulated with the Monte Carlo method. Body weight and co-administration of wuzhi capsule were indicated to influence tacrolimus clearance in pediatric and adolescent patients with LN, and at the same body weight, the rate of tacrolimus clearance in patients without vs. with co-administration of wuzhi capsule was 1:0.71. In addition, in patients who were not administered wuzhi capsule, an initial dosage regimen of 0.15 mg/kg/day was recommended for a body weight of 10-23 kg and 0.10 mg/kg/day for 23-60 kg; in patients who were administered wuzhi capsule, an initial dosage regimen of 0.10 mg/kg/day was recommended for a body weight of 10-23 kg and 0.05 mg/kg/day for 23-60 kg. To the best of our knowledge, the present study was the first to establish a population pharmacokinetics model of tacrolimus in order to determine the optimal initial dosage regimen of tacrolimus in pediatric and adolescent patients with LN.

Off-label use of tacrolimus in children with glomerular disease: Effectiveness, safety and pharmacokinetics

Glomerular diseases are leading causes of end-stage renal disease in children. Tacrolimus is frequently used off-label in the treatment of glomerular diseases. The effectiveness, safety and pharmacokinetic data of tacrolimus in the treatment of glomerular diseases in children are reviewed in this paper to provide evidence to support its rational use in clinical practice. The remission rates in previously published studies were different. In 19 clinical trials on children with nephrotic syndrome, the overall remission rate was 52.6-97.6%. In four clinical trials on children with lupus nephritis, the overall remission rate was 81.8-89.5%. In a pilot study with paediatric Henoch-Schönlein purpura nephritis patients, the overall remission rate was 100.0%. Infection, nephrotoxicity, gastrointestinal symptoms and hypertension are the most common adverse events. Body weight, age, CYP3A5 genotype, cystatin-C and daily dose of tacrolimus may have significant effects on the pharmacokinetics of tacrolimus in children with glomerular disease. More prospective controlled trials with long follow-up are needed to demonstrate definitely the effectiveness, safety and pharmacokinetics of tacrolimus in children with glomerular diseases.

Population pharmacokinetics of tacrolimus in pediatric patients with systemic-onset juvenile idiopathic arthritis: Initial dosage recommendations

Pediatric patients with systemic-onset juvenile idiopathic arthritis (SOJIA) may be treated with tacrolimus. However, the therapeutic range for tacrolimus is narrow with considerable inter- and intra-individual variability, making it difficult to formulate an ideal dosage regimen for personalized treatment. The purpose of the present study was to set up a population pharmacokinetics (PPK) model of tacrolimus treatment for SOJIA to determine the optimal initial dosage. Patients with SOJIA were analyzed using non-linear mixed-effects modeling. Different regimens were analyzed using Monte Carlo simulation with concentration profiles. A first-order absorption and elimination one-compartment model was selected as the most appropriate model for SOJIA. Based on initial dosage recommendations, the regimen of 0.5 mg every 24 h (q24h) appeared to be most suitable for subjects with a body weight of 5 kg, while the 0.5 mg q12h regimen was most suitable for subjects with a body weight of 15–25 kg, the 1/0.5 mg q24h regimen was appropriate for the 26–35 kg group and the 1 mg q12h regimen was suitable for the subjects with a body weight of 36–50 kg. To the best of our knowledge, the present study established the first PPK model of tacrolimus treatment that may be used for the selection of the initial dose based on body weight of pediatric patients with SOJIA.