Prognostic factors of hepatectomy in initially unresectable colorectal liver metastasis: Indication for conversion therapy

Prognostic impact of conversion hepatectomy for initially unresectable colorectal liver metastasis

PURPOSE

This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic impact of conversion hepatectomy in patients with initially unresectable colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) and to identify prognostic factors after conversion hepatectomy.

METHODS

Correlations of conversion hepatectomy with relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were retrospectively investigated in 554 consecutive patients who underwent hepatectomy for CRLM in 2000-2017. Prognostic factors after conversion hepatectomy were examined in multivariable analysis.

RESULTS

Five hundred and nine patients (92%) had initially resectable CRLM at diagnosis and underwent hepatectomy (primary resection group) and 45 (8%) underwent conversion hepatectomy following chemotherapy (conversion group). The 5-year RFS was 30.0% in the primary resection group and 19.8% in the conversion group (p = 0.042); the respective 5-year OS rates were 62.0% and 52.4% (p = 0.253). Multivariable analysis did not identify conversion hepatectomy as a significant prognostic factor for RFS (hazard ratio [HR] 0.95, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.64-1.37, p = 0.796) or OS (HR 1.12, 95% CI 0.67-1.79, p = 0.667). In the conversion group, multivariable analysis identified the following independent prognostic factors: timing of liver metastases for RFS (synchronous: HR 3.14, 95% CI 1.20-8.24, p = 0.020) and preoperative CEA level for RFS (> 5 ng/ml: HR 3.10, 95% CI 1.45-6.61, p = 0.003) and OS (> 5 ng/ml: HR 3.29, 95% CI 1.18-9.17, p = 0.023).

CONCLUSIONS

RFS and OS rates after conversion hepatectomy were not inferior to those after primary resection in patients with CRLM. Patients with a normal CEA level before hepatectomy can be expected to have good long-term prognosis after conversion hepatectomy.