Innovative analysis of distant metastasis in differentiated thyroid cancer

Metastatic differentiated thyroid cancer: worst prognosis in patients with metachronous metastases

PURPOSE

To describe the overall survival and progression-free survival in patients diagnosed with differentiated thyroid carcinoma with synchronous and metachronous metastatic involvement.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted with 101 patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) who had metastatic involvement at diagnosis or during follow-up, who were treated at the National Cancer Institute between January 1, 2010 and December 31 of 2015.

RESULTS

81 patients (80.2%) were women and the mean age at diagnosis was 49 years (12-80). Synchronous metastases were detected in 54.5% of patients and metachronous metastasis was diagnosed in 45.5% of patients, in whom the mean time between initial diagnosis and the finding of distant metastases was 5 years. Pulmonary involvement occurred in almost all patients, with ¹³¹I uptake in 58% of synchronous metastases and in 21% of metachronous. There were 10 events in the patients with ¹³¹I-avid metastases with a median time to progression that was not reached, and there were 23 events in patients with ¹³¹I-refractory metastases with a median time to progression of 96 months; The median time to progression was significantly longer in patients with synchronous metastases compared to those with metachronous metastases (Not reached vs 95 months, P = 0.017) The 5-year overall survival rate was 95% to the entire cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

The present study contributes to the expansion of the knowledge about this clinical course of DTC with the finding of a worst prognosis in patients with metachronous metastases.

Nomogram individually predicts the risk for distant metastasis and prognosis value in female differentiated thyroid cancer patients: A SEER-based study

Objective

Distant metastasis (DM) is an important prognostic factor in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) and determines the course of treatment. This study aimed to establish a predictive nomogram model that could individually estimate the risk of DM and analyze the prognosis of female DTC patients (FDTCs).

Materials and methods

A total of 26,998 FDTCs were retrospectively searched from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 2010 to 2018 and randomly divided into validation and training cohorts. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to screen for prognostic factors and construct a prediction nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), concordance index (C-index), and a calibration curve. The overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were evaluated by Kaplan–Meier (K-M) analysis.

Results

A total of 263 (0.97%) FDTCs were reported to have DM. K-M analysis showed the association of multiple-organ metastases and brain involvement with lower survival rates (P < 0.001) in patients. Tumor size, age at diagnosis, thyroidectomy, N1 stage, T3–4 stage, and pathological type were independent predictive factors of DM in FDTCs (all P < 0.001). Similarly, age at diagnosis, Black, DM, T3–4 stage, thyroidectomy, and lung metastasis were determined as independent prognostic factors for FDTCs (all P < 0.001). Several predictive nomograms were established based on the above factors. The C-index, AUC, and calibration curves demonstrated a good performance of these nomogram models.

Conclusion

Our study was successful in establishing and validating nomograms that could predict DM, as well as CSS and OS in individual patients with FDTC based on a large study cohort. These nomograms could enable surgeons to perform individualized survival evaluation and risk stratification for FDTCs.

Risk factors for metastasis in indeterminate lymph nodes in preoperative patients with thyroid cancer

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the relevance of clinical and sonographic features as indicators of metastasis in indeterminate lymph node (LN), to determine possible indications for fine-needle aspiration (FNA).

METHODS

Consecutive patients who underwent US-guided FNA for sonographic indeterminate LNs from differentiated thyroid carcinoma between January 2014 and December 2018 were retrospectively reviewed. Indeterminate LNs were defined as LNs which had neither an echogenic hilum nor hilar vascularity in the absence of any suspicious finding in accordance with the Korean Society of Thyroid Radiology (KSThR) guidelines. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify significant risk factors related to malignancy of indeterminate LNs.

RESULTS

Of the 236 LNs in 212 patients enrolled in this study, 67 LNs (28.3%) were metastatic. The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the long diameter of LNs has a negative association with metastasis in indeterminate LNs and the sonographic features of extrathyroidal extension (ETE) and nonparallel orientation of the primary tumor are associated with metastasis in indeterminate LNs. The sensitivity and positive predictive value were increased when FNA was performed for LNs with primary tumors showing ETE or nonparallel orientation than when FNA was performed for LNs larger than 5 mm (59.7% and 40.4% vs. 11.94% and 15.69%).

CONCLUSIONS

The size of LNs has a negative association with metastasis in indeterminate LNs. Performing FNA for indeterminate LNs in patients whose primary tumor shows ETE or a nonparallel orientation can improve the diagnostic performance and decrease the rate of unnecessary FNA.

KEY POINTS

• The size of lymph nodes was negatively related to the risk of metastasis in indeterminate lymph nodes. • Extrathyroidal extension and a nonparallel orientation of the primary tumor were suggested as sonographic features predicting metastasis in indeterminate lymph nodes. • The routine practice of FNA for large indeterminate lymph nodes detected during preoperative evaluation of thyroid cancer should be discouraged.

Can Cervical Lymph Node Metastasis Increase the Risk of Distant Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma?

BACKGROUND

Distant metastasis (DM) is a rare event and has a negative effect on the prognosis for papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). The relationship between cervical lymph node metastasis and DM is complicated and unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of N stage subclassification on different distant metastasis sites based on age stratification, especially for patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma.

METHODS

A total of 28,712 patient with PTC cases between 2010 and 2018 were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was utilized to adjust for confounding variables. Risk stratification, including positive lymph node number and lymph node ratio, was established by receiver operating characteristic curves to help predict DM.

RESULTS

Lung was the most common metastatic site regardless of N0, N1a disease, or N1b disease. As the N stage increased, the higher the rate of DM identified. After age stratification, only N1b disease significantly increased the risk of lung metastasis (LM; odds ratio, OR = 20.45, P < 0.001) rather than bone metastasis (BM; OR = 3.46, P > 0.05) in younger patients. However, in older patients, N1b disease significantly increased the risk of both LM (OR = 4.10, P < 0.001) and BM (OR = 2.65, P = 0.007). In patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC), N1a disease did not increase the risk of DM, LM, and BM compared with N0 disease (P > 0.05). Furthermore, combined N stage with risk stratification has well performance in predicting DM (area under the curve, AUC = 0.761). Similar results were shown in PTC patients with LM (AUC = 0.770) and BM (AUC = 0.729).

CONCLUSION

Overall, the incidence of DM significantly increased with the progress of N disease after age stratification. N1a disease did not increase the risk of DM in PTMC patients, regardless of LM or BM. Combined N stage with risk stratification may be beneficial for DM prediction.

Microscopic Extrathyroidal Extension Results in Increased Rate of Tumor Recurrence and Is an Independent Predictor of Patient’s Outcome in Middle Eastern Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

Background

Papillary Thyroid Cancer (PTC) is the most common endocrine malignancy, with recurrence rate as high as 30%. A great deal of controversy surrounds the significance of microscopic extrathyroidal extension (m-ETE) as a prognostic factor. The most recent edition (8^th) of American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system has removed m-ETE from the definition of pT3, which suggests that m-ETE may lack prognostic impact in PTC patients. Moreover, data about m-ETE prevalence and clinical impact on Middle Eastern PTC remains unknown. We therefore investigate the prevalence of m-ETE and its clinico-pathological correlation and prognostic impact in Middle Eastern PTC. We also compared the AJCC 7^th and 8^th staging systems and their prognostic performance.

Methods

PTCs from 1430 consecutive adult (> 18 years) patients from single tertiary care hospital were included in this study. A retrospective analysis of PTC patients’ survival and recurrence were compared between AJCC 8^th and AJCC 7^th staging systems using Proportion of Variation Explained (PVE) and Harrell’s C-index.

Results

Median follow up of the study cohort was 9.3 years. 31.2% (446/1430) of patients had m-ETE. In the overall cohort, m-ETE was associated with multiple adverse features such as older age (p < 0.0001), male sex (p = 0.0245), tall cell variant (p < 0.0001), bilateral tumors (p < 0.0001), multifocality (p < 0.0001), lymphovascular invasion (p < 0.0001), lymph node metastasis (p < 0.0001), distant metastasis (p = 0.0166), tumor recurrence (p < 0.0001), radioactive iodine refractoriness (p < 0.0001), BRAF mutation (p < 0.0001) and reduced recurrence-free survival (RFS; HR = 1.75; 95% CI = 1.30 – 2.35; p < 0.0001) irrespective of tumor size. Of the 611 patients with T3 disease based on AJCC 7^th edition, 359 (58.8%) were down-staged in AJCC 8^th edition classification. Overall, the prognostic performance of AJCC 8^th edition was inferior to AJCC 7^th on the basis of lower PVE (3.04% vs. 3.73%) and lower C-index (0.40 vs. 0.48).

Conclusions

In Middle Eastern PTC, m-ETE is significantly associated with compromised survival and acts as an independent predictor of RFS. Given these findings, m-ETE should be included in the thyroid cancer treatment guidelines.

Identification and validation of potential novel biomarkers to predict distant metastasis in differentiated thyroid cancer

Background

Distant metastasis (DM) is not common in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). However, it is associated with a significantly poor prognosis. Early detection of high-risk DTC patients is difficult, and the molecular mechanism is still unclear. Therefore, the present study aims to establish a novel predictive model based on clinicopathological parameters and DM-related gene signatures to provide guidelines for clinicians in decision making.

Methods

Weighted gene co-expression network analysis (WGCNA) was performed to discover co-expressed gene modules and hub genes associated with DM. Univariate and multivariate analyses were carried out to identify independent clinicopathological risk factors based on The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. An integrated nomogram prediction model was established. Finally, real hub genes were validated using the GSE60542 database and various thyroid cell lines.

Results

The midnightblue module was most significantly positively correlated with DM (R=0.56, P=9e-06) by as per WGCNA. DLX5 (AUC: 0.769), COX6B2 (AUC: 0.764), and LYPD1 (AUC: 0.760) were determined to be the real hub genes that play a crucial role in predicting DM. Meanwhile, univariate and multivariate analyses demonstrated that T-stage (OR, 15.03; 95% CI, 1.75-319.40; and P=0.024), histologic subtype (OR, 0.17; 95% CI, 0.03-0.92; and P=0.042) were the independent predictors of DM. Subsequently, a nomogram model was constructed based on gene signatures and independent clinical risk factors exhibited good performance. Additionally, the mRNA expressions of real hub genes in the GSE60542 dataset were consistent with TCGA.

Conclusions

The present study has provided a reliable model to predict DM in patients with DTC. This model is likely to serve as an individual risk assessment tool in therapeutic decision-making.

Site-Specific Metastasis and Survival in Papillary Thyroid Cancer: The Importance of Brain and Multi-Organ Disease

Introduction-heterogeneity in clinical outcomes and survival was observed in patients with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) and distant metastases. Here, we investigated the effect of distant metastases sites on survival in PTC patients. Methods-patients with a diagnosis of PTC and known metastases were identified using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (1975-2016). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to analyze the effect of distant metastases sites on thyroid cancer-specific survival (TCSS) and overall survival (OS). Results-from 89,694 PTC patients, 1819 (2%) developed distant metastasis at the initial diagnosis, of whom 26.3% presented with the multiple-organ disease. The most common metastatic sites were lung (53.4%), followed by bone (28.1%), liver (8.3%), and brain (4.7%). In metastatic patients, thyroid cancer-specific death accounted for 73.2%. Kaplan-Meier curves showed decreased OS in patients with metastases to the brain (median OS = 5 months) and liver (median OS = 6 months) compared to lung (median OS = 10 months) and bone (median OS = 23 months). Moreover, multiple organ metastasis had a higher mortality rate (67.4%) compared to single organ metastasis (51.2%, p < 0.001). Using multivariate analysis, risk factors that significantly influence TCSS and OS were male gender (HR = 1.86, 95% CI = 1.17-2.94, p < 0.001, and HR = 1.90, 95% CI = 1.40-2.57, p = 0.009), higher tumor grade (HR = 7.31, 95% CI = 2.13-25.0, p < 0.001 and HR = 4.76, 95% CI = 3.93-5.76, p < 0.001), multiple organ involvement (HR = 6.52, 95% CI = 1.50-28.39, p = 0.026 and HR = 5.08, 95% CI = 1.21-21.30, p = 0.013), and brain metastasis (HR = 1.82, 95% CI = 1.15-2.89, p < 0.001 and HR = 4.21, 95% CI = 2.20-8.07, p = 0.010). Conclusion-the pattern of distant metastatic organ involvement was associated with variability in OS in PTC. Multi-organ metastasis and brain involvement are associated with lower survival rates in PTC. Knowledge of the patterns of distant metastasis is crucial to personalize the treatment and follow-up strategies.

Occult metastatic thyroid cancer diagnosed during breast cancer axillary sentinel node biopsy

SUMMARY

In most developed countries, breast carcinoma is the most common malignancy in women and while thyroid cancer is less common, its incidence is almost three to five times greater in women than in men. Since 1966, studies have demonstrated an association between thyroid and breast cancer and despite these studies, the mechanism/s by which they are related, remains unclear. We present a case of a 56-year-old lady who initially presented in 2014 with a screen detected left breast carcinoma but was subsequently found to have occult metastatic thyroid cancer to the axilla, diagnosed from a sentinel node biopsy from the primary breast procedure. The patient underwent a left mastectomy, left axillary dissection and total thyroidectomy followed by three courses of radioactive iodine ablation. Despite this, her thyroglobulin level continued to increase, which was secondary to a metastatic thyroid cancer parasternal metastasis. Breast and thyroid cancer presents metachronously or synchronously more often than by chance. With improving mortality in primary cancers, such as breast and differentiated thyroid cancer, it is likely that as clinicians, we will continue to encounter this association in practice.

LEARNING POINTS

There has been a long-standing observation of an association between breast and thyroid cancer although the exact mechanism of this association remains unclear. Our patient presented with thyroid cancer with an incidental diagnosis from a sentinel node biopsy during her primary breast operation for breast cancer and was also found to have a parasternal distant bony metastasis. Thyroid axillary metastases are generally rare. The interesting nature in which this patient's metastatic thyroid carcinoma behaved more like a breast carcinoma highlights a correlation between these two cancers. With improving mortality in these primary cancers, clinicians are likely to encounter this association in clinical practice. Systemic therapy for metastatic breast and thyroid cancers differ and therefore a clear diagnosis of metastasis is crucial.