Analysis of a stochastic HBV infection model with delayed immune response

Modeling different infectious phases of hepatitis B with generalized saturated incidence: An analysis and control

Hepatitis B is one of the global health issues caused by the hepatitis B virus (HBV), producing 1.1 million deaths yearly. The acute and chronic phases of HBV are significant because worldwide, approximately 250 million people are infected by chronic hepatitis B. The chronic stage is a long-term, persistent infection that can cause liver damage and increase the risk of liver cancer. In the case of multiple phases of infection, a generalized saturated incidence rate model is more reasonable than a simply saturated incidence because it captures the complex dynamics of the different infection phases. In contrast, a simple saturated incidence rate model assumes a fixed shape for the incidence rate curve, which may not accurately reflect the dynamics of multiple infection phases. Considering HBV and its various phases, we constructed a model to present the dynamics and control strategies using the generalized saturated incidence. First, we proved that the model is well-posed. We then found the reproduction quantity and model equilibria to discuss the time dynamics of the model and investigate the conditions for stabilities. We also examined a control mechanism by introducing various controls to the model with the aim to increase the population of those recovered and minimize the infected people. We performed numerical experiments to check the biological significance and control implementation.

Stationary distribution of a reaction-diffusion hepatitis B virus infection model driven by the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process

A reaction-diffusion hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection model based on the mean-reverting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is studied in this paper. We demonstrate the existence and uniqueness of the positive solution by constructing the Lyapunov function. The adequate conditions for the solution's stationary distribution were described. Last but not least, the numerical simulation demonstrated that reversion rates and noise intensity influenced the disease and that there was a stationary distribution. It was concluded that the solution tends more toward the stationary distribution, the greater the reversion rates and the smaller the noise.

Deterministic-stochastic analysis of fractional differential equations malnutrition model with random perturbations and crossover effects

To boost the handful of nutrient-dense individuals in the societal structure, adequate health care documentation and comprehension are permitted. This will strengthen and optimize the well-being of the community, particularly the girls and women of the community that are welcoming the new generation. In this article, we extensively explored a deterministic-stochastic malnutrition model involving nonlinear perturbation via piecewise fractional operators techniques. This novel concept leads us to analyze and predict the process from the beginning to the end of the well-being growth, as it offers the possibility to observe many behaviors from cross over to stochastic processes. Moreover, the piecewise differential operators, which can be constructed with operators such as classical, Caputo, Caputo-Fabrizio, Atangana-Baleanu and stochastic derivative. The threshold parameter is developed and the role of malnutrition in society is examined. Through a rigorous analysis, we first demonstrated that the stochastic model's solution is positive and global. Then, using appropriate stochastic Lyapunov candidates, we examined whether the stochastic system acknowledges a unique ergodic stationary distribution. The objective of this investigation is to design a nutritional deficiency in pregnant women using a piecewise fractional differential equation scheme. We examined multiple options and outlined numerical methods of coping with problems. To exemplify the effectiveness of the suggested concept, graphical conclusions, including chaotic and random perturbation patterns, are supplied. Consequently, fractional calculus' innovative aspects provide more powerful and flexible layouts, enabling us to more effectively adapt to the system dynamics tendencies of real-world representations. This has opened new doors to readers in different disciplines and enabled them to capture different behaviors at different time intervals.

A Semi-mechanistic Model to Characterize the Long-Term Dynamics of Hepatitis B Virus Markers During Treatment With Lamivudine and Pegylated Interferon

Antiviral treatments against hepatitis B virus (HBV) suppress viral replication but do not eradicate the virus, and need therefore to be taken lifelong to avoid relapse. Mathematical models can be useful to support the development of curative anti-HBV agents; however, they mostly focus on short-term HBV DNA data and neglect the complex host-pathogen interaction. This work aimed to characterize the effect of treatment with lamivudine and/or pegylated interferon (Peg-IFN) in 1,300 patients (hepatitis B envelope antigen (HBeAg)-positive and HBeAg-negative) treated for 1 year. A mathematical model was developed incorporating two populations of infected cells, namely I 1 , with a high transcriptional activity, that progressively evolve into I 2 , at a rate δ tr , representing cells with integrated HBV DNA that have a lower transcriptional activity. Parameters of the model were estimated in patients treated with lamivudine or Peg-IFN alone (N = 894), and the model was then validated in patients treated with lamivudine plus Peg-IFN (N = 436) to predict the virological response after a year of combination treatment. Lamivudine had a larger effect in blocking viral production than Peg-IFN (99.4-99.9% vs. 91.8-95.1%); however, Peg-IFN had a significant immunomodulatory effect, leading to an enhancement of the loss rates of I 1 (×1.7 in HBeAg-positive patients), I 2 (> ×7 irrespective of HBeAg status), and δ tr (×4.6 and ×2.0 in HBeAg-positive and HBeAg-negative patients, respectively). Using this model, we were able to describe the synergy of the different effects occurring during treatment with combination and predicted an effect of 99.99% on blocking viral production. This framework can therefore support the optimization of combination therapy with new anti-HBV agents.

Dynamics of a stochastic hepatitis B virus transmission model with media coverage and a case study of China

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is a global public health problem and there are 257 million people living with chronic HBV infection throughout the world. In this paper, we investigate the dynamics of a stochastic HBV transmission model with media coverage and saturated incidence rate. Firstly, we prove the existence and uniqueness of positive solution for the stochastic model. Then the condition on the extinction of HBV infection is obtained, which implies that media coverage helps to control the disease spread and the noise intensities on the acute and chronic HBV infection play a key role in disease eradication. Furthermore, we verify that the system has a unique stationary distribution under certain conditions, and the disease will prevail from the biological perspective. Numerical simulations are conducted to illustrate our theoretical results intuitively. As a case study, we fit our model to the available hepatitis B data of mainland China from 2005 to 2021.

A computational study of a stochastic fractal-fractional hepatitis B virus infection incorporating delayed immune reactions via the exponential decay

Recently, researchers have become interested in modelling, monitoring, and treatment of hepatitis B virus infection. Understanding the various connections between pathogens, immune systems, and general liver function is crucial. In this study, we propose a higher-order stochastically modified delay differential model for the evolution of hepatitis B virus transmission involving defensive cells. Taking into account environmental stimuli and ambiguities, we presented numerical solutions of the fractal-fractional hepatitis B virus model based on the exponential decay kernel that reviewed the hepatitis B virus immune system involving cytotoxic T lymphocyte immunological mechanisms. Furthermore, qualitative aspects of the system are analyzed such as the existence-uniqueness of the non-negative solution, where the infection endures stochastically as a result of the solution evolving within the predetermined system's equilibrium state. In certain settings, infection-free can be determined, where the illness settles down tremendously with unit probability. To predict the viability of the fractal-fractional derivative outcomes, a novel numerical approach is used, resulting in several remarkable modelling results, including a change in fractional-order δ with constant fractal-dimension ϖ, δ with changing ϖ, and δ with changing both δ and ϖ. White noise concentration has a significant impact on how bacterial infections are treated.

Novel stochastic dynamics of a fractal-fractional immune effector response to viral infection via latently infectious tissues

In this paper, the global complexities of a stochastic virus transmission framework featuring adaptive response and Holling type II estimation are examined via the non-local fractal-fractional derivative operator in the Atangana-Baleanu perspective. Furthermore, we determine the existence-uniqueness of positivity of the appropriate solutions. Ergodicity and stationary distribution of non-negative solutions are carried out. Besides that, the infection progresses in the sense of randomization as a consequence of the response fluctuating within the predictive case's equilibria. Additionally, the extinction criteria have been established. To understand the reliability of the findings, simulation studies utilizing the fractal-fractional dynamics of the synthesized trajectory under the Atangana-Baleanu-Caputo derivative incorporating fractional-order α and fractal-dimension ℘ have also been addressed. The strength of white noise is significant in the treatment of viral pathogens. The persistence of a stationary distribution can be maintained by white noise of sufficient concentration, whereas the eradication of the infection is aided by white noise of high concentration.

Dynamics of a stochastic HBV infection model with drug therapy and immune response

Hepatitis B is a disease that damages the liver, and its control has become a public health problem that needs to be solved urgently. In this paper, we investigate analytically and numerically the dynamics of a new stochastic HBV infection model with antiviral therapies and immune response represented by CTL cells. Through using the theory of stochastic differential equations, constructing appropriate Lyapunov functions and applying Itô's formula, we prove that the disease-free equilibrium of the stochastic HBV model is stochastically asymptotically stable in the large, which reveals that the HBV infection will be eradicated with probability one. Moreover, the asymptotic behavior of globally positive solution of the stochastic model near the endemic equilibrium of the corresponding deterministic HBV model is studied. By using the Milstein's method, we provide the numerical simulations to support the analysis results, which shows that sufficiently small noise will not change the dynamic behavior, while large noise can induce the disappearance of the infection. In addition, the effect of inhibiting virus production is more significant than that of blocking new infection to some extent, and the combination of two treatment methods may be the better way to reduce HBV infection and the concentration of free virus.

Global Dynamics of a Stochastic Viral Infection Model with Latently Infected Cells

In this paper, we study the global dynamics of a stochastic viral infection model with humoral immunity and Holling type II response functions. The existence and uniqueness of non-negative global solutions are derived. Stationary ergodic distribution of positive solutions is investigated. The solution fluctuates around the equilibrium of the deterministic case, resulting in the disease persisting stochastically. The extinction conditions are also determined. To verify the accuracy of the results, numerical simulations were carried out using the Euler–Maruyama scheme. White noise’s intensity plays a key role in treating viral infectious diseases. The small intensity of white noises can maintain the existence of a stationary distribution, while the large intensity of white noises is beneficial to the extinction of the virus.