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Kang DO, Lee DI, Roh SY, Na JO, Choi CU, Kim JW, Kim EJ, Rha SW, Park CG, Kim YS, Kim Y, You HS, Kang HT, Jo E, Kim J, Lee JW, Jung JM. Reduced Alcohol Consumption and Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events Among Individuals With Previously High Alcohol Consumption. JAMA Netw Open 2024; 7:e244013. [PMID: 38546645 PMCID: PMC10979316 DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.4013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/12/2023] [Accepted: 01/22/2024] [Indexed: 04/01/2024] Open
Abstract
Importance Cardiovascular benefits of mild to moderate alcohol consumption need to be validated in the context of behavioral changes. The benefits of reduced alcohol consumption among people who drink heavily across different subtypes of cardiovascular disease (CVD) are unclear. Objective To investigate the association between reduced alcohol consumption and risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in individuals who drink heavily across different CVD subtypes. Design, Setting, and Participants This cohort study analyzed data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service-Health Screening database and self-reported questionnaires. The nationally representative cohort comprised Korean citizens aged 40 to 79 years who had national health insurance coverage on December 31, 2002, and were included in the 2002 to 2003 National Health Screening Program. People who drank heavily who underwent serial health examinations over 2 consecutive periods (first period: 2005-2008; second period: 2009-2012) were included and analyzed between February and May 2023. Heavy drinking was defined as more than 4 drinks (56 g) per day or more than 14 drinks (196 g) per week for males and more than 3 drinks (42 g) per day or more than 7 drinks (98 g) per week for females. Exposures Habitual change in heavy alcohol consumption during the second health examination period. People who drank heavily at baseline were categorized into 2 groups according to changes in alcohol consumption during the second health examination period as sustained heavy drinking or reduced drinking. Main Outcomes and Measures The primary outcome was the occurrence of MACEs, a composite of nonfatal myocardial infarction or angina undergoing revascularization, any stroke accompanied by hospitalization, and all-cause death. Results Of the 21 011 participants with heavy alcohol consumption at baseline (18 963 males [90.3%]; mean [SD] age, 56.08 [6.16] years) included in the study, 14 220 (67.7%) sustained heavy drinking, whereas 6791 (32.2%) shifted to mild to moderate drinking. During the follow-up of 162 378 person-years, the sustained heavy drinking group experienced a significantly higher incidence of MACEs than the reduced drinking group (817 vs 675 per 100 000 person-years; log-rank P = .003). Reduced alcohol consumption was associated with a 23% lower risk of MACEs compared with sustained heavy drinking (propensity score matching hazard ratio [PSM HR], 0.77; 95% CI, 0.67-0.88). These benefits were mostly accounted for by a significant reduction in the incidence of angina (PSM HR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.51-0.97) and ischemic stroke (PSM HR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.51-0.86). The preventive attributes of reduced alcohol intake were consistently observed across various subgroups of participants. Conclusions and Relevance Results of this cohort study suggest that reducing alcohol consumption is associated with a decreased risk of future CVD, with the most pronounced benefits expected for angina and ischemic stroke.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dong Oh Kang
- Cardiovascular Center, Korea University Guro Hospital, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Dae-In Lee
- Cardiovascular Center, Korea University Guro Hospital, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Seung-Young Roh
- Cardiovascular Center, Korea University Guro Hospital, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Jin Oh Na
- Cardiovascular Center, Korea University Guro Hospital, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Cheol Ung Choi
- Cardiovascular Center, Korea University Guro Hospital, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Jin Won Kim
- Cardiovascular Center, Korea University Guro Hospital, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Eung Ju Kim
- Cardiovascular Center, Korea University Guro Hospital, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Seung-Woon Rha
- Cardiovascular Center, Korea University Guro Hospital, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Chang Gyu Park
- Cardiovascular Center, Korea University Guro Hospital, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Ye-Seul Kim
- Department of Family Medicine, Chungbuk National University Hospital, Chungju, Republic of Korea
| | - Yonghwan Kim
- Department of Family Medicine, Chungbuk National University Hospital, Chungju, Republic of Korea
| | - Hyo-Sun You
- Department of Family Medicine, Chungbuk National University Hospital, Chungju, Republic of Korea
| | - Hee-Taik Kang
- Department of Family Medicine, Severance Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Eunseo Jo
- Department of Statistical Analysis, Zarathu Co Ltd, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Jinseob Kim
- Department of Statistical Analysis, Zarathu Co Ltd, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Jae-woo Lee
- Department of Family Medicine, Chungbuk National University Hospital, Chungju, Republic of Korea
- Department of Family Medicine, Chungbuk National University College of Medicine, Chungju, Republic of Korea
| | - Jin-Man Jung
- Department of Neurology, Korea University Ansan Hospital, Korea University College of Medicine, Ansan, Republic of Korea
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Kim YE, Pyo J, Lee H, Jeong H, Park YK, Seo JW, Ock M, Yoon SJ. Relevance Index Regional Variation by Each Disease and Its Essential Medical Field: A Retrospective Data Analysis From 2016-2020 in Korea. J Korean Med Sci 2023; 38:e130. [PMID: 37096313 PMCID: PMC10125789 DOI: 10.3346/jkms.2023.38.e130] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/25/2022] [Accepted: 01/11/2023] [Indexed: 04/26/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND To precisely build a healthcare delivery system at regional levels, local patients' healthcare service utilization patterns must be examined. Hence, this study utilized trend analysis of the relevance index of each disease of each essential medical service field at the municipal and provincial levels. METHODS This study analyzed customized databases released by the National Health Insurance Service from 2016-2020. Diseases defined in the Korean National Burden of Disease (KNBD) study were categorized into the following essential medical service fields: trauma care, cardiocerebrovascular, maternal and neonatal, mental health, infection, cancer, older adults' care and rehabilitation, and others. Relevance index, the percentage of medical service utilization in a region by the residents of that region relative to their total medical service utilization, was examined by region (17 municipal and provincial regions) and disease area. The relevance index was determined based on the number of patients and the total out-of-pocket expenses. RESULT Eight of the 17 regions showed over a 90.0% relevance index in the infection area. In the cancer area, 14 regions (not including Seoul, Daegu, and Busan) had a relevance index lower than 75.0%. Throughout the analysis period (2016-2020), there were no significant variations in the relevance index. Diseases such as bone and connective tissue cancer (39.0%), neural tube defects (16.7%), and autism (57.1%) had low relevance index in the essential medical service fields. In all 17 regions, the relevance index of inpatients was lower than that of outpatients, and that for out-of-pocket expenses was lower than that based on the number of patients. CONCLUSION The relevance index of major diseases of each essential medical service field calculated in this study can provide good indicators for monitoring the level of an independent regional healthcare delivery system.
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Affiliation(s)
- Young-Eun Kim
- Department of Big Data Strategy, National Health Insurance Service, Wonju, Korea
| | - Jeehee Pyo
- Task Forces to Support Public Health and Medical Services in Ulsan Metropolitan City, Ulsan, Korea
| | - Haneul Lee
- Task Forces to Support Public Health and Medical Services in Ulsan Metropolitan City, Ulsan, Korea
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Ulsan University Hospital, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Ulsan, Korea
| | - HyeRan Jeong
- Task Forces to Support Public Health and Medical Services in Ulsan Metropolitan City, Ulsan, Korea
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Ulsan University Hospital, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Ulsan, Korea
| | - Young-Kwon Park
- Prevention and Management Center, Ulsan University Hospital, Ulsan, Korea
| | - Jeong-Wook Seo
- Public Health and Medical Services Team, Ulsan University Hospital, Ulsan, Korea
| | - Minsu Ock
- Task Forces to Support Public Health and Medical Services in Ulsan Metropolitan City, Ulsan, Korea
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Ulsan University Hospital, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Ulsan, Korea
- Prevention and Management Center, Ulsan University Hospital, Ulsan, Korea
- Department of Preventive Medicine, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
| | - Seok-Jun Yoon
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
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Kim DH, Moon SJ, Lee J, Cha JK, Kim MH, Park JS, Ban B, Kang J, Kim BJ, Kim WS, Yoon CH, Lee H, Kim S, Kang EK, Her AY, Yoon CW, Rha JH, Woo SI, Lee WK, Jung HY, Lee JH, Park HS, Hwang YH, Kim K, Kim RB, Choi NC, Hwang J, Park HW, Park KS, Yi S, Cho JY, Kim NH, Choi KH, Kim J, Han JY, Choi JC, Kim SY, Choi JH, Kim J, Sohn MK, Choi SW, Shin DI, Lee SY, Bae JW, Lee KS, Bae HJ. Comparison of Factors Associated With Direct Versus Transferred-in Admission to Government-Designated Regional Centers Between Acute Ischemic Stroke and Myocardial Infarction in Korea. J Korean Med Sci 2022; 37:e305. [PMID: 36325609 PMCID: PMC9623032 DOI: 10.3346/jkms.2022.37.e305] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/14/2022] [Accepted: 08/29/2022] [Indexed: 11/05/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND There has been no comparison of the determinants of admission route between acute ischemic stroke (AIS) and acute myocardial infarction (AMI). We examined whether factors associated with direct versus transferred-in admission to regional cardiocerebrovascular centers (RCVCs) differed between AIS and AMI. METHODS Using a nationwide RCVC registry, we identified consecutive patients presenting with AMI and AIS between July 2016 and December 2018. We explored factors associated with direct admission to RCVCs in patients with AIS and AMI and examined whether those associations differed between AIS and AMI, including interaction terms between each factor and disease type in multivariable models. To explore the influence of emergency medical service (EMS) paramedics on hospital selection, stratified analyses according to use of EMS were also performed. RESULTS Among the 17,897 and 8,927 AIS and AMI patients, 66.6% and 48.2% were directly admitted to RCVCs, respectively. Multivariable analysis showed that previous coronary heart disease, prehospital awareness, higher education level, and EMS use increased the odds of direct admission to RCVCs, but the odds ratio (OR) was different between AIS and AMI (for the first 3 factors, AMI > AIS; for EMS use, AMI < AIS). EMS use was the single most important factor for both AIS and AMI (OR, 4.72 vs. 3.90). Hypertension and hyperlipidemia increased, while living alone decreased the odds of direct admission only in AMI; additionally, age (65-74 years), previous stroke, and presentation during non-working hours increased the odds only in AIS. EMS use weakened the associations between direct admission and most factors in both AIS and AMI. CONCLUSIONS Various patient factors were differentially associated with direct admission to RCVCs between AIS and AMI. Public education for symptom awareness and use of EMS is essential in optimizing the transportation and hospitalization of patients with AMI and AIS.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dae-Hyun Kim
- Busan Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Dong-A University Hospital, Busan, Korea
| | - Seok-Joo Moon
- Department of Biostatistics, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Juneyoung Lee
- Department of Biostatistics, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Jae-Kwan Cha
- Busan Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Dong-A University Hospital, Busan, Korea
| | - Moo Hyun Kim
- Busan Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Dong-A University Hospital, Busan, Korea
| | - Jong-Sung Park
- Busan Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Dong-A University Hospital, Busan, Korea
| | - Byeolnim Ban
- Gyeonggi Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam, Korea
| | - Jihoon Kang
- Gyeonggi Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam, Korea
| | - Beom Joon Kim
- Gyeonggi Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam, Korea
| | - Won-Seok Kim
- Gyeonggi Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam, Korea
| | - Chang-Hwan Yoon
- Gyeonggi Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam, Korea
| | - Heeyoung Lee
- Gyeonggi Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam, Korea
| | - Seongheon Kim
- Gangwon Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Kangwon National University Hospital, Kangwon National University School of Medicine, Chuncheon, Korea
| | - Eun Kyoung Kang
- Gangwon Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Kangwon National University Hospital, Kangwon National University School of Medicine, Chuncheon, Korea
| | - Ae-Young Her
- Gangwon Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Kangwon National University Hospital, Kangwon National University School of Medicine, Chuncheon, Korea
| | - Cindy W Yoon
- Incheon Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Inha University College of Medicine, Incheon, Korea
| | - Joung-Ho Rha
- Incheon Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Inha University College of Medicine, Incheon, Korea
| | - Seong-Ill Woo
- Incheon Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Inha University College of Medicine, Incheon, Korea
| | - Won Kyung Lee
- Incheon Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Inha University College of Medicine, Incheon, Korea
| | - Han-Young Jung
- Incheon Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Inha University College of Medicine, Incheon, Korea
| | - Jang Hoon Lee
- Daegu-Gyeongbuk Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Kyungpook National University Hospital, Daegu, Korea
| | - Hun Sik Park
- Daegu-Gyeongbuk Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Kyungpook National University Hospital, Daegu, Korea
| | - Yang-Ha Hwang
- Daegu-Gyeongbuk Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Kyungpook National University Hospital, Daegu, Korea
| | - Keonyeop Kim
- Daegu-Gyeongbuk Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Kyungpook National University Hospital, Daegu, Korea
| | - Rock Bum Kim
- Gyeongnam Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Gyeongsang National University Hospital, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju, Korea
| | - Nack-Cheon Choi
- Gyeongnam Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Gyeongsang National University Hospital, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju, Korea
| | - Jinyong Hwang
- Gyeongnam Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Gyeongsang National University Hospital, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju, Korea
| | - Hyun-Woong Park
- Gyeongnam Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Gyeongsang National University Hospital, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju, Korea
| | - Ki Soo Park
- Gyeongnam Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Gyeongsang National University Hospital, Gyeongsang National University School of Medicine, Jinju, Korea
| | - SangHak Yi
- Jeonbuk Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Center, Wonkwang University Hospital, Iksan, Korea
| | - Jae Young Cho
- Jeonbuk Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Center, Wonkwang University Hospital, Iksan, Korea
| | - Nam-Ho Kim
- Jeonbuk Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Center, Wonkwang University Hospital, Iksan, Korea
| | - Kang-Ho Choi
- Gwangju-Jeonnam Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Chonnam National University Medical School and Hospital, Gwangju, Korea
| | - Juhan Kim
- Gwangju-Jeonnam Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Chonnam National University Medical School and Hospital, Gwangju, Korea
| | - Jae-Young Han
- Gwangju-Jeonnam Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Chonnam National University Medical School and Hospital, Gwangju, Korea
| | - Jay Chol Choi
- Jeju Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Jeju National University Hospital, Jeju, Korea
| | - Song-Yi Kim
- Jeju Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Jeju National University Hospital, Jeju, Korea
| | - Joon-Hyouk Choi
- Jeju Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Jeju National University Hospital, Jeju, Korea
| | - Jei Kim
- Daejeon-Chungnam Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Hospital and College of Medicine, Chungnam National University, Daejeon, Korea
| | - Min Kyun Sohn
- Daejeon-Chungnam Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Hospital and College of Medicine, Chungnam National University, Daejeon, Korea
| | - Si Wan Choi
- Daejeon-Chungnam Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Hospital and College of Medicine, Chungnam National University, Daejeon, Korea
| | - Dong-Ick Shin
- Chungbuk Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Chungbuk National University and Hospital, Cheongju, Korea
| | - Sang Yeub Lee
- Chungbuk Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Chungbuk National University and Hospital, Cheongju, Korea
| | - Jang-Whan Bae
- Chungbuk Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Chungbuk National University and Hospital, Cheongju, Korea
| | - Kun Sei Lee
- Department of Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Konkuk University, Seoul, Korea
| | - Hee-Joon Bae
- Gyeonggi Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Disease Center, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam, Korea.
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Yoon CW, Oh H, Lee J, Rha J, Woo S, Lee WK, Jung H, Ban B, Kang J, Kim BJ, Kim W, Yoon C, Lee H, Kim S, Kim SH, Kang EK, Her A, Cha J, Kim D, Kim M, Lee JH, Park HS, Kim K, Kim RB, Choi N, Hwang J, Park H, Park KS, Yi S, Cho JY, Kim N, Choi K, Kim Y, Kim J, Han J, Choi JC, Kim S, Choi J, Kim J, Jee SJ, Sohn MK, Choi SW, Shin D, Lee SY, Bae J, Lee K, Bae H. Comparisons of Prehospital Delay and Related Factors Between Acute Ischemic Stroke and Acute Myocardial Infarction. J Am Heart Assoc 2022; 11:e023214. [PMID: 35491981 PMCID: PMC9238627 DOI: 10.1161/jaha.121.023214] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
Background
Prehospital delay is an important contributor to poor outcomes in both acute ischemic stroke (AIS) and acute myocardial infarction (AMI). We aimed to compare the prehospital delay and related factors between AIS and AMI.
Methods and Results
We identified patients with AIS and AMI who were admitted to the 11 Korean Regional Cardiocerebrovascular Centers via the emergency room between July 2016 and December 2018. Delayed arrival was defined as a prehospital delay of >3 hours, and the generalized linear mixed‐effects model was applied to explore the effects of potential predictors on delayed arrival. This study included 17 895 and 8322 patients with AIS and AMI, respectively. The median value of prehospital delay was 6.05 hours in AIS and 3.00 hours in AMI. The use of emergency medical services was the key determinant of delayed arrival in both groups. Previous history, 1‐person household, weekday presentation, and interhospital transfer had higher odds of delayed arrival in both groups. Age and sex had no or minimal effects on delayed arrival in AIS; however, age and female sex were associated with higher odds of delayed arrival in AMI. More severe symptoms had lower odds of delayed arrival in AIS, whereas no significant effect was observed in AMI. Off‐hour presentation had higher and prehospital awareness had lower odds of delayed arrival; however, the magnitude of their effects differed quantitatively between AIS and AMI.
Conclusions
The effects of some nonmodifiable and modifiable factors on prehospital delay differed between AIS and AMI. A differentiated strategy might be required to reduce prehospital delay.
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The effects of socioeconomic and geographic factors on chronic phase long-term survival after stroke in South Korea. Sci Rep 2022; 12:4327. [PMID: 35289331 PMCID: PMC8921252 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-08025-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/01/2021] [Accepted: 02/23/2022] [Indexed: 11/08/2022] Open
Abstract
AbstractThe stroke incidence has increased rapidly in South Korea, calling for a national-wide system for long-term stroke management. We investigated the effects of socioeconomic status (SES) and geographic factors on chronic phase survival after stroke. We retrospectively enrolled 6994 patients who experienced a stroke event in 2009 from the Korean National Health Insurance database. We followed them up from 24 to 120 months after stroke onset. The endpoint was all-cause mortality. We defined SES using a medical-aid group and four groups divided by health insurance premium quartiles. Geographic factors were defined using Model 1 (capital, metropolitan, city, and county) and Model 2 (with or without university hospitals). The higher the insurance premium, the higher the survival rate tended to be (P < 0.001). The patient survival rate was highest in the capital city and lowest at the county level (P < 0.001). Regions with a university hospital(s) showed a higher survival rate (P = 0.006). Cox regression revealed that the medical-aid group was identified as an independent risk factor for chronic phase mortality. Further, NHIP level had a more significant effect than geographic factors on chronic stroke mortality. From these results, long-term nationwide efforts to reduce inter-regional as well as SES discrepancies affecting stroke management are needed.
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Park EH, Gil YJ, Kim C, Kim BJ, Hwang SS. Presence of Thrombectomy-capable Stroke Centers Within Hospital Service Areas Explains Regional Variation in the Case Fatality Rate of Acute Ischemic Stroke in Korea. J Prev Med Public Health 2021; 54:385-394. [PMID: 34875821 PMCID: PMC8655371 DOI: 10.3961/jpmph.21.329] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/14/2021] [Accepted: 08/12/2021] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES This study aimed to explore the status of regional variations in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) treatment and investigate the association between the presence of a thrombectomy-capable stroke center (TSC) and the case fatality rate (CFR) of AIS within hospital service areas (HSAs). METHODS This observational cross-sectional study analyzed acute stroke quality assessment program data from 262 hospitals between 2013 and 2016. TSCs were defined according to the criteria of the Joint Commission. In total, 64 HSAs were identified based on the addresses of hospitals. We analyzed the effects of structure factors, process factors, and the presence of a TSC on the CFR of AIS using multivariate logistic regression. RESULTS Among 262 hospitals, 31 hospitals met the definition of a TSC. Of the 64 HSAs, only 20 had a TSC. At hospitals, the presence of a stroke unit, the presence of stroke specialists, and the rate of endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) treatment were associated with reductions in the CFR. In HSAs, the rate of EVT treatment (odds ratio [OR], 0.98; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.97 to 0.99) and the presence of a TSC (OR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.88 to 0.99) significantly reduced the CFR of AIS. CONCLUSIONS The presence of a TSC within an HSA, corresponding to structure and process factors related to the quality of care, contributed significantly to lowering the CFR of AIS. The CFR also declined as the rate of treatment increased. This study highlights the importance of TSCs in the development of an acute stroke care system in Korea.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eun Hye Park
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Graduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea
| | - Yong Jin Gil
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Graduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea
| | - Chanki Kim
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Graduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea
| | - Beom Joon Kim
- Department of Neurology, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, Korea
| | - Seung-Sik Hwang
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Graduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea
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Lee W, Lee J, Woo SI, Choi SH, Bae JW, Jung S, Jeong MH, Lee WK. Machine learning enhances the performance of short and long-term mortality prediction model in non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction. Sci Rep 2021; 11:12886. [PMID: 34145358 PMCID: PMC8213755 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-92362-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/04/2021] [Accepted: 06/07/2021] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Abstract
Machine learning (ML) has been suggested to improve the performance of prediction models. Nevertheless, research on predicting the risk in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) has been limited and showed inconsistency in the performance of ML models versus traditional models (TMs). This study developed ML-based models (logistic regression with regularization, random forest, support vector machine, and extreme gradient boosting) and compared their performance in predicting the short- and long-term mortality of patients with AMI with those of TMs with comparable predictors. The endpoints were the in-hospital mortality of 14,183 participants and the three- and 12-month mortality in patients who survived at discharge. The performance of the ML models in predicting the mortality of patients with an ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) was comparable to the TMs. In contrast, the areas under the curves (AUC) of the ML models for non-STEMI (NSTEMI) in predicting the in-hospital, 3-month, and 12-month mortality were 0.889, 0.849, and 0.860, respectively, which were superior to the TMs, which had corresponding AUCs of 0.873, 0.795, and 0.808. Overall, the performance of the predictive model could be improved, particularly for long-term mortality in NSTEMI, from the ML algorithm rather than using more clinical predictors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Woojoo Lee
- Department of Public Health Sciences, Graduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Joongyub Lee
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Seoung-Il Woo
- Department of Cardiology, School of Medicine, Inha University Hospital, Inha University, Incheon, Republic of Korea
| | - Seong Huan Choi
- Department of Cardiology, School of Medicine, Inha University Hospital, Inha University, Incheon, Republic of Korea
| | - Jang-Whan Bae
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Chungbuk National University College of Medicine, Cheongju, Republic of Korea
| | - Seungpil Jung
- Department of Public Health Sciences, Graduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Myung Ho Jeong
- Chonnam National University Hospital, Gwangju, Republic of Korea
| | - Won Kyung Lee
- Department of Prevention and Management, School of Medicine, Inha University Hospital, Inha University, 27 Inhang-Ro, Jung-Gu, Incheon, Republic of Korea.
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