Predictive value of exercise myocardial perfusion imaging in the Medicare population: the impact of the ability to exercise

Prediction of angiographic coronary disease and mortality with a cadmium-zinc-telluride camera: a comparison of upright and supine ejection fractions and left ventricular volumes

Introduction

Perfusion imaging strongly predicts coronary artery disease (CAD), whereas cardiac volumes and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) strongly predict mortality. Compared to conventional Anger single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) cameras, cadmium-zinc-telluride (CZT) cameras provide higher resolution, resulting in different left ventricular volumes. The cadmium-zinc-telluride D-SPECT camera is commonly used to image in the upright position, which introduces changes in left ventricular loading conditions and potentially alters left ventricular volumes. However, little or no data exist on the predictive value of left ventricular volumes and ejection fraction when acquired in the upright position. We investigated models for the prediction of CAD and mortality, comparing upright and supine imaging.

Methods

A retrospective study of patients with upright/supine stress and rest imaging and coronary angiography within 3 months was performed. Univariate and multivariable analyses were performed to predict abnormal angiograms and all-cause mortality.

Results

Of the 392 patients, 210 (53.6%) had significant angiographic CAD; 78 (19.9%) patients died over 75 months. The best multivariable model for CAD included the supine summed stress score and supine stress LVEF, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic of 0.862, a sensitivity of 76.7%, and a specificity of 82.4%, but this model was not statistically superior to the best upright model. The best multivariable models for mortality included age, diabetes, history of cardiovascular disease, and end-systolic volume, with the upright and supine models being equivalent.

Discussion

Angiographic CAD was best predicted by the supine summed stress score and LVEF but was not statistically superior to the next-best upright model. Mortality was best predicted by end-systolic volume in combination with age, diabetes status, and cardiovascular disease status, with equivalent results from the upright and supine images.

Prediction of 14-year cardiovascular outcomes by dobutamine stress 99mTc-tetrofosmin myocardial perfusion SPECT in elderly patients unable to perform exercise testing

BACKGROUND

Dobutamine stress myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) is a useful alternative for the evaluation of coronary artery disease (CAD) in elderly patients who are unable to perform an exercise stress test. However, data on the long-term prognostic value of stress MPI in elderly patients are lacking. Therefore, this study evaluated the long-term prognostic value of dobutamine stress MPI in elderly patients unable to perform an exercise test.

METHODS

The study population consisted of 247 elderly patients (mean age 71 ± 5 years) who underwent dobutamine stress single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) MPI. An abnormal SPECT study was defined as the presence of fixed and/or reversible perfusion defects. A summed stress score (SSS) was obtained to estimate the extent and severity of perfusion defects. End points during follow-up were all-cause mortality, cardiac mortality, and nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI).

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 14 years (range 12-16), 168 (68%) patients died (all-cause mortality), of which 56 (23%) were due to cardiac causes. Nonfatal MI occurred in 19 (8%) patients. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that MPI provided optimal risk stratification in patients with normal and abnormal MPI. Multivariable analysis identified an abnormal MPI as a strong significant predictor of all-cause mortality and cardiac events. A multivariable analysis also revealed that a reversible defect and SSS were strong long-term predictors of cardiac mortality and hard cardiac events.

CONCLUSION

Dobutamine stress 99mTc-tetrofosmin SPECT provides incremental prognostic information for the prediction of long-term cardiovascular outcomes in elderly patients, unable to perform exercise testing. Dobutamine stress MPI is useful in risk classifying elderly patients.

The potential value of discordant studies

Many aspects of the clinical application of gated-single photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) have been well established by multiple trials and studies. However, its utility in the elderly (i.e., the Medicare population in the USA) remains unclear. This is an important population due to its rapid growth, coupled with the increasing prevalence of coronary artery disease with age. A paper in this issue, Predictive value of exercise myocardial perfusion imaging in the Medicare population: the impact of the ability to exercise, indicates that while gated-SPECT clearly directs the performance of interventions at the level of the coronary arteries in the elderly, outcomes are worse for those receiving an intervention vs. those receiving medical therapy. While some literature supports this observation, there are also well documented studies that indicate that the opposite is the case. As consumers of discordant studies, we find ourselves in the unenviable position of having to pull at the threads of evidence and follow them through in an attempt to reconcile the conflicting literature. This is reminiscent of the mythical Gregorian knot, a knot that was impossible to unravel by conventional means. However, it was "solved" by cutting it with a sword. In our case, the sword that we have is the removal of bias. It has been said that there are no unbiased studies, since we only measure what we believe and we tend to believe what we measure. This is further compounded in clinical practice since the Hippocratic Oath requires that the physician above all do no harm. Therefore it follows that whatever action is done is at least not detrimental to the patient. These are powerful belief systems that on the one hand allow us to rapidly discard "irrelevant" information and quickly get to the important point, but on the other hand they may inhibit us from seeing what is truly of value. Discordant and negative studies are important disruptors along the path to easy data assimilation, and force us to seek out sources of bias which otherwise may go unnoted. In the case of the above paper we might look past the perfusion data to the more important cardiac functional data which may contribute to changing the focus of diagnosis and treatment strategies, thus slicing through a little more of the knot.