Short-Term Lung Function Changes and Predictors of Progressive Systemic Sclerosis-Related Interstitial Lung Disease

The Performance of Pulmonary Function Tests in Predicting Systemic Sclerosis-Interstitial Lung Disease in the European Scleroderma Trial and Research Database

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

In SSc, ILD is a major cause of morbidity and mortality. We aimed to investigate the performance of DLCO (diffusing capacity of lung carbon monoxide) and FVC (forced vital capacity) delta change (Δ) and baseline values in predicting the development of SSc-ILD.

METHODS

Longitudinal data of DLCO, FVC, and ILD on the HRCT of SSc patients from the EUSTAR database were evaluated at baseline (t0) and after 12 (±4) (t1) and 24 (±4) (t2) months.

RESULTS

474/17805 patients were eligible for the study (403 females); 46 (9.7%) developed ILD at t2. Positivity for anti-topoisomerase antibodies (117 patients) showed an association with ILD development at t2 (p = 0.0031). Neither the mean t0 to t1 change (Δ) of DLCO nor the mean t0 to t1 FVCΔ predicted the appearance of ILD at t2. Investigating the possible role of baseline DLCO and FVC values in predicting ILD appearance after 24 (±4) months, we observed a moderate predictive capability of t0 DLCO < 80%, stronger than that of FVC < 80%.

CONCLUSIONS

We suggest that an impaired baseline DLCO may be predictive of the appearance of ILD after 2 years of follow-up. This result advances the hypothesis that a reduction in gas exchange may be considered an early sign of lung involvement. However, further rigorous studies are warranted to understand the predictive role of DLCO evaluation in the course of SSc.

Heterogeneity of determining disease severity, clinical course and outcomes in systemic sclerosis-associated interstitial lung disease: a systematic literature review

Objective The course of systemic sclerosis-associated interstitial lung disease (SSc-ILD) is highly variable and different from continuously progressive idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). Most proposed definitions of progressive pulmonary fibrosis or SSc-ILD severity are based on the research data from patients with IPF and are not validated for patients with SSc-ILD. Our study aimed to gather the current evidence for severity, progression and outcomes of SSc-ILD.Methods A systematic literature review to search for definitions of severity, progression and outcomes recorded for SSc-ILD was performed according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines in Medline, Embase, Web of Science and Cochrane Library up to 1 August 2023.Results A total of 9054 papers were reviewed and 342 were finally included. The most frequent tools used for the definition of SSc-ILD progression and severity were combined changes of carbon monoxide diffusing capacity (DLCO) and forced vital capacity (FVC), isolated FVC or DLCO changes, high-resolution CT (HRCT) extension and composite algorithms including pulmonary function test, clinical signs and HRCT data. Mortality was the most frequently reported long-term event, both from all causes or ILD related.Conclusions The studies presenting definitions of SSc-ILD 'progression', 'severity' and 'outcome' show a large heterogeneity. These results emphasise the need for developing a standardised, consensus definition of severe SSc-ILD, to link a disease specific definition of progression as a surrogate outcome for clinical trials and clinical practice.PROSPERO registration number CRD42022379254.Cite Now.

Risk factors for lung function decline in systemic sclerosis-associated interstitial lung disease in a large single-centre cohort

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to identify risk factors of percent predicted forced vital capacity (ppFVC) decline in patients with SSc-associated interstitial lung disease (SSc-ILD).

METHODS

We identified 484 patients with SSc who had HRCT Chest, of which 312 with ILD. Those with serial pulmonary function tests were included in a longitudinal analysis (n = 184). Linear mixed effect models were fitted to assess the decline in ppFVC over time, and to explore the effect of demographics and baseline characteristics on ppFVC decline.

RESULTS

The majority of SSc-ILD patients were female (76.3%) and 51.3% had diffuse cutaneous subset. The mean (s.d.) age was 53.6 (12.7) years, median disease duration since first non-RP symptoms was 2.6 years, and 48.4% of the patients had ILD extent >20% on HRCT. In the univariate analysis, longer disease duration (>2.37 years), ILD extent >20%, and anti-topoisomerase I (ATA) positivity were significantly associated with ppFVC decline. In the multivariate analysis, the only statistically significant variable associated with ppFVC decline was ATA positivity. The overall group's mean decline in ppFVC was -0.28% (P-value 0.029), with -0.13% (n = 163) in those who were alive and -8.28% (P-value 0.0002 for the change in ppFVC trajectory) in patients who died within 2 years.

CONCLUSION

Our study confirms that ppFVC is a marker of survival in SSc-ILD, supporting its use for risk stratification to identify patients who may benefit from earlier interventions and treatment. Our study also supports the role of ATA positivity as a predictive marker for ppFVC decline in this population.