Modifying the Intracerebral Hemorrhage Score to Suit the Needs of the Developing World

Prognostic relationship between high sensitivity troponin I level, hematoma volume and glasgow coma score in patients diagnosed with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Intracranial hemorrhages is one of the major causes of mortality and morbidity worldwide, and there is still no effective biomarker to predict prognosis.

AIM

We aimed to determine the effectiveness of high sensitive troponin I (hs-cTn-I) levels to predict the prognosis of spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH) by comparing Glasgow Coma Score (GCS) and hematoma volume with hs-cTn-I levels.

METHODS

This study was planned as a retrospective observational study. Patients with available data, over 18 years old and sICH were included in the study. Cerebral computed tomography images were evaluated by a senior radiologist. Hematoma volume was calculated using the ABC/2 formula.

RESULTS

The study comprised 206 individuals in total 78 (37.86%) women and 128 (62.13%) men. Forty-four (21.35%) of patients died. The sensitivity of GCS, hs-cTn-I, and hematoma volume values were 86.36%, 66.67%, and 59.46%, respectively, with corresponding specificities of 78.75%, 93.02%, and 87.58%. Patients with hs-cTn-I values over 26, GCS values of ≤ 9, and hematoma volume values above 44.16 were found to have higher risk of mortality (p = 0.011; p < 0.001; p < 0.001, respectively). The mortality rates were found to be increased 2.586 (IQR: 1.224-5.463) times in patients with hs-cTn-I values above 26, 0.045 times (IQR: 0.018-0.115) in patients with GCS values ≤ 9, and 7.526 times (IQR: 3.518-16.100) in patients with hematoma volume values above 44.16.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that hs-cTn-I values exceeding 26 units may serve as effective biochemical markers for predicting the prognosis of patients with sICH.

Predictors of 30-Day Mortality for Surgically Treated Patients with Spontaneous Supratentorial Intracerebral Hemorrhage and Validation of the Surgical Swedish Intracerebral Hemorrhage Score: A Retrospective Single-Center Analysis of 136 Cases

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to identify independent risk factors of 30-day mortality in patients with surgically treated spontaneous supratentorial intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), validate the Surgical Swedish ICH (SwICH) score within Polish healthcare system, and compare the SwICH score to the ICH score.

METHODS

We carried out a single-center retrospective analysis of the medical data juxtaposed with computed tomography scans of 136 ICH patients treated surgically between 2008 and 2022. Statistical analysis was performed using the same characteristics as in the SwICH score and the ICH score. Backward stepwise logistic regression with both 5-fold crossvalidation and 1000× bootstrap procedure was used to create new scoring system. Finally predictive potential of these scales were compared.

RESULTS

The most important predictors of 30-day mortality were: ICH volume (P < 0.01), Glasgow Coma Scale at admission (P < 0.01), anticoagulant status (P = 0.03), and age (P < 0.01). The SwICH score appears to have a better predictive potential than the ICH score, although this did not reach statistical significance [area under the curve {AUC}: 0.789 (95% confidence interval {CI}: 0.715-0.863) vs. AUC: 0.757 (95% CI: 0.677-0.837)]. Moreover, based on the analyzed characteristics, we developed our score (encompassing: age, ICH volume, anticoagulants status, Glasgow Coma Scale at admission), [AUC of 0.872 (95% CI: 0.815-0.929)]. This score was significantly better than previous ones.

CONCLUSIONS

Differences in health care systems seem to affect the accuracy of prognostic scales for patients with ICH, including possible differences in indications for surgery and postoperative care. Thus, it is important to validate assessment tools before they can be applied in a new setting and develop population-specific scores. This may improve the effectiveness of risk stratification in patients with ICH.

Guidelines for Neuroprognostication in Critically Ill Adults with Intracerebral Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

The objective of this document is to provide recommendations on the formal reliability of major clinical predictors often associated with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) neuroprognostication.

METHODS

A narrative systematic review was completed using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation methodology and the Population, Intervention, Comparator, Outcome, Timing, Setting questions. Predictors, which included both individual clinical variables and prediction models, were selected based on clinical relevance and attention in the literature. Following construction of the evidence profile and summary of findings, recommendations were based on Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation criteria. Good practice statements addressed essential principles of neuroprognostication that could not be framed in the Population, Intervention, Comparator, Outcome, Timing, Setting format.

RESULTS

Six candidate clinical variables and two clinical grading scales (the original ICH score and maximally treated ICH score) were selected for recommendation creation. A total of 347 articles out of 10,751 articles screened met our eligibility criteria. Consensus statements of good practice included deferring neuroprognostication-aside from the most clinically devastated patients-for at least the first 48-72 h of intensive care unit admission; understanding what outcomes would have been most valued by the patient; and counseling of patients and surrogates whose ultimate neurological recovery may occur over a variable period of time. Although many clinical variables and grading scales are associated with ICH poor outcome, no clinical variable alone or sole clinical grading scale was suggested by the panel as currently being reliable by itself for use in counseling patients with ICH and their surrogates, regarding functional outcome at 3 months and beyond or 30-day mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

These guidelines provide recommendations on the formal reliability of predictors of poor outcome in the context of counseling patients with ICH and surrogates and suggest broad principles of neuroprognostication. Clinicians formulating their judgments of prognosis for patients with ICH should avoid anchoring bias based solely on any one clinical variable or published clinical grading scale.

Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage in the Young: An Institutional Registry Analysis

Background

Spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (SICH) accounts for about 10-15% of all strokes. Generally, it is a disease of the elderly; worldwide, the incidence of SICH in the young is showing an increasing trend, especially in India and the Asian continent. An attempt is also made to analyze the presence of factors, which may predict the risk of SICH among young hypertensives.

Methods

A six-year retrospective review of patients aged below 50 years who presented with SICH was included in the study. Patients with bleeds secondary to an identifiable cause such as tumor, trauma, vascular malformations, and coagulopathy-induced bleeds were excluded from the study. The outcome was measured at 90 days using the modified ranking scale, and predictors of outcome (good outcome modified ranking score (mRS): 0-3; poor outcome mRS: 4-6) were analyzed.

Results

SICH in the young accounted for 28.4% of all intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) patients admitted during the study period (344/1210). The mean age of our male-dominant (78.5%) cohort was 42.9 ± 6.24 years, and the median Glasgow coma score (GCS) on presentation was 11 (IQR: 8-14). A prior history of hypertension (HTN) was obtained in 51.2% (176), and left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) was documented in 237 (68.9%) patients. The basal ganglia was the most common location of the bleed (62.2%). At 90 days, 200 patients (58.1%) had good outcome and 144 (41.9%) had poor outcome with an overall mortality of 75 (21.8%). Independent predictors of poor outcome were poor GCS, larger volume, and high serum creatinine values.

Conclusion

The incidence of SICH among the young accounts for nearly 30% of admitted ICH. Poor outcome and mortality are high with HTN being the single most important modifiable risk factor in the cohort.

Adult Primary Intraventricular Hemorrhage: Clinical Characteristics and Outcomes

Background  Adult primary intraventricular hemorrhage (PIVH) is a rare type of hemorrhagic stroke that is poorly understood. The study attempts to define the clinical profile, yield of diagnostic cerebral angiography, and prognosis of patients with PIVH.

Patients and Methods  Retrospective data analysis of all patients with PIVH admitted between February 2015 and February 2019 at a tertiary care center. Outcome was assessed using the modified Rankin scale (mRS) at 6 months.

Results and Discussion  Our study group of 30 patients constituted 3.3% (30/905) of our spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (SICH) patients in the study period. The mean Glasgow Coma Score on admission was 11 ± 3.33 and the mean IVH Graeb score was 5.2±2.4. All patients underwent angiography. Angiography detected moyamoya disease in four patients (13.3%) and aneurysms in two patients (6.6%) and these patients were managed surgically. Extraventricular drainage with intraventricular instillation of Streptokinase was performed in five patients. The rest of the patients was managed conservatively. At 6-month follow-up, 25 patients (83.33%) achieved favorable outcome (mRS score of 0.1 or 2), whereas five (16.66%) patients had a poor outcome (mRS score of 3 or more. Three patients succumbed to the illness. IVH Graeb score and presence of hydrocephalus have significant correlation with poor outcome.

Conclusion  PIVH is an uncommon entity but carries a better long-term prognosis than SICH angiography helps in diagnosing surgically remediable underlying vascular anomalies and is indicated in all cases of PIVH.

Evaluation of Serum Ferritin as a Prognostic Marker in Acute Hemorrhagic Stroke

Background  Acute hemorrhagic stroke (AHS) resulting from intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is a rampant neurological disorder with devastating consequences, particularly in Indians. Recently, serum ferritin levels have been related to adverse cardiovascular and stroke outcomes. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic utility of serum ferritin in AHS.

Materials and Methods  Admission serum ferritin levels were estimated in 50 AHS patients with primary supratentorial hemorrhage. Study subjects were categorized based on their prognostic scores in modified Rankin scale (mRS) assessment. Ferritin levels were compared across the study groups, correlated with mRS and other ICH severity indicators.

Results  Serum ferritin and other ICH severity indices such as Glasgow coma scale (GCS) and ICH volume were significantly altered in the mRS groups by the end of 7th and 30th days of hospitalization. Elevated ferritin levels, ICH volume together with decreased GCS, characterized the groups with adverse prognosis. Serum ferritin moderately correlated with GCS ( r = –0.643), ICH volume ( r = 0.562), and had significantly higher correlations with long-term prognostic scores of 7th day mRS ( r = 0.802) and 30th day mRS ( r = 0.916).

Conclusion   Elevated admission serum ferritin levels indicate poor AHS short-term and long-term outcomes, thereby making serum ferritin a possible prognostic index for the same.

Clinical Profile and Predictors of Outcome in Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage from a Tertiary Care Centre in South India

Background. This article attempts to evaluate the clinical profile and outcome determinants following hypertensive SICH in a South Indian population. The study represents the largest series of SICH reported from a single centre in India. Materials and Methods. Prospective data collection and analysis of patients with SICH admitted to our centre between 1st January 2015 and 31st December 2018. The variables analysed include: age, sex, comorbidities, Glasgow coma score (GCS) on admission, radiological features, treatment modality, and outcome at three months. Modified Rankin score (mRS) was used to assess the outcome at discharge and three months. Results. Our study group of 905 patients included 638 males and 267 females and the mean age at presentation was 58.10 ± 12.76 years. The study group included 523 patients (57.8%) previously diagnosed hypertensive, of whom 36.3% (n = 190) were on irregular medication. The most frequent locations of hematoma were basal ganglia (478), thalamus (202), lobar (106), cerebellar (61), brainstem (31), and primary intraventricular haemorrhage (27). Secondary intraventricular extension was seen in 425 (47%) patients on admission. The mean volume of the clot on admission was 23.45 ± 19.79 ml, and clot progression was seen in only 46 (5.08%) cases. Surgical evacuation through craniotomy was done in 147 (16.8%) patients, and external ventricular drainage (EVD) was placed in 56 (6.2%) patients. Overall 3-month mortality was 30.1% (266 patients). On the last follow up a favorable outcome (mRS 0-3) was observed in 412 (45.53%) patients and a poor outcome (mRS 4-5) in 207 patients (22.87%). Independent predictors of mortality are Age >70 (p = <0.001, OR 4.806, 95% CI 3.064-7.54), admission GCS <8 (p = <0.001, OR7.684, 95% CI 5.055#x2013;11.68), and Hematoma volume >30 ml (p = <0.001, OR 2.45, 95% CI 1.626-3.691). Intraventricular haemorrhage was an additional poor outcome predictor (p < 0.015, CI 1.105-2.585). Surgical evacuation reduced mortality in the group, but morbidity rates remained the same. Conclusions. SICH predominantly affects a younger population in India in comparison to the Western society. Elderly age, poor GCS on admission, clot volume above 30 ml and intraventricular extension remain the most consistent predictors of death and poor outcome. Further studies are needed to assess the risk of SICH among hypertensive patients and to prognosticate the outcome after SICH using novel predictors, including biomarkers.