Prognosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Liver Transplantation: Comparative Analysis with Partial Hepatectomy

Related Factors of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Recurrence Associated With Hyperglycemia After Liver Transplantation

BACKGROUND

Recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the main factor affecting the prognosis of patients with HCC undergoing liver transplantation (LT). In this study, we investigated the influencing factors of tumor recurrence and survival after LT for HCC, especially the long-term correlation with elevated fasting blood glucose (FBG).

METHODS

Clinical data from 165 patients with HCC after LT in the General Hospital of Southern Theater Command of PLA between January 2013 and December 2016 were retrospectively analyzed. Disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) rates, demographic characteristics, tumor characteristics, and surgical and postoperative data were evaluated.

RESULTS

Among 165 patients, 144 completed over 60 months of follow-up; the median follow-up period was more than 36 months. DFS rates were 76.97%, 51.52%, and 34.73% for 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively. The OS rate for 5 years was 40.28%. Independent risk factors for 1-year DFS were maximum tumor diameter >5 cm, age <49 years, and platelet transfusion. Independent risk factors for 3- and 5-year DFS were maximum tumor diameter >5 cm, capsular invasion, and FBG ≥6.1 mmol/L. Independent risk factors for OS were maximum tumor diameter >5 cm, capsular invasion, and FBG ≥6.1 mmol/L.

CONCLUSION

Elevated FBG after LT for HCC may promote medium- to long-term tumor recurrence and affect OS. Age <49 years, platelet transfusion, maximum tumor diameter, capsular invasion, and microvascular invasion in patients with HCC also impact survival and tumor recurrence after LT.

Ten-year survival and recurrence of hepatocellular cancer

Aim:

Long-term survival after hepatocellular cancer (HCC) is difficult to achieve likely related to recurrence. This study aimed to identify factors that were predictive of 10-year survival after the diagnosis of HCC.

Methods:

In a prospectively collected database of 1374 HCC cases (1993–2019), we identified 70 patients who survived over 10 years regardless of treatment. We then identified 164 patients in the entire cohort who either had liver resection or transplant, and died before 10 years. Demographics, tumor characteristics, treatment, recurrence and treatment of recurrence were compared.

Results:

Of the 10-year survivors, 36 underwent transplant, 27 had liver resection and 7 patients had only locoregional therapy. Compared to the non-survivors, the 10-year survivors were younger and had fewer comorbidities or recurrence, smaller tumor size, lower AST, ALT, AFP, platelets, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio. Multivariate analysis showed only age and diabetes to be negative predictors. Recurrence occurred in 24 survivors (34.3%) with mean time to recurrence with standard deviation 57.1 ± 42.6 months compared to 80 non-survivors (48.7%) with mean time to recurrence of 15.3 ± 14.8 months. For hepatic resection, 10-year survivors had longer time to recurrence compared to non-survivors (median: 31.3 months).

Conclusion:

Long-term survivors mostly occur after resection or transplant, but 10% of our cohort survived 10 years with only locoregional therapy. Underlying health status maybe an important predictor of 10-year survival for patients receiving liver resections. Recurrence of HCC occurs in both 10-year survivors and non-survivors, but later recurrence with aggressive treatment of the recurrence may allow for 10-year survival.

Oncological Outcomes of Hepatic Resection vs Transplantation for Localized Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Scarce data are available comparing outcomes of hepatic resection vs orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) for localized hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients both meeting and exceeding the Milan criteria. This study compared the clinical and oncological outcomes of patients undergoing hepatic resection vs transplantation localized HCC.

METHOD

Between January 2005 and February 2017, clinical and oncological outcomes of patients who underwent liver resection (n = 38) vs OLT (n = 28) for localized HCC were compared using a prospectively maintained database.

RESULTS

A total of 66 patients (with a median age of 62) who met the study criteria were analyzed. Comparable postoperative complications (13.2% vs 28.6%, P = .45) and perioperative mortality rates (7.9% vs 10.7%, P = .2) were noted for the resection vs OLT groups. While Child-Pugh Class A patients were more prevalent in the resection group (78.9% vs 7.1%, P = .0001), the rate of patients who met the Milan criteria was higher in the OLT group (89.3% vs 34.25, P = .0001). Recurrence rates were 36.8% in the resection group and 3.6% in the OLT group at the end of the median follow-up period (32 vs 39 months, respectively). The HCC-related mortality rate was significantly higher in the resection group (39.5% vs 10.7%, P = .034). However, a subgroup analysis of patients who met the Milan criteria revealed similar rates of recurrence and HCC-related mortality (15.4% vs 8%, P = .63). Based on logistic regression analysis, number of tumors (P = .034, odds ratio: 2.1) and "resection"-type surgery (P = .008, odds ratio: 20.2) were independently associated with recurrence.

CONCLUSION

Compared to liver transplantation, hepatic resection for localized hepatocellular carcinoma is associated with a higher rate of recurrence and disease-related mortality.

A model combining TNM stage and tumor size shows utility in predicting recurrence among patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after resection

Objective

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence is a clinical challenge. An accurate prediction system for patients with HCC is needed, since the choice of HCC treatment strategies is very important.

Patients and methods

A total of 804 patients with HCC who underwent curative resection at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center were included in this study. Demographics, clinicopathological data, and follow-up information were collected.

Results

A logistic regression analysis was conducted to investigate the relationships between clinical features and HCC recurrence. Tumor size (OR=1.454, 95% CI: 1.047–2.020, P=0.026) and TNM stage (OR=1.360, 95% CI: 1.021–1.813, P=0.036) were independent predictors of HCC recurrence after curative resection. Therefore, the following equation was established to predict HCC recurrence: 0.308×TNM+0.374×tumor size–0.639. The equation score was 0.53±0.23 in patients who experienced HCC recurrence compared with 0.47±0.24 in other patients. A similar trend was observed in patients who survived after the last follow-up, compared with those who did not, with scores of 0.37±0.26 vs 0.52±0.22, respectively (P<0.001). The Kaplan–Meier analysis showed that patients with HCC with equation values >0.5 had significantly worse outcomes than those with equation values ≤0.5 (P<0.001) for overall survival (OS) and recurrence (P=0.043). Multivariate Cox analyses showed that tumor multiplicity (P=0.039), involucrum (P=0.029), vascular invasion (P<0.001), and equation value (P<0.001) were independent prognostic variables for OS, whereas tumor multiplicity (P=0.01), tumor differentiation (P=0.007), vascular invasion (P<0.001), involucrum (P=0.01), and equation value (P<0.001) were independent prognostic variables for HCC recurrence.

Conclusion

We established a novel and effective equation for predicting the probability of recurrence and OS after curative resection. Patients with a high recurrence score, based on this equation, should undergo additional high-end imaging examinations.