VARIABLES AFFECTING THE LONG-TERM OUTCOME OF GRAVES ORBITOPATHY FOLLOWING HIGH-DOSE INTRAVENOUS GLUCOCORTICOID PULSE THERAPY IN PATIENTS NOT TREATED WITH ORBITAL RADIOTHERAPY

A novel nomogram to predict glucocorticoid response in thyroid-associated ophthalmopathy: findings from a pilot study

PURPOSE

Aimed to create a nomogram using clinical and eye-specific metrics to predict the efficacy of intravenous glucocorticoid (IVGC) therapy in patients with active and moderate-to-severe Thyroid-Associated Ophthalmopathy (TAO).

METHODS

This study was conducted on 84 eyes from 42 moderate-to-severe TAO patients who received systemic IVGC therapy, and 42 eyes from 21 controls. Data were collected retrospectively from June 2020 to December 2021. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method was used to identify predictive factors for "unresponsiveness" to IVGC therapy. These factors were then analyzed using logistic regression to create a nomogram. The model's discriminative ability was robustly assessed using a Bootstrap resampling method with 1000 iterations for receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

RESULTS

The LASSO analysis identified six factors with non-zero coefficients as significant, including Schirmer I test values, Meibomian gland (MG) diameter, MG length, disease duration, whole capillary vessel density (VD) in the radial peripapillary capillary (RPC), and whole macular VD for the superficial retinal capillary plexus (SRCP). The subsequent logistic regression model highlighted MG length, whole macular VD for SRCP, and disease duration as independent predictors of IVGC therapy response. The constructed nomogram demonstrated an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.82 (95% CI: 0.73-0.91), affirming the model's consistent and reliable ability to distinguish between responsive and non-responsive TAO patients.

CONCLUSION

Our nomogram, combining MG length (<4.875 mm), SRCP VD (<50.25%), and disease duration (>5.5 months), reliably predicts lower IVGC therapy effectiveness in active, moderate-to-severe TAO patients.

Thyroid stimulating immunoglobulin concentration is associated with disease activity and predicts response to treatment with intravenous methylprednisolone in patients with Graves' orbitopathy

Background

Thyroid stimulating immunoglobulins (TSI) play a central role in the pathogenesis of Graves' orbitopathy (GO), while soluble interleukin-2 receptor (sIL-2R) is a marker for T-cell activity. We investigated TSI and sIL-2R levels in relation to thyroid function, disease activity and severity and response to treatment with intravenous methylprednisolone (IVMP) in patients with GO.

Methods

TSI (bridge-based TSI binding assay), sIL-2R, TSH and fT4 levels were measured in biobank serum samples from 111 GO patients (37 male, 74 female; mean age 49.2 years old) and 25 healthy controls (5 male, 20 female; mean age 39.8 years old). Clinical characteristics and response to treatment were retrospectively retrieved from patient files.

Results

Higher sIL-2R levels were observed in GO patients compared to controls (p < 0.001). sIL-2R correlated with fT4 (r = 0.26), TSH (r = -0.40) and TSI (r = 0.21). TSI and sIL-2R concentrations were higher in patients with active compared to inactive GO (p < 0.001 and p < 0.05, respectively). Both TSI and sIL-2R correlated with total clinical activity score (CAS; r = 0.33 and r = 0.28, respectively) and with several individual CAS items. Cut-off levels for predicting active GO were 2.62 IU/L for TSI (AUC = 0.71, sensitivity 69%, specificity 69%) and 428 IU/mL for sIL-2R (AUC = 0.64, sensitivity 62%, specificity 62%). In multivariate testing higher TSI (p < 0.01), higher age (p < 0.001) and longer disease duration (p < 0.01) were associated with disease activity. TSI levels were higher in patients with a poor IVMP response (p = 0.048), while sIL-2R levels did not differ between responders and non-responders. TSI cut-off for predicting IVMP response was 19.4 IU/L (AUC = 0.69, sensitivity 50%, specificity 91%). In multivariate analysis TSI was the only independent predictor of response to IVMP (p < 0.05).

Conclusions

High TSI levels are associated with active disease (cut-off 2.62 IU/L) and predict poor response to IVMP treatment (cut-off 19.4 IU/L) in GO. While sIL-2R correlates with disease activity, it is also related to thyroid function, making it less useful as an additional biomarker in GO.

Predictive markers for anti-inflammatory treatment response in thyroid eye disease

Anti-inflammatory treatment is the primary and vital therapeutic approach for active, moderate-to-severe thyroid eye disease (TED). Accurate pretreatment prediction of treatment response is of paramount importance for the prognosis of patients. However, relying solely on the clinical activity score asa determinant of activity has led to unsatisfactory treatment outcomes. In recent years, significant advancements have been made in identifying predictive markers for anti-inflammatory treatment response in TED, clinical markers, body fluid biomarkers and imaging biomarkers. Several clinical studies have developed prediction models based on these markers. However, there is still a lack of comprehensive elucidation or comparison between the different markers. Therefore, this review aims to provide a detailed analysis of the definition, characteristics, and application of predictive markers for anti-inflammatory treatment response in TED. Through detailed literature search, 26 articles applying anti-inflammatory treatment effect prediction with a total of 1948 TED patients were used for analysis and discussion. By gaining a better understanding of the current research on predictive markers, we can accelerate and guide the exploration of treatment prediction strategies, leading us towards an era of precise therapy for TED.

Factors associated with the efficacy of intravenous methylprednisolone in moderate-to-severe and active thyroid-associated ophthalmopathy: A single-centre retrospective study

OBJECTIVE

Intravenous methylprednisolone (IVMP) is recommended as the first-line treatment for moderate-to-severe and active thyroid-associated ophthalmopathy (TAO). This study aimed to identify potential predictors and establish a multivariable prediction model for the efficacy of IVMP therapy.

DESIGN

A single-centre retrospective study.

PATIENTS

A total of 302 consecutive patients diagnosed with moderate-to-severe and active TAO who underwent the full course of IVMP therapy were included.

METHODS

Participants were sequentially divided into the training set (n = 200) and the validation set (n = 102). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify the independent predictors and establish the predictive model.

RESULTS

In addition to the pretreatment clinical activity score (OR = 3.506, P < 0.001), elevated thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) levels during treatment (OR = 0.145, P = 0.005), pretreatment anti-TSH receptor antibody levels (OR = 0.061, P < 0.001) and duration of eye symptoms (OR = 0.878, P = 0.017), a significant relationship was found between therapeutic efficacy and the pretreatment triglyceride levels (OR = 0.090, P = 0.001). The prediction model showed good calibration and excellent discrimination, with an area under curve of 0.915 (P < 0.001) and 0.885 (P < 0.001) in the training and validation sets, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides some novel insights into the factors associated with the efficacy of IVMP therapy. A multivariable prediction model has been established and validated to help determine the indication and prognosis of IVMP therapy. Moreover, several suggestions have been made in the management of TAO patients: early diagnosis and treatment (within 15 months); prompt restoration and maintenance of euthyroidism, especially meticulous control of TSH levels (≤5 μIU/mL); and regular monitoring of triglyceride levels.

Clinical utility of TSH receptor antibody levels in Graves' orbitopathy: a comparison of two TSH receptor antibody immunoassays

Introduction

Thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH) receptor antibodies (TRAB) play a role in the development of Graves’ orbitopathy (GO), and measurements of the TRAB level may be helpful in monitoring GO treatment.

Aim of the study

To assess the correlation of TRAB levels measured with two different assays: third-generation TRAB assay (TRAB Cobas) and novel Immulite assay (TRAB Immulite), in patients with moderate-to-severe GO treated with intravenous glucocorticoid pulse therapy (ivGCs).

Material and methods

Forty patients with active, moderate-to-severe GO underwent clinical and laboratory evaluation before, in the middle, and after ivGCs therapy. The correlation of TRAB levels with GO signs was evaluated. Laboratory and clinical findings were compared according to the response to ivGCs. TRAB concentration was measured with Immulite TSI assay and with Elecsys IMA.

Results

All patients were TRAB positive in both assays at the beginning of the treatment. The decrease of both TRAB Immulite and Cobas levels in serum during ivGCs was statistically significant. We observed strong correlation between both TRAB levels before and after ivGCs. There was no statistically significant difference in antibody levels between patients with good response and no response to the treatment. We did not find any correlation between antibody levels and GO features before the therapy, but measurements during ivGCs showed comparable correlation of both TRAB levels with GO activity.

Conclusions

We found similarity between Immulite assay and third-generation TRAB assay in the assessment of patients with GO treated with ivGCs. Both TRAB levels showed comparable correlation with GO activity during ivGCs therapy.

A single-center retrospective study of factors related to the effects of intravenous glucocorticoid therapy in moderate-to-severe and active thyroid-associated ophthalmopathy

BACKGROUND

Intravenous glucocorticoids (ivGC) have been recommended as a first-line treatment of moderate-to-severe and active thyroid-associated ophthalmopathy (TAO). However, not all patients are responsive to ivGC. The identification of potential factors used to predict their efficacy and the selection of suitable patients have both been lacking.

METHODS

It was a single center retrospective study. Potential factors related to the effects of ivGC were analyzed using logistic regression in 90 consecutive patients with moderate-to-severe and active TAO, who received 4.5 g ivGC therapy. Response was defined as the achievement of at least three points of the overall response.

RESULTS

Fifty-two (57.8%) patients showed a positive response to ivGC therapy. Significant correlations were observed between the effects of ivGC and pretreatment clinical activity score (CAS), duration of eye symptoms, and restoration of euthyroidism. The two latter factors were both independent. The duration of eye symptoms was negatively correlated with the effects of ivGC, with an odds ratio (OR) of 0.984 (p = 0.012). Restoration of euthyroidism (OR = 3.282, p = 0.039) and pretreatment CAS (OR = 1.653, p < 0.01) were both positively correlated with the effects of ivGC. The diagnostic accuracy of the duration of eye symptoms was ≤13 months (p = 0.000), with a specificity of 76.9%, and sensitivity of 65.8%. The diagnostic accuracy of the pretreatment CAS was more than 2.5 (p = 0.000), with a specificity of 61.5% and sensitivity of 80.5%. Besides, a multi-variables prediction model were established as well, which was better in the forecasting aspect with an area under curve of 0.784 (p = 0.000).

CONCLUSIONS

The duration of eye symptoms and restoration of euthyroidism are independent factors that are associated with the effects of ivGC. The following practical implications were inferred: firstly, the shorter the duration of eye symptoms, the more favorable the effects of ivGC therapy. Thus, prompt diagnosis and treatment (within 13 months) is important. Secondly, the restoration of euthyroidism improves the efficacy of ivGC. Thirdly, hope the multi-variables prediction model can be applied to clinical therapy in the future.

Thickness of Extraocular Muscle and Orbital Fat in MRI Predicts Response to Glucocorticoid Therapy in Graves' Ophthalmopathy

33 patients with active, moderate-severe Graves' ophthalmopathy (GO) received 4.5 g methylprednisolone for 12 weeks and were divided by efficacy into two groups (responsive and unresponsive). All patients and 10 controls underwent orbital MRI examination at baseline. No significant difference was seen in baseline clinical characteristics between the two GO groups. The values of exophthalmos were higher in both GO groups than in the control and were higher in the responsive group versus the unresponsive group. Compared to the unresponsive group, the responsive group had a thicker inferior rectus as well as thinner orbital fat. The inferior rectus/fat ratio was significantly higher in the responsive group versus the unresponsive group. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the exophthalmos value and inferior rectus/fat ratio were significantly associated with the response to glucocorticoid (GC). ROC analysis revealed that the cut-off points of the inferior rectus/fat ratio combined with the exophthalmos value to indicate efficacy were 1.42 and 20.78. For moderate-severe GO patients with CAS > 3, the combined inferior rectus/fat ratio and exophthalmos value in MRI may be a valuable indicator to predict the response to GC therapy.

Natural history of graves' orbitopathy after treatment

Intravenous glucocorticoids are used for Graves' orbitopathy, alone or associated with/followed by additional treatments (orbital radiotherapy, orbital decompression, palpebral or eye surgery). However, the relation between associated/additional treatments and other variables with Graves' orbitopathy outcome following intravenous glucocorticoids is not clear. Thus, the present study was conducted to investigate retrospectively the impact of associated/additional treatments and other variables on Graves' orbitopathy outcome after intravenous glucocorticoids. We evaluated 226 untreated Graves' orbitopathy patients. Following first observation, patients were given intravenous glucocorticoids and re-examined after a median of 46.5 months. The end-points were the relation between Graves' orbitopathy outcome, outcome of NOSPECS score and of the single Graves' orbitopathy features with several variables, including associated/additional treatments. All Graves' orbitopathy features improved significantly after treatment. Overall, Graves' orbitopathy improved in ~60 % of patients (responders), whereas it was stable or worsened in ~40 % of patients (non-responders). Time between first and last observation and clinical activity score at first observation correlated significantly with Graves' orbitopathy outcome. The outcomes of NOSPECS, eyelid aperture, clinical activity score and diplopia correlated with time between the first and last observation. The NOSPECS outcome correlated with gender. The outcomes of proptosis, eyelid aperture and visual acuity correlated with orbital decompression. The outcome of diplopia correlated with orbital radiotherapy. Taking into account the limitations of retrospective investigations, our findings confirm that time (i.e. the natural history of Graves' orbitopathy) is a key factor in determining the long-term outcome of Graves' orbitopathy, radiotherapy is effective for diplopia, and orbital decompression is followed by an amelioration of several Graves' orbitopathy features.