Projected impact of Cervarix® vaccination on oncogenic human papillomavirus infection and cervical cancer in the United Kingdom

Public health impact and cost-effectiveness of a nine-valent gender-neutral HPV vaccination program in France

OBJECTIVES

In France, 9-valent HPV vaccination is recommended routinely for 11-14-years-old girls and as catch-up for 15-19-years-old girls. Recently, recommendation for gender-neutral vaccination (GNV) has been approved. The objectives of the study were to assess the public health impact and cost-effectiveness of a 9-valent GNV compared with girls-only vaccination program (GOV).

METHODS

A published HPV disease transmission dynamic model accounting for herd protection effects with a 100-year time horizon was adapted and calibrated to French data. Epidemiological and economic outcomes included disease cases averted and quality-adjusted life years (QALY). Costs and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) were measured in 2018 Euros (€). A coverage rate of 26.2% among girls and boys was assumed for the GNV program based on the current female coverage rate in France. The base case included genital warts, cervical, vulvar, vaginal, and anal cancers. Scenario analyses included all HPV-related diseases and considered higher vaccination coverage rate (60%). Deterministic sensitivity analyses on key inputs were performed.

RESULTS

Over 100 years, GNV resulted in an additional reduction of 9,519 and 3,037 cervical cancer cases and deaths; 6,901 and 1,166 additional anal cancer cases and deaths; and a reduction of additional 1,284,077 genital warts compared with current GOV and an ICER of 24,763€/QALY. When including all HPV-related diseases, the ICER was 15,184€/QALY. At a higher coverage rate (60%), GNV would prevent 17,430 and 4,334 additional anogenital cancer cases and deaths and over two million genital warts compared with GOV with an ICER of 40,401€/QALY. Results were sensitive to a higher discount rate (6% versus 4%) and a shorter duration of protection (20 years versus lifetime).

CONCLUSIONS

In France, GNV has a significant impact in terms of public health benefits and may be considered cost-effective compared with GOV at low and high coverage rates.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of the nine-valent HPV vaccine in Italy

Background

In Italy HPV vaccination with the quadrivalent vaccine (Gardasil^®) is offered actively and free of charge to girls aged 12 since 2007. A nine-valent vaccine (Gardasil 9^®) received the European market authorization in 2015 to protect, with only 2 doses, against around 90% of all HPV positive cancers, over 80% of high-grade precancerous lesions and 90% of genital warts caused by HPV types 6/11.

Methods

A dynamic transmission model simulating the natural history of HPV-infections was calibrated to the Italian setting and used to estimate costs and QALYs associated with vaccination strategies. The analyses compared two strategies with the nine-valent vaccine (cervical cancer screening and vaccination in girls only or vaccination in boys and girls) to four alternative strategies (cervical cancer screening and vaccination with quadrialent vaccine in girls only, in both boys and girls, with bivalent vaccine in girls and screening strategy only). The National Health Service perspective was considered.

Conclusion

The switch to the nine-valent vaccine in Italy can further reduce the burden associated to cervical cancer and HPV-related diseases and is highly cost-effective.

Results

Compared to the current vaccination program with quadrivalent vaccine, the nine-valent vaccine in a programme including girls and boys shows further reductions of 17% in the incidence of cervical cancer, 35 and 14% in anal cancer for males and females, as well as over a million cases of genital warts avoided after 100 years. The new technology is associated with an ICER of 10,463€ per QALY gained in universal vaccination, decreasing to 4483€ when considering the vaccine switch for girls-only.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12962-017-0073-8) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Cancer Incidence Among Adolescents and Young Adults (15 to 29 Years) in Brazil

The spectrum of cancers commonly found in adolescents and young adults (AYAs) differs from those in children and adults; therefore, the childhood classification is not appropriate for this population. Here we used a newly proposed classification system to reclassify cases of AYAs from Brazilian population-based cancer registries (PBCRs) in 5 geographic regions of Brazil. We aimed to describe the cancer incidence rates within this age group according to PBCR. Using the world population, incidence rates per million were analyzed in each diagnostic subgroup according to sex and age at diagnosis (15 to 19 y, 20 to 24 y, and 25 to 29 y). The median incidence rate was 232.31 per million for females and 218.07 per million for males. Incidence increased with age, with the highest rate observed for 25- to 29-year-olds in both sexes. Carcinomas, lymphomas, and skin tumors were most frequent among AYAs. High incidence rates of cervix-uterus carcinoma were observed in most PBCRs. AYAs present epidemiological characteristics that differ from those of children, reinforcing the need for a new classification. This study describes, for the first time, the cancer incidence rate in AYAs in Brazil, and we believe that our findings represent the Brazilian profile.

Association of interleukin-12 gene polymorphisms with cancer susceptibility: a meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the association between interleukin-12 (IL-12) gene polymorphism and cervical cancer susceptibility.

METHODS

We comprehensively retrieved the relevant English and Chinese database to collect case-control studies on the association between the IL-12 gene polymorphism and cervical cancer susceptibility. Data were extracted independently by two researchers respectively, the summary data were analyzed using Revman 5.2 software, the association was described using odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI).

RESULTS

According to inclusion and exclusion criteria, 5 case-control studies involving 2552 cervical cancer patients and 2232 healthy controls were included. The meta-analysis results showed that 3'UTR+1188 (rs3212227) polymorphism in IL-12 gene was not associated with cervical cancer risk (C vs. A: OR=1.09, 95% CI: 0.88~1.35, P=0.45; AA+AC vs. CC: OR=0.88, 95% CI: 0.67~1.15, P=0.34; AA vs. AC+CC: OR=0.89. 95% CI: 0.56-1.42, P=0.62; CC vs. AA: OR=1.30. 95% CI: 0.79-2.12, P=0.30).

CONCLUSION

The available evidence suggested that rs3212227 polymorphism in IL-12 gene may not be the risk factor to cervical cancer.