Risk factors of stoma re-creation after closure of diverting ileostomy in patients with rectal cancer who underwent low anterior resection or intersphincteric resection with loop ileostomy

Stoma-free Survival After Rectal Cancer Resection With Anastomotic Leakage: Development and Validation of a Prediction Model in a Large International Cohort

OBJECTIVE

To develop and validate a prediction model (STOMA score) for 1-year stoma-free survival in patients with rectal cancer (RC) with anastomotic leakage (AL).

BACKGROUND

AL after RC resection often results in a permanent stoma.

METHODS

This international retrospective cohort study (TENTACLE-Rectum) encompassed 216 participating centres and included patients who developed AL after RC surgery between 2014 and 2018. Clinically relevant predictors for 1-year stoma-free survival were included in uni and multivariable logistic regression models. The STOMA score was developed and internally validated in a cohort of patients operated between 2014 and 2017, with subsequent temporal validation in a 2018 cohort. The discriminative power and calibration of the models' performance were evaluated.

RESULTS

This study included 2499 patients with AL, 1954 in the development cohort and 545 in the validation cohort. Baseline characteristics were comparable. One-year stoma-free survival was 45.0% in the development cohort and 43.7% in the validation cohort. The following predictors were included in the STOMA score: sex, age, American Society of Anestesiologist classification, body mass index, clinical M-disease, neoadjuvant therapy, abdominal and transanal approach, primary defunctioning stoma, multivisceral resection, clinical setting in which AL was diagnosed, postoperative day of AL diagnosis, abdominal contamination, anastomotic defect circumference, bowel wall ischemia, anastomotic fistula, retraction, and reactivation leakage. The STOMA score showed good discrimination and calibration (c-index: 0.71, 95% CI: 0.66-0.76).

CONCLUSIONS

The STOMA score consists of 18 clinically relevant factors and estimates the individual risk for 1-year stoma-free survival in patients with AL after RC surgery, which may improve patient counseling and give guidance when analyzing the efficacy of different treatment strategies in future studies.

Does anastomotic leakage after intersphincteric resection for ultralow rectal cancer influence long-term outcomes? A retrospective observational study

PURPOSE

To determine whether anastomotic leakage (AL) following intersphincteric resection (ISR) for ultralow rectal cancer (uLRC) is associated with long-term negative outcomes.

METHODS

Between June 2011 and January 2022, 236 consecutive patients who underwent ISR with diverting ileostomy for uLRC were included. The primary outcome was long-term clinical consequences of AL, including chronic stricture, stoma reversal, and oncological and functional results.

RESULTS

Forty-one (17.4%) patients developed symptomatic AL, whereas only two (0.8%) required re-laparotomy due to severe leakage. Patients with leaks had a significantly increased incidence of chronic stricture (29.3% vs. 8.7%, P = 0.001) and stoma non-reversal (34.1% vs. 4.6%, P < 0.0001) than controls. The severe consequences were particularly common in patients with anastomotic separation, resulting in 60% of those presenting with chronic stricture and 50% ending up with stoma non-reversal. After a median follow-up of 59 (range, 7-139) months, AL did not compromise long-term oncological outcomes, including tumor recurrence (9.8% vs. 5.6%, P = 0.3), 5-year disease-free, and overall survival (73.4% vs. 74.8% and 85.1% vs. 85.4%, P = 0.56 and P = 0.55). A total of 149 patients with bowel continuity who completed self-assessment questionnaires were enrolled for functional evaluation. The median follow-up was 24 (range, 12-94) months after ileostomy reversal, and functional results were comparable between patients with and without leaks.

CONCLUSION

AL is an unfortunate reality for patients who underwent ISR for uLRC, but the rate of severe leakage is limited. Leaks contribute to possible adverse impacts on chronic stricture and stoma non-reversal, especially for patients with anastomotic separation. However, long-term oncological and functional results may not be compromised.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Chictr.org.cn identifier: ChiCTR-ONC-15007506 and ChiCTR2100051614.

Applying interpretable machine learning algorithms to predict risk factors for permanent stoma in patients after TME

Objective

The purpose of this study was to develop a machine learning model to identify preoperative and intraoperative high-risk factors and to predict the occurrence of permanent stoma in patients after total mesorectal excision (TME).

Methods

A total of 1,163 patients with rectal cancer were included in the study, including 142 patients with permanent stoma. We collected 24 characteristic variables, including patient demographic characteristics, basic medical history, preoperative examination characteristics, type of surgery, and intraoperative information. Four machine learning algorithms including extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM) and k-nearest neighbor algorithm (KNN) were applied to construct the model and evaluate the model using k-fold cross validation method, ROC curve, calibration curve, decision curve analysis (DCA) and external validation.

Results

The XGBoost algorithm showed the best performance among the four prediction models. The ROC curve results showed that XGBoost had a high predictive accuracy with an AUC value of 0.987 in the training set and 0.963 in the validation set. The k-fold cross-validation method was used for internal validation, and the XGBoost model was stable. The calibration curves showed high predictive power of the XGBoost model. DCA curves showed higher benefit rates for patients who received interventional treatment under the XGBoost model. The AUC value for the external validation set was 0.89, indicating that the XGBoost prediction model has good extrapolation.

Conclusion

The prediction model for permanent stoma in patients with rectal cancer derived from the XGBoost machine learning algorithm in this study has high prediction accuracy and clinical utility.

Clinical assessment for non-reversal stoma and stoma re-creation after reversal surgery for rectal cancer patients after sphincter-saving operation

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to identify the risk factors for permanent stoma (PS) in patients who underwent sphincter-saving operations for rectal cancer.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 597 consecutive patients with rectal cancer from January 2012 to December 2020 at Taipei Medical University Hospital. Univariate and multivariable analyses were used to analyze risk factors for PS.

RESULTS

After a mean follow-up of 47.3 months (range 7-114 months), 59 patients (15.1%) were alive with a PS, including 46 patients who did not undergo reversal surgery and 13 patients who underwent stoma re-creation after reversal surgery. The mean period between primary surgery and stoma reversal was 6.0 months. Multivariate analysis revealed that the risk factors for PS were local recurrence [odd ratio (OR), 25.58; 95% confidence interval (CI), 4.428-147.761; p < 0.001], perirectal abscess [OR, 154.34; 95% CI, 15.806 - >999; p < 0.001], anastomosis site stenosis [OR, 187.081; 95% CI, 22.193 - >999; p < 0.001], perineural invasion [OR, 4.782; 95% CI, 1.22-18.736; p = 0.025], and operation time (min) [OR, 1.008; 95% CI, 1.002-1.014; p = 0.01].

CONCLUSIONS

Local recurrence, perirectal abscess, anastomosis site stenosis, perineural invasion, and operation time were independent risk factors for PS. Therefore, before a patient undergoes surgery for rectal cancer, surgeons should consider the possibility of the need for a PS, and patients should be informed before the operation that closure of the temporary stoma may not always be possible.

Nomogram to predict permanent stoma in rectal cancer patients after sphincter-saving surgery

BACKGROUND

Approximately 20 percent of patients with a tumour localized in the low rectum still encounter the possibility of requiring permanent stoma (PS), which can cause drastic changes in lifestyle and physical perceptions.

AIM

To determine the risk factors for PS and to develop a prediction model to predict the probability of PS in rectal cancer patients after sphincter-saving surgery.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort of 421 rectal cancer patients who underwent radical surgery at Taipei Medical University Hospital between January 2012 and December 2020 was included in this study. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify the independent risk factors for PS. A nomogram was developed according to the independent risk factors obtained in the multivariate analysis. The performance of the nomogram was assessed using a receiver operating characteristic curve and a calibration curve.

RESULTS

The PS rate after sphincter-saving surgery was 15.1% (59/391) in our study after a median follow-up of 47.3 mo (range 7–114 mo). Multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that local recurrence, perirectal abscess, anastomosis site stenosis, perineural invasion, tumor size and operative time were independent risk factors for PS. These identified risk factors were incorporated into the nomogram, and the concordance index of this model was 0.903 (95%CI: 0.851-0.955). According to the calibration curves, the nomogram represents a perfect prediction model.

CONCLUSION

Several risk factors for PS after sphincter-saving surgery were identified. Our nomogram exhibited perfect predictive ability and will improve a physician’s ability to communicate the benefits and risks of various treatment options in shared decision making.

Cumulative Incidence and Risk Factors of Permanent Stoma After Intersphincteric Resection for Ultralow Rectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

A permanent stoma is an unintended consequence that cannot be avoided completely after intersphincteric resection for ultralow rectal cancer. Unfortunately, its incidence and risk factors have been poorly defined.

OBJECTIVE

The objective was to determine the cumulative incidence and risk factors of permanent stoma after intersphincteric resection for ultralow rectal cancer.

DESIGN

This study was a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data.

SETTINGS

This study was conducted at a colorectal surgery referral center.

PATIENTS

A total of 185 consecutive patients who underwent intersphincteric resection with diverting ileostomy from 2011 to 2019 were included.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome was the incidence of and risk factors for the permanent stoma. The secondary outcome included differences in stoma formation between patients with partial, subtotal, and total intersphincteric resection.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 40 months (range, 6-107 months), 26 of 185 patients eventually required a permanent stoma, accounting for a 5-year cumulative incidence of 17.4%. The causes of permanent stoma were anastomotic morbidity (46.2%, 12/26), local recurrence (19.2%, 5/26), distant metastasis (19.2%, 5/26), fecal incontinence (3.8%, 1/26), perioperative mortality (3.8%, 1/26), patients' refusal (3.8%, 1/26), and poor general condition (3.8%, 1/26). Although the incidence of permanent stoma was significantly different between the intersphincteric resection groups (partial vs subtotal vs total: 8.3% vs 20% vs 25.8%, p = 0.02), it was not an independent predictor of stoma formation. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that anastomotic leakage (OR = 5.29; p = 0.001) and anastomotic stricture (OR = 5.13; p = 0.002) were independently predictive of permanent stoma.

LIMITATIONS

This study was limited by its retrospective nature and single-center data.

CONCLUSIONS

The 5-year cumulative incidence of permanent stoma was 17.4%. Anastomotic complications were identified as risk factors. Patients should be informed of the risks and benefits when contemplating the ultimate sphincter-sparing surgery. It might be preferable to decrease the probability of permanent stoma by further minimizing anastomotic complications. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/B704.

INCIDENCIA ACUMULADA Y FACTORES DE RIESGO DE ESTOMA PERMANENTE DESPUS DE UNA RESECCIN INTERESFNTRICA EN CNCER RECTAL ULTRA BAJO

ANTECEDENTES:La necesidad de efectuar un estoma permanente es la consecuencia no intencional e inevitable por completo después de una resección interesfintérica en presencia de un cáncer rectal ultra bajo. Desafortunadamente, la incidencia y los factores de riesgo se han definido en una forma limitada.OBJETIVO:El objetivo fue determinar la incidencia acumulada y los factores de riesgo para la necesidad de efectuar un estoma permanente después de la resección intersfintérica de un cáncer rectal ultra bajo.DISEÑO:El presente estudio es un análisis retrospectivo de la información obtenida.ESCENARIO:Centro de referencia de cirugía colo-rectal.PACIENTES:Se incluyeron un total de 185 pacientes consecutivos que se sometieron a resección intersfintérica de un cáncer rectal ultra bajo con ileostomía de derivación de 2011 a 2019.MEDICION DE RESULTADOS:El resultado principal fue la identificación de la incidencia y los factores de riesgo para la presencia de un estoma permanente. En forma secundaria se describieron los resultados de las diferentes técnicas de la formación de un estoma entre los pacientes con resección interesfintérica parcial, subtotal o total.RESULTADOS:Posterior a una media de seguimiento de cuarenta meses (rango de 6 a 107), 26 de 185 pacientes requirieron en forma eventual un estoma permanente, lo que equivale a una incidencia acumulada a cinco años de 17.4 %. Las causas para dejar un estoma permanente fueron morbilidad de la anastomosis (46.2%, 12/26), recurrencia local (19.2%, 5/26), metástasis a distancia (19.2%, 5/26), incontinencia fecal (3.8%, 1/26), mortalidad perioperatoria (3.8%, 1/26), rechazo del paciente (3.8%, 1/26), y malas condiciones generales (3.8%, 1/26). Aunque la incidencia de un estoma permanente fue significativamente diferente entre los grupos de resección interesfintérica (parcial vs subtotal vs total: 8.3% vs 20% vs 25.8%, p = 0.02), no se consideró un factor predictor independiente para la formación de estoma. En el análisis multivariado se demostró que la fuga anatomótica (OR = 5.29; p = 0.001) y la estenosis anastomótica (OR = 5.13; p = 0.002) fueron factores independientes para predecir la necesidad de un estoma permanente.LIMITACIONES:La naturaleza retrospectiva del estudio y la información proveniente de un solo centro.CONCLUSIONES:La incidencia acumulada a cinco años de estoma permantente fue de 17.4%. Se consideran a las complicaciones anastomóticas como factores de riesgo. Los pacientes deberán ser informados de los riesgos y beneficios cuando se considere la posibilidad de efectuar una cirugía preservadora de esfínteres finalmente. Puede ser preferible disminuir la probabilidad de dejar un estoma permanente tratando de minimizar la posibilidad de complicaciones de la anastomosis. Consulte Video Resumen en http://links.lww.com/DCR/B704.

Effects of Evidence-Based Continuing Care Bundle on Health Outcomes in Rectal Cancer Patients With Temporary Stomas: A Multicenter Randomized Controlled Trial

BACKGROUND

The patients with temporary stomas after anterior resection for rectal cancer may experience significant impact on their health outcomes, and hence continuing care is necessary and important for these patients. However, the effects of some single continuing care interventions remain unclear. Continuing care bundle may be an effective approach to address this uncertainty.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to investigate the effects of an evidence-based continuing care bundle on selected health outcomes in patients with temporary stomas after anterior resection for rectal cancer.

METHODS

This was a multicenter randomized controlled trial. A total of 124 patients with temporary stomas after anterior resection for rectal cancer were recruited from 4 general tertiary hospitals in Guangzhou, China, and were randomly assigned to a control group or an intervention group. Both groups received usual care, whereas the intervention group additionally received evidence-based continuing care bundle. Self-efficacy, quality of life, and stoma-related complications were collected at baseline and 4 and 12 weeks after surgery. Satisfaction and outcomes of stoma reversal were collected at the end of the observation.

RESULTS

The intervention group had significantly improved the self-efficacy (F = 11.88, P = .001), quality of life (F = 17.99, P < .001) over time, satisfaction (t = 4.08, P < .001), and outcomes of stoma reversal (χ2 = 5.93, P = .015) and reduced the incidence of complications (P < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

Evidence-based continuing care bundle can be an effective method to improve the health outcomes among these patients.

IMPLICATION FOR PRACTICE

By using the evidence-based continuing care bundle, nurses can help these patients improve their health outcomes in stoma-specific nursing.

Short-Term and Long-Term Outcomes in Mid and Low Rectal Cancer With Robotic Surgery

Objective

To investigate the risk factors for postoperative complications and anastomotic leakage after robotic surgery for mid and low rectal cancer and their influence on long-term outcomes.

Methods

A total of 641 patients who underwent radical mid and low rectal cancer robotic surgery at Zhongshan Hospital Fudan University from January 2014 to December 2018 were enrolled in this study. The clinicopathological factors of the patients were collected. The risk factors for short-term outcomes of complications and anastomotic leakage were analyzed, and their influences on recurrence and overall survival were studied.

Results

Of the 641 patients, 516 (80.5%) underwent AR or LAR procedures, while 125 (19.5%) underwent the NOSES procedure. Only fifteen (2.3%) patients had stoma diversion. One hundred and seventeen patients (17.6%) experienced surgical complications. Anastomotic leakage occurred in 44 patients (6.9%). Eleven patients (1.7%) underwent reoperation within 90 days after surgery. Preoperative radiotherapy did not significantly increase anastomotic leakage in our study (7.4% vs. 6.8%, P = 0.869). The mean postoperative hospital stay was much longer with complication (10.4 vs. 7.1 days, P<0.05) and leakage (12.9 vs. 7.4 days, P < 0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that male sex (OR = 1.855, 95% CI: 1.175–2.923, P < 0.05), tumor distance 5 cm from the anus (OR = 1.563, 95% CI: 1.016–2.404, P < 0.05), and operation time length (OR = 1.563, 95% CI: 1.009–2.421, P < 0.05) were independent risk factors for complications in mid and low rectal cancer patients. The same results for anastomotic leakage: male sex (OR = 2.247, 95% CI: 1.126–4.902, P < 0.05), tumor distance 5 cm from the anus (OR = 2.242, 95% CI: 1.197–4.202, P < 0.05), and operation time length (OR = 2.114, 95% CI: 1.127–3.968, P < 0.05). The 3-year DFS and OS were 82.4% and 92.6% with complication, 88.4% and 94.0% without complication, 88.6% and 93.1% with leakage, and 87.0% and 93.8% without leakage, respectively. The complication and anastomotic leakage showed no significant influences on long-term outcomes.

Conclusion

Being male, having a lower tumor location, and having a prolonged operation time were independent risk factors for complications and anastomotic leakage in mid and low rectal cancer. Complications and anastomotic leakage might have no long-term impact on oncological outcomes for mid and low rectal cancer with robotic surgery.

Assessment of the risk of permanent stoma after low anterior resection in rectal cancer patients

Background

One of the most severe complications of low anterior rectal resection is anastomotic leakage (AL). The creation of a loop ileostomy (LI) reduces the prevalence of AL requiring surgical intervention. However, up to one-third of temporary stomas may never be closed.

The first aim of the study was to perform a retrospective assessment of the impact of LI on the risk of permanent stoma (PS) and symptomatic AL. The second aim of the study was to assess preoperative PS risk factors in patients with LI.

Methods

A total of 286 consecutive patients who underwent low anterior rectal resection were subjected to retrospective analysis. In 101 (35.3%) patients, diverting LI was performed due to low anastomosis, while in the remaining 185 (64.7%) patients, no ileostomy was performed. LIs were reversed after adjuvant treatment. Analyses of the effect of LI on symptomatic AL and PS were performed. Among the potential risk factors for PS, clinical factors and the values of selected peripheral blood parameters were analysed.

Results

PS occurred in 37.6% and 21.1% of the patients with LI and without LI, respectively (p < 0.01). Symptomatic ALs were significantly more common in patients without LI. In this group, symptomatic ALs occurred in 23.8% of patients, while in the LI group, they occurred in 5% of patients (p < 0.001). In the LI group, the only significant risk factor for PS in the multivariate analysis was preoperative plasma fibrinogen concentration (OR = 1.007, 97.5% CI 1.002–1.013, p = 0.013).

Conclusions

Although protective LI may reduce the incidence of symptomatic AL, it can be related to a higher risk of PS in this group of patients. The preoperative plasma fibrinogen concentration can be a risk factor for PS in LI patients and may be a useful variable in decision-making models.

Optimal strategies of rectovaginal fistula after rectal cancer surgery

Purpose

Rectovaginal fistula (RVF) after low anterior resection for rectal cancer is a type of anastomotic leakage. The aim of this study was to find out the difference of leakage, according to RVF presence or absence and to identify the optimal strategy for RVF.

Methods

All female patients who underwent low anterior resection with colorectal anastomosis or coloanal anastomosis (n = 950) were retrospectively analyzed. Patients' demographics and perioperative outcomes were analyzed between the RVF group and leakage without the RVF (nRVF) group. We performed 4 types of procedures—primary repair, diverting stoma, redo coloanal anastomosis (RCA), and conservative procedure—to treat RVF, and calculated the success rates of each type of procedure.

Results

The leakage occurred in 47 patients (4.9%). Among them, 18 patients (1.9%) underwent an RVF and 29 (3.0%) underwent nRVF. The RVF group received more perioperative radiotherapy (27.8% vs. 3.4%, P < 0.015) and occurred late onset after surgery (181.3 ± 176.4 days vs. 23.2 ± 53.6 days, P < 0.001) more than did the nRVF group. In multivariate analysis for the risk factor of the RVF group, the RVF group was statistically associated with less than 5 cm of anastomosis more than was the no-leakage group. A total of 35 procedures were performed in 18 patients with RVF for treatment. RCA showed satisfactory success rates (85.7%, n = 6) and, primary repair (transanal or transvaginal) showed acceptable success rate (33.3%, n = 8).

Conclusion

After low anterior resection for rectal cancer, RVF was strongly correlated with a lower level of primary tumor location. Among the patients who underwent leakages, receipt of perioperative radiotherapy was significantly high in the RVF group than that of the nRVF group. Additionally, this study suggests that RCA might be considered another successful treatment strategy for RVF.