Preoperative neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and CEA is associated with poor prognosis in patients with synchronous colorectal cancer liver metastasis

Meta-analysis of the prognostic value of serum carcinoembryonic antigen in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases after hepatectomy

OBJECTIVES

Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is a broad-spectrum tumor marker for differential diagnosis, monitoring, and response assessment of a variety of malignancies. This meta-analysis was aimed at evaluating whether serum CEA could predict the prognosis in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRCLM) before and after liver resection (LR).

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, Cochrane, and Web of Science were systematically searched to retrieve literature, with a search cutoff date of 27 February 2023. Articles were strictly screened for inclusion according to pre-specified inclusion and exclusion criteria. Data were pooled and analyzed using Stata 16.0.

RESULTS

This meta-analysis included 36 studies involving a total of 11 143 CRCLM patients. The results showed that a high pre-LR serum CEA level was correlated with poor overall survival (OS: HR = 1.61, 95% CI = 1.49-1.75, P  < 0.001) and recurrence-free survival (RFS: HR = 1.27, 95% CI = 1.11-1.45, P  < 0.001) in CRCLM patients. A high post-LR serum CEA level predicted poor overall survival (OS: HR = 2.66, 95% CI = 2.10-3.38, P  < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

High preoperative and postoperative serum CEA levels in patients with CRCLM were significantly associated with poor prognosis, independent of treatment modality, mode of analysis, case origin, and cutoff value classification.

Prognostic role of serum carcinoembryonic antigen in patients receiving liver resection for colorectal cancer liver metastasis: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is a broad-spectrum tumor marker for differential diagnosis, monitoring, and response assessment of a variety of malignancies.

AIM

To evaluate whether serum CEA could predict the prognosis in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRCLM) before and after liver resection (LR).

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, Cochrane, and Web of Science were systematically searched to retrieve literature, with a search cut-off date of February 27, 2023. Articles were strictly screened for inclusion according to pre-specified inclusion and exclusion criteria. Data were pooled and analyzed using Stata 16.0.

RESULTS

This meta-analysis included 36 studies involving a total of 11143 CRCLM patients. The results showed that a high pre-LR serum CEA level was correlated with poor overall survival (OS) [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.61, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.49-1.75, P < 0.001] and recurrence-free survival (HR = 1.27, 95%CI: 1.11-1.45, P < 0.001) in CRCLM patients. A high post-LR serum CEA level predicted poor OS (HR = 2.66, 95%CI: 2.10-3.38, P < 0.001). A comparison by treatment modality, analysis modality, patient source, and cutoff-value showed that overall, high preoperative and postoperative serum CEA levels remained correlated with a poor prognosis.

CONCLUSION

This study concluded that high pre-LR and post-LR serum CEA levels were significantly correlated with a poor prognosis in CRCLM patients.

Prognosis of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) in stage I colorectal adenocarcinoma and development of a prediction model: a retrospective study based on the SEER database

BACKGROUND

To investigate the prognostic significance of preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) status in stage I colorectal classical adenocarcinoma (CCA) and mucinous adenocarcinoma (MUC), and to construct a nomogram model of stage I CCA.

METHODS

The SEER database was used to collect 14,226 patients diagnosed with stage I colorectal adenocarcinoma (CA) from 2010 to 2015. The prognostic significance of preoperative CEA status in stage I CA and MUC was examined by propensity-matching score (PSM). We analyzed the factors affecting the prognosis of patients with stage I CCA, and constructed and verified the prognostic model.

RESULTS

After PSM, the cancer-specific survival rate (CCS) of CEA-positive patients in stage T1 and T2 CCA was significantly lower than that of CEA-negative patients in stage T1 and T2 [HR = 0.37 (0.29-0.48), P < 0.001], [HR = 0.52 (0.41-0.65), P < 0.001]. However, there was no significant difference in CSS between CEA-positive and CEA-negative patients in T1 and T2 MUC [HR = 0.58 (0.43-0.79), P = 0.096], [HR = 0.76 (0.36-1.62), P = 0.477]. A nomogram was constructed based on the results of the multivariate COX regression model. Based on the AUC of ROC analysis, calibration plot and decision curve analysis (DCA), we concluded that the risk and prognosis model of CCA showed excellent performance.

CONCLUSION

Elevated CEA is a risk factor for stage I CCA, but not for MUC. And the nomogram is accurate enough to predict the risk and prognostic factors of CCA.

Predicting coexisting thyroid cancer with primary hyperparathyroidism in an endemic region of multinodular goiter: evaluating the effectiveness of preoperative inflammatory markers

Purpose

The aim is to examine the efficacy of inflammatory indicators to predict thyroid cancer in patients with primary hyperparathyroidism (PHPT) in an endemic region of nodular goiter.

Methods

The prospective database was reviewed to identify patients operated on with the diagnosis of PHPT and thyroid disease between April 2015 and June 2021. Permanent pathologic reports were used as the gold standard for diagnosis. Detailed imaging data with peripheral blood inflammation indices were analyzed to assess their predictive values for concomitant PHPT with thyroid cancer. Postoperative complications and the duration of hospitalization were also reviewed.

Results

Thyroid malignancy accompanying PHPT was found in 13 patients (26.0%) out of 50 who had concurrent surgery. The analysis regarding inflammatory indexes revealed nothing significant between thyroid cancer and preoperative blood biochemistry (P > 0.05). In the concurrent surgery group, recurrent laryngeal nerve injury was observed in 1 patient (2.0%) and the mean hospital stay was longer.

Conclusion

In endemic regions of nodular thyroid disease, thyroid cancer might accompany PHPT. The value of inflammatory indexes to predict thyroid malignancy in PHPT is controversial and should not be employed in the surgical decision-making process.

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and lactate dehydrogenase combined in predicting liver metastasis and prognosis of colorectal cancer

Background

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level are inflammatory markers related to tumor growth and metabolism. This study investigated the value of preoperative NLR, LDH and the combination of NLR and LDH (NLR-LDH) for predicting colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM) and tumor prognosis in the early stages of colorectal cancer (CRC).

Materials and methods

Three hundred patients undergoing CRC resection were included. Logistic regression analysis was used to estimate the correlation between CRLM time and inflammatory markers, and Kaplan-Meier survival and Cox regression analyses were used to estimate overall survival (OS). Forest plots were prepared based on the multivariate Cox analysis model and evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

Results

The NLR cut-off value was 2.071 according to the ROC curve. The multivariate analysis showed that the elevated LDH level and a high NLR-LDH level were independent predictors of synchronous CRLM and OS (p < 0.05). The combination of a high NLR and elevated LDH and NLR-LDH levels suggested a poor prognosis and a significantly shorter median survival time than a low NLR and low levels of LDH and NLR-LDH. The ROC curve analysis results illustrated that the predictive value of the NLR-LDH score for synchronous CRLM [area under the curve (AUC) = 0.623, p < 0.001] and OS (AUC = 0.614, p = 0.001) was superior to that of the NLR or LDH score used alone.

Conclusion

LDH and NLR-LDH are reliable, easy-to-use, independent biomarkers for predicting synchronous or metachronous CRLM and OS in CRC patients. The NLR is an important monitoring index for CRLM. Preoperative NLR, LDH and NLR-LDH may help to guide the use of therapeutic strategies and cancer surveillance.

The advanced lung cancer inflammation index is a prognostic factor for gastrointestinal cancer patients undergoing surgery: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The advanced lung cancer inflammation index (ALI) is a comprehensive assessment indicator that can reflect inflammation and nutrition conditions. However, there are some controversies about whether ALI is an independent prognostic factor for gastrointestinal cancer patients undergoing surgical resection. Thus, we aimed to clarify its prognostic value and explore the potential mechanisms.

METHODS

Four databases including PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, and CNKI were used for searching eligible studies from inception to June 28, 2022. All gastrointestinal cancers, including colorectal cancer (CRC), gastric cancer (GC), esophageal cancer (EC), liver cancer, cholangiocarcinoma, and pancreatic cancer were enrolled for analysis. We focused on prognosis most in the current meta-analysis. Survival indicators, including overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), and cancer-special survival (CSS) were compared between the high ALI group and the low ALI group. The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) checklist was submitted as a supplementary document.

RESULTS

We finally included fourteen studies involving 5091 patients in this meta-analysis. After pooling the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), ALI was found to be an independent prognostic factor for both OS (HR = 2.09, I² = 92%, 95% CI = 1.53 to 2.85, P < 0.01), DFS (HR = 1.48, I² = 83%, 95% CI = 1.18 to 1.87, P < 0.01), and CSS (HR = 1.28, I² = 1%, 95% CI = 1.02 to 1.60, P = 0.03) in gastrointestinal cancer. After subgroup analysis, we found that ALI was still closely related to OS for CRC (HR = 2.26, I² = 93%, 95% CI = 1.53 to 3.32, P < 0.01) and GC (HR = 1.51, I² = 40%, 95% CI = 1.13 to 2.04, P = 0.006) patients. As for DFS, ALI also has a predictive value on the prognosis of CRC (HR = 1.54, I² = 85%, 95% CI = 1.14 to 2.07, P = 0.005) and GC (HR = 1.37, I² = 0%, 95% CI = 1.09 to 1.73, P = 0.007) patients.

CONCLUSION

ALI affected gastrointestinal cancer patients in terms of OS, DFS, and CSS. Meanwhile, ALI was a prognostic factor both for CRC and GC patients after subgroup analysis. Patients with low ALI had poorer prognoses. We recommended that surgeons should perform aggressive interventions in patients with low ALI before the operation.

The prognostic utility of preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in patients with colorectal liver metastasis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio is used to reflect body's inflammatory status with prognostic value in different cancers. We aimed to investigate the influence of preoperative NLR in the prognosis of CRLM patients receiving surgery using meta-analysis. Data in Cochrane Library, PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science databases created before October 2022 were recruited. Meta-analysis was carried out with RevMan 5.3 and Stata16 software, and the primary outcome indicators included overall survival (OS), and secondary outcome indicators included disease-free survival (DFS) and relapse-free survival (RFS). The pooled risk ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for each outcome indicator were determined using random-effects models or fixed-effects models. The pooled odds ratio (OR) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI) for NLR and clinicopathological characteristics were determined with a fixed-effects model. 18 papers published between 2008 and 2022 (3184 patients in total) were included. The pooled analysis found that high preoperative NLR was correlated with poor OS (multivariate HR = 1.83, 95% CI = 1.61-2.08, p < 0.01), DFS (multivariate HR = 1.78, 95% CI = 1.16-2.71, p < 0.01) and RFS (multivariate HR = 1.46, 95% CI = 1.15-1.85, p < 0.01), but NLR was not related to clinicopathological features of CRLM patients correlation. In conclusion, NLR is an independent risk factor for poor prognosis in patients with CRLM. More large-scale clinical researches are required in the future to demonstrate the inclusion of preoperative NLR as a prognostic indicator for CRLM patients to guide postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy.

Detection of circulating KRAS mutant DNA in extracellular vesicles using droplet digital PCR in patients with colon cancer

Background

Extracellular vesicles secreted by tumor cells contain double-stranded DNA called extracellular vesicle DNA (evDNA). EvDNA is genomic DNA that reflects cancer driver mutations. However, the significance of evDNA analysis in the diagnosis and surveillance of colon cancer remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the clinical utility of extracellular vesicles and evDNA isolated from the plasma of colon cancer patients harboring KRAS G12D and G13D mutations.

Methods

Cell-free DNA (cfDNA) and evDNA were collected from the plasma of 30 patients with colon cancer. KRAS mutation status (G12D and G13D) was detected using a droplet digital polymerase chain reaction assay (ddPCR). Sensitivity and specificity were evaluated in patients with wild-type KRAS tumors. Mutation status was correlated with carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels and overall survival (OS).

Results

Thirty cfDNA and evDNA pairs showed a KRAS fractional abundance (FA) ranging from 0 to 45.26% and 0 to 83.81%, respectively. When compared with eight wild-type KRAS samples, cfDNA exhibited 70% sensitivity and 100% specificity, whereas evDNA achieved 76.67% sensitivity and 100% specificity. The concentration of evDNA was significantly lower than that of cfDNA, but it obtained a higher FA than cfDNA, while showing a positive correlation with CEA.

Conclusions

Our findings demonstrate the feasibility of evDNA as a complementary tool to aid current methods of patient evaluation in the diagnosis and surveillance of colon cancer.

Prognostic value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in colorectal cancer liver metastasis: A meta-analysis of results from multivariate analysis

We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM). A comprehensive search was conducted across PubMed, MedLine, and the Cochrane Library databases for articles published from January 1, 2000 to April 30, 2022 that investigated the long-term prognostic value of NLR in CRLM; only studies with multivariate analyses were enrolled. Hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) was used to determine the effect size. A total of 2,522 patients in 12 studies were selected; the meta-analysis demonstrated that elevated NLR correlated with poor overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) (HR, 1.95, 95%CI, 1.698-2.223, P < 0.01; HR, 1.80, 95%CI, 1.363-2.363, P < 0.01; respectively). The 5-year OS and disease-free survival rates were higher in the patients with normal NLR than in patients with high NLR (47% vs. 27%, P < 0.01; 37% vs. 6%, P < 0.01, respectively). Further analysis of clinicopathological parameters indicated no significant difference between the patients with and without elevated NLR. Begg's and Egger's tests for publication bias revealed no significant publication bias (P = 0.891 and P = 0.926, respectively). Multivariate analysis revealed that NLR had an excellent prognostic ability in CRLM, which can be used in deciding the treatment and predicting the clinical outcomes. Further multicenter randomized controlled trials are required to verify this conclusion.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as a prognostic factor for survival in patients with colorectal liver metastases: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

The inflammatory response to tumor has been proven to be closely related to the prognosis of colorectal cancer. Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a widely available inflammatory biomarker that may have prognostic value for patients with colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM).

AIM

To assess the role of NLR as a prognostic factor of survival and tumor recurrence in patients with CRLM.

METHODS

A systematic literature search of PubMed, Cochrane Library and clinicaltrials.gov was conducted by two independent researchers in order to minimize potential errors and bias. Conflicts were discussed and settled between three researchers. Studies including patients undergoing different types of medical interventions for the treatment of CRLM and evaluating the correlation between pretreatment NLR and disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were included in the review. Nineteen studies, involving 3283 patients matched our inclusion criteria.

RESULTS

In the studies included, NLR was measured before the intervention and the NLR thresholds ranged between 1.9 and 7.26. Most studies used 5 as the cut-off value. Liver metastases were treated with hepatectomy with or without chemotherapy regimens in 13 studies and with radiofrequency ablation, radioembolization, chemoembolization or solely with chemotherapy in 6 studies. High NLR was associated with decreased OS and DFS after liver resection or other medical intervention. Moreover, high NLR was associated with poor chemosensitivity. On the contrary, CRLM patients with low pretreatment NLR demonstrated improved OS and DFS. NLR could potentially be used as a predictive factor of survival and tumor recurrence in patients with CRLM treated with interventions of any modality, including surgery, chemotherapy and ablative techniques.

CONCLUSION

NLR is an inflammatory biomarker that demonstrates considerable prognostic value. Elevated pretreatment NLR is associated with poor OS and DFS in patients with CRLM who are submitted to different treatments.

The time-dependent changes in serum carcinoembryonic antigen impact on posthepatectomy outcomes of colorectal liver metastasis

BACKGROUND

Only a few studies have examined the impact of carcinoembryonic antigen variation in patients before and after curative resection of colorectal liver metastasis . This study examined the correlation between carcinoembryonic antigen levels and patient prognosis.

METHODS

Patients who underwent curative resection for colorectal liver metastasis between 2000 and 2017 were enrolled. This study examined patients with high preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen levels that normalized after resection of colorectal liver metastasis and the correlation between prognosis and time-dependent changes in carcinoembryonic antigen levels. The similarity in the risk of recurrence in patients with normal preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen levels was evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 143 consecutive patients were included in the study cohort and classified into the normal preoperative (46 patients), normalized postoperative (57 patients), and elevated preoperative and postoperative (40 patients) carcinoembryonic antigen groups. All clinicopathologic characteristics were comparable between patients grouped according to carcinoembryonic antigen levels. The 5-year disease-free survival and overall survival rates for all patients were 30.4% and 56.0%, respectively. Multivariate analysis confirmed that elevated preoperative and postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen levels (hazard ratio = 1.73, 95% confidence interval: 1.04-2.87) were independently associated with poor disease-free survival; normalization of postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (hazard ratio = 0.94, 95% confidence interval: 0.57-1.53) was statistically indistinguishable from normal preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen levels. The risk of recurrence was similar to that of patients with normal preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen levels CONCLUSION: Patients with elevated preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen levels that normalized after resection of colorectal liver metastasis were not at risk of poor disease-free survival. Elevated carcinoembryonic antigen levels after surgery are independent prognostic factors for disease-free survival.

High Neutrophil-To-Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR) and Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index (SII) Are Markers of Longer Survival After Metastasectomy of Patients With Liver-Only Metastasis of Rectal Cancer

Background: The literature data regarding colon cancer patients with liver-only metastases (CLM) show that NLR determined before metastasectomy is a prognostic marker of shorter relapse-free survival (RFS), but no results has been reported to date for rectal cancer patients with liver-only metastases (RLM). This study aimed to investigate the NLR and SII in CLM and RLM.

Methods: Relapse-free (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were evaluated in 67 CLM and 103 RLM patients with a median follow-up of 46.5 and 59.8 months, respectively. Pre- and/or postoperative chemotherapy ± targeted treatment was applied in 96% and 87% of CLM and RLM patients, respectively. The cut-off level for hematologic parameters were determined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Univariate analysis was performed by Kaplan-Meier method and log rank test. For multivariate analysis Cox regression was applied.

Results: In univariate analysis low NLR (cut-off 2) and SII (535) were predictors of longer RFS in case of CLM (p < 0.01). In contrast, for RLM high NLR (2.42) and SII (792) were predictors of longer RFS (p < 0.001). For RLM both NLR and SII proved to be independent markers of RFS (HR 0.66 (95% CI 0.52–0.84) and 0.73 (0.57–0.91), respectively) and OS (0.76 (0.58–0.99) and 0.66 (0.5–0.87), respectively). Only NLR (1.44 (1.04–1.99)) was independent marker of RFS for CLM. The preoperative treatment has not influenced the role of NLR or SII.

Conclusion: In contrast to CLM, in RLM the high NLR or SII determined before metastasectomy proved to be independent prognostic factors of longer RFS and OS.

Pretreatment Inflammatory Markers Predict Outcomes and Prognosis in Colorectal Cancer Patients With Synchronous Liver Metastasis

Introduction

Pretreatment inflammatory markers were applied to predict the prognosis of colorectal cancer. However, the role of these markers in predicting survival in patients with synchronous colorectal liver metastasis (CLM) is rarely reported. Notably, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) was mainly reported in hematologic malignancies and is worth to be further explored to predict the survival of synchronous CLM.

Methods

Totally, 196 patients who were diagnosed with synchronous CLM were enrolled. Their clinical and laboratory data before treatment were collected, retrospectively. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to analyze the inflammatory biomarkers.

Results

LMR (P = .002) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) (P = .017) were significantly related to the progression-free survival (PFS). More factors such as neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (P = .011), carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) (P = .001), number of metastatic foci (P = .006), and adjuvant chemotherapy (P = .027) were correlated with overall survival (OS). In multivariate analysis, LMR remained statistically associated with PFS (P = .003). Regarding OS, LMR (P = .016) and LDH (P = .013) were significantly independent predictive factors.

Conclusions

The higher LMR and lower LDH were strongly correlated with better survival in synchronous CLM patients. In addition, the result also indicated that enhanced LMR was related to better PFS. The LMR and LDH can be used to predict prognosis of the synchronous CLM.

Pretreatment inflammatory markers predicting treatment outcomes in colorectal cancer

We aimed to review whether pretreatment inflammatory markers reflect the short- and long-term outcomes of patients with colon cancer, rectal cancer, colon and rectal cancers, and metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC). We found that pretreatment complete blood count and blood chemistry tests reflect short-term and long-term oncological outcomes in patients with CRC. Specifically, in patients with colon cancer, hypoalbuminemia was associated with worse postoperative morbidity, mortality, and inferior survival. In patients with rectal cancer, elevated neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and thrombocytosis were associated with postoperative complications, poor overall survival (OS), and disease-free survival (DFS). A high C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (CAR) was associated with poor OS and DFS. In patients with metastatic CRC, increased NLR and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) were associated with poor OS, DFS, and progression-free survival (PFS). In addition, high CAR and a low albumin/globulin ratio on blood chemistry tests were associated with poor OS and PFS. Although universal cut-off values were not available, various types of pretreatment laboratory markers could be utilized as adjuncts to predict prognosis in patients with CRC.

Prognostic Implication of Preoperative Serum Albumin to Carcinoembryonic Antigen Ratio in Colorectal Cancer Patients

Background: Preoperative serum albumin (ALB) and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) were useful prognostic factors in colorectal cancer (CRC); however, the ALB to CEA ratio (ACR) and their individual prognostic efficacies have been less studied. Methods: A retrospective study with 156 CRC patients staged I to IV was performed. The prognostic efficacy of ACR was estimated and subsequently compared with ALB, CEA, and other systemic inflammation markers, including the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR). Differences in progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were determined by Kaplan–Meier (K-M) analysis, and the risk factors for survival were calculated by the Cox proportional hazards model. Results: A total of 31.41% (49 of 156) of patients presented with ACR-low disease, and these patients had tumors with advanced T stages, larger tumor diameters and distant metastases, and a lower LMR. When 5.98 was used as the cut-off point, it had a sensitivity of 58.50% and 61.50% and a specificity of 83.50% and 80.50% for PFS and OS, respectively. ACR displayed a superior prognostic efficacy than individual ALB, CEA and NLR, LMR, and PLR for both PFS and OS (except LMR). Patients in the ACR-low group displayed significantly worse PFS and OS than those in the ACR-high group. Finally, ACR was an independent prognostic factor for both PFS (HR = 0.31, 95% CI: 0.17−0.56, P < .01) and OS (HR = 0.33, 95% CI: 0.16−0.66, P < .01). Conclusions: ACR was a robust prognostic factor in CRC, and patients with a relatively low preoperative ACR would have significantly worse survival.

Combined detection of preoperative neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and interleukin-6 as an independent prognostic factor for patients with non-metastatic colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

This study sought to explore the value of the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and interleukin-6 (IL-6) in predicting the prognosis of patients with non-metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC).

METHODS

The data of 88 surgical CRC patients were retrospectively analyzed. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was conducted to determine the patients' thresholds for the NLR and IL-6. Kaplan-Meier curve and Cox regression models were used to assess the prognostic values.

RESULTS

A ROC analysis was conducted to calculate the NLR cut-off value. The area under the curve (AUC) of the NLR was 0.739 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.634 to 0.844] for overall survival (OS), and 0.799 (95% CI: 0.705 to 0.892) for disease-free survival (DFS). The AUC of IL-6 was 0.773 (95% CI: 0.670 to 0.876) for OS, and 0.817 (95% CI: 0.728 to 0.906) for DFS. The AUC of NLR + IL-6 was 0.805 (95% CI: 0.710 to 0.899) for OS and 0.853 (95% CI: 0.774 to 0.933) for DFS, which were higher than the NLR or IL-6 alone AUCs for OS and DFS. In addition, a high NLR and IL-6 value was significantly correlated with tumor differentiation and tumor-node-metastasis staging. The NLR was positively correlated with IL-6 level (r=0.481). The results of the Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that a high NLR + IL-6 value was correlated with worse OS and DFS.

CONCLUSIONS

A high NLR and IL-6 value is a better independent prognostic biomarker of CRC than the NLR or IL-6 level alone, and may be applied in clinical practice to identify high-risk patients.

Lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio combined with CA19-9 for predicting postoperative recurrence of colorectal cancer in patients with diabetes

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the significance of lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) combined with carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 for predicting postoperative recurrence of colorectal cancer (CRC) in patients with type II diabetes.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis of 106 postoperative patients with stage II-III CRC and with type II diabetes. Their clinical indexes such as LMR and CA19-9 were collected, and the patients were followed up for 5 years.

RESULTS

The CA19-9 level was 119.7 U/ml at baseline in the relapsed group, while this was 24.81 U/ml in non-relapsed group (p = 0.001). On the contrary, the LMR level was 5.10 and 2.57 for non-relapsed and relapsed group (p < 0.001), respectively. Kaplan-Meier survival curves stratified by CA19-9 and LMR suggested that patients with lower CA19-9 had higher survival probability (p < 0.001), while patients with high LMR level had higher survival probability (p < 0.001). The multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analysis with CA19-9 and LMR indicated that although the baseline CA19-9 is significantly associated with increasing risk of disease recurrence, the HR (HR = 1.0, 95% CI 1.00-1.01) was small and close to 1, whereas the high baseline LMR (HR = 0.44, 95% CI 0.32-0.61) was associated with decrease in disease recurrence. Model with continuous CA19-9 and LMR was able to better predict (AUC 73.17%) the disease recurrence.

CONCLUSION

LMR combined with CA19-9 may become a new index for predicting postoperative recurrence of CRC in patients with diabetes.

Prognostic Value of Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio in Obstructing Colorectal Cancer Treated by Endoscopic Stenting as a Bridge to Surgery

Purpose

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been reported to predict adverse survival outcomes among patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). This study evaluates the prognostic value of NLR among patients with obstructing CRC who successfully underwent stenting before curative surgery.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed patients who underwent stenting before surgery. Patient demographics, tumor characteristics, perioperative outcomes, recurrence-free survival (RFS), and overall survival (OS) were analyzed. NLR was calculated from the differential white blood cell counts at least 4 days after successful stenting, before elective surgery. Optimal cutoff to dichotomize NLR was obtained by maximizing log-rank test statistic with recursive partitioning of Kaplan-Meier RFS and OS curves. The optimal cutoff for high NLR was ≥ 5 at presentation before stenting, and ≥ 4 after stenting.

Results

Fifty-seven patients with localized obstructing CRC underwent successful endoscopic stenting before curative surgery. High NLR was associated with lymphovascular invasion (P = 0.006) and apical lymph node involvement (P = 0.034). Major perioperative complication(s) (hazard ratio [HR], 11.34; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.49 to 51.56; P < 0.01) and high NLR (HR, 3.69; 95% CI, 1.46 to 9.35; P < 0.01) negatively impacted OS on univariate and multivariate analyses. High NLR negatively impacted RFS on univariate analysis (HR, 2.91; 95% CI, 1.29 to 6.60; P = 0.01).

Conclusion

NLR of ≥ 4 after stenting is an independent prognostic factor among patients with obstructing localized CRC who are successfully decompressed by endoscopic stenting before curative surgery.

Prognostic value of advanced lung cancer inflammation index in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases undergoing surgery

INTRODUCTION

Recently, a new inflammatory marker, the advanced lung cancer inflammation index (ALI), was reported as a prognostic marker in patients with several cancers. We aimed to investigate the prognostic value of ALI in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases (CLM) undergoing surgery.

METHODS

From June 2009 to June 2018, 141 patients underwent a surgery for CLM at Ajou University Hospital, of whom 132 without extrahepatic metastases, systemic inflammatory diseases, or immune system diseases were enrolled in this study. The ALI was calculated using the following formula: ALI = body mass index × serum albumin/neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio. The patients were divided into high (n = 32) and low (n = 100) ALI groups according to the preoperative optimal cutoff value of 70.40 that was determined by X-tile software.

RESULTS

Patients with low ALI had a significantly worse overall survival (OS) compared to the high ALI group (p = 0.010). Multivariate analysis showed that ALI and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) were independently associated with OS (p = 0.009 and p = 0.042, respectively). Among the patients with CEA >5 ng/mL, the low ALI group had a significantly worse OS compared to the high ALI group (p = 0.013).

CONCLUSION

Preoperative ALI was a prognostic factor in patients with CLM undergoing surgery. In particular, the prognostic impact of ALI was more prominent in the patients with CEA >5 ng/mL.

Prognostic value of carcinoembryonic antigen levels before and after curative surgery in colon cancer patients

Purpose

CEA is a useful tumor marker for colon cancer. The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of changes in CEA levels before and after surgery in colon cancer patients who underwent radical surgery.

Methods

A total of 601 colon cancer patients who underwent radical surgery from January 2007 to December 2017 at a single institution were evaluated. Patients were categorized according to preoperative and postoperative CEA levels. We adjusted patient characteristics using propensity score matched analysis between groups and compared survival outcomes according to changes in CEA levels before and after surgery.

Results

According to the preoperative and postoperative CEA levels, patients were classified into 3 groups: group 1, ≤5 and ≤5 ng/mL, respectively (n = 407); group 2, >5 and ≤5 ng/mL, respectively (n = 127); and group 3 (>5 and >5 ng/mL, respectively (n = 67). Postoperative CEA elevation was associated with adverse clinical features. Before and after matching, the patients in group 3 showed significantly lower disease-free survival and overall survival rates compared to the patients in group 1 and group 2. In multivariate analysis, changes in CEA levels were an independent prognostic factor of overall survival (P = 0.041).

Conclusion

The changes in CEA levels before and after surgery can be a useful prognostic factor for disease-free survival and overall survival in colon cancer patients.

Deep learning-based radiomics predicts response to chemotherapy in colorectal liver metastases

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study was to develop and validate a deep learning (DL)-based radiomics model to predict the response to chemotherapy in colorectal liver metastases (CRLM).

METHODS

In this retrospective study, we enrolled 192 patients diagnosed with CRLM who received first-line chemotherapy and were followed by response assessment. Tumor response was identified according to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST). Contrast-enhanced multidetector computed tomography (MDCT) images were fed as inputs of the ResNet10-based DL radiomics model, and the possibility of response was predicted as the output. The final combined DL radiomics model was constructed by integrating the response-related clinical factors and the developed DL radiomics signature. A time-independent validation cohort (n = 48) was extracted from the 192 patients to evaluate the DL model with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), specificity, and sensitivity. Meanwhile, a traditional radiomics model was constructed using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (lasso) as comparisons with the DL-based model.

RESULTS

According to RECIST criteria, 131 patients were identified as responders with complete response, partial response, and stable disease, while 61 patients were nonresponders with progression disease. The selected predictive clinical factor turned out to be the carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level with AUC of 0.489 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.380-0.599) and 0.558 (95% CI, 0.374-0.741) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The DL-based model provided better performance than the traditional classifier-based radiomics model with significantly higher AUC (training: 0.903 [95% CI, 0.851-0.955] vs 0.745 [95% CI, 0.659-0.831]; validation: 0.820 [95% CI, 0.681-0.959] vs 0.598 [95% CI, 0.422-0.774]). The combination of DL-based model with the CEA level provided slightly increased performance with AUC of 0.935 [95% CI, 0.897-0.973] in the training cohort and 0.830 [95% CI, 0.688-0.973] in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

The developed DL-based radiomics model could improve the efficiency to predict the response to chemotherapy in CRLM, which may assist in subsequent personalized treatment decision-making in CRLM management.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio predicts early acute cellular rejection in living donor liver transplantation

Purpose

The aim of this study was to evaluate the predictive value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in acute cellular rejection (ACR) after living donor liver transplantation (LDLT).

Methods

All consecutive patients who underwent ABO-compatible (ABOc) LDLT from September 2014 to December 2017 were retrospectively reviewed. NLR was calculated on 3 occasions; (1) 4 weeks prior to liver transplantation (LT), (2) the day of LT, and (3) the day before liver biopsy.

Results

Among 66 patients who underwent ABOc LDLT, ACR was identified in 15 patients (22.7%) on protocol liver biopsy performed routinely on the postoperative day 7. There was no significant difference in NLR at 4 weeks prior to LT and the day of LT between no-ACR and ACR group (2.98 ± 1.92 vs. 2.54 ± 1.15, P = 0.433; 17.9 ± 8.31 vs. 20.5 ± 13.4, P = 0.393). However, NLR was significantly lower in ACR group compared to non-ACR group just prior to liver biopsy (5.82 ± 3.42 vs. 18.4 ± 17.2, P = 0.035). NLR tends to decrease 3.5 days before the onset of ACR. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for optimal cut-off value of NLR was 6.49, with sensitivity and specificity of 80.4% and 73.3% respectively.

Conclusion

NLR has a potential as a noninvasive predictor of early ACR in ABOc LDLT.

Novel Model to Predict the Prognosis of Patients with Stage II-III Colon Cancer

Different opinions exist on the relationship between the C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio (CAR) and the prognosis of colon cancer. This study is aimed at evaluating the relationship between CAR and prognosis of stage II–III colon cancer and establishing a clinical prognosis model. Patients were randomised to a training set (566 cases) and validation set (110 cases). The relationship between CAR and clinicopathological variables was calculated, and the Kaplan-Meier method was used to analyse the overall survival (OS) rate of colon cancer. In the training set, colon cancer independent risk factors were included in the prognosis model and then tested in the validation set. The accuracy and discrimination of the model were assessed using the C-index and calibration curves. Compared with patients with low CAR, patients with high CAR showed significantly poorer survival (P = 0.020). In the multivariate analysis, CAR, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), lymph node metastasis, operation mode, and perineural invasion were identified as independent prognostic indicators and adopted to establish the prediction model. The C-index of the nomogram for predicting OS reached 0.751 in the training set and 0.719 in the validation set. The calibration curve exhibited good consistency. In the present study, the CAR may be an independent prognostic factor for stage II–III colon cancer, and the nomogram has a certain predictive value. However, further prospective large-sample research needs to be conducted to validate our findings.

Predictive Risk Factors and Online Nomograms for Synchronous Colon Cancer With Liver Metastasis

Objectives

To develop and validate predictive nomograms of cancer specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) for synchronous colon cancer with liver metastasis (SCLM) patients.

Methods

Patients with pathologically diagnosed colon cancer with liver metastasis were retrieved from the SEER database between 2010 and 2015. Only SCLM patients were included. Univariate and multivariate cox regression analyses were conducted to identify the potential predictors of patients’ survival outcomes. The selected variables were integrated to create predictive nomograms via R tools. Furthermore, the concordance index Harrell’s C statistic (C-index) was calculated to describe the discrimination of nomograms. Calibration (1000 bootstrap resamples) curves were plotted to compare the predictions of nomograms with the observed outcomes. Decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curves were performed to evaluate the clinical effects of nomograms.

Results

A total of 22,378 SCLM patients were included. The median time of OS and CSS was 13 and 17 months, respectively. The 1-, 2-, and 3-year rate of OS was 50.6, 28.1, and 14.8%, respectively. While the 1-, 2-, and 3-year rate of CSS was 58.7, 36.8, and 22.5%, respectively. SCLM patients with increased age, left primary tumor location, AJCC IVb stage, and no chemotherapy were associated with an obviously reduced OS and CSS. Variables including age, histological grade, T/N/M stage, tumor size, bone/lung metastasis, CEA, surgery of primary site, and chemotherapy were closely related to the prognoses of SCLM patients. Nomograms of OS and CSS were built and displayed online for convenient utilization. The C-index of OS and CSS monograms were 0.74 and 0.73, respectively, indicating relatively good discrimination of the nomograms. The calibration curves suggested a good agreement between the actual observation and the nomogram prediction. DCAs and clinical impact curves reflected favorable potential clinical effects of predictive nomograms.

Conclusion

Chemotherapy, surgery of primary site, and age were important independent risk factors for the CSS and OS of SCLM patients. We built and validated two reliable nomograms of OS and CSS to predict the prognoses of SCLM patients, which can be accessed online at (https://predictive-tool.shinyapps.io/CSS-DynNomapp/; https://predictive-tool.shinyapps.io/OS-DynNomapp/).

Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and albumin bilirubin grade in hepatocellular carcinoma: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a frequent cause of cancer related death globally. Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and albumin bilirubin (ALBI) grade are emerging prognostic indicators in HCC.

AIM

To study published literature of NLR and ALBI over the last five years, and to validate NLR and ALBI locally in our centre as indicators of HCC survival.

METHODS

A systematic review of the published literature on PubMed of NLR and ALBI in HCC over the last five years. The search followed the guidelines of the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses. Additionally, we also investigated HCC cases between December 2013 and December 2018 in our centre.

RESULTS

There were 54 studies describing the relation between HCC and NLR and 95 studies describing the relation between HCC and ALBI grade over the last five years. Our local cohort of patients showed NLR to have a significant negative relationship to survival (P = 0.011). There was also significant inverse relationship between the size of the largest HCC nodule and survival (P = 0.009). Median survival with alpha fetoprotein (AFP) < 10 KU/L was 20 mo and with AFP > 10 KU/L was 5 mo. We found that AFP was inversely related to survival, this relationship was not statically significant (P = 0.132). Mean survival for ALBI grade 1 was 37.7 mo, ALBI grade 2 was 13.4 months and ALBI grade 3 was 4.5 mo. ALBI grades performed better than Child Turcotte Pugh score in detecting death from HCC.

CONCLUSION

NLR and ALBI grade in HCC predict survival better than the conventional alpha fetoprotein. ALBI grade performs better than Child Turcotte Pugh score. These markers are done as part of routine clinical care and in cases of normal alpha fetoprotein, these markers could give a better understanding of the patient disease progression. NLR and ALBI grade could have a role in modified easier to learn staging and prognostic systems for HCC.

Survival Outcomes After Metastasectomy in Melanoma Patients Categorized by Response to Checkpoint Blockade

INTRODUCTION

Checkpoint inhibitors have improved outcomes in metastatic melanoma, with 4-year overall survival (OS) of 46% for anti-PD-1 alone or 53% in combination with anti-CTLA-4. However, the median progression free survival is 6.9 and 11.5 months, respectively. Many who progress have gone on to alternative treatments, including surgery, yet the outcome of patients selected for surgery after checkpoint blockade remains unclear.

METHODS

Patients who were treated with checkpoint blockade from 2003 to 2017, followed by metastasectomy, were identified from a prospectively maintained institutional melanoma database. Response to immunotherapy was assessed at the time of surgery. Patients were categorized as having responding, isolated progressing, or multiple progressing lesions.

RESULTS

Of the 237 total patients identified, 208 (88%) had stage IV disease, and 29 (12%) had unresectable stage III disease at the start of immunotherapy. Median OS following first resection was 21 months. Median follow-up among survivors was 23 months. Complete resection at the first operation (n = 87, 37%) was associated with improved survival compared with patients with incomplete resection (n = 150, 63%) [median OS not reached (NR) vs. 10.8 months, respectively; 95% CI: 7.3, 14.8; p < 0.0001]. Patients resected for an isolated progressing or responding tumor had a longer median survival compared with those with multiple progressing lesions (NR vs. 7.8 months, 95% CI: 6.2, 11.2; p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients selected for surgical resection following checkpoint blockade have a relatively favorable survival, especially if they had a response to immunotherapy and undergo complete resection of isolated progressing or responding disease.

Progressing from Recurring Tissue Injury to Genomic Instability: A New Mechanism of Neutrophil Pathogenesis

Aberrant neutrophil (PMN) infiltration of the intestinal mucosa is a hallmark of inflammatory bowel diseases, including Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis. While the genotoxic function of PMNs and its implications in carcinogenesis have been primarily associated with oxidative stress, recent work by Butin-Israeli and colleagues has defined a novel mechanism where PMN-derived microparticles through the delivery and activity of specific miRNAs promoted formation of double-strand breaks (DSBs), and in parallel, suppressed DSB repair through the downregulation of lamin B1 and Rad51. Respective downregulation of these two proteins compromised the nuclear envelope and high-fidelity repair by homologous recombination, increasing DSB accumulation and aneuploidy. This discovery defined a novel mode of action where PMN-mediated suppression of DSB repair leading to genomic instability in the injured mucosa may facilitate progression toward colorectal cancer.