Predictive factors for conservative treatment failure of right colonic diverticulitis

Hemogram-Derived Ratios in the Prognosis of Acute Diverticulitis

Background and Objectives: It is crucial to quickly identify those patients who need immediate treatment in order to avoid the various complications related to acute diverticulitis (AD). Although several studies evaluated the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) suggesting its predictive value in assessing the severity of AD, results have been inconclusive. Therefore, we aimed to assess the relationship between the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), the monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), and systemic immune inflammation (SII) with the severity of AD, the ability to predict the presence or absence of complications, and the recurrence rate, based on the values of inflammatory markers. Materials and Methods: We retrospectively reviewed 147 patients diagnosed with AD between January 2012 to February 2023. Patients were divided into 2 groups, uncomplicated and complicated AD. The characteristics and full blood count between both groups were compared. Results: A total of 65 (44.22%) patients were classified as having complicated AD. The area under the ROC curve (AUROC) defining a Hinchey score ≥ 1b was as follows: SII, 0.812 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.73 -0.888); NLR, 0.773 (95% CI, 0.676-0.857); PLR, 0.725 (95% CI, 0.63-0.813); MLR: 0.665 (95% CI, 0.542 -0.777). An SII cutoff value of > 1200 marked the highest yield for diagnosing complicated AD, with a sensitivity of 82% and a specificity of 76%. The cumulative recurrence rate was not significantly different in the groups of SII ≥ median vs. SII < median (p = 0.35), NLR ≥ median vs. NLR < median (p = 0.347), PLR ≥ median vs. PLR < median (p = 0.597), and MLR ≥ median vs. MLR < median (p = 0.651). Conclusions: Our study indicates that SII, NLR, and PLR are statistically significant and clinically useful classifying ratios to predict higher Hinchey scores. However, they cannot predict recurrences.

The outcomes of right-sided and left-sided colonic diverticulitis following non-operative management: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

There is no sufficient overview of outcomes in right-sided and left-sided colonic diverticulitis (CD) following non-operative management. This systematic review was conducted to evaluate the recurrence/treatment failure in right-sided and left-sided CD.

Methods

A systematic review was conducted following PRISMA guidelines. MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane Library from inception to Dec 2021 were searched. The study characteristics, recurrence/treatment failure, and risk factors for recurrence/treatment failure were extracted. Proportional meta-analyses were performed to calculate the pooled recurrent/treatment failure rate of right-sided and left-sided CD using the random effect model. Logistic regression was applied for the factors associated with the recurrence/treatment failure.

Results

Thirty-eight studies with 10,129 patients were included, and only two studies comprised both sides of CD. None of the studies had a high risk of bias although significant heterogeneity existed. The pooled recurrence rate was 10% (95% CI 8–13%, I² = 86%, p < 0.01) in right-sided and 20% (95% CI 16–24%, I² = 92%, p < 0.01) in left-sided CD. For the uncomplicated CD, the pooled recurrence rate was 9% (95% CI 6–13%, I² = 77%, p < 0.01) in right-sided and 15% (95% CI 8–27%, I² = 97%, p < 0.01) in the left-sided. Age and gender were not associated with the recurrence of both sides. The treatment failure rate was 5% (95% CI 2–10%, I² = 84%, p < 0.01) in right-sided and 4% (95% CI 2–7%, I² = 80%, p < 0.01) in left-sided CD. The risk factors for recurrence and treatment failure were limited.

Conclusion

Non-operative management is effective with low rates of recurrence and treatment failure for both right-sided and left-sided CD although left-sided exhibits a higher recurrence. The recurrence rates did not differ between patients receiving antibiotics or not in uncomplicated CD. Age and sex were not associated with the recurrence although other risk factors were dispersing. Further risk factors for recurrence and treatment failure would be investigated for precise clinical decision-making and individualized strategy.