Wada Y, Tamai H, Kawashima A, Shingaki N, Mori Y, Kawaguchi M, Moribata K, Deguchi H, Ueda K, Inoue I, Maekita T, Iguchi M, Kato J, Ichinose M. Prediction of a null response to pegylated interferon α-2b plus ribavirin in patients with high viral load genotype 1b hepatitis C.
Gut Liver 2014;
8:421-7. [PMID:
25071908 PMCID:
PMC4113039 DOI:
10.5009/gnl.2014.8.4.421]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/02/2013] [Revised: 11/11/2013] [Accepted: 11/25/2013] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Background/Aims
The present study aimed to clarify whether virological response within 2 weeks after therapy initiation can predict a null response to pegylated interferon α-2b plus ribavirin therapy in patients with high viral load genotype 1b hepatitis C.
Methods
The participants consisted of 72 patients with high viral load genotype 1b. The dynamics of viral load within 2 weeks were measured.
Results
Significant differences between null responders and nonnull responders were noted for interleukin (IL)-28B genotype, amino acid 70 substitution, α-fetoprotein, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, hyaluronic acid, and viral response. The area under the curve (AUC) for the receiver operating characteristic curve of the hepatitis C virus (HCV) RNA level decline at 2 weeks (AUC=0.993) was the highest among the factors predicting the null response. When the cutoff value for the HCV RNA level decline at 2 weeks was set at 0.80 log, the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and accuracy in predicting a null response were 82%, 96%, 82%, 96%, and 94%, respectively. In comparison, values for the non-TT and mutant type of amino acid 70 substitution were similar to those for HCV RNA level decline at 2 weeks.
Conclusions
Virological response at 2 weeks or the combination of IL-28B and amino acid 70 substitution are accurate predictors of a null response.
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