Increasing Thyroid Cancer Incidence in Oman: A Joinpoint Trend Analysis

Spatial and temporal analysis of thyroid cancer incidence in Guilan Province, Northern Iran, 2009-2018

BACKGROUND

Thyroid cancer is one of the most common malignancies of the endocrine system, the fifth most common malignancy in women worldwide, and the second most common cancer in women over 50 in 2019. It is the sixth most common cancer in both sexes and the third most common cancer in women in Guilan province. This study was conducted to describe the geographic variation and investigate any changes in the trend of the thyroid cancer incidence rate.

METHODS

This study was conducted on the data of the Guilan University of Medical Sciences cancer registration system. The crude and age-standardized incidence rate was calculated per 100,000 person-years. Joinpoint regression analysis evaluated the time trends and annual percent changes (APC). The incidence rate was estimated separately for each city and high-risk areas were shown on the province map using GIS software.

RESULTS

1742 cases of thyroid cancer (83.7 % in women and 16.3 % in men) were registered in Guilan province from 2009 to 18. The incidence of thyroid cancer was 5.1-fold higher in women than men. The results of the joinpoint regression analysis showed that the age-standardized incidence rate of thyroid cancer in both sexes has increased significantly over ten years (APC: 26.4; 95 %CI: 22.5-30.4), (P-value < 0.001). In our study, Astaneh-ye Ashrafiyeh, Lahijan, and Langarud cities were identified as high-risk areas of the province for both sexes.

CONCLUSION

The trend of incidence of thyroid cancer in Guilan province is increasing. Also, a wide geographical variation was found in the incidence of thyroid cancer.

Analyzing Cancer Incidence Trends in Oman From 1996 to 2019: A Comprehensive Study of the National Cancer Annual Reports

PURPOSE

Previous studies have reported that cancer incidence trends in Oman varied by tumor site and sex. No comprehensive analysis of all cancer sites had been reported. The objective of this study is to analyze cancer incidence trends in Oman and calculate the annual percent change (APC) in age-standardized rates (ASRs) for all-cancer and 61 individual cancer sites in Omani men and women from 1996 to 2019.

METHODS

We gathered incidence data from The Omani National Cancer Registry for all cancers combined and individual tumor sites. We estimated the APC using Poisson regression.

RESULTS

The cancer ASR in the Omani population increased by 23% (from 95/100,000 in 1996 to 117.2/100,000 in 2019), with the increase being more pronounced in females (48% v 7% in males). Among the male population, there was significant increase in the ASRs of colon, rectum, thyroid, and prostate cancers, with APCs of 6.92%, 4.24%, 4.19%, and 2.03%, respectively. Among females, all-cancer incidence showed significant increase (APC = 1.39%), and increasing trends were observed in uterine, colon, rectum, thyroid, and breast cancers (APCs = 7.57%, 7.08%, 5.19%, 5.16%, and 4.19%, respectively).

CONCLUSION

The ASR of all-cancer increased significantly in Omani women but not in men. Uterine cancer had the highest APC. Colorectal cancer and thyroid ASR increased in both males and females. Breast and prostate cancers showed increasing trends. Further research is needed to explore factors contributing to increasing cancer incidences.

Burden of thyroid cancer in North Africa and Middle East 1990–2019

Background

Thyroid cancer is the leading cause of mortality and morbidity among cancers of the endocrine system. We aimed to describe the trends of thyroid cancer burden in North Africa and Middle East for 1990–2019.

Methods

Data on burden of thyroid cancer in North Africa and Middle East from 1990 to 2019 were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019. Decomposition analysis was used to estimate the effects of population growth, aging, and change in incident numbers on overall change of thyroid cancer incidence. Also, we used the comparative risk assessment framework of GBD to determine the burden of thyroid cancer attributable to a high body mass index (BMI).

Results

In 2019, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) of thyroid cancer were 3.5 (2.9–4) and 0.5 (0.5–0.7) per 100,000, respectively. The highest age-standardized incidence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rate were in Lebanon, Afghanistan, and United Arab Emirates, respectively. The ASIR of thyroid cancer in region was about 2.5 times higher among women, which had a positive association with increasing age. In 2019, the age-standardized deaths attributable to a high BMI was 16.7% of all deaths due to thyroid cancer. In 1990–2019, the overall change in thyroid cancer incident cases was a 396% increase which was mostly driven by the increase in disease-specific incidence rate (256.8%).

Conclusions

Women, the elderly above about 60 years old, and countries with a higher sociodemographic index showed higher incidence rates of thyroid cancer. Regarding our findings, it is recommended to establish preventive plans by modification in life style like weight reduction programs.

Features and diagnostic accuracy of fine needle aspiration cytology of thyroid nodules: retrospective study from Oman

BACKGROUND

Fine needle aspiration cytology (FNAC) of the thyroid has been a reliable and cost-effective method for diagnosing thyroid disorders. Since FNAC results are usually operator dependent, there is a compelling need to explore FNAC accuracy among Omanis.

OBJECTIVE

Describe cytological features of FNAC and assess FNAC accuracy compared to the postsurgical histopathology report.

DESIGN

Retrospective diagnostic accuracy study SETTING: Tertiary care center.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Our study included adult Omani adult patients with thyroid nodules who underwent FNAC from 2014 to 2017 and had final pathology results for patients who underwent thyroid surgery. The results were classified according to the UK Royal college of Pathologists 'Thy' categories. Accuracy of FNAC was calculated by determining false and true positive and negative results based on histopathology findings.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

FNAC accuracy (sensitivity and specificity) compared to the postsurgical histopathology.

SAMPLE SIZE

867 patients with 1359 ultrasound guided FNACs of thyroid nodule; 137 underwent surgery.

RESULTS

The mean age of the 867 patients was 43.7 (13.3) years, with a median of 42 years, and 87.8% were females. Out of 1359 FNACs, 1001 (73.7%) were benign (Thy2), 119 (8.8%) were atypia of undetermined significance or follicular lesion of undetermined significance (Thy3a), 31 (2.3%) were follicular neoplasm or suspicious for a follicular neoplasm (Thy3f), 52 (3.8%) were suspicious for malignancy (Thy4), 55 (4%) were malignant (Thy5), 101 (7.4%) as Unsatisfactory (Thy1). Only 137 patients underwent thyroid surgery, and the FNAC reports were compared with their final histopathology reports. The sensitivity, specificity and total accuracy of FNAC were 80.2%, 98.9% and 89.9%, respectively. The positive and negative predictive values of FNAC were 98.6% and 84.3%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our study findings confirmed that FNAC of the thyroid is a sensitive, specific, and accurate initial tool for the diagnosis of thyroid lesions. Most of the FNACs were benign with a very low malignancy rate. Due to the minimal chance of false negative results and the slow-growing nature of thyroid malignancy, it is important that patients with benign FNAC should have periodic clinical and radiological follow-up.

LIMITATIONS

Retrospective design and single-center study, and thyroid nodule size unavailable.

CONFLICT OF INTEREST

None.

The association of obesity with thyroid carcinoma risk

Background

The prevalence of obesity and an increased incidence of thyroid carcinoma (TC) threaten public health in parallel on a global scale. Sufficient evidence supports excess body fatness in thyroid carcinogenesis, and the role and anthropometric markers of obesity have been causally associated with the rising risk of TC.

Methods

A literature search was conducted in PubMed. Studies focused on the effect of obesity in TC.

Results

This review mainly discusses the global incidence and prevalence of obesity‐related TC. We also review the role of obesity in TC and potential clinical strategies for obesity‐related TC.

Conclusions

Excess body fatness in early life and TC survival initiate adverse effects later in life.

The incidence of thyroid cancer has been increasing in the last decades all over the world. Such a steady growth cannot be entirely attributable to more sensitive diagnostic procedures. Obesity has increased with sufficient rapidity in the same time frame and may as possible promoters and modifiable risk factors for thyroid cancer in recent years. The aim of this review was to focus on the relationship between obesity and the risk of thyroid cancer. Obesity seems to play a relevant role in thyroid cancer carcinogenesis as well as in its severity and aggressiveness. The possible underlying mechanism is involved chronic inflammation mediated by cytokines, leptin, and adiponectins.

Factors Associated with Malignancy in Patients with Maximal Thyroid Nodules ≥2 Cm

Purpose

The relationship between large thyroid nodules and the risk of malignancy is controversial. This study aimed to examine the relationship between thyroid nodule size and the risk of malignancy of maximal thyroid nodules ≥2 cm and the risk of accompanied by occult thyroid carcinoma.

Methods

This was a retrospective study of patients who underwent near-total or total thyroidectomy for thyroid nodules from January 2016 to January 2019 at the First Affiliated Hospital,Zhejiang University School of Medicine. Clinical, biochemical, and pathological characteristics were examined for association with malignancy using univariable, multivariable, and receiver operating characteristic curve analyses.

Results

Finally, 367 patients (277 females (75.5%) and 90 males (24.5%)) with a mean age of 49.0±13.5 years were included. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that age (OR=0.959, 95% CI: 0.939–0.979, P<0.001), Hashimoto’s thyroiditis (OR=2.437, 95% CI: 1.162–5.112, P=0.018), the diameter of maximal nodule (small) (OR=0.706, 95% CI: 0.541–0.919, P=0.010), and punctate echogenic foci (OR=2.837, 95% CI: 1.598–5.286, P<0.001) were independently associated with malignancy. Of 223 patients who had non-suspicious malignant nodules (TI-RADS <4), 12.7% (n=29) patients showed malignancy at postoperative pathology. Only age was associated with occult PTC in the univariable analyses (OR=0.962, 95% CI: 0.934–0.991, P=0.011). When TPOAb was used as a continuous variable for statistical analysis, it showed a significant difference in the ROC curve, and the results showed TPOAb >31.4 mIU/L was more associated with occult PTC (P=0.006). A predictive model including four independent risk factors of malignancy showed an optimal discriminatory accuracy (area under the curve, AUC) of 0.783 (95% CI=0.732–0.833).

Conclusion

Relatively young age (<54.5 years), Hashimoto’s thyroiditis, the diameter of the maximal nodule, and punctate echogenic foci were independently associated with thyroid malignancy in patients with maximal thyroid nodules ≥2 cm. Young age (<54.5 years) and TPOAb >31.4 mIU/L were associated with occult PTC.