Plasma Prothrombin Time and Esophageal Varices in Patients with Cirrhosis of Liver

Computed tomography-based multi-organ radiomics nomogram model for predicting the risk of esophagogastric variceal bleeding in cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Radiomics has been used in the diagnosis of cirrhosis and prediction of its associated complications. However, most current studies predict the risk of esophageal variceal bleeding (EVB) based on image features at a single level, which results in incomplete data. Few studies have explored the use of global multi-organ radiomics for non-invasive prediction of EVB secondary to cirrhosis.

AIM

To develop a model based on clinical and multi-organ radiomic features to predict the risk of first-instance secondary EVB in patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

In this study, 208 patients with cirrhosis were retrospectively evaluated and randomly split into training (n = 145) and validation (n = 63) cohorts. Three areas were chosen as regions of interest for extraction of multi-organ radiomic features: The whole liver, whole spleen, and lower esophagus-gastric fundus region. In the training cohort, radiomic score (Rad-score) was created by screening radiomic features using the inter-observer and intra-observer correlation coefficients and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method. Independent clinical risk factors were selected using multivariate logistic regression analyses. The radiomic features and clinical risk variables were combined to create a new radiomics-clinical model (RC model). The established models were validated using the validation cohort.

RESULTS

The RC model yielded the best predictive performance and accurately predicted the EVB risk of patients with cirrhosis. Ascites, portal vein thrombosis, and plasma prothrombin time were identified as independent clinical risk factors. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values for the RC model, Rad-score (liver + spleen + esophagus), Rad-score (liver), Rad-score (spleen), Rad-score (esophagus), and clinical model in the training cohort were 0.951, 0.930, 0.801, 0.831, 0.864, and 0.727, respectively. The corresponding AUC values in the validation cohort were 0.930, 0.886, 0.763, 0.792, 0.857, and 0.692.

CONCLUSION

In patients with cirrhosis, combined multi-organ radiomics and clinical model can be used to non-invasively predict the probability of the first secondary EVB.

Platelet Count to Prothrombin Time: A Noninvasive Predictor of Esophageal Varices in Patients With Chronic Liver Disease

Introduction Esophageal variceal bleeding is a potentially deadly consequence of portal hypertension in patients with cirrhosis. Although upper gastrointestinal endoscopy is still the preferred method for identifying esophageal varices (EV), the present study measured the platelet count to prothrombin time (PLT/PT) ratio for the assessment of portal hypertension and subsequent diagnosis of EVs in patients with chronic liver disease (CLD). Methods This was an observational comparative study conducted in the outpatient department of Patel Hospital, Karachi, Pakistan, using a non-probability consecutive sampling technique. Ethical approval was obtained from the Patel Hospital ethical review committee (PH/IRB/2022/028). An independent sample t-test was used for parametric data, whereas the Mann-Whitney U test was used for non-parametric data. The chi-square test was used to compare the categorical data of patients with and without EV. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed to evaluate the cutoff values for the PLT/PT ratio, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC). Results The study involved 105 patients with and without EV. Among them, 38 (63.3%) males and 22 (36.7%) females had EV, whereas 30 (66.7%) males and 15 (33.3%) females did not. The platelet (PLT) count was also significantly lower in patients with EV (87.6 ± 59.8) than in those without (176.6 ± 87.7) (p < 0.001). The PLT/PT ratio was significantly lower in patients with EV (median: 5.04, IQR: 3.12-9.21) compared to those without (median: 14.57, IQR: 8.08-20.58) (p < 0.001). The sensitivity and specificity of the PLT/PT ratio for identifying EVs were 97.80% and 83.30%, respectively. Conclusion We found a significantly lower PLT/PT ratio in cases with EV than those without EV. After defining an optimal cutoff, PLT/PT had a high sensitivity in identifying cases with EVs in CLD. Therefore, we conclude that in patients with CLD, the PLT/PT ratio is a noninvasive predictor for the presence of EV.

Diffusion tensor imaging of the spleen in prediction and grading of esophageal varices in cirrhotic children with portal hypertension

PURPOSE

To assess diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) of spleen in prediction and grading of esophageal varices (OV) in cirrhotic children.

METHODS

This prospective study was conducted upon 30 children with cirrhotic children with OV and 10 age-gender matched controls that underwent DTI of abdomen. Mean diffusivity (MD) and fractional anisotropy (FA) of spleen were calculated and matched with the grading of OV at endoscopy and laboratory biomarkers of portal hypertension.

RESULTS

Mean ADC of spleen in patient was significantly different (p = 0.001) from that of controls by both reviewers respectively. The cutoff ADC measurement of the spleen used for prediction of OV was ≥ 0.75 and ≥ 0.76 × 10^-3mm²/s with AUC was 0.993 and 0.997 for both reviewers respectively. The FA of the spleen in patient was different (p = 0.01) from of controls of both reviewers respectively. Cutoff FA of spleen used for prediction of OV was ≤ 0.35 and ≤ 0.36 for both observers respectively. ADC and FA of spleen was correlated with platelets count (r =  - 0.713, 0.392; p = 0.001, 0.012) and prothrombin time (r = 0.518, - 0.380; p = 0.001, 0.016).

CONCLUSION

DTI metrics of spleen can predict and grade OV and correlated with laboratory biomarkers of portal hypertension.