Assessment of the Surveillance Interval at 1 Year after Curative Treatment in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Risk Stratification

Heavy smoking increases early mortality risk in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after curative treatment

BACKGROUNDS/AIMS

Although cigarette smoking has been associated with an increased risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), its association with HCC mortality remains underexplored. We aimed to evaluate the effect of smoking on early mortality in HCC patients following curative treatment.

METHODS

Data from the Korean Primary Liver Cancer Registry were examined for HCC patients who underwent liver resection or radiofrequency ablation between 2015 and 2018. Smoking cumulative dose was assessed in pack-years. The primary outcome was the 3-year overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Among 1,924 patients, 161 were classified as heavy smokers (≥40 pack-years). Heavy smokers exhibited a lower 3-year survival rate (77.1%) than nonsmokers (83.3%), with a significant difference observed in the 3-year OS (P=0.016). The assessment of smoking pack-years in relation to 3-year OS revealed a dose-dependent pattern, with the hazard ratio exceeding 1.0 at 20 pack-years and continuing to rise until 40 pack-years, reaching peak at 1.21 (95% confidence interval, 1.01-1.45). Multivariate Cox-regression analysis revealed heavy smoking, age ≥60 years, underlying cirrhosis, tumor size >3 cm, vascular invasion, and Child-Pugh class B/C as risk factors for 3-year OS. Subgroup analyses of patients with a tumor size <3 cm, absence of vascular invasion, and meeting the Milan criteria also showed inferior outcomes for heavy smokers in all three subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

Heavy smoking, defined as a history of >40 pack-years, was linked to poorer 3-year survival outcomes in HCC patients undergoing curative treatments, underscoring the importance of smoking cessation in this population.

Assessing recent recurrence after hepatectomy for hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma by a predictive model based on sarcopenia

BACKGROUND

Sarcopenia may be associated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following hepatectomy. But traditional single clinical variables are still insufficient to predict recurrence. We still lack effective prediction models for recent recurrence (time to recurrence < 2 years) after hepatectomy for HCC.

AIM

To establish an interventable prediction model to estimate recurrence-free survival (RFS) after hepatectomy for HCC based on sarcopenia.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 283 hepatitis B-related HCC patients who underwent curative hepatectomy for the first time, and the skeletal muscle index at the third lumbar spine was measured by preoperative computed tomography. 94 of these patients were enrolled for external validation. Cox multivariate analysis was per-formed to identify the risk factors of postoperative recurrence in training cohort. A nomogram model was developed to predict the RFS of HCC patients, and its predictive performance was validated. The predictive efficacy of this model was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic curve.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis showed that sarcopenia [Hazard ratio(HR) = 1.767, 95%CI: 1.166-2.678, P < 0.05], alpha-fetoprotein ≥ 40 ng/mL (HR = 1.984, 95%CI: 1.307-3.011, P < 0.05), the maximum diameter of tumor > 5 cm (HR = 2.222, 95%CI: 1.285-3.842, P < 0.05), and hepatitis B virus DNA level ≥ 2000 IU/mL (HR = 2.1, 95%CI: 1.407-3.135, P < 0.05) were independent risk factors associated with postoperative recurrence of HCC. Based on the sarcopenia to assess the RFS model of hepatectomy with hepatitis B-related liver cancer disease (SAMD) was established combined with other the above risk factors. The area under the curve of the SAMD model was 0.782 (95%CI: 0.705-0.858) in the training cohort (sensitivity 81%, specificity 63%) and 0.773 (95%CI: 0.707-0.838) in the validation cohort. Besides, a SAMD score ≥ 110 was better to distinguish the high-risk group of postoperative recurrence of HCC.

CONCLUSION

Sarcopenia is associated with recent recurrence after hepatectomy for hepatitis B-related HCC. A nutritional status-based prediction model is first established for postoperative recurrence of hepatitis B-related HCC, which is superior to other models and contributes to prognosis prediction.

Early versus Late Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Microwave Ablation: Patterns, Treatments, and Post-Recurrence Survival

INTRODUCTION

Recurrence after microwave ablation (MWA) has not been extensively studied. We aimed to investigate the patterns, treatments, and survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who experienced early and late recurrence after MWA.

METHODS

This retrospective study included patients with HCC recurrence after MWA as the initial treatment from January 2008 to December 2021. Recurrence patterns, treatments, and outcomes between patients with early and late HCC recurrence were compared. Prognostic factors of post-recurrence survival (PRS) were identified by multivariable Cox regression analyses.

RESULTS

Among 222 patients, 128 developed early recurrence (≤2 years after MWA) and 94 had late recurrence (>2 years). Majority of the recurrent HCC were intrahepatic-only recurrence, within the Milan criteria, and received potentially curative treatment. No significant differences in the recurrence patterns, vascular invasion, tumor staging, post-recurrence treatments, or median PRS (35.0 vs. 33.0 months, p = 0.523) were identified between patients with early and late recurrence. Multivariable analyses suggested that multiple tumor number (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.54; 95% CI: 1.03-2.30, p = 0.038), extrahepatic recurrence (HR: 2.14, 95% CI: 1.16-3.92, p = 0.015), vascular invasion (HR: 2.37, 95% CI: 1.18-4.76, p = 0.038), and higher ALBI grade (HR: 2.18, 95% CI: 1.54-3.08, p < 0.001) were independent risk factors of worse PRS, while curative treatment after recurrence (HR: 0.59, 95% CI: 0.38-0.92, p = 0.020) was associated with better PRS.

CONCLUSIONS

No differences in recurrence patterns, post-recurrence treatments, or PRS were found between HCC patients with early and late recurrence following MWA. Tumor burden and patients' liver function reserve should be considered to decide the optimal post-recurrence treatment after MWA.

Proper position of single and large (≥5 cm) hepatocellular carcinoma in Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer classification

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the proper position of single large hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system. The data were collected from the nationwide multicentre database of the Korean Liver Cancer Association. Patients with single large (≥5 cm) HCC were separated from BCLC stage A patients and designated as Group X. The remaining BCLC stage A and stage B patients were classified as Group A and Group B, respectively. The survival outcomes of propensity score-matched groups were compared. Among the 3965 randomly selected patients, the number of patients in Group X, Group A, and Group B was 414, 2787, and 760, respectively. TriMatch analysis allowed us to obtain 116 well-balanced triplets. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rates in Group X were worse than in Group A (91%, 71%, and 48% vs 90%, 78%, and 64%, respectively; P < .000). However, the rates were not different compared with those in Group B (91%, 71%, and 48% vs 90%, 69%, and 48%, respectively; P < .09). In multivariate analysis, Group X, Group B, age over 60 years, prothrombin time-international normalized ratio, and creatinine level were independent predictors of worse overall survival. Our findings suggest that Group X should be relocated to BCLC stage B rather than BCLC stage A.

Consensus on the tertiary prevention of primary liver cancer

To effectively prevent recurrence, improve the prognosis and increase the survival rate of primary liver cancer (PLC) patients with radical cure, the Chinese Society of Hepatology, Chinese Medical Association, invited clinical experts and methodologists to develop the Consensus on the Tertiary Prevention of Primary Liver Cancer, which was based on the clinical and scientific advances on the risk factors, histopathology, imaging finding, clinical manifestation, and prevention of recurrence of PLC. The purpose is to provide a current basis for the prevention, surveillance, early detection and diagnosis, and the effective measures of PLC recurrence.

Hazard rate for postoperative recurrence in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma at Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0 or A1: A multicenter observational study

AIM

Surgical treatment is the first-line treatment for patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage 0 or A1 hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and postoperative monitoring improves long-term survival. We aimed to establish a reasonable short-interval follow-up duration for patients with HCC.

METHODS

The cohort for this retrospective study included 1396 HCC patients with BCLC stage 0 or A1 disease who underwent curative resection from 2013 to 2016 at five centers in China. Hazard rates for recurrence were calculated using the hazard function.

RESULTS

The recurrence rates in patients with BCLC stage 0 and A1 HCC were 46.4% and 58.0%, respectively. The hazard curve for stage 0 patients was relatively flat, and the hazard rate was consistently low (peak hazard rate 0.0163). The hazard rate curve for recurrence was initially high (peak hazard rate 0.0441) in patients with BCLC stage A1 disease and showed a rapid decreasing trend within 1 year, followed by a slow decreasing trend, reaching a low level (<0.0163) at approximately 36 months. The time to low risk was 47, 41, and 51 months in patients with cirrhosis, hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, and satellite lesions, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

A short-interval follow-up of 1 year is sufficient for HCC patients with BCLC stage 0 disease, whereas a short-interval follow-up time of 3 years should be considered for patients with stage A1 disease. The follow-up period should be appropriately prolonged for patients with cirrhosis, HBV infection, and satellite lesions.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Follow-Up Schedule for Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Radiofrequency Ablation

Methods

A Markov model was established to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of every 2 months or 2-3 months (2- to 3-month group) versus every 3 months or 3-4 months (3- to 4-month group) posttreatment surveillance in the first two years for HCC after RFA. Transition probabilities and utility values were derived from the literature review. Costs of follow-up were estimated from our institution. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), which was less than $10888 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY), was considered cost-effective. Sensitivity analyses were performed to determine the uncertainty of the model.

Results

The 2- to 3-month group gained 1.196 QALYs at a cost of $2212.66, while the effectiveness and cost of the 3- to 4-month group were 1.029 QALYs and $1268.92, respectively. The ICER of the 2- to 3-month group versus the 3- to 4-month group was $5651.14 per QALY gained, which was less than the willingness-to-pay threshold of 1-time gross domestic product per capita of China ($10888/QALY). One-way sensitivity analysis showed that the model was most sensitive to the utility of progression-free survival. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the 2- to 3-month group had a higher probability of being more cost-effective than the 3- to 4-month group when willingness to pay was over $1088.8.

Conclusions

Every 2 months or 2-3 months of follow-up intervals were more cost-effective than 3 months or 3-4 months of follow-up intervals. Thus, the intensive follow-up interval in the first two years was recommended for Child-Pugh class A or B HCC patients within the Milan criteria following RFA.

Intrahepatic recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after resection: an update

Hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence occurs in 40-70% of patients after hepatic resection. Despite the high frequency of hepatocellular cancer relapse, there is no established guidance for the management of such cases. The evaluation of prognostic factors that indicate a high risk of recurrence after surgery such as the tumor number and size and the presence of microvascular invasion may guide the therapeutic strategy and point out which patients should be strictly monitored. Additionally, the administration of adjuvant treatment or ab initio liver transplantation in selected patients with high-risk characteristics could have a significant impact on the prevention of relapse and overall survival. Once the recurrence has occurred in the liver remnant, the available therapeutic options include re-resection, salvage liver transplantation and locoregional treatments, although the therapeutic choice is often challenging and should be based on the characteristics of the recurrent tumor, the patient profile and most importantly the timing of relapse. Aggressive combination treatments are often required in challenging cases of early relapse. The results of the above treatment strategies are reviewed and compared to determine the optimal management of patients with recurrent hepatocellular cancer following liver resection.