Conditional Cancer Survival of the Corpus Uterine in the USA

Conditional estimates for uterine serous cancer: Tools for survivorship counseling and planning

OBJECTIVES

Develop conditional survival and risk-assessment estimates for uterine serous carcinoma (USC) overall and stratified by stage as tools for annual survivorship counseling and care planning.

METHODS

Patients in the National Cancer Data Base diagnosed between 2004 and 2014 with stage I-IV USC were eligible. Individuals missing stage or survival data or with multiple malignancies were excluded. Five-year conditional survival was estimated using the stage-stratified Kaplan-Meier method annually during follow-up. A standardized mortality ratio (SMR) estimated the proportion of observed to expected deaths in the U.S. adjusted for year, age, and race. The relationships between prognostic factors and survival were studied using multivariate Cox modeling at diagnosis and conditioned on surviving 5-years.

RESULTS

There were 14,575 participants, including 43% with stage I, 8% with stage II, 29% with stage III, and 20% with stage IV USC. Five-year survival at diagnosis vs. after surviving 5-years was 52% vs. 75% overall, 77% vs. 81% for stage I, 57% vs. 72% for stage II, 40% vs. 66% for stage III, and 17% vs. 60% for stage IV USC, respectively (P < 0.0001). Incremental improvements in 5-year conditional survival and reductions in SMR tracked with annual follow-up and higher stage. The adjusted risk of death at diagnosis vs. after surviving 5-years was 1.15 vs. 1.40 per 5-year increase of age, 1.26 vs. 1.68 for Medicaid insurance, 3.92 vs. 2.48 for stage III disease, and 6.65 vs. 2.79 for stage IV disease, respectively (P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

In USC, the evolution of conditional survival permits annual reassessments of prognosis to tailor survivorship counseling and care planning.

Conditional relative survival of patients with endometrial cancer: a Korean National Cancer Registry study

Objective

The purpose of this study was to estimate 5-year conditional relative survival (5Y CRS) rates of endometrial cancer (EC) in Korea accounting for time already survived. Subgroup-specific estimates stratified by various patient characteristics were also presented.

Methods

Using the data from the Korean Central Cancer Registry, 5Y CRS rates were calculated in patients who were diagnosed with EC between 1998 and 2017. The CRS rates were presented by year of diagnosis, age at diagnosis, histology, cancer stage, and treatment received.

Results

The 5-year relative survival rate at the time of diagnosis was 89.0% for all cases. The probability of surviving an additional 5 years (i.e., 5Y CRS), if the patient survived 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 years after diagnosis was 91.8%, 94.1%, 95.6%, 96.5%, and 97.3%, respectively. Patients with poor initial prognoses, i.e., those who were older, had non-endometrioid histology, and high stage, showed the largest improvements in 5Y CRS, reaching >90% for most subgroups, except those with serous histology (88.4%) and distant stage (77.7%). Patients aged ≥70 years had the highest probability of death in the 1st and 2nd years after diagnosis (13.8 and 11.0%), but the conditional probability of death in the 3rd, 4th, and 5th years declined rapidly to 7.3%, 4.5%, and 3.7%, respectively.

Conclusion

The CRS rates for patients with EC improved with increased time elapsed from diagnosis. The greatest improvements in 5Y CRS were observed among patients who were older, those with non-endometrioid histology, and those with more advanced disease.

There is paucity of research which estimated the conditional relative survival (CRS) rates for patients with endometrial cancer, and the Asian population is underrepresented in these studies, despite that Asian patients have different age and histologic distribution. CRS rates were presented by year of diagnosis, age at diagnosis, histology, cancer stage, and treatment received. Such estimates based on patient's evolving risk profile will provide updated prognostic information useful for both patients and healthcare providers.