Cardiac biomarkers improve prediction performance of the combination of American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status classification and Americal College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program calculator for postoperative mortality in elderly patients: a pilot study

BACKGROUND

Our previous research has shown American Society of Anaesthesiologists physical status classification (ASA) score and Americal College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP) calculator to have the most accuracy in the prediction of postoperative mortality.

AIMS

The aim of our research was to define the most reliable combination of cardiac biomarkers with ASA and ACS NSQIP.

METHODS

We have included a total of 78 patients. ASA score has been determined in standard fashion, while we used the available interactive calculator for the ACS NSQIP score. Biomarkers BIRC5, H-FABP, and hsCRP have been measured in specialized laboratories.

RESULTS

All of the deceased patients had survivin (BIRC5) > 4.00 pg/ml, higher values of H-FABP and hsCRP and higher estimated levels of ASA and ACS NSQIP (P = 0.0001). ASA and ACS NSQIP alone had AUC of, respectively, 0.669 and 0.813. The combination of ASA and ACS NSQIP had AUC = 0.841. Combination of hsCRP with the two risk scores had AUC = 0.926 (95% CI 0.853-1.000, P < 0.0001). If we add three cardiac biomarkers to this model, we get AUC as high as 0.941 (95% CI 0.876-1.000, P < 0.0001). The correction of statistical models with comorbidities (CIRS-G score) did not change the accuracy of prediction models that we have provided.

DISCUSSION

Addition of ACS NSQIP and biomarkers adds to the accuracy of ASA score, which has already been proved by other authors.

CONCLUSION

Cardiac biomarker hsCRP can be used as the most reliable cardiac biomarker; however, the "multimarker approach" adds the most to the accuracy of the combination of clinical risk scores.

Diagnosing Perioperative Cardiovascular Risks in Noncardiac Surgery Patients

Every year, over 200 million adults are undergoing noncardiac surgery. These noncardiac surgery patients may face the risk of cardiac mortality and morbidity during the perioperative and recovery periods. Around ten million patients who underwent noncardiac surgery experience cardiac complications within the first 30 days of the postoperative period; the complications are myocardial infarction, cardiac death, and cardiac arrest. This cardiovascular risk is mostly faced by the patients having cerebrovascular or cardiac disease and the patients with the age greater than 50 years. Monitoring and treating cardiac diseases with a suitable biomarker during the perioperative period is necessary for the early recovery of noncardiac surgery patients. This review discussed the risk factors and the key guidelines to avoid the cardiovascular risks during the perioperative period of noncardiac surgery patients. In addition, the biomarkers and identification strategies for cardiac diseases are discussed.