Serum biomarkers for predicting pregnancy outcome in women undergoing IVF: human chorionic gonadotropin, progesterone, and inhibin A level at 11 days post-ET

Initial β-hCG levels and 2-day-later increase rates effectively predict pregnancy outcomes in single blastocyst transfer in frozen-thawed or fresh cycles: A retrospective cohort study

To investigate whether the initial beta-human chorionic gonadotropin (β-hCG) levels and their rate of increase differ after single fresh and frozen blastocyst transfers, and whether these values effectively predict pregnancy outcomes. This retrospective cohort study was conducted at the Sisli Memorial Hospital, assisted reproductive technology, and Reproductive Genetics Center in Istanbul, Turkey, between January 2016 and January 2022. Three thousand two hundred thirty-eight single blastocyst transfers with positive pregnancy test results were evaluated. Of these, 738 were fresh transfer cycles and 2500 were frozen-thawed embryo transfer (FET) cycles. β-hCG test results from 9 days after fresh and FET cycles were compared between the groups with biochemical pregnancy, early pregnancy loss, and live birth outcomes. The threshold values were determined for each pregnancy outcome. The rate of increase between the first and second β-hCG tests performed 2 days apart was determined for each pregnancy outcome. Finally, the listed values were compared between the FET and fresh cycle. Mean baseline β-hCG levels were significantly higher in FET cycles than in fresh cycles, regardless of pregnancy outcomes (P < .005). Baseline β-hCG levels were higher in fresh cycles with live births (171.76 ± 109.64 IU/L) compared to biochemical and clinical pregnancy losses (50.37 ± 24.31 and 114.86 ± 72.42, respectively) (P < .001). Live births in FET cycles resulted in higher baseline β-hCG levels (193.57 ± 100.38 IU/L) compared to biochemical and clinical pregnancy loss groups (68.41 ± 51.85 and 149.29 ± 96.99 IU/L, respectively) (P < .001). The β-hCG threshold for live birth for fresh cycles was 116.5 IU/L (sensitivity 80%, specificity 70%, positive predictive value 90%, negative predictive value 54%) and 131.5 IU/L for FET cycles (sensitivity 71%, specificity 68%, positive predictive value 87%, negative predictive value 50%). The percentage of the area under the curve for single fresh blastocyst transfers was 0.81 and 0.76 for frozen transfers. The rate of increase in β-hCG was similar in fresh and FET cycles. Initial β-hCG levels and 2-day increases are effective parameters for diagnosing pregnancy in fresh and FET cycles. The initial β-hCG level was significantly higher in the FET cycles than in the fresh cycles. Predicting outcomes earlier helps clinicians to manage and follow high-risk pregnancies.

Low Luteal Serum Progesterone Levels Are Associated With Lower Ongoing Pregnancy and Live Birth Rates in ART: Systematic Review and Meta-Analyses

Progesterone plays a key role in implantation. Several studies reported that lower luteal progesterone levels might be related to decreased chances of pregnancy. This systematic review was conducted using appropriate key words, on MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library, from 1990 up to March 2021 to assess if luteal serum progesterone levels are associated with ongoing pregnancy (OP) and live birth (LB) rates (primary outcomes) and miscarriage rate (secondary outcome), according to the number of corpora lutea (CLs). Overall 2,632 non-duplicate records were identified, of which 32 relevant studies were available for quantitative analysis. In artificial cycles with no CL, OP and LB rates were significantly decreased when the luteal progesterone level falls below a certain threshold (risk ratio [RR] 0.72; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.62-0.84 and 0.73; 95% CI 0.59-0.90, respectively), while the miscarriage rate was increased (RR 1.48; 95% CI 1.17-1.86). In stimulated cycles with several CLs, the mean luteal progesterone level in the no OP and no LB groups was significantly lower than in the OP and LB groups [difference in means 68.8 (95% CI 45.6-92.0) and 272.4 (95% CI 10.8-533.9), ng/ml, respectively]. Monitoring luteal serum progesterone levels could help in individualizing progesterone administration to enhance OP and LB rates, especially in cycles without corpus luteum.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=139019, identifier 139019.

Association between 7-day serum β-hCG levels after frozen-thawed embryo transfer and pregnancy outcomes: a single-centre retrospective study from China

OBJECTIVE

Early monitoring of plasma human chorionic gonadotropin (β-hCG) level is vital in predicting pregnancy outcome. This study investigated the predictive value of serum β-hCG level on the seventh day after frozen-thawed embryo transfer (FET) for ongoing pregnancy (OP) and adverse pregnancy (AP).

DESIGN

Retrospective study.

SETTING

The Reproductive and Genetic Center of the Affiliated Hospital of Shandong University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, China.

PARTICIPANTS

1061 pregnant women who underwent FET between January 2014 and January 2017.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Pregnancy outcome.

RESULTS

Serum β-hCG levels on the seventh day after FET were higher in the single OP group compared with the biochemical pregnancy group (p<0.001). Besides, the serum β-hCG cut-off level at 4.34 mIU/mL on the seventh day showed high predictive value (area under the curve (AUC)=0.852). Serum β-hCG levels on the seventh day after FET were higher in the twin OP group compared with the single OP group (p<0.001). Also, the serum β-hCG cut-off level at 17.95 mIU/mL on the seventh day showed high predictive value (AUC=0.903). Serum β-hCG levels on the seventh day after FET were lower in the ectopic pregnancy group compared with the single OP group (p<0.001) whereas, serum β-hCG cut-off level at 4.53 mIU/mL on the seventh day exhibited a high predictive value (AUC=0.860). Further, the serum β-hCG levels on the seventh day after FET were lower in the single early spontaneous abortion group compared with the single OP group (p<0.001) while the serum β-hCG cut-off level at 5.34 mIU/mL on the seventh day exhibited high predictive value (AUC=0.738).

CONCLUSION

Serum β-hCG on the seventh day after FET has good clinical significance for the prediction of OP and AP.

Development of a novel nomogram for predicting ongoing pregnancy after in vitro fertilization and embryo transfer

Objective

This study aimed to develop a nomogram that predicts ongoing pregnancy after in vitro fertilization and embryo transfer (IVF-ET) using patient age and serum hormonal markers.

Methods

A total of 284 IVF-ET cycles were retrospectively analyzed. At 14 days post-oocyte pick-up (OPU), the serum human chorionic gonadotropin (HCG) and progesterone levels were measured. The main predicted outcome was ongoing pregnancy.

Results

Patient age and serum of HCG and progesterone levels at 14 days post-OPU were good predictors of ongoing pregnancy. The cut-off value and area under the curve (AUC) (95% confidence interval) were 36.5 years and 0.666 (0.599–0.733), respectively, for patient age; 67.8 mIU/mL and 0.969 (0.951–0.987), respectively, for serum HCG level; and 29.8 ng/mL and 0.883 (0.840–0.925), respectively, for serum progesterone level. When the prediction model was constructed using these three parameters, the addition of serum progesterone level to the prediction model did not increase its overall predictability. Furthermore, a high linear co-relationship was found between serum HCG and progesterone levels. Therefore, we developed a new nomogram using patient age and HCG serum level only. The AUC of the newly developed nomogram for predicting ongoing pregnancy after IVF-ET cycles using patient age and serum HCG level was as high as 0.975.

Conclusion

We showed that ongoing pregnancy may be predicted using only patient age and HCG serum level. Our nomogram could help clinicians and patients predict ongoing pregnancy after IVF-ET if the serum JCG level was ≥5 IU/L at 14 days post-OPU.

Increased maternal hCG concentrations in early in vitro pregnancy with elevated basal FSH

Objective

To investigate factors that influence maternal hCG concentration in early pregnancy and the relationship between hCG concentration in early pregnancy and basal FSH (bFSH) level.

Design

Retrospective cohort study.

Setting

Reproductive medical center.

Patient(s)

In total, 482 women aged 22 to 38 years with elevated basal FSH (> 10 IU/L) and who experienced a single live birth after in vitro fertilization-embryo transfer were selected. These 482 women were age-matched with an equal number of women with normal basal FSH (≤10 IU/L) who also experienced a single live birth.

Intervention(s)

None.

Main Outcome Measure(s)

HCG concentration.

Result(s)

The hCG concentrations on Day 14 and Day 21 were 560.46 (363.63–842.52) IU/L and 9862.00 (6512.25–14029.50) IU/L, respectively, in the elevated bFSH group, and these values were significantly increased compared with the normal bFSH group. After adjusting for confounding factors, the concentrations of maternal hCG on Day 14 and Day 21 were significantly associated with basal FSH. In addition, crude linear regression analysis demonstrated that hCG concentrations increased as the basal serum levels of FSH increased.

Conclusion(s)

Elevated basal FSH has implications for the interpretation of hCG concentrations in early pregnancy after in vitro fertilization-embryo transfer (IVF-ET) that led to a single live birth.

Predictive value of serum progesterone level on β-hCG check day in women with previous repeated miscarriages after in vitro fertilization

Objective

To evaluate the predictive value of the progesterone level at the beta-human chorionic gonadotropin (β-hCG) check day for ongoing pregnancy maintenance in in vitro fertilization (IVF) cycles in women with previous unexplained repeated miscarriages.

Materials and methods

One hundred and forty-eight women, with visible gestational sac after IVF, were recruited in this observational study. All subjects had unexplained recurrent miscarriages in more than two previous IVF cycles. The progesterone level at the β-hCG check day (i.e. 14 days after oocyte retrieval) was assessed. The area under the curve (AUC) of the progesterone level was evaluated to predict the ongoing pregnancy or miscarriage outcomes.

Results

The overall ongoing pregnancy rate was 60.8% (90/148). The cut-off value with β-hCG levels higher than 126.5 mIU/mL and with progesterone levels higher than 25.2 ng/mL could be the predictive factors for ongoing pregnancy maintenance (AUC = 0.788 and 0.826; sensitivity = 0.788 and 0.723; specificity = 0.689 and 0.833; P < 0.0001 and P < 0.0001, respectively). The miscarriage rates were 19.5% (15/77) in the women with β-hCG > 126.5 mIU/mL and 13.0% (10/77) in those with > 25.2 ng/mL. In the comparison of the ROC curves between both values, a similar significance was found. The subjects with β-hCG > 126.5 mIU/mL and progesterone > 25.2 ng/mL showed higher ongoing pregnancy rates [98.0% (49/50) vs. 41.8% (41/98)] than those with β-hCG ≤ 126.5 mIU/mL or progesterone ≤ 25.2 ng/mL.

Conclusions

The progesterone level at 14 days after oocyte retrieval can be a good predictive marker for ongoing pregnancy maintenance in women with repeated IVF failure with miscarriage, together with the β-hCG level. The combined cut-off value of progesterone > 25.2 ng/mL and β-hCG > 126.5 mIU/mL may suggest a good prognosis.

Does First Serum Beta-Human Chorionic Gonadotropin Value Prognosticate the Early Pregnancy Outcome in an In-Vitro Fertilisation Cycle?

Background:

Pregnancies achieved through in-vitro fertilisation (IVF) are associated with adverse first trimester outcomes in comparison to spontaneously achieved pregnancies. In view of this, it is imperative to predict the success as well as prognosticate the pregnancy outcome of an IVF cycle not only for the clinicians but also the couples undergoing IVF. Serum beta-human chorionic gonadotropin (β-hCG) value has, thus, been used as a biomarker for pregnancy outcome after IVF and also an aid in counselling and management of the patient.

Aim:

The main objective of this study was to compare the predictive value of the first serum β-hCG value and the pregnancy outcome after an IVF cycle (whether fresh or frozen embryo transfer) in the two subgroups of patients.

Settings and Design:

The study was conducted at Assisted Reproductive Technology Centre of a tertiary care hospital, and it was a retrospective cohort study.

Methods and Materials:

A retrospective study was performed for post-IVF pregnancies at a single IVF centre from March 2014 to February 2015 with serum β-hCG values less than or equal to 1000 mIU/ml. The initial serum values of β-hCG on the day 16 of embryo transfer were correlated with first trimester pregnancy outcome and ongoing pregnancy rate (>12 weeks gestation).

Results:

Of the 208 post-IVF pregnancies included in the study, the group with β-hCG more than 500 mIU/ml had statistically significant higher ongoing pregnancy rates and a lesser poor pregnancy outcome.

Conclusion:

The study concluded that an early serum β-hCG value can be used as a predictor of a successful or an adverse first trimester pregnancy outcome helping in better counselling and monitoring of the high-risk precious IVF pregnancies.

Can intracytoplasmic sperm injection prevent total fertilization failure and enhance embryo quality in patients with non-male factor infertility?

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) could prevent total fertilization failure (TFF) and enhance the embryo quality in patients with non-male factor infertility.

STUDY DESIGN

A total of 296 in vitro fertilization (IVF) cycles performed in patients with non-male factor infertility between April 2009 and March 2013 were included in this retrospective study. During the period, ICSI and conventional IVF were performed in 142 and 154 cycles, respectively. The usual indications for ICSI were in the cycles of patients with (1) known low fertilization rate, (2) repetitive implantation failure, (3) advanced maternal age, (4) presence of endometrioma, (5) low oocyte yield (number of oocytes ≤3), or (6) poor quality oocytes. The rate of TFF, normal fertilization, abnormal pronuclei (PN) formation, embryo quality, and pregnancy outcomes between the patients treated with ICSI and conventional IVF cycles were compared.

RESULTS

The patients treated with ICSI (ICSI group, n=142) presented fewer number of oocytes than patients treated with conventional IVF cycles (n=154). The TFF rate was not different (4.2% vs. 0.6%, P=0.059), but the ICSI group presented a significantly higher rate of normal fertilization (83.4% vs. 79.1%, P=0.04) and lower rate of abnormal PN formation (3.9% vs. 13.3%, P<0.01). The cleavage stage embryo quality was better in the ICSI group (grade A: 31.1% vs. 21.3%, P=0.001; grade A+B: 65.1% vs. 47.6%, P<0.001).

CONCLUSION

The result of this study does not support the use of ICSI to prevent TFF in patients with non-male factor infertility. However, ICSI improved the fertilization rate and the embryo quality.

Predictive value of early serum beta-human chorionic gonadotrophin for the successful outcome in women undergoing in vitro fertilization

AIMS:

Pregnancies achieved by in vitro fertilization (IVF) are at increased risk of adverse outcome. The main objective of this study was to evaluate the predictive value of β-human chorionic gonadotrophin (β-HCG) and age of the patient for the successful outcome in IVF.

MATERIALS AND METHODS:

A retrospective study was done in 139 pregnancies after IVF at single IVF center from June 2007 to July 2012. The age of the patient and initial serum values of β-HCG on day 14 of embryo transfer were correlated with ongoing pregnancy (>12 weeks gestation).

RESULTS:

The β-HCG level on day 14 of more than 347 mIU/ml has a sensitivity of 72.2% and specificity of 73.6% in prediction of pregnancy beyond 12 weeks period of gestation. Positive likelihood ratio (LR) is 2.74 and negative LR is 0.37, (receiver operating characteristic area = 0.79).

DISCUSSION:

In IVF cycles, there is a lot of stress on the couples while the cycle is going on. There was a positive correlation between the higher values of early serum β-HCG levels and ongoing pregnancy. Hence, it can be used as an independent predictor of a successful outcome of IVF cycle.

CONCLUSION:

We concluded from our study that early serum β-HCG can be used as a predictor of a successful outcome in IVF.