Long-Term Stroke Recurrence after Transient Ischemic Attack: Implications of Etiology

Enhancing stroke risk prediction in patients with transient ischemic attack: insights from a prospective cohort study implementing fast-track care

Background and aims

Fast-track care have been proved to reduce the short-term risk of stroke after transient ischemic attack (TIA). We aimed to investigate stroke risk and to characterize short- and long-term stroke predictors in a large cohort of TIA patients undergoing fast-track management.

Methods

Prospective study, enrolling consecutive TIA patients admitted to a Northern Italy emergency department from August 2010 to December 2017. All patients underwent fast-track care within 24 h of admission. The primary outcome was defined as the first stroke recurrence at 90 days, 12 and 60 months after TIA. Stroke incidence with 95% confidence interval (CI) at each timepoint was calculated using Poisson regression. Predictors of stroke recurrence were evaluated with Cox regression analysis. The number needed to treat (NNT) of fast-track care in preventing 90-day stroke recurrence in respect to the estimates based on baseline ABCD2 score was also calculated.

Results

We enrolled 1,035 patients (54.2% males). Stroke incidence was low throughout the follow-up with rates of 2.2% [95% CI 1.4-3.3%] at 90 days, 2.9% [95% CI 1.9-4.2%] at 12 months and 7.1% [95% CI 5.4-9.0%] at 60 months. Multiple TIA, speech disturbances and presence of ischemic lesion at neuroimaging predicted stroke recurrence at each timepoint. Male sex and increasing age predicted 90-day and 60-month stroke risk, respectively. Hypertension was associated with higher 12-month and 60-month stroke risk. No specific TIA etiology predicted higher stroke risk throughout the follow-up. The NNT for fast-track care in preventing 90-day stroke was 14.5 [95% CI 11.3-20.4] in the overall cohort and 6.8 [95% CI 4.6-13.5] in patients with baseline ABCD2 of 6 to 7.

Conclusion

Our findings support the effectiveness of fast-track care in preventing both short- and long-term stroke recurrence after TIA. Particular effort should be made to identify and monitor patients with baseline predictors of higher stroke risk, which may vary according to follow-up duration.

Long-term vascular events after subarachnoid hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) long-term risk is not well known. Our aims are: describing long-term vascular event (VE) incidence rates in SAH survivors; describing VE: ischemic and/or hemorrhagic; identifying independent association of factors related to VE; and analyzing the usefulness of factors to increase predictive ability.

METHODS

A prospective cohort study of consecutive patients admitted to Hospital del Mar with a diagnosis of SAH (n = 566) between January 2007 and January 2020 was carried out. They were followed up until January 2021. The study endpoint was a new VE in the follow-up. We calculated both incidence rates and cumulative rates at 5 years. Cox regression survival models including vascular risk factors with and without specific data of SAH disease were developed. We analyzed ROC curves of all multivariate models.

RESULTS

The analyzed cohort included 423 non-fatal SAH cases. Total patient-years were 2468.16 years. The average follow-up was 70.03 ± 43.14; range: 1-180 months. There were 49 VE detected in 47 patients, as 2 of them had more than 1 VE. Incidence rate was 0.020 events_per_patient/year, cumulative incidence at 5 years was 11.11%. The more frequent VE that we found were cerebrovascular (28/49), mainly ischemic (21/28). Disability after SAH and the presence of multiple aneurysms were independently associated with a VE risk and improved the predictive capacity of multivariate models (AUC 0.679 vs 0.764; p = 0.0062).

CONCLUSIONS

We reported a low vascular risk after SAH. We have shown the usefulness of SAH factors to identify patients with a higher risk of VE.

Early Thromboembolic Stroke Risk of Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation Following Cardiac Surgery

OBJECTIVE

The authors aimed to study the association between postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) and thromboembolic stroke and to determine risk factors for thromboembolic stroke after cardiac surgery.

DESIGN

The authors performed a secondary analysis from a randomized controlled trial (GRIP-COMPASS). The patients with thromboembolic stroke were compared with those without thromboembolic stroke, and the difference in the incidence of POAF between these groups was assessed. Odds ratios (OR) were calculated using logistic regression analyses. Brain imaging was studied for the occurrence of thromboembolic stroke during hospital admission, and POAF was monitored for seven days. To assess which characteristics were associated with occurrence of thromboembolic stroke, stepwise backward regression analysis was performed.

PARTICIPANTS

All adult consecutive cardiac surgery patients admitted postoperatively to the intensive care unit.

SETTING

Academic tertiary care medical center.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Of the 910 patients included in this study, 26 patients (2.9%) had a thromboembolic stroke during hospital admission. The incidence of POAF during the first seven days after cardiac surgery in those with thromboembolic stroke was 65%, compared with 39% in those without thromboembolic stroke: adjusted OR 3.01 (95% confidence interval, 1.13-8.00). POAF, a history of peripheral vascular disease, a higher EuroSCORE, and a longer duration of surgery were associated with thromboembolic stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

POAF within seven days after cardiac surgery was associated with a three-fold increased risk for a thromboembolic stroke during hospital admission. Expeditious treatment of POAF may, therefore, reduce early stroke risk after cardiac surgery.

Recurrent Ischemic and Hemorrhagic Stroke in Cameroon: A Case-Control Study

Introduction

Stroke recurrence accounts for a great percentage of catastrophic complications, yet no comprehensive study has analyzed the factors associated with stroke recurrence in Cameroon. We carried out this case-control study to better understand the factors associated with the stroke recurrence in Cameroon.

Methods

We collected sociodemographic, clinical, neuroimaging, laboratory, and therapeutic data of eligible patients who consulted the neurology and cardiology department of the Yaounde Central Hospital in Cameroon. We included all patients at least five years removed from their first stroke event who consulted the authors' institution as of January 15, 2019. Wilcoxon signed-rank and Fisher's exact tests were used. Also, a Cox regression model was used to identify confounders.

Results

We recruited 100 patients; seven out of ten patients had hypertension, while six out of 10 had a sedentary lifestyle. Half of the patients consumed alcohol regularly, while one patient out of five had diabetes. Most patients presented with their first stroke event, and a quarter had a stroke recurrence. Stroke recurrence was associated with right handedness (OR = 0.23, 95% CI = 0.16–0.33), congestive heart failure (OR = 3.45, 95% CI = 1.16–10.28), gout (OR = 4.34, 95% CI = 1.09–18.09), dysarthria (OR = 4.34, 95% CI = 1.30–14.54), and facial palsy (OR = 3.96, 95% CII = 1.49 – 10.51), as well as modifiable factors such as elevated abdominal circumference (P < 0.01), systolic blood pressure (P < 0.01), blood glucose level (PI <I 0.01), LDL cholesterol (P < 0.01), and triglyceride levels (P < 0.01). The mulitvariable regression model only identified laterality (B = –1.48, P = 0.04) as a statistically significant explanatory varibale for stroke recurrence.

Conclusion

We mapped the landscape of recurrent strokes in Cameroon. There is a need to evaluate the causes of suboptimal drug adherence rates and both the role and adherence to nonpharmacologic interventions.

Long-term risk of stroke and its predictors in transient ischaemic attack patients in Germany

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Little is known about the long-term association between transient ischaemic attack (TIA) and stroke. Therefore, the goal of this study was to analyze the long-term risk of stroke and associated predictors in a large cohort of TIA patients followed in general practices in Germany.

METHODS

This study included patients with an initial TIA diagnosis and subsequently followed up in one of 1262 general practices in Germany between January 2007 and December 2016 (N = 19 824 patients). The primary outcome of the study was the risk of ischaemic stroke within 10 years of the initial diagnosis of TIA. The secondary outcome was the identification of demographic, clinical and pharmaceutical variables significantly associated with stroke in TIA patients.

RESULTS

Within 10 years of the initial TIA diagnosis, 18.3% of individuals were diagnosed with stroke. Age was positively associated with stroke, with hazard ratios ranging from 1.88 in patients aged 51-60 years to 4.00 in those aged >80 years (reference group: patients aged ≤50 years). Furthermore, male sex, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, atrial fibrillation and ischaemic heart diseases had an additional impact on the risk of stroke. Finally, new oral anticoagulants, heparins, diuretics, angiotensin II receptor blockers and platelet aggregation inhibitors were identified as protective factors.

CONCLUSIONS

In a cohort of almost 20 000 TIA patients, 18.3% were diagnosed with stroke within 10 years after the TIA index event. Several demographic, clinical and pharmaceutical variables significantly predicted the long-term risk of stroke in TIA patients.