Prediction of Warfarin Dose in Pediatric Patients: An Evaluation of the Predictive Performance of Several Models

Application of a warfarin dosing calculator to guide individualized dosing versus empirical adjustment after fixed dosing: a pilot study

Background: Warfarin has a narrow therapeutic window and individual variation, and patients require regular follow-up and monitoring of the International Normalized Ratio (INR) for dose adjustment. The calculation method of Warfarin Dosing Calculator (WDC) software is based on the European and American populations, and its accuracy in the Chinese population is yet to be verified. Objective: This study was to evaluate the feasibility of applying Warfarin Dosing Calculator software intervention in a real-world clinical research setting in China. Methods: The pilot study divided the included patients after valve replacement into an experimental group and a control group, with 38 cases in each group. In the control group, the initial dose was fixed at 2.5 mg/d and the dose was adjusted empirically during the study period; in the experimental group, the Warfarin Dosing Calculator software was applied to guide the dosing, and patients in both groups were followed up for 3 months. Analysis of the incidence anticoagulation outcomes and excessive anticoagulation events in both groups. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to analyze the correlation between different dosing regimens and first International Normalized Ratio attainment, and Logrank tests were performed. Results: The mean time required for first International Normalized Ratio compliance in the experimental group was 4.38 days less than in the control group, and the mean number of tests was 1.43 less (p < 05). Time in therapeutic range (TTR) was significantly higher in the experimental group than in the control group (p < 05). Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis showed that the first International Normalized Ratio attainment rate was significantly higher in the experimental group than in the control group (p = 01). No major bleeding events occurred in either group, but other excessive anticoagulation events (INR>3.5 and minor bleeding) were significantly reduced in the experimental group compared with the control group (p < 05). Conclusion: Application of Warfarin Dosing Calculator software to guide individualized warfarin dosing may be better than a fixed dose of 2.5 mg/d. It may be shorten the time to first International Normalized Ratio attainment, and the attainment rate in the same time, and can better improve the mean Time in therapeutic range level value and reduce excessive anticoagulation events, which improves the safety of warfarin anticoagulation therapy in clinical practice. Clinical Trial Registration: https://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.html?proj=52793, ChiCTR2000032393.

A Systematic Review of Polygenic Models for Predicting Drug Outcomes

Polygenic models have emerged as promising prediction tools for the prediction of complex traits. Currently, the majority of polygenic models are developed in the context of predicting disease risk, but polygenic models may also prove useful in predicting drug outcomes. This study sought to understand how polygenic models incorporating pharmacogenetic variants are being used in the prediction of drug outcomes. A systematic review was conducted with the aim of gaining insights into the methods used to construct polygenic models, as well as their performance in drug outcome prediction. The search uncovered 89 papers that incorporated pharmacogenetic variants in the development of polygenic models. It was found that the most common polygenic models were constructed for drug dosing predictions in anticoagulant therapies (n = 27). While nearly all studies found a significant association with their polygenic model and the investigated drug outcome (93.3%), less than half (47.2%) compared the performance of the polygenic model against clinical predictors, and even fewer (40.4%) sought to validate model predictions in an independent cohort. Additionally, the heterogeneity of reported performance measures makes the comparison of models across studies challenging. These findings highlight key considerations for future work in developing polygenic models in pharmacogenomic research.

Stability of warfarin sodium flavoured preservative-free oral liquid formulations

Objectives

This study was designed to assess the physicochemical stability of warfarin sodium liquid formulations stored at room temperature and under refrigeration.

Methods

Formulations of warfarin sodium 1mg/mL were prepared from either powder or tablets dispersed in mixture containing deionised water, glycerin, sodium phosphate and strawberry alcohol-free concentrate flavour and stored in amber glass bottles at 25°C and 4°C. Stability indicating high-performance liquid chromatography assay procedure was used to analyse the concentration of the drug at the time of preparation and on days 7, 14, 21, 30, 45, 60 and 90. Changes in colour, taste and pH, as well as visual evidence of precipitation, were assessed for physicochemical instability.

Results

Between day 0 and day 90, the pH of the powder and tablet formulations stored at 25°C decreased by -1.40 units and -1.16 units, respectively. There were minor changes in pH for both formulations stored at 4°C. The formulation from powder stored at 25°C and 4°C maintained at least 90% of the initial warfarin concentration for 30 days and 45 days, respectively. The formulation from tablets stored at 25°C and 4°C maintained at least 90% of initial warfarin concentration for 21 days and 30 days, respectively.

Conclusion

Warfarin sodium in flavoured preservative-free formulation from powder is recommended and stable in amber glass bottles for at least 30 days stored at 25°C and 45 days stored at 4°C.

Height, VKORC1 1173, and CYP2C9 Genotypes Determine Warfarin Dose for Pediatric Patients with Kawasaki Disease in Southwest China

Long-term oral warfarin is recommended in pediatric Kawasaki disease patients with large coronary artery aneurysms; however, heterogeneity is considerable. This study aimed to determine variables affecting warfarin dosage in Kawasaki disease. The enrolled individuals (194 children) were divided into four groups: (1) Cases with severe coronary artery lesions (CAL) of IV to V degrees or thrombogenesis treated with oral warfarin were assigned to Group A; (2) Group B, CAL of I degrees; (3) Group C, CAL of II and III degrees cases with small or medium-sized CAL not treated with warfarin; (4) Group D, normal children without Kawasaki disease. The relevant genotypes of CYP2C9, VKORC1 (1173, - 1639, and 3730), and CYP4F2 were assessed. There were no statistically significant differences in CYP2C9, VKORC1, and CYP4F2 mutation frequencies among the 4 groups. In the 44 Group A patients, demographic features, clinical characteristics, and genotypes were recorded, and their associations with warfarin dose variability were assessed. Multivariate linear regression analysis revealed that height, VKORC1 1173, and CYP2C9 accounted for 61.2%, 7.9%, and 4.3% of dosing variability, respectively. Conclusions: Patient height is the main factor determining warfarin dosage, while genotype effects on warfarin dosage vary among studies. New formula should be defined using data obtained from children in cases with demonstrated efficacy.