Use of EuroSCORE as a predictor of morbidity after cardiac surgery

Preoperative Modified Frailty Index-11 versus EuroSCORE II in Predicting Postoperative Mortality and Complications in Elderly Patients Who Underwent Elective Open Cardiac Surgery: A Retrospective Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

To compare sensitivity, specificity, receiver operating characteristic (ROC), and area under the curve (AUC) values using the modified Frailty Index 11 (mFI-11), EuroSCORE II, and combined mFI-11 and EuroSCORE II to predict in-hospital mortality and composite morbidities.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study SETTING: Songklanagarind Hospital, a tertiary care center in southern Thailand.

PARTICIPANTS

Elderly patients age ≥60 years who underwent elective open-heart surgical procedures on a pump between January 2017 and December 2022 were included.

INTERVENTIONS

ROC curves were constructed to evaluate the discriminatory power of EuroSCORE II and mFI-11 for predicting in-hospital mortality and postoperative complications.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

The actual in-hospital mortality was 2.5% for all patients. The discriminative accuracy of mFI-11, EuroSCORE II, and combined mFI-11 with EuroSCORE II for predicting in-hospital mortality was good, with respective AUC values of 0.733 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.6157-0.8499), 0.793 (95% CI, 0.6826-0.9026), and 0.78 (95% CI, 0.6686-0.893). The AUC of mFI-11 for predicting postoperative cardiac, respiratory, neurologic, and renal complications was 0.558 (95% CI, 0.5101-0.6063), 0.606 (95% CI, 0.5542-0.6581), 0.543 (95% CI, 0.4533-0.6337), and 0.652 (95% CI, 0.5859-0.7179), respectively, and that of EuroSCORE II was 0.553 (95% CI, 0.5038-0.6013), 0.631 (95% CI, 0.578-0.6836), 0.619 (95% CI, 0.5306-0.7076), and 0.702 (95% CI, 0.6378-0.7657), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The mFI-11 and EuroSCORE II demonstrated good discrimination in ROC analysis, with EuroSCORE II showing superior predictive accuracy for in-hospital mortality in elderly elective cardiac surgery patients. However, neither score independently predicted mortality in multiple logistic regression, nor did combining them enhance predictive power significantly. Furthermore, both scores were less effective in predicting postoperative complications.

AKI3-Risk Predictors and Scores in Radical Nephrectomy with High Thrombectomy under Extracorporeal Circulation for Renal Cell Carcinoma with Supradiaphragmatic Inferior Vena Cava/Right Atrial Thrombus: A Single-Centre Retrospective Study

Background and Objectives: The recommended therapeutic management in renal cell carcinoma (RCC) with supradiaphragmatic inferior vena cava/right atrial thrombus (IVC/RA) is surgery. Extracorporeal circulation is required. Acute kidney injury (AKI), a frequent complication after nephrectomy and cardiac surgery is associated with long-term kidney disease. This study aims to identify the risk factors involved in the occurrence of the severe postoperative AKI (AKI3) and to analyse various preoperative validated risk scores from cardiac and noncardiac surgery in predicting this endpoint. Materials and Methods: The medical data of all patients with RCC with supradiaphragmatic IVC/RA thrombus who underwent radical nephrectomy with high thrombectomy, using extracorporeal circulation, between 2004-2018 in the Prof. C. C. Iliescu Emergency Institute for Cardiovascular Diseases, Bucharest, were retrospectively analysed. The patients who died intraoperatively were excluded from the study. The predefined study endpoint was the postoperative AKI3. Preoperative, intraoperative and postoperative data were collected according to the stratification of study population in two subgroups: AKI3-present and AKI3- absent patients. EuroSCORE, EuroSCORE II, Logistic EuroSCORE, NSQIP any-complications and NSQIP serious-complications were analysed. Results: We reviewed 30 patients who underwent this complex surgery between 2004-2018 in our institute. Two patients died intraoperatively. Nine patients (32.14%) presented postoperative AKI3. Age (OR 1.151, CI 95%: 1.009-1.312), preoperative creatinine clearance (OR 1.066, CI 95%: 1.010-1.123) and intraoperative arterial hypotension (OR 13.125, CI 95%: 1.924-89.515) were risk factors for AKI3 (univariable analysis). Intraoperative arterial hypotension emerged as the only independent risk factor in multivariable analysis (OR 11.66, CI 95%: 1.400-97.190). Logistic EuroSCORE (ROC analysis: AUC = 0.813, p = 0.008, CI 95%: 0.633-0.993) best predicted the endpoint. Conclusions: An integrated team effort is essential to avoid intraoperative arterial hypotension, the only independent risk factor of AKI3 in this highly complex surgery. Some risk scores can predict this complication. Further studies are needed.

Performance of Severity Indices to Estimate Postoperative Complications of Myocardial Revascularization

Fundamento

Os pacientes em pós-operatório (PO) de cirurgia de revascularização miocárdica (CRM) internados em unidade de terapia intensiva (UTI) apresentam risco de complicações que aumentam o tempo de permanência e a morbimortalidade. Portanto, é fundamental o reconhecimento precoce desses riscos para otimizar estratégias de prevenção e desfecho clínico satisfatório.

Objetivo

Analisar o desempenho de índices de gravidade na predição de complicações em pacientes no PO de CRM durante a permanência na UTI.

Métodos

Estudo transversal, com análise retrospectiva de prontuários eletrônicos de pacientes com idade ≥ 18 anos submetidos à CRM isolada e admitidos na UTI de um hospital cardiológico, em São Paulo, Brasil. As áreas sob as curvas receiver operating characteristic (AUC) com intervalo de confiança de 95% foram analisadas para verificar a acurácia dos índices European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroScore), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II), Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS II) e Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) na predição de complicações.

Resultados

A casuística foi composta por 366 pacientes (64,58±9,42 anos; 75,96% sexo masculino). As complicações identificadas foram respiratórias (24,32%), cardiológicas (19,95%), neurológicas (10,38%), hematológicas (10,38%), infecciosas (6,56%) e renais (3,55%). O APACHE II apresentou satisfatório desempenho para a predição de complicações neurológicas (AUC 0,72) e renais (AUC 0,78).

Conclusão

O APACHE II se destacou na previsão das complicações neurológicas e renais. Nenhum dos índices teve bom desempenho na predição das outras complicações analisadas. Portanto, os índices de gravidade não devem ser utilizados indiscriminadamente com o objetivo de predizer todas as complicações frequentemente apresentadas por pacientes após CRM. (Arq Bras Cardiol. 2020; 115(3):452-459)

Factors associated with the increased bleeding in the postoperative period of cardiac surgery: A cohort study

AIMS AND OBJECTIVES

To identify factors associated with the increased bleeding in patients during the postoperative period after cardiac surgery.

BACKGROUND

Bleeding is among the most frequent complications that occur in the postoperative period after cardiac surgery, representing one of the major factors in morbidity and mortality. Understanding the factors associated with the increased bleeding may allow nurses to anticipate and prioritise care, thus reducing the mortality associated with this complication.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

METHODS

Adult patients in a cardiac hospital who were in the postoperative period following cardiac surgery were included. Factors associated with the increased bleeding were investigated by means of linear regression, considering time intervals of 6 and 12 hr.

RESULTS

The sample comprised 391 participants. The factors associated with the increased bleeding in the first 6 hr were male sex, body mass index, cardiopulmonary bypass duration, anoxia duration, metabolic acidosis, higher heart rate, platelets and the activated partial thromboplastin time in the postoperative period. Predictors in the first 12 hr were body mass index, cardiopulmonary bypass duration, metabolic acidosis, higher heart rate, platelets and the activated partial thromboplastin time in the postoperative.

CONCLUSIONS

This study identified factors associated with the increased postoperative bleeding from cardiac surgery that have not been reported in previous studies. The nurse is important in the vigilance, evaluation and registry of chest tube drainage and modifiable factors associated with the increased bleeding, such as metabolic acidosis and postoperative heart rate, and in discussions with the multiprofessional team.

RELEVANCE TO CLINICAL PRACTICE

Knowledge of the factors associated with the increased bleeding is critical for nurses so they can provide prophylactic interventions and early postoperative treatment when needed.

Survival and Risk Factors Among Dialytic Acute Kidney Injury Patients After Cardiovascular Surgery

OBJECTIVE

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a frequent postoperative complication after cardiovascular surgery. It has been described as a predictor of decreased survival rates, but how dialysis decreases survival when initiated on the postoperative period has yet to be determined. To analyze the survival of patients who presented postoperative AKI requiring dialysis up to 30 days after cardiovascular surgery and its risk factors is the aim of this study.

METHODS

Of the 5,189 cardiovascular surgeries performed in a 4-year period, 157 patients developed AKI requiring dialysis in the postoperative period. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve and log-rank test were used in the statistical analysis to compare the curves of categorical variables. P-value< 0.05 was considered significant.

RESULTS

Patient average survival was 546 days and mortality was 70.7%. The need for dialysis on the postoperative period decreased late survival. Risk factors for decreased survival included age (P<0.001) and postoperative complications (P<0.0003).

CONCLUSION

The average survival was approximately one year among dialytic patients. Age and postoperative complications were risk factors that determined decreased survival.

Association of Low Blood Pressure, Low Bispectral Index and Low Minimum Alveolar Concentration of Anaesthetic during Surgery with Postoperative 30-day Mortality: A Systemic Review and Meta-Analysis

Objective

The triple low state [low mean arterial pressure, low bispectral index (BIS) and a low minimum alveolar concentration (MAC)] fraction of anaesthetic during surgery) has been a controversial subject of interest in clinical practise. Previous retrospective studies have produced different conclusions on the association between a triple low state and postoperative 30-day mortality. This study was a systematic review of previous studies on the effects of the triple low state on postoperative 30-day mortality and a meta-analysis with a sample size larger than that of previous studies.

Methods

After searching for relevant articles in the PubMed database as on 27 March 2017, we included studies that compared postoperative 30-day mortality between triple low and non-triple low groups. The identified articles were subjected to an initial screening using keywords 'low bispectral index', 'intraoperative hypotension' and 'low minimum alveolar concentration' according to the PRISMA Flow diagram (2009). After a full-text review, appropriate studies were finally included in our meta-analysis. All statistical analyses were performed using the R programme 3.3.2 and meta packages.

Results

Three retrospective cohort studies were included in the meta-analysis. The total number of subjects in the triple low and non-triple low groups was 29,402 and 17,428, respectively; the sample size was 46,830. We derived a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.09 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.07-1.11)] for the fixed effect model and of 1.30 (95% CI, 1.04-1.07) for the random effect model. In the analysis of heterogeneity among the three studies, I2=95% was obtained (P<0.01). Thus, the values obtained from the random effect model were used; HR was 1.30 for the triple low group, indicating a 30% increase in the overall 30-day mortality.

Conclusion

The present study demonstrated that patients exposed to the triple low state exhibit higher 30-day mortality rates than those not exposed to the triple low state.

Risk of de novo dialysis after elective cardiac surgery according to preoperative renal dysfunction

OBJECTIVES

The aim was to estimate the risk of dialysis postoperative de novo dialysis in patients undergoing elective cardiac surgery, according to varying degrees of pre-existing renal dysfunction, and to compare the outcomes with the expected prevalence of dialysis based on several risk scores.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed over a 5-year period (2012-16) from a series of 1332 adult patients who underwent elective cardiac surgery. Patients were divided into 3 estimated creatinine clearance (eCrCl) groups: eCrCl >60 ml/min, eCrCl from 50 ml/min to 60 ml/min and eCrCl ≤49 ml/min. The primary outcome was any renal failure requiring first-time dialysis during the postoperative hospital stay. The expected risk for postoperative dialysis was calculated with 3 predictive scores: the Society of Thoracic Surgeons Bedside Risk Tool, the Cleveland Clinic Score and the Simplified Renal Index. The global accuracy of eCrCl and the different scores was evaluated in terms of calibration and discrimination.

RESULTS

In the overall population, 26.6% of patients presented moderate or severe pre-existing renal dysfunction, and the need for de novo dialysis varied from 0.6% to 5.0% depending on the degree of preoperative eCrCl (P < 0.0001). Preoperative renal dysfunction with eCrCl <50 ml/min was associated with nearly 8-fold increase of risk for postoperative dialysis; eCrCl between 50 ml/min and 60 ml/min showed a 2-fold increase, though this last difference did not reach statistical significance.

CONCLUSIONS

In elective cardiac surgery, isolated preoperative eCrCl seemed to be an accurate indicator of risk for postoperative de novo dialysis. More complex models did not provide additional information to stratify that risk.

Avaliação da carga de trabalho no pós-operatório de cirurgia cardíaca segundo o Nursing Activities Score

RESUMO Objetivo Identificar os fatores associados à carga de trabalho de enfermagem no cuidado a pacientes no pós-operatório de cirurgia cardíaca. Método Estudo de coorte prospectivo, conduzido com 187 pacientes da Unidade de Terapia Intensiva Cirúrgica (UTI) do Instituto do Coração. Os dados foram coletados nas primeiras 24 e 72 horas do paciente na UTI. A variável dependente foi a carga de trabalho calculada por meio do Nursing Activities Score (NAS) e as independentes foram de natureza demográfico-clínicas e escores de morbimortalidade. Para análise dos dados utilizou-se os testes de Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney e de correlação de Spearman, e a regressão linear com modelo de efeitos mistos. Resultados A maioria dos pacientes era do sexo masculino (59,4%), com média de idade de 61 anos (±12,7) e 43,9% desenvolveram algum tipo de complicação no pós-operatório. Nas 24 horas, a carga de trabalho foi de 82,4% (±3,4) e foi de 58,1% (±3,4) nas 72 horas. Os fatores associados ao aumento do NAS foram: tempo de internação do paciente na UTI (p=0,036) e a presença de complicações (p<0,001). Conclusão A gravidade do paciente nas 24 horas, em oposição a inúmeros estudos, não influenciou no aumento da carga de trabalho, a qual se mostrou associada ao tempo de internação e às complicações.