A novel model to estimate lymph node metastasis in endometrial cancer patients

Risk factors for pelvic and para-aortic lymph node metastasis in non-endometrioid endometrial cancer

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to evaluate the risk factors for pelvic lymph node metastasis (LNM) and para-aortic LNM in non-endometrioid endometrial cancer (non-EEC).

METHODS

A total of 283 patients with non-EEC hospitalized in the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from January 2012 to December 2020 were included. Various characteristics were retrospectively analyzed in relation to LNM.

RESULTS

Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed cervical stromal invasion (OR = 3.441, 95% CI = 1.558-7.6, p = 0.002), myometrial invasion ≥1/2 (OR = 2.661, 95% CI = 1.327-5.337, p < 0.006), lymphovascular space involvement (LVSI) (OR = 4.118, 95% CI = 1.919-8.837, p < 0.001), positive peritoneal cytology (OR = 2.962, 95% CI = 1.344-6.530, p = 0.007), CA125 (OR = 1.002, 95% CI = 1-1.004, p = 0.026) were the independent risk factors for pelvic LNM. And myometrial invasion ≥1/2 (OR = 5.881, 95% CI = 2.056-16.427, p = 0.001), LVSI (OR = 4.962, 95% CI = 1.933-12.740, p = 0.001), adnexal (OR = 5.921, 95% CI = 2.003-17.502, p = 0.001) were the independent risk factors for para-aortic LNM. With the increase of independent risk factors, the rates of LNM were increased significantly.

CONCLUSIONS

Cervical stromal invasion, myometrial invasion ≥1/2, LVSI, positive peritoneal cytology, and CA125 were risk factors for pelvic LNM. Myometrial invasion ≥1/2, LVSI and involvement of the adnexa were risk factors for para-aortic LNM which could provide a good basis to help predict which non-EEC patients are at higher risk for LNM.

Preoperative CA125 Significantly Improves Risk Stratification in High-Grade Endometrial Cancer

Patients with high-grade endometrial carcinoma (EC) have an increased risk of tumor spread and lymph node metastasis (LNM). Preoperative imaging and CA125 can be used in work-up. As data on cancer antigen 125 (CA125) in high-grade EC are limited, we aimed to study primarily the predictive value of CA125, and secondarily the contributive value of computed tomography (CT) for advanced stage and LNM. Patients with high-grade EC (n = 333) and available preoperative CA125 were included retrospectively. The association of CA125 and CT findings with LNM was analyzed by logistic regression. Elevated CA125 ((>35 U/mL), (35.2% (68/193)) was significantly associated with stage III-IV disease (60.3% (41/68)) compared with normal CA125 (20.8% (26/125), [p < 0.001]), and with reduced disease-specific-(DSS) (p < 0.001) and overall survival (OS) (p < 0.001). The overall accuracy of predicting LNM by CT resulted in an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.623 (p < 0.001) independent of CA125. Stratification by CA125 resulted in an AUC of 0.484 (normal), and 0.660 (elevated). In multivariate analysis elevated CA125, non-endometrioid histology, pathological deep myometrial invasion ≥50%, and cervical involvement were significant predictors of LNM, whereas suspected LNM on CT was not. This shows that elevated CA125 is a relevant independent predictor of advanced stage and outcome specifically in high-grade EC.

CA125 as a predictor of endometrial cancer lymphovascular space invasion and lymph node metastasis for risk stratification in the preoperative setting

Endometrial cancer (EC) is the most common malignancy of the female reproductive system. Cancer antigen 125 (CA125) is a serum tumor marker widely reported in EC patients, particularly those with poor prognostic factors such as grade 3 tumors, deep myometrial invasion, lymph node metastasis (LNM), and extra-uterine disease. This retrospective study stratifies pre-operative CA125 levels to evaluate odds ratios (OR) and relative risk (RR) between CA125 levels and the likelihood of +LNM, lymphovascular space invasion (LVSI), grade, and stage. Patient charts for women 18 years or older with a diagnosis of EC and pre-operative or within one week CA125 measurement from January 2000 to January 2015 at a regional hospital were reviewed. OR and RR were determined by unconditional maximum likelihood estimation for CA125 levels as the predictor with staging, grade, +LVSI and +LNM as outcomes. The largest increase in risk for patients having stage I/II/III disease was 52% greater (1.52-fold risk) while largest increase in risk for patients having stage III/IV disease was 67% greater (1.67-fold risk), both at CA125 ≥ 222U/ml. Patients with CA125 ≥ 122U/ml had significantly increased risk of +LNM, with maximum increase in risk of 98% (1.98-fold risk) at 222U/ml. Patients with CA125 ≥ 175U/ml had significantly increased risk of +LVSI, with maximum increase in risk of 39% (1.39-fold risk) at 222U/ml. This study shows that elevated CA125 levels correspond to increased stage, +LVSI, and +LNM in patients with EC.

Combining Clinicopathological Parameters and Molecular Indicators to Predict Lymph Node Metastasis in Endometrioid Type Endometrial Adenocarcinoma

Background

Lymph node metastasis (LNM) is a critical unfavorable prognostic factor in endometrial cancer (EC). At present, models involving molecular indicators that accurately predict LNM are still uncommon. We addressed this gap by developing nomograms to individualize the risk of LNM in EC and to identify a low-risk group for LNM.

Methods

In all, 776 patients who underwent comprehensive surgical staging with pelvic lymphadenectomy at the First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University were divided into a training cohort (used for building the model) and a validation cohort (used for validating the model) according to a predefined ratio of 7:3. Logistics regression analysis was used in the training cohort to screen out predictors related to LNM, after which a nomogram was developed to predict LNM in patients with EC. A calibration curve and consistency index (C-index) were used to estimate the performance of the model. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and Youden index were used to determine the optimal threshold of the risk probability of LNM predicted by the model proposed in this study. Then, the prediction performance of different models and their discrimination abilities for identifying low-risk patients were compared.

Result

LNM occurred in 87 and 42 patients in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that histological grade (P=0.022), myometrial invasion (P=0.002), lymphovascular space invasion (LVSI) (P=0.001), serum CA125 (P=0.008), Ki67 (P=0.012), estrogen receptor (ER) (0.009), and P53 (P=0.003) were associated with LNM; a nomogram was then successfully established on this basis. The internal and external calibration curves showed that the model fits well, and the C-index showed that the prediction accuracy of the model proposed in this study was better than that of the other models (the C-index of the training and validation cohorts was 0.90 and 0.91, respectively). The optimal threshold of the risk probability of LNM predicted by the model was 0.18. Based on this threshold, the model showed good discrimination for identifying low-risk patients.

Conclusion

Combining molecular indicators based on classical clinical parameters can predict LNM of patients with EC more accurately. The nomogram proposed in this study showed good discrimination for identifying low-risk patients with LNM.

Analysis of Factors Related to Lymph Node Metastasis in Early-Stage Type 1 Endometrial Cancer: Verifying the Clinical Value of Positive Threshold of the Immunohistochemical Parameter Ki67

Objective

Lymph node metastasis (LNM) is an important reference indicator for the prognosis of endometrial cancer (EC). Even in patients with early low-risk EC, many people still have LNM. The purpose of this study was to investigate the related factors influencing LNM in early-stage EC and determine the optimal positive threshold of immunohistochemical parameter Ki67 for predicting LNM, providing auxiliary reference indicators for clinical diagnosis and treatment.

Methods

The clinicopathological data of 651 patients with “apparent” early-stage EC who underwent standard surgical treatment were included. Univariate and multivariate logistics regression were used to analyze the correlation between each clinicopathological factor and LNM. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve) and Youden index were used to determine the optimal positive threshold of Ki67 for predicting LNM. Finally, correlation between Ki67 and various clinicopathological factors was analyzed, and the predictive value of each prognostic factor was compared.

Results

Multivariate analysis found that histologic grade (P=0.023), lymphatic vessel space invasion (LVSI) (P < 0.001), serological index Ca125 (P=0.002), immunohistochemical parameter Ki67 (P < 0.001), ER (P < 0.001) and P53 (P=0.001) were independent prognostic factors of LNM. ROC curve and Youden index showed that the optimal positive thresholds of Ki67 to predict LNM were 40%. Based on this, ROC curve showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of Ki67 (AUC=0.714) was larger than other single predictors, and Ki67 combined with other predictors can significantly increase the AUC value (AUC= 0.847 and 0.868, respectively).

Conclusion

Ki67 was an important predictor for predicting the LNM in early-stage EC and taking a positive percentage of about 40% can be used as the positive threshold of the immunohistochemical parameter Ki67. On this basis, Ki67 combined with other predictive indicators can significantly improve prediction performance and can be used for segmentally predicting LNM of early-stage EC.

Increased Serum Calcium Level Promotes the Risk of Lymph Node Metastasis in Endometrial Cancer

Purpose

The early predictive values of diagnostic markers for lymph node metastasis (LNM) in endometrial cancer (EC) are still unclear at present. The purpose of this study is to explore the relationship between serum calcium and LNM in EC.

Methods

We identified all patients with EC who underwent surgery between January 2012 and December 2016. Patient characteristics and various preoperative clinicopathologic data were obtained from medical records and were reviewed retrospectively. These patients were divided into two groups according to the pathology of their lymph node. Logistic regression models analyzed the relationship between the ionized calcium and LNM of EC patients, while adjusting for the potential confounders.

Results

A total of 448 patients were assessed. Univariate analysis showed that ionized calcium, CA125 level, tumor grade, peritoneal cytology, FIGO stage, histological type, LVSI, and myometrial invasion were positively correlated with LNM (all P<0.05). The risk of LNM increased with the promotion of serum ionized calcium (P for trend <0.01). Ionized calcium level was significant before and after the adjustment of cofounders (unadjusted: OR=11.9, 95% CI: 4.8-29.6, P< 0.01; model I: OR=11.3, 95% CI: 4.5-28.8, P< 0.01; model II: OR=5.2, 95% CI: 1.6-17.2, P< 0.05). Additionally, the risk of ionized calcium was especially evident in patients whose age was older than 60, BMI<28 kg/m², grade 3, negative peritoneal cytology and endometrioid endometrial adenocarcinoma.

Conclusion

Ionized calcium level was highly associated with LNM in EC and acted as a potential biomarker in predicting the risk of LNM in EC.

Ten years of experience with endometrial cancer treatment in a single Brazilian institution: Patient characteristics and outcomes

Few reports have described the clinical and prognostic characteristics of endometrial cancer, which is increasing worldwide, in large patient series in Brazil. Our objective was to analyze the clinicopathological characteristics, prognostic factors, and outcomes of patients with endometrial cancer treated and followed at a tertiary Brazilian institution over a 10-year period.This retrospective study included 703 patients diagnosed with endometrial cancer who were treated at a public academic tertiary hospital between 2008 and 2018. The following parameters were analyzed: age at diagnosis, race, body mass index, serum CA125 level before treatment; histological type and grade, and surgical stage. Outcomes were reported relative to histological type, surgical staging, serum CA125, lymph-vascular space involvement (LVSI), and lymph-node metastasis.

The median patient age at diagnosis was 63 (range, 27–93) years (6.4% were <50 years). Minimally invasive surgeries were performed in 523 patients (74.4%). Regarding histological grade, 468 patients (66.5%) had low-grade endometrioid histology and 449 patients (63.9%) had stage I tumors. Tumors exceeded 2.0 cm in 601 patients (85.5%). Lymphadenectomy was performed in 551 cases (78.4%). LVSI was present in 208 of the patients’ tumors (29.5%). Ninety-three patients (13.2%) had recurrent tumors and 97 (13.7%) died from their malignant disease. The robust prognostic value of FIGO stage and lymph node status were confirmed. Other important survival predictors were histological grade and LVSI [overall survival: hazard ratio (HR) = 3.75, p < 0.001 and HR = 2.01, p = 0.001; recurrence: HR = 2.49, p = 0.004 and HR = 3.22, p = 0.001, respectively). Disease-free (p = 0.087) and overall survival (p = 0.368) did not differ significantly between patients with stage II and III disease. These results indicate that prognostic role of cervical involvement should be explored further. This study reports the characteristics and outcomes of endometrial cancer in a large population from a single institution, with systematic surgical staging, a predominance of minimally invasive procedures, and well-documented outcomes. Prognostic factors in the present study population were generally similar to those in other countries, though our patients’ tumors were larger than in studies elsewhere due to later diagnosis. Our unexpected finding of similar prognoses of stage II and III patients raises questions about the prognostic value of cervical involvement and possible differences between carcinomas originating in the lower uterine segment versus those originating in the body and fundus. The present findings can be used to guide public policies aimed at improving the diagnosis and treatment of endometrial cancer in Brazil and other similar countries.