Is pretreatment Epstein-Barr virus DNA still associated with 6-year survival outcomes in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma?

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy plus concurrent chemoradiotherapy versus concurrent chemoradiotherapy alone in elderly patients with stage III-IVa nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A real-world study based on medical comorbidities

PURPOSE

To evaluate the outcomes and toxicities of adding neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) to concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) in elderly (≥65 years) patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANPC, stage III-IVa).

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Using an NPC-specific database, 245 elderly patients with stage III-IVa NPC, receiving CCRT +/- NAC, and an Adult Co-morbidity Evaluation 27 (ACE-27) score <2 were included. Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) based on TNM stage and Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA were applied for risk stratification. The primary end point was disease-free survival (DFS).

RESULTS

Two risk groups were generated by the RPA model. In the high-risk group (EBV DNA < 4000 copy/ml with stage IVa & EBV DNA ≥4000 copy/ml with stage III-IVa), patients treated with NAC plus CCRT achieved improved 5-year DFS rates compared to those who received CCRT alone (56.9% vs. 29.4%; p = 0.003). But we failed to observe the survival benefit of additional NAC in the low-risk group (EBV DNA <4000 copy/ml with stage III). The most common severe acute toxic effects were leucopenia (46.8% vs. 24.4%) and neutropenia (43.7% vs. 20.2%) in the NAC plus CCRT group versus CCRT group with statistically significant differences.

CONCLUSIONS

The addition of NAC to CCRT was associated with better DFS for the high-risk group of elderly LANPC patients with ACE-27 score <2. However, the survival benefit of additional NAC was not observed in low-risk patients.

Residual plasma Epstein-Barr virus DNA after intensity-modulated radiation therapy is associated with poor outcomes in nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Aim: To investigate the effects of residual plasma Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA levels after 3 months of intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) (postIMRT-EBV DNA) on prognosis in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Methods: Data from 300 patients were retrospectively collected for analysis. Results: Of these patients, 25 (8.3%) and 275 (91.7%) had positive and negative postIMRT-EBV DNA, respectively. Multivariate survival analysis showed that EBV DNA >688 IU/ml was independently associated with inferior distant metastasis-free survival (p = 0.003) and progression-free survival (p = 0.002). Moreover, postIMRT-EBV DNA was independently associated with inferior locoregional recurrence-free survival (hazard ratio: 4.325; p = 0.018), distant metastasis-free survival (hazard ratio: 10.226; p < 0.001) and progression-free survival (hazard ratio: 10.520; p < 0.001). Conclusion: Positive postIMRT-EBV DNA is a prognostic biomarker for nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

Concurrent chemoradiotherapy with or without neoadjuvant chemotherapy in pediatric patients with stage III-IVa nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a real-world propensity score-matched cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To compare neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) plus concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) to CCRT alone in children and adolescents (age ≤ 18 years) with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (CA-LANPC, stage III-IVA).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

195 CA-LANPC patients who were treated through CCRT with or without NAC between 2008 and 2018 were enrolled in this study. A matched cohort composed of CCRT patients and NAC-CCRT patients was generated by propensity score matching (PSM) at a 1:2 ratio. Survival outcomes and toxicities were compared between the CCRT group and NAC-CCRT group.

RESULTS

Of the 195 patients, 158 (81%) received NAC plus CCRT, and 37 (19%) received CCRT alone. The NAC-CCRT group had higher EBV DNA levels (≥ 4000 copy/mL), more advanced TNM stage (stage IV disease), and lower incidence of a high radiation dose (> 6600 cGy) than the CCRT group. To avoid bias in treatment selection within retrospectively analysis, 34 patients from the CCRT group were matched with 68 patients from the NAC-CCRT group. In the matched cohort, the 5-year DMFS rate was 94.0% in the NAC-CCRT group versus 82.4% in the CCRT group, with marginal statistical significance (HR = 0.31; 95%CI 0.09-1.10; P = 0.055). During treatment, the accumulate incidence of severe acute toxicities (65.8% vs 45.9%; P = 0.037) in the NAC-CCRT group was higher than the CCRT group. However, the CCRT group had significantly higher accumulate incidence of severe late toxicities (30.3% vs 16.8%; P = 0.041) than the NAC-CCRT group.

CONCLUSIONS

Addition of NAC to CCRT tended to improve long-term DMFS in CA-LANPC patients with acceptable toxicity. However, relative randomized clinical trial is still needed in the future.

Genome-scale CRISPR-Cas9 knockout screening in nasopharyngeal carcinoma for radiosensitive and radioresistant genes

BACKGROUND

Genome-scale CRISPR-Cas9 knockout screening may provide new insights into the mechanism underlying clinical radioresistance in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), which is remain largely unknown. Our objective was to screen the functional genes associated with radiosensitivity and radioresistance in NPC, laying a foundation for further research on its functional mechanismand.

METHODS

CRISPR-Cas9 library lentivirus screening in radiation-treated NPC cells was combined with second-generation sequence technology to identify functional genes, which were further validated in radioresistant NPC cells and patient tissues.

RESULTS

Eleven radiosensitive and radioresistant genes were screened. Among these genes, the expression of FBLN5, FAM3C, MUS81, and DNAJC17 were significantly lower and TOMM20, CDKN2AIP, SNX22, and SP1 were higher in the radioresistant NPC cells (C666-1R, 5-8FR) (p < 0.05). CALD1 was highly expressed in C666-1R. Furthermore, we found knockout of FBLN5, FAM3C, MUS81 and DNAJC17 promoted the proliferation of NPC cells, while CDKN2AIP and SP1 had the opposed results (p < 0.05). This result was verified in NPC patient tissues. Meanwhile, KEGG analysis showed that the Fanconi anemia pathway and the TGF-β signaling pathway possibly contributed to radiosensitivity or radioresistance in NPC.

CONCLUSIONS

Nine genes involved in the radiosensitivity or radioresistance of NPC: four genes for radiosensitivity (FBLN5, FAM3C, MUS81, and DNAJC17), two genes for radioresistance (CDKN2AIP, SP1), two potential radioresistant genes (TOMM20, SNX22), and a potential radiosensitive gene (CALD1). Genome-scale CRISPR-Cas9 knockout screening for radiosensitive and radioresistant genes in NPC may provide new insights into the mechanisms underlying clinical radioresistance to improve the efficacy of radiotherapy for NPC.

Circulating lymphocyte subsets are prognostic factors in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is a geographically and racially variable disease that has a high incidence in Southeast China. According to previous studies on tumor immunity, we compared multiple clinical parameters and blood indexes with outcomes regarding to Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) status in NPC patients.

METHODS

According to the EBV load at diagnosis, 220 NPC patients who received concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CRT) were divided into two groups: EBV DNA ≥ 1500 copies/mL and EBV DNA < 1500 copies/mL, respectively. We compared clinical parameters with peripheral blood mononuclear cells, lymphocyte subsets and biochemical indexes. We also analyzed distant metastases and the overall survival rate regarding to these characteristics.

RESULTS

In most cases, the two groups showed the same trends. Most blood indexes were decreased during CRT and the decrease of the absolute count was more significant than the percentage. Patients with younger age showed the higher CD3+ and CD3 + CD8+ percentages. Patients whose EBV DNA ≥ 1500 copies/mL showed a higher N classification than those with EBV DNA < 1500 copies/mL at first diagnosis. Within patients with EBV DNA ≥ 1500 copies/mL, a higher CD3 + CD8+ percentage or lower CD3-CD56+ percentage had better OS rates, and the CD3 + CD8+ percentage was an independent prognostic factor by multivariate survival analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

CRT caused an overall decrease of blood cells in NPC patients. Among all the blood indexes, the CD3 + CD8+ percentage showed a correlation with age and was an independent prognostic factor in patients with EBV DNA ≥ 1500 copies/mL at first diagnosis, which is worthy for further large cohort study.

The prognostic value of adding systemic inflammation response index to Epstein-Barr virus DNA in childhood nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A real-world study

BACKGROUND

To assess the prognostic value of the systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) combined with plasma load of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA in children and adolescents with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (CALANPC).

METHODS

A total of 205 consecutive patients with CALANPC were enrolled. We used recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) to classify patients into various risk groups, with a primary endpoint of overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Elevated SIRI (≥1.53) and EBV DNA (≥4000 copy/ml) were significantly associated with inferior OS in CALANPC. RPA categorized patients into low- and high-risk groups based on prognostic factors. Survival curves showed excellent discrimination in OS (95.3% vs 77.6%; p < 0.001) between the low- and high-risk groups. A significant improvement was confirmed using the prognostic methods for conventional TNM staging systems (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of SIRI with EBV DNA provided a more detailed understanding of patient risks, and enhanced risk discrimination in CALANPC.

Development of a web-based prognostic model to quantify the survival benefit of cumulative cisplatin dose during concurrent chemoradiotherapy in childhood nasopharyngeal carcinoma

PURPOSE

To quantify and predict the survival benefits of cumulative cisplatin dose during concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CC-CCD) in children and adolescents with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (CA-LANPC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients with CA-LANPC who received first-line neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) followed by concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) between September 2007 and April 2018 were evaluated. Recursive partitioning analyses (RPAs) helped identify the ideal thresholds of CC-CCD on disease-free survival (DFS). We then developed a web-based predictive model to quantify the survival benefit of CC-CCD for CA-LANPC.

RESULTS

In total, 139 patients were eligible for the analysis. The median CC-CCD was 162 mg/m² (IQR, 138-192 mg/m²). The optimum cut-off point of CC-CCD was 160 mg/m² for DFS. Hence, we selected 160 mg/m² as the cut-off to classify CA-LANPC into either high or low CC-CCD groups for survival analysis. The 5-year DFS rates were 91.6% in the high (≥160 mg/m²) CC-CCD group and 77.8% in the low (<160 mg/m²) CC-CCD group (P = 0.011). Multivariate analysis indicated CC-CCD (HR, 0.34; 95%CI, 0.13-0.87; P = 0.024), T stage (HR, 3.72; 95%CI, 1.35-10.22; P = 0.011), and EBV DNA (HR, 3.00; 95%CI, 1.00-8.97; P = 0.049) were independent prognostic factors and were incorporated into the prognostic model. N stage was also included due to its clinical importance. The predictive model was demonstrably accurate (C-index, 0.741) when predicting 5-year DFS rates.

CONCLUSIONS

We built a predictive model to quantify the survival benefit of CC-CCD for CA-LANPC treated with NAC plus CCRT. This tool may improve individual treatment consultations and facilitate evidence-based decision-making.

Utility of diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging in predicting the treatment response of nasopharyngeal carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

Predicting the treatment response in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is challenging. This study evaluated the utility of diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) in predicting the treatment response in patients with NPC.

METHODS

We prospectively enrolled 33 patients with newly diagnosed NPC who underwent magnetic resonance imaging with the propeller DWI and apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) map before and at 5 weeks after chemoradiation. The following ADC values of the primary tumor were calculated: pre-treatment ADC (pre-ADC), pre-treatment ADC ratio (pre-ADC ratio), ADC change (▵ADC), ADC change ratio (▵ADC ratio), and percentage of ADC change (▵%ADC). The correlations between these parameters and treatment outcomes were explored, and the patients were classified as good responders (complete response) and poor responders (stable disease, partial response, or progressive disease) based on the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors, version 1.1.

RESULTS

The ▵ADC, ▵ADC ratio, and ▵%ADC were significantly lower in the poor-responder group (n = 12) than in the good-responder group (n = 21; p = 0.001, p = 0.002, and p = 0.004, respectively). There was no significant difference between groups in the pre-ADC and pre-ADC ratios (p = 0.602 and p = 0.685, respectively). The optimal ▵ADC, ▵ADC ratio, and ▵%ADC cutoff values for predicting poor response were >0.65 mm²/sec, 0.28, and 60%, respectively (sensitivity: 83.3%, 75%, and 83.3%; specificity: 71.4%, 85.7%, and 71.4%, respectively).

CONCLUSION

The ▵ADC, ▵ADC ratio, and ▵%ADC obtained during the pre-treatment and mid-treatment periods could be potential biomarkers for predicting treatment response in patients with NPC.

Prognostic Value of Plasma Epstein-Barr Virus DNA Levels Pre- and Post-Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy in Patients With Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Background

In this study, we evaluated the prognostic value of the plasma levels of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) at different treatment stages.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed the Data of 206 patients with NPC. Pre-neoadjuvant chemotherapy (pre-NACT), post-NACT, post-radiotherapy, and post-treatment plasma EBV DNA levels were used to establish prognostic nomograms. The concordance index (C-index) and calibration curves were used to compare the prognostic accuracy of the nomograms. The results were confirmed in a validation cohort consisting of patients who were tested for EBV DNA levels at all four stages of treatment. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate the progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Survival differences were calculated using the log-rank test.

Results

EBV DNA-positive patients had worse 3-year PFS and 5-year OS than EBV DNA-negative patients; this was true for pre-NACT (PFS: 82.7% vs. 57.3%, P < 0.001; OS: 90.9% vs. 68.7%, P = 0.08) and post-NACT (PFS: 85.0% vs. 50.6%, P < 0.001; OS: 91.7% vs. 65.7%; P = 0.001) EBV DNA levels but not for post-radiotherapy (PFS: 72.2% vs. 60.9%, P = 0.192; OS: 73.1% vs. 77.2%, P = 0.472) or post-treatment (PFS: 77.3% vs. 59.2%, P = 0.063; OS: 77.5% vs. 79.7%, P = 0.644) levels. Nomograms combining pre-NACT and post-NACT EBV DNA levels had a superior prognostic ability than those of post-radiotherapy and post-treatment EBV DNA levels.

Conclusion

Pre-NACT EBV DNA levels combined with post-NACT EBV DNA levels can more reliably predict survival outcomes in patients with NPC.

Does three cycles of neoadjuvant chemotherapy prior to concurrent chemoradiotherapy provide benefits for all childhood patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma?

BACKGROUND

Adding neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) to concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) is the main strategy in treatment of children and adolescents with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (CA-LANPC). Yet, an optimal number of NAC cycles remains unknown. We aimed to optimize the NAC cycle and potentially contribute to clinical decision making for the individual treatment of CA-LANPC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Utilizing an NPC-specific database through an acknowledged big-data information system at our center, we identified 143 CA-LANPC treated with NAC followed by CCRT between September 2007 through April 2018. Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) was performed to categorize the patients and predict disease-free survival (DFS). The clinical benefits of NAC cycles (two cycles vs three cycles) were assessed in each risk group.

RESULTS

Independent factors derived from multivariable analysis to predict DFS were T stage (T1-3 vs T4) and plasma Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA (< 4000 vs ≥ 4000 copies/mL) for risk stratification. Consequently, 87 (61%) participants were classified as low-risk group (T1-3 with low or high EBV DNA, and T4 with low EBV DNA) and the other 56 patients (39%) were classified as a high-risk group (T4 with high EBV DNA) through RPA, and corresponding 5-year DFS rates of 91.9% and 71.2%, respectively (p = 0.001). Among the high-risk group, patients receiving three cycles of NAC had statistically significant improvement in 5-year DFS over those who received two cycles of NAC (86.7% vs 59.1%; p = 0.020), while the survival benefit of three cycles NAC for low-risk groups were not observed (94.7% vs 89.7%; p = 0.652).

CONCLUSIONS

We found three cycles of NAC with CCRT was a positive prognostic indicator for improved DFS for the high-risk group among CA-LANPC. However, whether low-risk patients could benefit from three cycles NAC needs further study.

Prognostic Factors for Overall Survival in Nasopharyngeal Cancer and Implication for TNM Staging by UICC: A Systematic Review of the Literature

This study aims to identify prognostic factors in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) to improve the current 8th edition TNM classification. A systematic review of the literature reported between 2013 and 2019 in PubMed, Embase, and Scopus was conducted. Studies were included if (1) original clinical studies, (2) ≥50 NPC patients, and (3) analyses on the association between prognostic factors and overall survival. The data elements of eligible studies were abstracted and analyzed. A level of evidence was synthesized for each suggested change to the TNM staging and prognostic factors. Of 5,595 studies screened, 108 studies (44 studies on anatomical criteria and 64 on non-anatomical factors) were selected. Proposed changes/factors with strong evidence included the upstaging paranasal sinus to T4, defining parotid lymph node as N3, upstaging N-category based on presence of lymph node necrosis, as well as the incorporation of non-TNM factors including EBV-DNA level, primary gross tumor volume (GTV), nodal GTV, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, lactate dehydrogenase, C-reactive protein/albumin ratio, platelet count, SUVmax of the primary tumor, and total lesion glycolysis. This systematic review provides a useful summary of suggestions and prognostic factors that potentially improve the current staging system. Further validation studies are warranted to confirm their significance.

A systematic review and recommendations on the use of plasma EBV DNA for nasopharyngeal carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is an endemic malignancy in Southeast Asia, particularly Southern China. The classical non-keratinising cell type is almost unanimously associated with latent Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection. Circulating plasma EBV DNA can be a useful biomarker in various clinical aspects, but comprehensive recommendations and international guidelines are still lacking. We conducted a systematic review of all original articles on the clinical application of plasma EBV DNA for NPC; we further evaluated its strengths and limitations for consideration as standard recommendations.

METHODS

The search terms 'nasopharyngeal OR nasopharynx', and 'plasma EBV DNA OR cell-free EBV OR cfEBV' were used to identify full-length articles published up to December 2020 in the English literature. Three authors independently reviewed the article titles, removed duplicates and reviewed the remaining articles for eligibility.

RESULTS

A total of 81 articles met the eligibility criteria. Based on the levels of evidence and grades of recommendation assessed, it is worth considering the inclusion of plasma EBV DNA in screening, pre-treatment work-up for enhancing prognostication and tailoring of treatment strategy, monitoring during radical treatment, post-treatment surveillance for early detection of relapse, and monitoring during salvage treatment for recurrent or metastatic NPC. One major limitation is the methodology of measurement requiring harmonisation for consistent comparability.

CONCLUSIONS

The current comprehensive review supports the inclusion of plasma EBV DNA in international guidelines in the clinical aspects listed, but methodological issues must be resolved before global application.

Integrating pre- and post-treatment Plasma Epstein-Barr Virus DNA levels for better prognostic prediction of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Background: Pre- and post-treatment plasma Epstein‐Barr virus (EBV) DNA are important biomarkers for the prognosis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). This study was performed to determine the prognostic potential of integrating EBV DNA levels in plasma measured pre-treatment (pre-EBV) and 3 months post-treatment (3 m-EBV).

Materials and methods: A total of 543 incident non-metastatic NPC patients treated with intensity-modulated radiotherapy, with or without chemotherapy, were reviewed. Patients were divided into four subgroups based on pre-EBV and 3 m-EBV status. The data for pre-EBV and 3 m-EBV samples were integrated, and the predictability of the survival of patients with NPC was analyzed.

Results: There were significant differences in the 5-year progression-free survival, distant metastasis-free survival, locoregional relapse-free survival, and overall survival among the four patient subgroups (P<0.001). Patients who tested negative for both pre-EBV and 3 m-EBV had the best prognosis, followed by patients who tested positive for pre-EBV and negative for 3 m-EBV, and those who tested negative for pre-EBV and positive for 3 m-EBV; however, patients who tested positive for both pre-EBV and 3 m-EBV had the poorest chances of survival. Multivariate analyses demonstrated that integration of pre-EBV and 3 m-EBV data was an independent predictor of NPC progression in patients. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis further confirmed that the combination of pre-EBV and 3 m-EBV had a greater prognostic value than pre-EBV or 3 m-EBV alone.

Conclusions: Integrating pre-EBV and 3 m-EBV data could provide more accurate risk stratification and better prognostic prediction in NPC.

Pretreatment Plasma EBV-DNA Load Guides Induction Chemotherapy Followed by Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy in Locoregionally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Cancer: A Meta-Analysis

Background

The efficacy of induction chemotherapy (IC) followed by concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal cancer (LA-NPC) is controversial. In this paper, we conduct a meta-analysis based on relevant studies to provide strong evidence for clinical strategies.

Materials and Methods

We searched the MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane, PubMed, and Web of Science databases for studies that stratified patients based on a high or low plasma Epstein–Barr virus deoxyribonucleic acid (EBV-DNA) load before treatment and compared the clinical efficacy of IC+CCRT vs. CCRT alone in LA-NPC. We tested for heterogeneity of studies and conducted sensitivity analysis. Subgroup analysis was performed for overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and locoregional relapse-free survival (LRFS).

Results

Seven studies with a total of 5289 cases were finally included in the meta-analysis. The heterogeneity test revealed the homogeneity of OS (I² = 0.0%, p=0.794), PFS (I² = 0.0%, p=0.778), DMFS (I² = 0.0%, p=0.997), and LRFS (I² = 0.0%, p=0.697) in patients with EBV-DNA loads of ≥4000 copies/ml in both the IC+CCRT and CCRT groups. The results reveal that IC+CCRT significantly extended the OS (HR 0.70 [95% CI 0.58-0.83], p=0.000), PFS (HR 0.83 [95% CI 0.70-0.99], p=0.033), and DMFS (HR 0.79 [95% CI 0.69-0.9], p=0.000) of patients compared with the CCRT group, but there were no beneficial effects on LRFS (HR 1.07 [95% CI 0.80-1.42], p=0.647). The heterogeneity test found that there was no significant heterogeneity of PFS (I² = 0.0%, p=0.564), DMFS (I² = 0.0%, p=0.648), LRFS (I² = 22.3%, p=0.257), and OS (I² = 44.6%, p=0.164) in patients with EBV-DNA loads of <4000 copies/ml. The results show that IC+CCRT prolonged DMFS (HR 0.57 [95% CI 0.39-0.85], p=0.006) of patients without significant improvements in OS (HR 0.88 [95% CI 0.55-1.26], p=0.240), PFS (HR 0.98 [95% CI 0.74-1.31], p=0.908), and LRFS (HR 0.98 [95% CI 0.54-1.77], p=0.943).

Conclusions

Pretreatment plasma EBV-DNA can be considered a promising effective marker for the use of IC in LA-NPC patients. The addition of IC could improve the OS and PFS of patients with EBV-DNA load ≥4000 copies/ml, but we saw no efficacy in patients with EBV-DNA load <4000 copies/ml. Moreover, regardless of the EBV-DNA load, IC could improve DMFS, but there was no effect on LRFS.

Clinical and survival analysis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma with consistently negative Epstein-Barr virus DNA

BACKGROUND

To assess the clinical and survival features of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) with consistently negative Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA level.

METHODS

Propensity score matching (PSM) method was used to create well-balanced cohorts. Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards models were performed to conduct survival analysis.

RESULTS

Four hundred and eighty patients were enrolled. Patients with consistently negative plasma EBV DNA level had a greater chance to present a relatively earlier T and N classification compared with those with positive EBV DNA level (p < .001; p = .015). And patients with consistently negative EBV level were significantly associated with preferable 3-year DFS (95.0% vs. 84.4%, p = .004), DMFS (98.3% vs. 89.4%, p = .009), and OS (100% vs. 97.6%, p = .004).

CONCLUSIONS

NPC patients with consistently negative EBV DNA level performed an earlier clinical stage and negative EBV DNA level was related to preferable survival outcomes.

Long-term monitoring of dynamic changes in plasma EBV DNA for improved prognosis prediction of nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Background

This study was performed to investigate whether long‐term monitoring of dynamic changes in plasma Epstein‐Barr virus (EBV) DNA could improve prognosis prediction of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

Materials and methods

About 1077 nonmetastatic NPC patients were recruited to retrospectively analyze the prognostic value of plasma EBV DNA load pretreatment and 3, 12, 24, and 36 months posttreatment. We also examined the prognostic value of dynamic changes in plasma EBV DNA at various time points.

Results

Patients with plasma EBV DNA load above optimal pre‐ and posttreatment cut‐offs had significantly worse five‐year progression‐free survival, distant metastasis‐free survival, locoregional relapse‐free survival, and overall survival (OS) at all‐time points, excluding only OS at 36 months posttreatment due to limited mortalities. Patients with persistently undetectable plasma EBV DNA at the first four time points had the best prognosis, followed by those with positive detection pretreatment and consistently negative detection posttreatment, those with negative detection pretreatment and positive detection at one time point posttreatment, and those with positive detection pretreatment and at one time point posttreatment, whereas patients with positive detection at ≥2 time points posttreatment had the worst prognosis. Cox proportional hazard models identified the dynamic change pattern as an independent prognostic factor, and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis demonstrated that the dynamic change at four time point was more valuable than any single time point for predicting disease progression, distant metastasis, locoregional relapse, and mortality.

Conclusions

Dynamic changes in plasma EBV DNA pre‐ and posttreatment could predict the long‐term survival outcome and provide accurate risk stratification in NPC.

Development and Validation of Web-Based Nomograms to Precisely Predict Survival Outcomes of Non-metastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma in an Endemic Area

Purpose

This study aimed to develop web-based nomograms to precisely predict survival outcomes in patients with non-metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) in an endemic area.

Materials and Methods

A total of 10,126 patients who underwent radical intensity-modulated radiotherapy at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center (SYSUCC) from 2009 to 2015 were analyzed. We assigned patients into a training cohort (SYSUCC-A, n=6,751) and an internal validation cohort (SYSUCC-B, n=3,375) based on computer-generated random numbers. Patients collected from Wuzhou Red Cross Hospital (WZRCH) between 2012 and 2015 were used as the independent external validation cohort (WZRCH, n=450). Concordance index (C-index) was used to determine predictive accuracy and discriminative ability for the nomogram. The web-based clinicopathologic prediction models for predicting survival were based on Cox regression.

Results

The C-indexes for SYSUCC-A, SYSUCC-B, and WZRCH cohorts for the established nomograms to predict 3-year overall survival (OS) was 0.736, 0.715, and 0.691. Additionally, C-indexes to predict 3-year distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) was 0.717, 0.706, and 0.686, disease-free survival (DFS) was 0.713, 0.697, and 0.656, local relapse-free survival was 0.695, 0.684, and 0.652, and regional relapse-free survival was 0.672, 0.650, and 0.616. The calibration plots showed great agreement between nomogram-predicted 3-year survival outcomes and actual 3-year survival outcomes. Moreover, C-indexes of the nomograms for OS, DMFS, and DFS were significantly superior than TNM stage (p < 0.001 for all).

Conclusion

These user-friendly nomograms can precisely predict survival endpoints in patients with non-metastatic NPC. They may serve as a useful tool for providing patient counseling and help physicians to make individual follow-up plans.

Clinical characteristics and survival outcomes of ascending, descending and mixed types of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in the non-endemic areas of china: A propensity score matching analysis

Purpose

To compare the clinical characteristics and survival outcomes of patients with ascending type (type A), descending type (type D), and mixed type (type AD) of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) in non‐endemic areas.

Materials and methods

The cohort included 628 patients diagnosed with type A, type D, and type AD of NPC between January 2009 and December 2014. Type A was defined as T_3‐4 N_0‐1, type D as T_0‐1 N_2‐3, and type AD as T_3‐4 N_2‐3. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to balance clinical factors and match patients. Kaplan‐Meier methods and Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the impact of different NPC types on survival outcomes.

Results

There were 145 patients with type A, 194 with type D, and 289 with type AD. However, after PSM, there were only 130 patients with each type. Compared with patients with type A, those with type D had lower 5‐year disease‐specific survival (96.9% vs 91.5%) and distant metastasis‐free survival (92.3% vs 77.7%) and higher local relapse‐free survival (88.5% vs 96.9%) (p < 0.05 for all). Patients with type AD may have an increased risk of disease progression (progression‐free survival, 56.9% vs 74.6% and 66.2%) and death (overall survival [OS], 76.9% vs 85.4% and 85.4%) (p < 0.05 for all) compared to patients with the other two types of tumors.

We further analyzed the metastasis trend. Similar metastasis patterns were observed in types AD and D, and types AD and A had similar recurrence trends. The mortality rate of patients with types AD and D in the first 3 years after metastasis was remarkably higher than that of patients with type A.

Conclusions

In non‐endemic areas of China, metastases and recurrence patterns differed across tumor types. Type AD has the worst OS, and the clinical process is more radical. Type D has a lower recurrence rate, higher metastasis, and disease‐related mortality rates, and poorer prognosis after metastasis than type A.

Predicting Progression-Free Survival Using MRI-Based Radiomics for Patients With Nonmetastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Objectives: This study aimed to explore the predictive value of MRI-based radiomic model for progression-free survival (PFS) in nonmetastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

Methods: A total of 327 nonmetastatic NPC patients [training cohort (n = 230) and validation cohort (n = 97)] were enrolled. The clinical and MRI data were collected. The least absolute shrinkage selection operator (LASSO) and recursive feature elimination (RFE) were used to select radiomic features. Five models [Model 1: clinical data, Model 2: overall stage, Model 3: radiomics, Model 4: radiomics + overall stage, Model 5: radiomics + overall stage + Epstein–Barr virus (EBV) DNA] were constructed. The prognostic performances of these models were evaluated by Harrell's concordance index (C-index). The Kaplan–Meier method was applied for the survival analysis.

Results: Model 5 incorporating radiomics, overall stage, and EBV DNA yielded the highest C-indices for predicting PFS in comparison with Model 1, Model 2, Model 3, and Model 4 (training cohorts: 0.805 vs. 0.766 vs. 0.749 vs. 0.641 vs. 0.563, validation cohorts: 0.874 vs. 0.839 vs. 836 vs. 0.689 vs. 0.456). The survival curve showed that the high-risk group yielded a lower PFS than the low-risk group.

Conclusions: The model incorporating radiomics, overall stage, and EBV DNA showed better performance for predicting PFS in nonmetastatic NPC patients.

How community vulnerability factors jointly affect multiple health outcomes after catastrophic storms

BACKGROUND

While previous studies uncovered individual vulnerabilities to health risks during catastrophic storms, few evaluated the population vulnerability which is more important for identifying areas in greatest need of intervention.

OBJECTIVES

We assessed the association between community factors and multiple health outcomes, and developed a community vulnerability index.

METHODS

We retained emergency department visits for several health conditions from the 2005-2014 New York Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System. We developed distributed lag nonlinear models at each spatial cluster across eight counties in downstate New York to evaluate the health risk associated with Superstorm Sandy (10/28/2012-11/9/2012) compared to the same period in other years, then defined census tracts in clusters with an elevated risk as "risk-elevated communities", and all others as "unelevated". We used machine-learning techniques to regress the risk elevation status against community factors to determine the contribution of each factor on population vulnerability, and developed a community vulnerability index (CVI).

RESULTS

Overall, community factors had positive contributions to increased community vulnerabilities to Sandy-related substance abuse (91.35%), injuries (70.51%), cardiovascular diseases (8.01%), and mental disorders (2.71%) but reversely contributed to respiratory diseases (-34.73%). The contribution of low per capita income (max: 22.08%), the percentage of residents living in group quarters (max: 31.39%), the percentage of areas prone to flooding (max: 38.45%), and the percentage of green coverage (max: 29.73%) tended to be larger than other factors. The CVI based on these factors achieved an accuracy of 0.73-0.90 across outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggested that substance abuse was the most sensitive disease susceptible to less optimal community indicators, whereas respiratory diseases were higher in communities with better social environment. The percentage of residents in group quarters and areas prone to flooding were among dominant predictors for community vulnerabilities. The CVI based on these factors has an appropriate predictive performance.

Prognostic value of Epstein-Barr virus DNA level for nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a meta-analysis of 8128 cases

BACKGROUND

Plasma levels of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA have been employed to predict survival outcomes of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). However, the prognostic value of subsequent EBV DNA levels (mid or post treatment) for NPC is needed to identify by a large cohort of patients. We performed a meta-analysis of studies including data from 8128 patients to evaluate the prognostic value of EBV DNA in NPC patients.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, Web of Science, and the Cochrane library for prospective and retrospective studies. Hazard ratios (HRs) and confidence intervals (CIs) were extracted from the studies or calculated and pooled to assess the association between EBV DNA levels pre-treatment (pre-DNA), mid-treatment (mid-DNA), and post-treatment (post-DNA) on clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 22 studies with 8128 patients was included for analysis. Pre-DNA levels predicted overall survival, progression-free survival, distant metastasis-free survival, and local-regional failure survival with HRs (95% CIs) of 2.70 (2.06, 3.54), 2.70 (2.12, 3.44), 3.49 (2.35, 5.17), and 2.00 (1.45, 2.76), respectively, and the corresponding HRs for post-DNA levels were 4.86 (3.30, 7.17), 6.29 (3.41, 11.60), 5.68 (2.71,11.93), respectively. Mid-DNA levels predicted overall survival and progression-free survival with an HR (95% CI) of 3.02 (1.54, 5.29) and 3.15 (2.05, 4.83). Subgroup analysis showed that the HR of post-DNA wasn't influenced by different detection time of post-DNA (P = 0.22, I² = 33.2%).

CONCLUSION

The EBV DNA levels have a significant prognostic impact in patients with NPC. The effect of post-treatment EBV DNA level dominated that of pre-DNA and mid-DNA levels.

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma treated with intensity-modulated radiotherapy: clinical outcomes and patterns of failure among subsets of 8th AJCC stage IVa

OBJECTIVES

The 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) merged T4N0-2 and T1-4N3 to create stage IVa. In the present study, we aimed to assess the difference in clinical outcomes and patterns of failure between 8th AJCC T4N0-2 and T1-4N3 NPC patients treated with intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT).

METHODS

We included 3107 patients with stage IVa NPC disease (1871 with T4N0-2 and 1236 with T1-4N3) according to the 8th AJCC staging system. Overall survival (OS) was the primary endpoint. The clinical outcomes between T4N0-2 and T1-4N3 patients were compared.

RESULTS

T1-4N3 patients had significantly worse 3-year OS (84.1% vs. 89.2%; p < 0.001) and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS; 78.3% vs. 85.9%; p < 0.001), but better local relapse-free survival (LRFS; 94.9% vs. 92.2%; p = 0.003), as compared with T4N0-2 patients. Multivariate analysis showed that T1-4N3 was still an independent adverse prognostic factor for both DMFS (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.517, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.274-1.806, p < 0.001) and OS (HR = 1.315, 95% CI = 1.100-1.572, p = 0.003), whereas T4N0-2 was an independent adverse prognostic factor for LRFS (HR = 1.581, 95% CI = 1.158-2.158, p = 0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

In terms of the OS, T4N0-2 patients had better prognosis compared with T1-4N3 patients, and the patterns of failure differed between T4N0-2 and T1-4N3 patients. We believe that future modifications of the AJCC/UICC staging system should separate T4N0-2 from T1-4N3.

KEY POINTS

• In nasopharyngeal carcinoma, T4N0-2 patients tended to develop local relapse, whereas T1-4N3 patients were more likely to develop distant metastasis. • In terms of overall survival, T4N0-2 patients had better prognosis than T1-4N3 patients. • T4N0-2 should be separated from T1-4N3 in the UICC/AJCC staging system.

Clinical features and survival outcomes between ascending and descending types of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in the intensity-modulated radiotherapy era: A big-data intelligence platform-based analysis

PURPOSE

To compare clinical features and survival outcomes in patients with ascending type (type A) and descending type (type D) nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) in the intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) era.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 5194 patients with type A and type D NPC treated at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center were randomly selected. Tumors that were mainly advanced local disease (T3-4 stage) with early stage cervical lymph node involvement (N0-1 stage) were determined as type A, while tumors with advanced lymph node disease (N2-3 stage) but early stage local invasion (T1-2 stage) were classified as type D NPC. Kaplan-Meier's analysis was used to evaluate survival rates, and log-rank test survival curves were used for comparison. In the multivariate analysis Cox proportional hazard models were developed.

RESULTS

There was a larger proportion of type A tumors (82%) than type D tumors (18%). Compared to patients with type A tumors, those with type D tumors had increased likelihood of distant metastasis, regional recurrence, disease recurrence, and death (P < 0.001 for all), however, not for local recurrence (P < 0.001). The HR (hazard ratio) for death following recurrence of disease for type D tumors were 1.6 compared to type A tumors. Multivariate analysis revealed that elevated EBV DNA, elevated lactate dehydrogenase, alcohol consumption, and no family history of cancer attributed to the development of type D tumors. Annual hazard rate in type A patients increased, peaking at 12-18 months after initial treatment and downward thereafter. Similar trend also occurred in type D during the first 5 years following treatment. Notably, a minor peak was also observed 7-8 years post treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

In the IMRT era, recurrence patterns differed across tumor types. Type D NPC had a more aggressive clinical course and worse outcomes compared with type A NPC.

Plasma Epstein-Barr Virus DNA Load After Induction Chemotherapy Predicts Outcome in Locoregionally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

PURPOSE

To investigate whether plasma Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA load at induction chemotherapy (ICT) completion (post_ICT-DNA) is a useful outcome predictor in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) and to compare the prognostic value of post_ICT- DNA and post-chemoradiation therapy (CCRT) DNA (post_RT-DNA).

METHODS AND MATERIALS

We retrospectively reviewed 278 patients with stage III-IV NPC treated with ICT followed by concurrent CCRT. The EBV DNA load was measured by quantitative polymerase chain reaction pre-ICT (pre-DNA), at ICT completion (post_ICT-DNA), and 1 week after CCRT completion (post_RT-DNA).

RESULTS

Post_ICT-DNA was associated with significantly worse 3-year overall survival (86.4% vs. 93.4%, P = .023), distant metastasis-free survival (69.2% vs. 93.9%, P < .001), and disease-free survival (64.6% vs. 88.7%, P < .001) than was undetectable post_ICT-DNA. In multivariate analysis, post_ICT-DNA was an independent predictor of overall survival (hazard ratio [HR], 2.567; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.104-5.967; P = .029), distant metastasis-free survival (HR, 5.618; 95% CI, 2.781-11.348; P < .001), and disease-free survival (HR, 3.672; 95% CI, 2.064-6.533; P < .001). The post_ICT-DNA and post_RT-DNA areas under the curve were 0.584 and 0.561 (P < .001), respectively, for predicting 3-year death; 0.717 and 0.649 (P < .001), respectively, for predicting 3-year metastasis; and 0.659 and 0.602 (P < .001), respectively, for predicting 3-year disease failure.

CONCLUSIONS

Plasma EBV DNA load at ICT completion is a powerful and earlier outcome predictor in locoregionally advanced NPC that would facilitate further risk stratification and early treatment modification.

Pretreatment prognostic factors of survival and late toxicities for patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma treated by simultaneous integrated boost intensity-modulated radiotherapy

Background

To scrutinize the pretreatment prognosticators on survival and late toxicities in a homogenous cohort of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients treated by simultaneous integrated boost intensity-modulated radiation therapy (SIB-IMRT).

Methods

A total of 219 non-distant metastatic NPC patients consecutively treated by SIB-IMRT at a single institute were collected. The pretreatment factors including the socio-demographic variables, TNM stages, gross tumor volume (GTV), Epstein-Barr virus (EBV)-DNA, and hematologic inflammatory markers were analyzed. Cox model was used to screen the prognostic factors of late toxicities and four survival outcomes including locoregional relapse-free survival (LRRFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), failure-free survival (FFS), and overall survival (OS).

Results

Statistically significant inter-correlations were observed between the values of EBV-DNA, some hematologic inflammatory markers, GTV, and N classification. The 5-year LRRFS, DMFS, FFS, and OS rates were 87.9%, 89.4%, 79.4%, and 81.3%, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that advanced N classification (N2–3 vs. N0–1) remained the only significant negative prognosticator for all the four survival outcomes. An increased monocyte percentage and a decreased lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio were significantly associated with poorer FFS and OS, respectively. Larger GTV was observed to be predictive of poorer LRRFS. Patients with T3–4 (HR: 3.5, 95% CI: 1.0–12.1, p = 0.048) or higher GTV (HR: 1.006, 95% CI: 1.001–1.011, p = 0.027) were associated with higher incidence of radiation neuropathy.

Conclusion

N classification remains the most significant survival predictor for NPC patients treated by SIB-IMRT after adjusting these biomarkers. GTV impacts not only on locoregional control but also radiation neuropathy.