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Aoyama T, Maezawa Y, Hashimoto I, Hara K, Kazama K, Komori K, Kato A, Otani K, Tamagawa A, Cho H, Morita J, Kawahara S, Tanabe M, Oshima T, Saito A, Yukawa N, Rino Y. The Clinical Impact of the Pretreatment Albumin to Fibrinogen Ratio in Esophageal Cancer Patients Who Receive Curative Treatment. In Vivo 2024; 38:1253-1259. [PMID: 38688590 PMCID: PMC11059917 DOI: 10.21873/invivo.13562] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/05/2024] [Revised: 02/01/2024] [Accepted: 02/02/2024] [Indexed: 05/02/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND/AIM The albumin to fibrinogen ratio (AFR) has been identified as a promising prognostic marker for some malignancies. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the clinical impact of AFR in esophageal cancer patients who received curative resection. PATIENTS AND METHODS The present study included 123 patients who underwent curative treatment for esophageal cancer between 2005 and 2020. The prognosis and clinicopathological parameters were compared between patients with high and low AFRs. RESULTS The overall survival (OS) stratified by each clinical factor was compared using the log-rank test, and a significant difference was observed when using a pretreatment AFR of 1.23. When comparing the patient backgrounds between the high-AFR (AFR ≥12.3) and low-AFR (AFR<12.3) groups, significant differences were noted in the pathological T status. The high-AFR group had significantly higher OS rates at 3 years (70.8%) and 5 years (59.3%) after surgery in comparison to the low-AFR group (46.6% and 37.4%, respectively). Univariate and multivariate analyses for OS showed that the AFR was a significant prognostic factor. In addition, when comparing the site of first recurrence, a marginally significant difference was noted in hematological recurrence. CONCLUSION The AFR is a significant risk factor in patients with esophageal cancer, holding promise as a valuable prognostic factor.
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Affiliation(s)
- Toru Aoyama
- Department of Surgery, Yokohama City University, Yokohama, Japan;
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Kanagawa Cancer Center, Yokohama, Japan
| | - Yukio Maezawa
- Department of Surgery, Yokohama City University, Yokohama, Japan
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Kanagawa Cancer Center, Yokohama, Japan
| | - Itaru Hashimoto
- Department of Surgery, Yokohama City University, Yokohama, Japan;
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Kanagawa Cancer Center, Yokohama, Japan
| | - Kentaro Hara
- Department of Surgery, Yokohama City University, Yokohama, Japan
- Department of Surgery, Tokyo Metropolitan Cancer and Infectious Diseases Center Komagome Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Keisuke Kazama
- Department of Surgery, Yokohama City University, Yokohama, Japan
| | - Keisuke Komori
- Department of Surgery, Yokohama City University, Yokohama, Japan
| | - Aya Kato
- Department of Surgery, Yokohama City University, Yokohama, Japan
| | - Kazuki Otani
- Department of Surgery, Yokohama City University, Yokohama, Japan
| | - Ayako Tamagawa
- Department of Surgery, Yokohama City University, Yokohama, Japan
| | - Haruhiko Cho
- Department of Surgery, Yokohama City University, Yokohama, Japan
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Kanagawa Cancer Center, Yokohama, Japan
| | - Junya Morita
- Department of Surgery, Yokohama City University, Yokohama, Japan
| | | | - Mie Tanabe
- Department of Surgery, Yokohama City University, Yokohama, Japan
| | - Takashi Oshima
- Department of Surgery, Yokohama City University, Yokohama, Japan
- Department of Surgery, Tokyo Metropolitan Cancer and Infectious Diseases Center Komagome Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Aya Saito
- Department of Surgery, Yokohama City University, Yokohama, Japan
| | - Norio Yukawa
- Department of Surgery, Yokohama City University, Yokohama, Japan
| | - Yasushi Rino
- Department of Surgery, Yokohama City University, Yokohama, Japan
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Ji W, Liu Z, Lin T. Diagnostic value of albumin/fibrinogen ratio and C-reactive protein/albumin/globulin ratio for periprosthetic joint infection: a retrospective study. PeerJ 2023; 11:e16662. [PMID: 38111666 PMCID: PMC10726739 DOI: 10.7717/peerj.16662] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/26/2023] [Accepted: 11/21/2023] [Indexed: 12/20/2023] Open
Abstract
Background The study aims to explore diagnostic value of albumin/fibrinogen ratio (AFR) and C-reactive protein (CRP)/albumin (ALB)/globulin (GLO) ratio (CAGR) for periprosthetic joint infection (PJI). Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical data collected from 190 patients who had joint replacement surgery in Qilu Hospital of Shandong University (Qingdao), from January 2017 to December 2022. Based on the occurrence of PJI after surgery, patients were divided as an infection group (10 cases) and non-infection group (180 cases). Diagnostic indicators were analyzed, univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were further performed to identify factors related to PJI. Sensitivity and specificity of AFR and CAGR, both individually and in combination, were calculated using ROC curves, and their diagnostic performance was compared based on the area under the curve (AUC). Results Levels of CRP, ESR, FIB, GLO, and CAGR were significantly higher in the infection group than in non-infection group (P < 0.05). Levels of ALB and AFR were significantly lower in infection group (P < 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis reviewed that CRP (OR = 3.324), ESR (OR = 2.118), FIB (OR = 3.142), ALB (OR = 0.449), GLO (OR = 1.985), AFR (OR = 0.587), and CAGR (OR = 2.469) were factors influencing PJI (P < 0.05). The AUC for AFR and CAGR in diagnosing PJI were 0.739 and 0.780, while AUC for their combined detection was 0.858. Conclusion Abnormal levels of AFR and CAGR are associated with PJI, and their combined use has certain diagnostic value for PJI.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wei Ji
- Department of Joint Surgery, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University (Qingdao), Qingdao, China
| | - Zemiao Liu
- Department of Joint Surgery, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University (Qingdao), Qingdao, China
| | - Tao Lin
- Department of Joint Surgery, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University (Qingdao), Qingdao, China
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Song L, Qi J, Zhao J, Bai S, Wu Q, Xu R. Diagnostic value of CA125, HE4, and systemic immune-inflammation index in the preoperative investigation of ovarian masses. Medicine (Baltimore) 2023; 102:e35240. [PMID: 37713838 PMCID: PMC10508492 DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000035240] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/03/2023] [Accepted: 08/24/2023] [Indexed: 09/17/2023] Open
Abstract
This study aimed to ascertain the diagnostic accuracy of CA125, HE4, systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), fibrinogen-to-albumin ratio (FAR), prognostic nutritional index (PNI), and their combination for ovarian cancer (OC) to discover an optimal combined diagnostic index for early diagnosis of OC. A thorough investigation was conducted to ascertain the correlation between these markers and the pathological characteristics of OC, thereby providing a foundation for early identification and treatment of this disorder. One hundred seventy patients with documented OC and benign ovarian tumors (BOTs) treated at Hebei General Hospital between January 2019 and December 2022 were included in this retrospective study. Data analysis was conducted using IBM SPSS Statistics version V26.0, MedCalc Statistical Software version 19.4.0, and the R Environment for Statistical Computing software (R Foundation for Statistical Computing). Isolated CA125 showed the best application value for differentiating benign ovarian tumors from OC when the defined variables were compared separately. The combination of CA125, HE4, FAR, SII, and PNI displayed a greater area under the operating characteristic curve curve than any one of them or other combinations of the 5 variables. Compared to CA125 alone, the combination of CA125, HE4, FAR, SII, and PNI showed a slight gain in sensitivity (83.91%), negative predictive value (83.91%), accuracy (85.88%), and a decrease in negative likelihood ratio (0.180%). Higher preoperative CA125, HE4, SII, and FAR levels, and lower PNI levels predicted a higher probability of advanced OC progression and lymph node metastasis. FAR has better application value than other inflammation-related markers (PNI and SII). This study suggests that preoperative serum SII, PNI, and FAR may be clinically valuable markers in patients with OC. FAR has better application value than other inflammation-related markers (PNI and SII). As we delve deeper into the inflammatory mechanisms associated with tumors, we may discover more effective combinations of tumor and inflammatory biomarkers.
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Affiliation(s)
- Liyun Song
- Department of Gynecology, Hebei General Hospital, Shijiazhuang, China
| | - Jie Qi
- Department of Gynecology, Hebei General Hospital, Shijiazhuang, China
| | - Jing Zhao
- Department of Gynecology, Hebei General Hospital, Shijiazhuang, China
| | - Suning Bai
- Department of Gynecology, Hebei General Hospital, Shijiazhuang, China
| | - Qi Wu
- Department of Gynecology, Hebei General Hospital, Shijiazhuang, China
| | - Ren Xu
- Department of Gynecology, Hebei General Hospital, Shijiazhuang, China
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Song Z, Huang J, Wang Q, Wang D, Feng J, Cao Q, Chen X, Gao Z, Dai Z, Jin Y. An Exciting Performance of Established and Novel Biomarkers in Diagnosing Periprosthetic Joint Infections: A Single-center Retrospective Cohort Study. Orthop Surg 2023; 15:2328-2333. [PMID: 37435874 PMCID: PMC10475663 DOI: 10.1111/os.13810] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/05/2022] [Revised: 05/26/2023] [Accepted: 05/31/2023] [Indexed: 07/13/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Significant progress has been made in recent years in the diagnosis of periprosthetic joint infections (PJI). However, the lack of a gold standard test for the diagnosis of PJI remains a challenge.The aim of this study was to evaluate the diagnostic values of the albumin/fibrinogen ratio (AFR), the C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (CAR), and the levels of fibrinogen (FIB) and albumin (ALB) in the diagnosis of PJI. METHODS The medical records of 158 patients who had undergone hip or knee revisions from January 2018 to May 2022 were retrospectively analyzed. Of these patients, 79 were diagnosed with PJI, while 79 were diagnosed with aseptic loosening (AL). PJI was defined using the Musculoskeletal Infection Society criteria. The plasma levels of C-reactive protein (CRP), ALB, and FIB; the erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR); and the AFR and CAR in the two groups were recorded and analyzed. The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to calculate the sensitivity and specificity of each indicator; the diagnostic value for each indicator was calculated as the area under the curve (AUC). RESULTS The ESR, CRP, FIB, and CAR values in the PJI group were significantly higher than those in the AL group, and the ALB and AFR values were significantly lower than those in the AL group (p < 0.001). The AUC values of AFR and fibrinogen were 0.851 and 0.848, respectively, which were slightly higher than those of CRP (0.826) and ESR (0.846). The AUC of CAR was 0.831 which was slightly lower than that of CRP (0.846). ALB had an AUC of 0.727. The optimal threshold, sensitivity, and specificity, respectively, were 10.05, 84.81%, and 82.28% for AFR; 4.03 μg/mL, 77.22%, and 86.08% for FIB; 0.23, 72.15%, and 82.28% for CAR; and 37.30 g/L, 65.82%, and 73.42% for ALB. CONCLUSIONS AFR, CAR, and FIB are good new auxiliary diagnostic indicators of PJI, while ALB is of fair value for the diagnosis of PJI.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhenyu Song
- Henan University People’s HospitalHenan Provincial People’s HospitalZhengzhouHenanChina
| | - Jincheng Huang
- Department of OrthopaedicsHenan Provincial People’s HospitalHenan University People’s HospitalZhengzhou University People’s HospitalZhengzhouHenanChina
| | - Qingkai Wang
- Henan University People’s HospitalHenan Provincial People’s HospitalZhengzhouHenanChina
| | - Donghui Wang
- Henan University People’s HospitalHenan Provincial People’s HospitalZhengzhouHenanChina
| | - Jiawei Feng
- Henan University People’s HospitalHenan Provincial People’s HospitalZhengzhouHenanChina
| | - Qianqian Cao
- Department of OrthopaedicsHenan Provincial People’s HospitalHenan University People’s HospitalZhengzhou University People’s HospitalZhengzhouHenanChina
| | - Xiao Chen
- Department of OrthopaedicsHenan Provincial People’s HospitalHenan University People’s HospitalZhengzhou University People’s HospitalZhengzhouHenanChina
| | - Zongyan Gao
- Department of OrthopaedicsHenan Provincial People’s HospitalHenan University People’s HospitalZhengzhou University People’s HospitalZhengzhouHenanChina
| | - Zhipeng Dai
- Department of OrthopaedicsHenan Provincial People’s HospitalHenan University People’s HospitalZhengzhou University People’s HospitalZhengzhouHenanChina
| | - Yi Jin
- Henan University People’s HospitalHenan Provincial People’s HospitalZhengzhouHenanChina
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Chen L, Yu G, Zhao W, Ye B, Shu Y. A possible combined appraisal pattern: predicting the prognosis of patients after esophagectomy. World J Surg Oncol 2023; 21:155. [PMID: 37211596 DOI: 10.1186/s12957-023-03020-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/26/2022] [Accepted: 04/23/2023] [Indexed: 05/23/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To investigate the predictive merit of combined preoperative nutritional condition and systemic inflammation on the prognosis of patients receiving esophagectomy, with the assessment of model construction to extract a multidisciplinary phantom having clinical relevance and suitability. METHODS The software of R 4.1.2 was utilized to acquire the survival optimal truncation value and the confusion matrix of survival for the continuity variables. SPSS Statistics 26 was employed to analyze the correlation of parameters, where including t-test, ANOVA and the nonparametric rank sum test shall. Pearson chi-square test was used for categorical variables. The survival curve was retrieved by Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate analysis of overall survival (OS) was performed through log-rank test. Cox analysis was for survival analyze. The performance of the prediction phantom through the area under curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), decision curve analysis (DCA), nomogram and clinical impact curve (CIC) was plotted by R. RESULTS The AUC value of albumin-globulin score and skeletal muscle index (CAS) is markedly superior. Patients with diminished AGS and greater SMI were associated with improved overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) (P < 0.01). The CAS composite evaluation model was calibrated with better accuracy and predictive performance. The DCA and CIC indicated a relatively higher net revenue for the prediction model. CONCLUSIONS The prediction model including the CAS score has excellent accuracy, a high net revenue, and favorable prediction function.
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Affiliation(s)
- LiangLiang Chen
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Hangzhou Chest Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310005, China
| | - GuoCan Yu
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Hangzhou Chest Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310005, China
| | - WuChen Zhao
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Hangzhou Chest Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310005, China
| | - Bo Ye
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Hangzhou Chest Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310005, China.
| | - YuSheng Shu
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital, Clinical Medical School of, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, 225001, China.
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Fan Z, Liu B, Shang P. Development and validation of a nomogram prediction model based on albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio for predicting the prognosis of gallbladder carcinoma. Pathol Oncol Res 2023; 28:1610818. [PMID: 36685104 PMCID: PMC9845243 DOI: 10.3389/pore.2022.1610818] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/08/2022] [Accepted: 12/16/2022] [Indexed: 01/06/2023]
Abstract
Gallbladder carcinoma (GBC) is a rare biliary tract cancer with a high recurrence rate and a poor prognosis. Albumin-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) has been demonstrated to be a prognostic predictor for several cancers, but its predictive value for GBC patients remains unknown. The aim of this study was to investigate the predictive role of AAPR in GBC patients and to develop a novel nomogram prediction model for GBC patients. We retrospectively collected data from 80 patients who underwent surgery at the Hospital of 81st Group Army PLA as a training cohort. Data were collected from 70 patients with the same diagnosis who underwent surgery at the First Affiliated Hospital of Hebei North University as an external verification cohort. The optimal cut-off value of AAPR was determined using X-tile software. A nomogram for the overall survival (OS) based on multivariate Cox regression analysis was developed and validated using calibration curves, Harrell's concordance index, the receiver operating characteristic curves, and decisive curve analyses. The optimal cut-off value of AAPR was .20. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses demonstrated that BMI (p = .043), R0 resection (p = .001), TNM stage (p = .005), and AAPR (p = .017) were independent risk factors for GBC patients. In terms of consistency, discrimination, and net benefit, the nomogram incorporating these four independent risk factors performed admirably. AAPR is an independent predictor of GBC patients undergoing surgery, and a novel nomogram prediction model based on AAPR showed superior predictive ability.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zizheng Fan
- Department of Graduate School, Hebei North University, Zhangjiakou, China
| | - Bing Liu
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The Hospital of 81st Group Army PLA, Zhangjiakou, China
| | - Peizhong Shang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The Hospital of 81st Group Army PLA, Zhangjiakou, China,*Correspondence: Peizhong Shang,
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Du X, Dong J, Yan K, Wang X, Shen W, Zhu S. Novel nomograms predicting the survival of patients with nonsurgical thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma treated with IMRT: A retrospective analysis. Medicine (Baltimore) 2022; 101:e30305. [PMID: 36221349 PMCID: PMC9543077 DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000030305] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/07/2022] Open
Abstract
The purpose of this study was to evaluate several preradiotherapy serum inflammatory indicators, including the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), and systemic inflammation score (SIS), and compare which of these indicators had the highest value in predicting survival. Inflammatory markers were combined with traditional prognostic factors, and novel nomogram models were developed to predict overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) for patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. A total of 245 patients were enrolled. The Kaplan-Meier method and univariate and multivariate analyses were used to compare survival differences. A total of 239 patients met the eligibility criteria. The survival numbers at 1, 3, and 5 years were 176, 83, and 62, respectively. The OS and PFS rates estimated at 1, 3, and 5 years were 74.6%, 36.8%, and 26.5% and 58.4%, 31.3%, and 20.5%, respectively. The differences in patients' OS and PFS were significant when univariate analysis was applied based on inflammation-based measures. Multivariate analysis showed that tumor length, tumor stage, tumor/node/metastasis stage, chemotherapy, and SIS value were predictive variables for OS and PFS. The nomogram model established based on the multivariate models of the training data set had good predictive ability. The unadjusted C-index was 0.701 (95% CI, 0.662-0.740) and 0.695 (95% CI, 0.656-0.734) for OS and PFS, respectively. This study showed that the SIS-based nomogram could accurately predict the OS and PFS of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xingyu Du
- Department of Radiation Oncology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, P.R. China
| | - Jing Dong
- Department of Radiation Oncology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, P.R. China
| | - Ke Yan
- Department of Radiation Oncology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, P.R. China
| | - Xiaobin Wang
- Department of Radiation Oncology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, P.R. China
| | - Wenbin Shen
- Department of Radiation Oncology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, P.R. China
| | - Shuchai Zhu
- Department of Radiation Oncology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, P.R. China
- *Correspondence: Shuchai Zhu, Department of Radiation Oncology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei 050011, P.R. China (e-mail: )
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Chen J, Ji X, Xing H. Risk factors and a nomogram model for postoperative delirium in elderly gastric cancer patients after laparoscopic gastrectomy. World J Surg Oncol 2022; 20:319. [PMID: 36171580 PMCID: PMC9520878 DOI: 10.1186/s12957-022-02793-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/27/2022] [Accepted: 09/21/2022] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
Background To evaluate the risk factors of postoperative delirium (POD) in elderly gastric cancer (GC) patients after laparoscopic gastrectomy and construct a predictive model. Methods Elderly GC patients undergoing laparoscopic gastrectomy were enrolled and grouped based on the status of POD development within postoperative 7 days. Independent risk factors were selected out by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses and then enrolled in the nomogram prediction model. Results A total of 270 elderly GC patients were enrolled, and POD occurred in 74 (27.4%) patients within postoperative 7 days. The results of multivariate regression analysis indicated that age (OR: 3.30, 95% CI: 1.41–6.85, P < 0.001), sleeping pills (OR: 1.87, 95% CI: 1.12–3.09, P = 0.012), duration of ICU stay (OR: 1.55, 95% CI: 1.02–2.37, P = 0.029), albumin/fibrinogen ratio (AFR) (OR: 1.74, 95% CI: 1.03–2.76, P = 0.019), and neutrophils/lymphocytes ratio (NLR) (OR: 2.12, 95% CI: 1.11–4.01, P = 0.016) were five independent risk factors for POD in elderly GC patients. The AUC of the constructed nomogram model based on these five factors was 0.807. Conclusions This study highlighted that age, AFR, NLR, sleeping pills taking, and duration of ICU stay were independent risk factors for POD, and the nomogram model based on these factors could effectively predict POD in elderly GC patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jie Chen
- Department of Anesthesiology, Taizhou People's Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing Medical University, No. 399 Hailing South Road, Taizhou City, 225300, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - Xiaoli Ji
- Department of Anesthesiology, Taizhou People's Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing Medical University, No. 399 Hailing South Road, Taizhou City, 225300, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - Hailin Xing
- Department of Anesthesiology, Taizhou People's Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing Medical University, No. 399 Hailing South Road, Taizhou City, 225300, Jiangsu Province, China.
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Hu H, Zhang J, Yan H, Qin C, Guo H, Liu T, Tang S, Zhou H. Development and validation of a novel prognostic model for patients with surgically resected esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. Front Oncol 2022; 12:955353. [PMID: 36059713 PMCID: PMC9435602 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2022.955353] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/28/2022] [Accepted: 07/18/2022] [Indexed: 01/17/2023] Open
Abstract
Background and objectives Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is the most common pathological type of esophageal malignancy in most regions of the world. The study aimed to identify risk factors and develop a predictive model for ESCC following surgical resection. Patients and methods A total of 533 ESCC patients who underwent surgical resection from Suining Central Hospital were enrolled in the study. Cox proportional hazards regression and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression were performed to identify significant prognostic factors. A prognostic model was constructed, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, concordance index (C-index), and decision cure analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the discrimination and calibration of the prognostic model. Subsequently, we built a nomogram for overall survival (OS) incorporating the prognostic factors, and a calibration plot was employed to assess the consistency between the predicted survival and the observed survival. Based on the model risk score, we split the patients into two subgroups, low-risk and high-risk, and we analyzed the survival time of these two groups using Kaplan–Meier (K-M) survival plots. Results Five independent prognosis factors were identified as independent risk factors for OS in ESCC patients who underwent surgical resection. The C-index, ROC curve, and DCA showed that the prognostic model had good predictive accuracy and discriminatory power in the training cohort and validation cohort than other clinical features. A nomogram consisting of prognosis factors showed some superior net benefit. K-M survival plots showed significant differences in OS between the low-risk and high-risk groups. Similar results were observed in the subgroup analysis based on age, grade, and stage. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses revealed that both risk score and risk group are independent prognostic factors in the patient cohort. Conclusions This study put forward a novel prognostic model based on clinical features; biopsy data and blood biomarkers may represent a promising tool for estimating OS in ESCC patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Haiyang Hu
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Suining Central Hospital, An Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Suining, China
- Institute of Surgery, Graduate School, Zunyi Medical University, Zunyi, China
| | - Jun Zhang
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Suining Central Hospital, An Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Suining, China
- Institute of Surgery, Graduate School, Zunyi Medical University, Zunyi, China
| | - Hang Yan
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Suining Central Hospital, An Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Suining, China
- Institute of Surgery, Graduate School, Zunyi Medical University, Zunyi, China
| | - Chao Qin
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Suining Central Hospital, An Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Suining, China
- Institute of Surgery, Graduate School, Zunyi Medical University, Zunyi, China
| | - Haiyang Guo
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Suining Central Hospital, An Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Suining, China
- Institute of Surgery, Graduate School, Chengdu University of TCM, Chengdu, China
| | - Tao Liu
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Suining Central Hospital, An Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Suining, China
- Institute of Surgery, Graduate School, Zunyi Medical University, Zunyi, China
| | - Shengjie Tang
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Suining Central Hospital, An Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Suining, China
| | - Haining Zhou
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Suining Central Hospital, An Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Suining, China
- Institute of Surgery, Graduate School, Zunyi Medical University, Zunyi, China
- *Correspondence: Haining Zhou,
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Nie Y, Yao G, Li L, Feng A, Zhang W, Xu X, Li Q, Yang Z. Effects of Radiotherapy on Survival of Esophageal Cancer Patients Receiving Immunotherapy: Propensity Score Analysis and Nomogram Construction. Cancer Manag Res 2022; 14:2357-2371. [PMID: 35967755 PMCID: PMC9369108 DOI: 10.2147/cmar.s375821] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/09/2022] [Accepted: 07/27/2022] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Purpose The present study assessed the effects of radiotherapy on overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival time (PFS) in patients with stage II or higher esophageal cancer receiving immunotherapy; evaluated factors independently prognostic of OS and PFS in these patients; and utilized these factors to establish a prognostic nomogram. Patients and Methods This study enrolled 134 patients with stage II or higher esophageal cancer treated with chemotherapy (platinum-based agents plus paclitaxel or fluorouracil) and immunotherapy. These patients were divided into two groups, a radiotherapy (RT) group (n = 55) and a non-radiotherapy (non-RT) group (n = 79). Following 1:1 propensity score matching, OS and PFS were compared by the Kaplan-Meier method, and factors associated with survival were determined by univariate and multifactorial Cox regression analyses. These factors were used to construct a prognostic nomogram. Results After propensity matching, all covariates were well balanced in the two groups (all P > 0.05). After matching, both median PFS (15.70 months [95% confidence interval (CI) 8.68-22.72 months] vs 5.70 months [95% CI 3.38-8.02 months], P = 0.002) and median OS (15.72 months [95% CI 12.94-18.46 months] vs 12.06 months [95% CI 9.91-14.20 months], P = 0.036) were significantly longer in the RT than in the non-RT group. Univariate and multifactorial analyses showed that RT, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratios, and tumor differentiation were independently prognostic of OS, with all hazard ratios (HRs) <1 and all P-values <0.05. A nomogram based on these factors was constructed, and its accuracy was verified. Conclusion Immunotherapy plus RT resulted in better survival outcomes than immunotherapy alone. A nomogram based on prognostic factors can guide personalized treatment and monitor prognosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuanliu Nie
- Tumor Research and Therapy Center, Shandong Provincial Hospital, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, 250021, People’s Republic of China
| | - Guangyue Yao
- Tumor Research and Therapy Center, Shandong Provincial Hospital, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, 250021, People’s Republic of China
| | - Liang Li
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Shandong Provincial Hospital, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, 250021, People’s Republic of China
| | - Alei Feng
- Tumor Research and Therapy Center, Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong, 250021, People’s Republic of China
| | - Wentao Zhang
- Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong, 250021, People’s Republic of China
| | - Xiaoying Xu
- Shandong First Medical University, College of Basic Medicine, Shandong First Medical University-Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences, Jinan, Shandong, 250000, People’s Republic of China
| | - Qiang Li
- Tumor Research and Therapy Center, Shandong Provincial Hospital, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, 250021, People’s Republic of China
- Tumor Research and Therapy Center, Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong, 250021, People’s Republic of China
| | - Zhe Yang
- Tumor Research and Therapy Center, Shandong Provincial Hospital, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, 250021, People’s Republic of China
- Tumor Research and Therapy Center, Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong, 250021, People’s Republic of China
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