Santacruz-Sanmartin E, Hincapié-Palacio D, Ochoa J, Buitrago S, Ospina M. Population measles seroprevalence: Heterogeneity by birth-year cohort.
J Virus Erad 2023;
9:100352. [PMID:
38046787 PMCID:
PMC10692715 DOI:
10.1016/j.jve.2023.100352]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/12/2023] [Revised: 09/26/2023] [Accepted: 10/03/2023] [Indexed: 12/05/2023] Open
Abstract
Objective
This work sought to estimate population measles seroprevalence and heterogeneity in the antibody concentration distribution that could be explained by the birth-year cohort according to the opportunity of viral and vaccine exposure, applied to data from Medellín, Colombia.
Methods
Prevalence of IgG antibodies was analyzed for measles based on a population study with a random sample of 2098 individuals from 6 to 64 years of age. Finite mixture models were used to estimate global seroprevalence and that of three birth-year cohorts (I: born up to 1982; II: 1983-1994; III: born since 1995). Multiple linear regression permitted adjusting the concentration of antibodies by cohort, zone, and sex.
Results
Globally, seronegativity was 6.5% (95% CI 4.9- 8.6), seropositivity of 78.4% (95% CI 75.1-81.4), and equivocal of 15.1% (95% CI 12.5-18.1). Two components were found with skewed normal distribution, which reclassified those equivocal as seropositive. Differences were observed by cohort in the geometric mean of antibodies [Cohort I: 1704.6; II: 562.2; III: 802.1 milli-international units per milliliter (mIU/mL] and seronegativity (Cohort I: 4%; II:13.3%; III: 8.9%). Antibody concentration increased by 1.26 mIU/mL in residents in the rural area, while diminishing in individuals from cohort II (by 3.02 mIU/mL) and cohort III (by 2.14 mIU/mL).
Conclusion
The younger cohorts (II and III) had a lower antibody concentration (higher seronegativity), indicating the need to monitor periodically seroprevalence and an eventual reestablishment of the transmission in these groups with higher risk of infection.
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