Modelling the prognostic effect of glucose and lipid profiles on stroke recurrence in Malaysia: an event-history analysis

Association of glycemic gap with stroke recurrence in patients with ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND

Glycemic gap, as a novel index of acute glycemic excursion, is associated with poor prognosis of different diseases. This study aimed to explore the association of the glycemic gap with long-term stroke recurrence in patients with ischemic stroke.

METHODS

This study included patients with ischemic stroke from the Nanjing Stroke Registry Program. The glycemic gap was calculated by subtracting the estimated average blood glucose from the blood glucose at admission. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was performed to explore the association between the glycemic gap and the risk of stroke recurrence. The Bayesian hierarchical logistic regression model was used to estimate the effects of the glycemic gap on stroke recurrence stratified by diabetes mellitus and atrial fibrillation.

RESULTS

Among 2734 enrolled patients, 381 (13.9%) patients experienced stroke recurrence during a median follow-up of 3.02 years. In multivariate analysis, glycemic gap (high group vs. median group) was associated with significantly increased risk for stroke recurrence (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.488; 95% confidence interval, 1.140-1.942; p = .003) and had varying effects on stroke recurrence depending on atrial fibrillation. The restricted cubic spline curve showed a U-shaped relationship between the glycemic gap and stroke recurrence (p = .046 for nonlinearity).

CONCLUSION

Our study found that the glycemic gap was significantly associated with stroke recurrence in patients with ischemic stroke. The glycemic gap was consistently associated with stroke recurrence across subgroups and had varying effects depending on atrial fibrillation.

Correlation of Atherosclerotic Dyslipidemia with Long-Term Stroke Recurrence in Patients Undergoing Intravenous Thrombolysis for Acute Ischemic Stroke

Background

Atherosclerotic dyslipidemia (AD) is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular diseases and stroke events, but the effect of AD among acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients undergoing intravenous thrombolysis is unclear. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between AD and long-term stroke recurrence in AIS patients undergoing intravenous thrombolysis.

Methods

This prospective cohort study included 499 AIS patients treated with intravenous thrombolysis. Stroke subtype was classified according to the Trial of ORG 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment (TOAST) criteria, patients' clinical characteristics, and results from multiple diagnostic tests. The primary endpoint event was ischemic stroke recurrence; the time to first AIS recurrence was estimated using Kaplan‒Meier analysis and compared using the two-sided Log rank test. Cox univariate and multivariate regression analyses were used to assess the association between AD and long-term stroke recurrence.

Results

Of the 499 patients with AIS treated with rt-PA intravenous thrombolysis, 80 (16.0%) had AD, and 60 (12.0%) had a stroke recurrence event. Kaplan‒Meier analysis showed that the stroke recurrence rate was significantly higher in patients with AD than in those without AD (p = 0.035, log rank test) and in the large-artery disease (LAD) subtype (p = 0.006, log rank test). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that AD (HR = 2.363, 95% CI: 1.294-4.314, P = 0.005) and atrial fibrillation (HR = 2.325, 95% CI: 1.007-5.366, P = 0.048) were associated with an increased risk of long-term stroke recurrence in AIS patients who underwent intravenous thrombolysis. Furthermore, AD was associated with an increased risk of stroke recurrence in patients undergoing intravenous thrombolysis in the LAD subtype (HR = 3.122, 95% CI: 1.304-7.437, P = 0.011).

Conclusion

We found that AD increases the risk of long-term stroke recurrence in AIS patients undergoing intravenous thrombolysis. This association may be stronger in the LAD subtype.