The Accuracy of Imminent Death Diagnosis in a Palliative Care Setting

Changepoint Detection in Heart Rate Variability Indices in Older Patients Without Cancer at End of Life Using Ballistocardiography Signals: Preliminary Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

In an aging society such as Japan, where the number of older people continues to increase, providing in-hospital end-of-life care for all deaths, and end-of-life care outside of hospitals, such as at home or in nursing homes, will be difficult. In end-of-life care, monitoring patients is important to understand their condition and predict survival time; this information gives family members and caregivers time to prepare for the end of life. However, with no clear indicators, health care providers must subjectively decide if an older patient is in the end-of-life stage, considering factors such as condition changes and decreased food intake. This complicates decisions for family members, especially during home-based care.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this preliminary retrospective study was to determine whether and how changes in heart rate variability (HRV) indices estimated from ballistocardiography (BCG) occur before the date of death in terminally ill older patients, and ultimately to predict the date of death from the changepoint.

METHODS

This retrospective pilot study assessed the medical records of 15 older patients admitted to a special nursing home between August 2019 and December 2021. Patient characteristics and time-domain HRV indices such as the average normal-to-normal (ANN) interval, SD of the normal-to-normal (SDNN) interval, and root mean square of successive differences (RMSSD) from at least 2 months before the date of death were collected. Overall trends of indices were examined by drawing a restricted cubic spline curve. A repeated measures ANOVA was performed to evaluate changes in the indices over the observation period. To explore more detailed changes in HRV, a piecewise regression analysis was conducted to estimate the changepoint of HRV indices.

RESULTS

The 15 patients included 8 men and 7 women with a median age of 93 (IQR 91-96) years. The cubic spline curve showed a gradual decline of indices from approximately 30 days before the patients' deaths. The repeated measures ANOVA showed that when compared with 8 weeks before death, the ratio of the geometric mean of ANN (0.90, 95% CI 0.84-0.98; P=.005) and RMSSD (0.83, 95% CI 0.70-0.99; P=.03) began to decrease 3 weeks before death. The piecewise regression analysis estimated the changepoints for ANN, SDNN, and RMSSD at -34.5 (95% CI -42.5 to -26.5; P<.001), -33.0 (95% CI -40.9 to -25.1; P<.001), and -35.0 (95% CI -42.3 to -27.7; P<.001) days, respectively, before death.

CONCLUSIONS

This preliminary study identified the changepoint of HRV indices before death in older patients at end of life. Although few data were examined, our findings indicated that HRV indices from BCG can be useful for monitoring and predicting survival time in older patients at end of life. The study and results suggest the potential for more objective and accurate prognostic tools in predicting end-of-life outcomes.

Impact of palliative care at end-of-life Covid-19 patients - a small-scale pioneering experience

BACKGROUND

In March 2020, the outbreak caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus was declared a pandemic, resulting in numerous fatalities worldwide. To effectively combat the virus, it would be beneficial to involve professionals who specialize in symptom control for advanced illnesses, working closely with other specialties throughout the illness process. This approach can help manage a range of symptoms, from mild to severe and potentially life-threatening. No studies have been conducted in Portugal to analyse the intervention of Palliative Medicine at the end of life of Covid-19 patients and how it differs from other specialties. This knowledge could help determine the importance of including it in the care of people with advanced Covid-19.

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study is to examine potential differences in the care provided to patients with Covid-19 during their Last Hours and Days of Life (LHDOL) between those who received care from Palliative Medicine doctors and those who did not.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study spanning three months (Dec 2020 to Feb 2021), the duration of the Support Unit especially created to deal with Covid-19 patients. The database included clinical files from 181 patients admitted to the Support Unit, 27 of which died from Covid-19.

RESULTS

Statistically significant differences were identified in the care provided. Specifically, fewer drugs were administered at the time of death, including drugs for dyspnoea, pain and agitation, suspension of futile devices and use of palliative sedation to control refractory symptoms.

CONCLUSIONS

End-of-life care and symptomatic control differ when there's regular follow-up by Palliative Medicine, which may translate less symptomatic suffering and promote a dignified and humane end of life.

COVID-19 and Palliative Care Services: Comparative Patterns of Inpatient, Outpatient, and Consultation Services in a Tertiary Care Center in Riyadh

Introduction

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) marked the third introduction of a highly pathogenic and large-scale epidemic coronavirus into the human population in the 21st century. The World Health Organization declared the COVID-19 outbreak as a pandemic on March 11, 2020. Lockdowns were imposed in multiple countries affecting patient flow in hospitals.

Methods

This is a retrospective study conducted at King Fahad Medical City (KFMC), a tertiary care hospital in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, which examined the differences in palliative care services during the initial four months of the COVID-19 pandemic compared to the respective four months in 2019 (March, April, May, June).

Results

A total of 319 patients were seen at the palliative care department from March to June 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic (119 inpatient, 200 outpatient), compared to 346 patients seen during the corresponding months in 2019 (97 inpatient, 249 outpatient). Our main findings included more patients being discharged home, lesser transfers, shorter hospital length of stay, lesser imminent death protocols, and a higher palliative performance score (PPS) during the COVID-19 pandemic. Although there were more cancelations by the hospital for the outpatient department, a virtual clinic was started, and 84 patients were effectively seen. Around 87% of patients were fully satisfied (5/5) with the services provided by the virtual clinic. There were no positive COVID-19 cases in our healthcare workers in the palliative care department due to the high standard precautions applied at KFMC. Family meetings as well as administrative and academic meetings have been efficiently held virtually and may possibly become the standard of practice.

Conclusion

Palliative care services were successfully maintained during the COVID-19 pandemic at KFMC.