Identification of risk factors for recurrence in high-risk stage II colon cancer. Int Surg. 2013;98:114-121. [PMID: 23701145 DOI: 10.9738/cc131]

Multiple High-Risk Features for Stage II Colon Carcinoma Portends Worse Survival Than Stage III Disease

BACKGROUND

High-risk features in stage II colon cancer worsen survival and serve as an impetus for adjuvant chemotherapy. Limited data exist on the effect of multiple high-risk features on survival.

OBJECTIVE

The study aimed to compare the survival of 0, 1, or multiple high-risk features in stage II to stage III colon cancer.

DESIGN

Patients with stage II and III colon cancer diagnosed between 2010 and 2016 were identified using the Survival, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Patients with stage II colon cancer were then classified according to the presence of 0, 1, or 2 or more of the following high-risk features: pathologic T4, perineural invasion, fewer than 12 lymph nodes assessed, or poor histologic differentiation. Overall survival and cause-specific survival were calculated. Each group was then stratified on the basis of whether chemotherapy was given.

SETTINGS

This study used the Survival, Epidemiology, and End Results database (2010-2016).

PATIENTS

Patients who had stage II or III colon cancer were included.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome measures were 5-year overall survival and cause-specific survival.

RESULTS

A total of 65,831 patients were studied. Of these, 18,056 patients with stage II cancer had 0 high-risk features, 9426 had 1 high-risk feature, and 3503 had 2 or more high-risk features. There were 34,842 patients diagnosed with stage III disease. The 5-year overall survival and cause-specific survival for patients with stage II cancer with 2 or more high-risk features (49.2%, 59.5%) were lower than those without high-risk features (74.9%, 90.7%), with 1 high-risk feature (67.1%, 82.4%), or stage III disease (59.1%, 68.1%; p < 0.05). Although chemotherapy is associated with improved cause-specific survival in stage III disease, it is associated with worse cause-specific survival in patients with stage II disease.

LIMITATIONS

This study being a retrospective database analysis is the main limitation. Also, lymphovascular invasion, margin status, and clinical obstruction or perforation were absent from the dataset.

CONCLUSIONS

Multiple high-risk features in stage II colon cancer predict worse survival than lymph node metastasis. Chemotherapy is associated with adverse cause-specific survival in patients with stage II disease. Further study into this group should focus on the type and duration of adjuvant therapy and biological features of these tumors. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/B929 .

MLTIPLES CARACTERSTICAS DE ALTO RIESGO PARA EL CARCINOMA DE COLON EN ESTADIO II PRESAGIAN PEOR SUPERVIVENCIA QUE LA ENFERMEDAD EN ESTADIO III

ANTECEDENTES:Las características de alto riesgo en el cáncer de colon en estadio II empeoran la supervivencia y sirven como impulso para la quimioterapia adyuvante. Existen datos limitados sobre el efecto de múltiples características de alto riesgo en la supervivencia.OBJETIVO:Comparar la supervivencia de cero, una o múltiples características de alto riesgo en el cáncer de colon en estadio II con la enfermedad en estadio III.DISEÑO:Los pacientes con cáncer de colon en estadio II y III diagnosticados entre 2010 y 2016 se identificaron mediante la base de datos de supervivencia, epidemiología y resultados finales. Luego, los pacientes en etapa II se clasificaron según la presencia de cero, 1 o 2+ de las siguientes características de alto riesgo: T4 patológico, invasión perineural, menos de 12 ganglios linfáticos evaluados (< 12 ganglios linfáticos) o mala diferenciación histológica. Se calculó la supervivencia observada y específica de la causa. Luego, cada grupo se estratificó en función de si se administró quimioterapia.ESCENARIO:Este estudio utilizó la base de datos de supervivencia, epidemiología y resultados finales, 2010-2016.PACIENTES:Los pacientes tenían cáncer de colon en estadio II o III.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE RESULTADO:La medida principal fue la supervivencia observada a 5 años y la supervivencia por causa específica.RESULTADOS:Se estudiaron un total de 65,831 pacientes. 18,056 pacientes estaban en estadio II sin características de alto riesgo, 9.426 con 1 característica de alto riesgo y 3.503 con 2+ características de alto riesgo. Hubo 34.842 pacientes a los que se les diagnosticó enfermedad en estadio III. La supervivencia observada a los 5 años y la supervivencia específica de la causa para los pacientes con cáncer en estadio II con 2+ características de alto riesgo (49.2 %, 59.5 %) fueron más bajas, en comparación con aquellos sin características de alto riesgo (74.9 %, 90.7 %), con 1 característica de alto riesgo (67.1 %, 82.4 %) o enfermedad en estadio III (59.1 %, 68.1 %) (p < 0.05). Si bien la quimioterapia se asocia con una mejor supervivencia por causa específica en la enfermedad en estadio III, se asocia con una peor supervivencia por causa específica en pacientes con enfermedad en estadio II.LIMITACIONES:Este es un análisis de base de datos retrospectivo. La invasión linfovascular, el estado de los márgenes y la obstrucción o perforación clínicas estaban ausentes en la base de datos.CONCLUSIONES:Múltiples características de alto riesgo en el cáncer de colon en estadio II predicen una peor supervivencia que la metástasis en los ganglios linfáticos. La quimioterapia se asocia con una supervivencia específica de causa adversa en pacientes con enfermedad en estadio II. El estudio adicional de este grupo deberá centrarse en el tipo y la duración de la terapia adyuvante y las características biológicas de estos tumores. Consulte Video Resumen en http://links.lww.com/DCR/B929 . (Traducción-Dr. Jorge Silva Velazco ).

The utility of surveillance CT scans in a cohort of survivors of colorectal cancer

PURPOSE

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most common cancer worldwide. After curative intent treatment, international guidelines recommend surveillance protocols which include annual CT chest, abdomen and pelvis (CAP) and serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) monitoring which aim to improve overall survival by early detection of recurrence. Despite the widespread recommendations, robust evidence of an overall survival benefit is lacking. Our study aimed to quantify the utility of annual CT CAP as a surveillance modality in comparison to the rate of potentially harmful false-positive and incidental findings.

METHODS

High-risk stage II and stage III CRC patients were retrospectively identified from the Sydney Cancer Survivorship Centre database. Findings on surveillance CT were classified into confirmed recurrence or the potentially harmful findings of (a) false-positive or (b) clinically significant incidental finding.

RESULTS

A total of 376 surveillance CT CAPs were performed in 174 survivors between 12 September 2013 and 30 June 2020. The recurrence rate during the study period was 23/174 (13.2%) with the majority of recurrences detected by abnormal CEA (14/23, 60.9%) versus surveillance CT (4/23, 17.4%), with the remainder identified on non-surveillance CT (5/23, 21.7%). Curative intent surgery was performed in 12/23 people with CRC recurrence. Surveillance CT was shown to result in high levels of false-positive (31/174, 17.8% of patients) or clinically significant incidental findings (30/174, 17.2% of patients). The risk of identifying these potentially harmful findings was ongoing with each year of surveillance CT.

CONCLUSION

Surveillance CT was associated with low detection rates and high rates of potentially harmful findings bringing this surveillance modality under further scrutiny.

IMPLICATIONS FOR CANCER SURVIVORS

An increased emphasis should be placed on educating survivors on the benefits of surveillance CT weighed against the risk of potentially harmful findings.

Postoperative chemotherapy improves survival in patients with resected high-risk Stage II colorectal cancer: results of a systematic review and meta-analysis

AIM

The aim was to assess the benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy in high-risk Stage II colorectal cancer.

METHOD

A systematic literature review and meta-analysis was performed comparing survival in patients with resected Stage II colorectal cancer and high-risk features having postoperative chemotherapy vs no chemotherapy.

RESULTS

Of 1031 articles screened, 29 were included, reporting on 183 749 participants. Adjuvant chemotherapy significantly improved overall survival [hazard ratio (HR) 0.61, P < 0.0001], disease-specific survival (HR = 0.73, P = 0.05) and disease-free survival (HR = 0.59, P < 0.0001) compared to no chemotherapy. Adjuvant chemotherapy significantly increased 5-year overall survival (OR = 0.53, P = 0.0008) and 5-year disease-free survival (OR = 0.50, P = 0.001). Overall survival and disease-free survival remained significantly prolonged during subgroup analysis of studies published from 2015 onwards (HR = 0.60, P < 0.0001; HR = 0.65, P = 0.0001; respectively), in patients with two or more high-risk features (HR = 0.59, P = 0.0001; HR = 0.70, P = 0.03; respectively) and in colon cancer (HR = 0.61, P < 0.0001; HR = 0.51, P = 0.0001; respectively). Overall survival, disease-specific survival and disease-free survival during subgroup analysis of individual high-risk features were T4 tumour (HR = 0.58, P < 0.0001; HR = 0.50, P = 0.003; HR = 0.75, P = 0.05), < 12 lymph nodes harvested (HR = 0.67, P = 0.0002; HR = 0.80, P = 0.17; HR = 0.72, P = 0.02), poor differentiation (HR = 0.84, P = 0.35; HR = 0.85, P = 0.23; HR = 0.61, P = 0.41), lymphovascular or perineural invasion (HR = 0.55, P = 0.05; HR = 0.59, P = 0.11; HR = 0.76, P = 0.05) and emergency surgery (HR = 0.60, P = 0.02; HR = 0.68, P = 0.19).

CONCLUSION

Adjuvant chemotherapy in high-risk Stage II colorectal cancer results in a modest survival improvement and should be considered on an individual patient basis. Due to potential heterogeneity and selection bias of the included studies, and lack of separate rectal cancer data, further large randomized trials with predefined inclusion criteria and standardized chemotherapy regimens are required.

Patient Selection for Adjuvant Chemotherapy in High-Risk Stage II Colon Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

OBJECTIVES

Patients with high-risk stage II colon cancer (CC) are recommended to undergo adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT). However, whether such patients can benefit from ACT remains unclear. This meta-analysis aimed to investigate the clinicopathologic parameters that are important for selecting patients for ACT in high-risk stage II CC.

METHODS

We systematically retrieved articles from PubMed, the Cochrane Library, and Embase that were published up to September 13, 2018. We analyzed overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) based on hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

A total of 23 cohort studies and 1 randomized controlled trial were included in our study. Overall analyses showed that ACT improved OS (HR=0.64, 95% CI=0.51-0.80, P<0.001) and DFS (HR=0.46, 95% CI=0.28-0.76, P=0.002) in patients with high-risk stage II CC. Subgroup analyses showed that ACT improved OS in patients with localized intestinal perforation and obstruction and pT4 lesions and improved OS and DFS in patients with <12 sampled lymph nodes. However, ACT had no significant effect on OS in patients with lymphovascular invasion, perineural invasion, or poorly differentiated histology.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study suggests that not all high-risk factors (lymphovascular invasion, perineural invasion, poorly differentiated histology) show a benefit from ACT. Randomized controlled trials selectively targeting high-risk patients will need to be conducted in the future.

Early postoperative recurrences for colon cancer: Results from a Pakistani rural cohort

Objectives

We conducted this study to determine the factors associated with early postoperative recurrence in colon cancer patients treated with curative intent.

Methods

All consecutive patients who underwent curative resection for colon cancer between January 2014 and December 2016 were reviewed. All patients received either adjuvant chemotherapy or follow-up at the Bannu Institute of Nuclear Medicine Oncology and Radiotherapy (BINOR). The patients lived in rural areas of southern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province.

Results

We enrolled 72 patients, 28 of whom experienced a postoperative recurrence within 2 years (early recurrence). In univariate analysis, postoperative early relapse was significantly correlated with advanced age (>60 years, p = 0.030), nodal status (p = 0.012), pathological stage (p = 0.013), number of nodes removed (p < 0.001), and perineural invasion (p = 0.044). In multivariate analysis, age more than 60 years (p = 0.031) and fewer than 12 lymph nodes removed (p = 0.003) were independent predictors for early recurrence. The liver was the most common site of recurrence (42.8%) in this study.

Conclusion

Our results showed that advanced age and the removal of fewer than 12 lymph nodes during surgery were significant predictors for early postoperative recurrence. Identification of high-risk patients during follow-up with enhanced therapeutic modalities can improve disease-free survival.

Colorectal carcinogenesis: Insights into the cell death and signal transduction pathways: A review

Colorectal carcinogenesis (CRC) imposes a major health burden in developing countries. It is the third major cause of cancer deaths. Despite several treatment strategies, novel drugs are warranted to reduce the severity of this disease. Adenomatous polyps in the colon are the major culprits in CRC and found in 45% of cancers, especially in patients 60 years of age. Inflammatory polyps are currently gaining attention in CRC, and a growing body of evidence denotes the role of inflammation in CRC. Several experimental models are being employed to investigate CRC in animals, which include the APC^min/+ mouse model, Azoxymethane, Dimethyl hydrazine, and a combination of Dextran sodium sulphate and dimethyl hydrazine. During CRC progression, several signal transduction pathways are activated. Among the major signal transduction pathways are p53, Transforming growth factor beta, Wnt/β-catenin, Delta Notch, Hippo signalling, nuclear factor erythroid 2-related factor 2 and Kelch-like ECH-associated protein 1 pathways. These signalling pathways collaborate with cell death mechanisms, which include apoptosis, necroptosis and autophagy, to determine cell fate. Extensive research has been carried out in our laboratory to investigate these signal transduction and cell death mechanistic pathways in CRC. This review summarizes CRC pathogenesis and the related cell death and signal transduction pathways.

Building personalized treatment plans for early-stage colorectal cancer patients

We developed a series of models to predict the likelihood of recurrence and the response to chemotherapy for the personalized treatment of stage I and II colorectal cancer patients. A recurrence prediction model was developed from 235 stage I/II patients. The model successfully distinguished between high-risk and low-risk groups, with a hazard ratio of recurrence of 4.66 (p < 0.0001). More importantly, the model was accurate for both stage I (hazard ratio = 5.87, p = 0.0006) and stage II (hazard ratio = 4.30, p < 0.0001) disease. This model performed much better than the Oncotype and ColoPrint commercial services in identifying patients at high risk for stage II recurrence. And unlike the commercial services, the robust model included recurrence prediction for stage I patients. As stage I/II CRC patients usually do not receive chemotherapy, we generated chemotherapy efficacy prediction models with data from 358 stage III patients. The predictions were highly accurate: the hazard ratio of recurrence for responders vs. non-responders was 4.13 for those treated with FOLFOX (p < 0.0001), and 3.16 (p = 0.0012) for those treated with fluorouracil. We have thus created a prognostic model that accurately identifies patients at high risk for recurrence, and the first accurate chemotherapy efficacy prediction model for individual patients. In the future, complete personalized treatment plans for stage I/II patients may be developed if the drug prediction models generated from stage III patients are verified to be effective for stage I and II patients in prospective studies.

Clinical, histological, and molecular risk factors for cancer recurrence in patients with stage II colon cancer

INTRODUCTION

The assessment of risk factors of cancer recurrence in patients with stage II colon cancer (CC) is crucial. Our aim was to study the clinical, histological, and molecular features associated with 3-year disease-free survival in a series of consecutive patients with stage II CC treated in three regional digestive oncology centers.

METHODS

Clinical and histological data of all patients after curative surgery for stage II CC, treated from 2001 until 2009, were collected retrospectively. Histological samples were obtained and tested prospectively for microsatellite instability using fluorescent PCR amplification. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to calculate P values, hazard ratios (HRs), and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

Among 195 patients studied, 22 (11%) had disease recurrence during the 3-year period following diagnosis. On multivariate analysis, only low number of lymph nodes (HR=3.81, 95% CI: 1.19-12.19, P=0.02) and T4 status (HR=5.49, 95% CI: 1.06-28.43, P=0.04) were associated significantly with an increased risk of relapse.

CONCLUSION

In this series of stage II CC patients, only T4 status and low number of lymph nodes were independent risk factors for poor 3-year disease-free survival, suggesting that patients with these features should be considered for adjuvant chemotherapy.

Preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen and prognosis of colorectal cancer. An independent prognostic factor still reliable

To evaluate whether, in a sample of patients radically treated for colorectal carcinoma, the preoperative determination of the carcinoembryonic antigen (p-CEA) may have a prognostic value and constitute an independent risk factor in relation to disease-free survival. The preoperative CEA seems to be related both to the staging of colorectal neoplasia and to the patient's prognosis, although this-to date-has not been conclusively demonstrated and is still a matter of intense debate in the scientific community. This is a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data. A total of 395 patients were radically treated for colorectal carcinoma. The preoperative CEA was statistically compared with the 2010 American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging, the T and N parameters, and grading. All parameters recorded in our database were tested for an association with disease-free survival (DFS). Only factors significantly associated (P < 0.05) with the DFS were used to build multivariate stepwise forward logistic regression models to establish their independent predictors. A statistically significant relationship was found between p-CEA and tumor staging (P < 0.001), T (P < 0.001) and N parameters (P = 0.006). In a multivariate analysis, the independent prognostic factors found were: p-CEA, stages N1 and N2 according to AJCC, and G3 grading (grade). A statistically significant difference (P < 0.001) was evident between the DFS of patients with normal and high p-CEA levels. Preoperative CEA makes a pre-operative selection possible of those patients for whom it is likely to be able to predict a more advanced staging.

Colonic self-expanding metal stent (SEMS) as a bridge to surgery in left-sided malignant colonic obstruction: an 8-year review

INTRODUCTION

Colonic stenting has evolved to be an alternative to emergency laparotomy in the management of acute left-sided malignant colonic obstruction. This retrospective comparative study aimed to review the outcomes of colonic stent as bridge to surgery with emergency operation in a regional hospital in Hong Kong.

METHOD

Consecutive patients who were admitted from January 2006 to July 2014 with diagnosis of malignant left-sided colonic obstruction (from splenic flexure to rectosigmoid colon) were included. Patients with peritonitis or disseminated disease were excluded. Colonic stenting was attempted in all eligible patients when fluoroscopy was available in the endoscopy suite during office hour. Otherwise, emergency operation was performed. For patients with clinical success in colonic stenting, interval colectomies were performed. The postoperative outcomes, including the 30-days mortality, the stoma creation rate, the complication rate as well as the survival data were analyzed on an intention-to-treat (ITT) basis.

RESULTS

From January 2006 to July 2014, 62 patients underwent colonic stenting and 40 patients underwent emergency operations. The technical success rate and the clinical success rate of stenting were 95.2 and 83.9 %, respectively. Laparoscopic resection was achieved in 74.2 % in the stenting group. More primary anastomoses were performed in the stenting group (71.0 vs. 27.5 %, p = 0.000). The stenting group had a significantly lower permanent stoma rate (16.1 vs. 52.5 %, p < 0.000), fewer Dindo grade III to IV postoperative morbidity (16.1 vs. 40 %, p = 0.007), and the 30-day mortality rate was lower (3.2 vs. 17.5 %, p = 0.018), translating into a better overall 5-year survival rate. The disease-free survival was comparable between the two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Colonic self-expanding metal stent is effective in the management of acute left-sided colonic obstruction. It is associated with reduced stoma creation rate and postoperative morbidity. The oncological safety is not jeopardized by stenting and the interval operation.

Adjuvant chemotherapy is not associated with improved survival for all high-risk factors in stage II colon cancer

Adjuvant chemotherapy can be considered in high-risk stage II colon cancer comprising pT4, poor/undifferentiated grade, vascular invasion, emergency surgery and/or <10 evaluated lymph nodes (LNs). Adjuvant chemotherapy administration and its effect on survival was evaluated for each known risk factor. All patients with high-risk stage II colon cancer who underwent resection and were diagnosed in the Netherlands between 2008 and 2012 were included. After stratification by risk factor(s) (vascular invasion could not be included), Cox regression was used to discriminate the independent association of adjuvant chemotherapy with the probability of death. Relative survival was used to estimate disease-specific survival. A total of 4,940 of 10,935 patients with stage II colon cancer were identified as high risk, of whom 790 (16%) patients received adjuvant chemotherapy. Patients with a pT4 received adjuvant chemotherapy more often (37%). Probability of death in pT4 patients receiving chemotherapy was lower compared to non-recipients (3-year overall survival 91% vs. 73%, HR 0.43, 95% CI 0.28-0.66). The relative excess risk (RER) of dying was also lower for pT4 patients receiving chemotherapy compared to non-recipients (3-year relative survival 94% vs. 85%, RER 0.36, 95% CI 0.17-0.74). For patients with only poor/undifferentiated grade, emergency surgery or <10 LNs evaluated, no association between receipt of adjuvant chemotherapy and survival was observed. In high-risk stage II colon cancer, adjuvant chemotherapy was associated with higher survival in pT4 only. To prevent unnecessary chemotherapy-induced toxicity, further refinement of patient subgroups within stage II colon cancer who could benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy seems indicated.

Preoperative Serum Interleukin-6 Is a Potential Prognostic Factor for Colorectal Cancer, including Stage II Patients

Aims. To evaluate the prognostic significance of serum interleukin-6 (IL-6) in colorectal cancer (CRC). Patients and Methods. Preoperative serum IL-6 was measured in 233 CRC patients and 13 healthy controls. Relationships between IL-6 and various clinicopathological factors were evaluated, and the overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) rates according to IL-6 status were calculated for all patients and according to disease stage. Results. The mean IL-6 level was 6.6 pg/mL in CRC patients and 2.6 pg/mL in healthy controls. Using a cutoff of 6.3 pg/mL, obtained using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, 57 patients had a high IL-6 level. The mean value was higher for stage II disease than for stage III disease. IL-6 status correlated with C-reactive protein (CRP) and carcinoembryonic antigen levels, obstruction, and pT4 disease. The OS differed according to the IL-6 status for all patients, whereas the DFS differed for all patients and for those with stage II disease. The Cox proportional hazards model showed that pT4 disease was an independent risk factor for recurrence in all CRC patients; IL-6, CRP, and pT4 were significant risk factors in stage II patients. Conclusions. The preoperative IL-6 level influences the risk of CRC recurrence.