Incidence of heart failure and renal endpoints in heart failure patients with and without severe chronic kidney disease: a nationwide real-life study of 21,959 patients

Background

Renal endpoints like end stage renal disease (ESRD) and a 50% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) have been used in recent randomized clinical trials in heart failure (HF). However, the distribution of these events in larger real-life HF cohorts is unknown

Purpose

We examined the risk of traditional HF endpoints like death and worsening HF and the risk of these new renal endpoints in HF with and without severe chronic kidney disease (+/−eGFR 30 ml/min/1.73 m2) at the time of diagnosis of HF.

Methods

From nationwide registries, we identified patients receiving a diagnosis of HF from 2014–2018. Patients were included if they had creatinine available in proximity of the diagnosis (90 days before inclusion). Outcomes comprised of: (i) all-cause mortality, (ii) HF worsening, (iii) end stage renal disease and (iv) sustained 50% eGFR decline. 4-year rates of the primary outcomes were estimated using cumulative incidence function adjusted for competing risk of death, and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the association of covariates with a combined endpoint of the primary outcomes.

Results

We included 21,959 patients with HF and known CKD status. Median age was 73.9 years, and 7% had an eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m2. There were few differences in baseline characteristics for patients with and without eGFR below 30. Patients with eGFR below 30 were elder and had more comorbidities. The mortality rate was 33.9% for patients with eGFR≥30 and 70.4% for patients with eGFR <30. For patients with eGFR <30 at the time of HF diagnosis renal outcomes were more pronounced as the first event as compared to patients with eGFR ≥30. The risk of all-cause mortality and HF hospitalization as first event was comparable between eGFR ≥30 and eGFR<30 (22.7% vs 22.5% and 25.8% vs 22.5%, respectively). The risk of end-stage renal disease as first event was significantly higher for patients with eGFR <30 (0.03% vs. 33.8%). The risk of a sustained 50% decline in eGFR was 4.6% for patients with eGFR ≥30 and 1.0% for patients with eGFR<30 (figure 1). Across all important subgroups an eGFR <30 ml/min/1.73 m2 was associated with an increased rate of the composite endpoint of death, worsening HF or a renal endpoint, and no interactions were observed (P>0.01 for all) (figure 2).

Conclusion

The risks of newly introduced renal trial-endpoints in a large real-life cohort of HF patients was low compared to the risks of death or worsening HF if eGFR ≥30 ml/min/1.73 m2 at the time of diagnosis of HF. However, this pattern changed in HF patients with a eGFR <30 ml/min/1.73 m2 at the time of diagnosis time of HF. The present study provides important insights into cardiorenal epidemiology in HF and have implications for planning of future trials.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public hospital(s). Main funding source(s): Herlev/Gentofte Hospital

Temporal trends in end-stage renal disease in patients with heart failure with or without diabetes: a nationwide study from 2002 to 2017

Background

Advances in treatment of heart failure (HF) have increased survival rates. However, whether the improved life expectancy for HF patients has resulted in an increased risk of a significant comorbidity like end-stage renal disease (ESRD) is less clear. Renal dysfunction is associated with increased morbidity and mortality in HF and constitutes an important prognostic factor for HF. Further, diabetes (DM) is closely related to both HF and ESRD, but it is unknown how DM affects the risk of ESRD in patients with HF.

Purpose

To investigate temporal trends in ESRD in patients with HF and the subsequent risk of mortality stratified by DM.

Methods

Using Danish nationwide registies, we identified patients, aged 18 to 100 years, with incident HF between 2002 and 2017. The outcomes were ESRD (defined as dialysis treatment), worsening of HF (wHF, defined as rehospitalization for HF) and all-cause mortality. Three study periods were investigated 2002–2006, 2007–2011 and 2012–2017. We estimated crude 5-year incidence rates (per 1000/person-years) of the outcomes stratified by DM. Multivariate Cox regression models were performed for all outcomes stratified by DM. Further, we computed the 1-year all-cause mortality risk after diagnosis with ESRD.

Results

Of 124,141 patients with HF, 50,690 (41%) were women and the median age was 74.5 years [95% confidence interval (CI) 64.5–82.8]. At baseline DM was present in 20% of the patients. These patients were older, more often men and more comorbid than HF patients without DM. Over time (2002–2006 to 2012–2017) the incidence rates of ESRD (9.0 to 7.9 and 2.1 to 1.9 per 1000/person-years for DM and no-DM, respectively) and wHF (124.0 to 124.8 and 84.3 to 81.9 per 1000/person-years for DM and no-DM) remained stable, while all-cause mortality rates decreased (217.0 to 170.3 and 172.9 to 127.8 per 1000/person-years for DM and no-DM). The incidence of ESRD was lower compared with the incidence of wHF and all-cause mortality [Figure 1]. HF patients with DM had significantly higher associated rates of all three outcomes (in 2012–2017 the rates for DM vs no-DM of ESRD: 3.99 [3.27–4.86], wHF: 1.42 [1.36–1.49], all-cause mortality: 1.36 [1.31–1.41]) compared with patients without DM. We found no significant interaction between time period and DM on the rates of outcomes (p>0.05 for all) [Figure 2]. One-year all-cause mortality risk after diagnosis with ESRD was high both for HF patients with and without DM through all time periods (identical risks and 95% CI in 2012–2017: 32% [0.25–0.39]).

Conclusions

We did not observe a change over time in the 5-year risk of ESRD for HF patients. The incidence of ESRD remained low compared to wHF and all-cause mortality. DM was associated with increased rates of all three events, not changed over time. Conversely, all-cause mortality after diagnosis with ESRD was markedly high, irrespectively of DM. Our analyses suggest that ESRD is a less common, but fatal event in HF patients.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Adherence and discontinuation of optimal heart failure therapies according to age

Background

Guideline-recommended disease-modifying pharmacological therapies for heart failure (HF) with reduced ejection fraction are underutilized, particularly among elderly patients.

Purpose

We examined adherence with and discontinuation of evidence-based HF pharmacotherapy, comprising of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEi)/angiotensin-II receptor blockers (ARB), beta-blockers (BB) and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MRA), according to age.

Methods

Using Danish nationwide registries, we included patients with a first HF diagnosis between 2011 and 2018. Patients were stratified into three age groups, <65 years (reference group), 65–79 years, and ≥80 years. The average daily drug dose was calculated as median proportions of target doses one year after inclusion. Adherence was estimated by the proportion of days covered (PDC), i.e., the total number of days with the drug available for a patient alive for the whole first year of the follow-up period. Discontinuation was defined as a break of >90 days, and the 5-year risk of discontinuation according to age groups was estimated with the Aalen-Johansen estimator. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to evaluate the treatment discontinuation rate according to age groups.

Results

We included a total of 29,482 patients (<65 9,449 (25.4% female), 65–79 13,746 (33.1%), ≥80 6,287 (46.3%)). Advancing age was associated with lower median proportions of daily target doses (ACEi 100%, 88%, 63%; ARB 75%, 67%, 50%; BB 75%, 56%, 44%), and lower adherence (ACEi/ARB 79.1%, 77.5%, 69.4%; BB 79.1%, 78.6%, 73.8%), in the <65, 65–79 and ≥80 age groups respectively, one year after inclusion. Age ≥80 was associated with a higher 5-year risk of discontinuation; cumulative incidence, ACEi/ARB 41%, 44%, 51%; BB 38%, 35%, 39%, in the same age group order as above (adjusted hazard ratio: ACEi/ARB 1.60 [95% CI, 1.51–1.69]; BB 1.33 [95% CI, 1.25–1.41]). Conversely, the risk of discontinuation of MRAs differed little with age (<65 50%, 65–79 54%, ≥80 56%), although MRA initiation in the most elderly was less frequent (<65 33%, 65–79 33%, ≥80 22%).

Conclusion

Among a nationwide cohort of HF patients, advanced age was associated with lower proportions of daily target doses, lower adherence, and a higher rate of discontinuation of ACEi/ARB and BBs. Focus on treatment adherence and optimal dosages among elderly HF patients could improve outcomes.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.