The potential for quality assurance systems to save costs and lives: the case of early infant diagnosis of HIV

OBJECTIVES

Scaling up of point-of-care testing (POCT) for early infant diagnosis of HIV (EID) could reduce the large gap in infant testing. However, suboptimal POCT EID could have limited impact and potentially high avoidable costs. This study models the cost-effectiveness of a quality assurance system to address testing performance and screening interruptions, due to, for example, supply stockouts, in Kenya, Senegal, South Africa, Uganda and Zimbabwe, with varying HIV epidemics and different health systems.

METHODS

We modelled a quality assurance system-raised EID quality from suboptimal levels: that is, from misdiagnosis rates of 5%, 10% and 20% and EID testing interruptions in months, to uninterrupted optimal performance (98.5% sensitivity, 99.9% specificity). For each country, we estimated the 1-year impact and cost-effectiveness (US$/DALY averted) of improved scenarios in averting missed HIV infections and unneeded HIV treatment costs for false-positive diagnoses.

RESULTS

The modelled 1-year costs of a national POCT quality assurance system range from US$ 69 359 in South Africa to US$ 334 341 in Zimbabwe. At the country level, quality assurance systems could potentially avert between 36 and 711 missed infections (i.e. false negatives) per year and unneeded treatment costs between US$ 5808 and US$ 739 030.

CONCLUSIONS

The model estimates adding effective quality assurance systems are cost-saving in four of the five countries within the first year. Starting EQA requires an initial investment but will provide a positive return on investment within five years by averting the costs of misdiagnoses and would be even more efficient if implemented across multiple applications of POCT.

Protocol-Driven Intensive Outpatient Management of Pregnant Patients With Symptomatic Coronavirus Disease 2019

Background

Reports of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection have focused on pregnant women hospitalized due to moderate to severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) or asymptomatic women diagnosed through universal screening at the time of obstetric admission. Many pregnant women who have symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection may not meet criteria for hospitalization; however, whether and how these women can be managed safely in outpatient setting is not well described.

Methods

We sought to describe the time to symptom and viral clearance and to identify predictors of hospitalization to better understand the safety of monitoring pregnant patients with symptomatic COVID-19 in the outpatient setting. We performed a retrospective cohort study of pregnant patients with symptomatic, confirmed COVID-19 illness at a large, academic medical center. Patients had systematic telehealth follow up by a clinician team to assess for symptoms, provide virtual prenatal care, and arrange in-person visits when appropriate in a dedicated outpatient center. Data were collected via chart abstraction.

Results

Of 180 pregnant patients presenting with symptoms and undergoing reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) testing, 67 patients with confirmed COVID-19 infection were identified during the study period. Nineteen (28%) required acute care given worsening of COVID-19 symptoms, and 95% of these were directed to this acute care setting due to symptom severity telehealth evaluation. Nine women (13%) were admitted to the hospital given worsening symptoms, 3 required intensive care unit care, 2 required ventilatory support, and 2 required delivery. Women with the presenting symptoms of fever, cough, shortness of breath, chest pain, or nausea and vomiting were more likely to require admission. The median duration from initial positive test to RT-PCR viral clearance was 26 days. Disease progression, time to viral clearance, and duration of symptoms did not vary significantly by trimester of infection.

Conclusions

Management of the majority of pregnant women with symptomatic COVID-19 illness can be accomplished in the outpatient setting with intensive and protocol-driven monitoring for symptom progression.