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Maddren R, Collyer B, Phillips AE, Rayment Gomez S, Abtew B, Anjulo U, Tadele D, Sharma A, Tamiru A, Liyew EF, Chernet M, Anderson RM. Patterns of individual compliance with anthelmintic treatment for soil-transmitted helminth infections in southern Ethiopia over six rounds of community-wide mass drug administration. Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg 2024; 118:304-312. [PMID: 37965994 PMCID: PMC11062190 DOI: 10.1093/trstmh/trad079] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/16/2023] [Revised: 10/05/2023] [Accepted: 10/30/2023] [Indexed: 11/16/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The mainstay of soil-transmitted helminth (STH) control is repeated mass drug administration (MDA) of anthelmintics to endemic populations. Individual longitudinal compliance treatment patterns are important for identifying pockets of infected individuals who remain untreated and serve as infection reservoirs. METHODS The Geshiyaro Project censused the study population in Wolaita, Ethiopia at baseline in 2018. Individual longitudinal compliance was recorded for six rounds of community-wide MDA (cMDA). The probability distribution of treatment frequency was analysed by age and gender stratifications. Probabilities of transmission interruption for different compliance patterns were calculated using an individual-based stochastic model of Ascaris lumbricoides transmission. RESULTS The never-treated (0.42%) population was smaller than expected from a random positive binomial distribution. The observed compliance frequency was well described by the beta-binomial distribution. Preschool-age children (odds ratio [OR] 10.1 [95% confidence interval {CI} 6.63 to 15.4]) had the highest never-treated proportion of the age groups. Conversely, school-age children (SAC) and adults (OR 1.03 [95% CI 0.98 to 1.09]) had the highest always-treated proportion of the age groups. CONCLUSIONS The study reports the largest dataset of individual longitudinal compliance to cMDA for STH control. Clear pattens are shown in the age-dependent distribution of individual compliance behaviour. The impact of compliance on the probability of elimination is significant, highlighting the importance of recording the full frequency distribution, not just the never-treated proportion.
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Affiliation(s)
- R Maddren
- Imperial College London, St Mary's Campus, Praed Street, London W2 1NY, UK
| | - B Collyer
- Imperial College London, St Mary's Campus, Praed Street, London W2 1NY, UK
| | - A E Phillips
- FHI360, 359 Blackwell Street, Suite 200, Durham, NC, USA
| | - S Rayment Gomez
- Imperial College London, St Mary's Campus, Praed Street, London W2 1NY, UK
| | - B Abtew
- Imperial College London, St Mary's Campus, Praed Street, London W2 1NY, UK
| | - U Anjulo
- Federal Ministry of Health, 1234 Sudan Street, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - D Tadele
- Simprints, Cambridge CB1 2FH, UK
| | - A Sharma
- Simprints, Cambridge CB1 2FH, UK
| | - A Tamiru
- Federal Ministry of Health, 1234 Sudan Street, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - E Firdawek Liyew
- Ethiopian Public Health Institute, Swaziland Street, 2PWJ P8C, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - M Chernet
- Ethiopian Public Health Institute, Swaziland Street, 2PWJ P8C, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - R M Anderson
- Imperial College London, St Mary's Campus, Praed Street, London W2 1NY, UK
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Truscott JE, Gurarie D, Alsallaq R, Toor J, Yoon N, Farrell SH, Turner HC, Phillips AE, Aurelio HO, Ferro J, King CH, Anderson RM. A comparison of two mathematical models of the impact of mass drug administration on the transmission and control of schistosomiasis. Epidemics 2018; 18:29-37. [PMID: 28279453 PMCID: PMC5340850 DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2017.02.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/21/2016] [Revised: 02/02/2017] [Accepted: 02/03/2017] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
This paper compares two mathematical models describing the transmission dynamics of schistosome infection and the impact of mass drug administration. The models differ structurally in a number of ways, including the dynamics of the intermediate snail host and the treatment of adult worms within the human host. The models are validated against data taken from a mass-drug administration trial in Mozambique. The differences between the model predictions and the data are discussed in the context of the structural differences between the models.
The predictions of two mathematical models describing the transmission dynamics of schistosome infection and the impact of mass drug administration are compared. The models differ in their description of the dynamics of the parasites within the host population and in their representation of the stages of the parasite lifecycle outside of the host. Key parameters are estimated from data collected in northern Mozambique from 2011 to 2015. This type of data set is valuable for model validation as treatment prior to the study was minimal. Predictions from both models are compared with each other and with epidemiological observations. Both models have difficulty matching both the intensity and prevalence of disease in the datasets and are only partially successful at predicting the impact of treatment. The models also differ from each other in their predictions, both quantitatively and qualitatively, of the long-term impact of 10 years’ school-based mass drug administration. We trace the dynamical differences back to basic assumptions about worm aggregation, force of infection and the dynamics of the parasite in the snail population in the two models and suggest data which could discriminate between them. We also discuss limitations with the datasets used and ways in which data collection could be improved.
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Affiliation(s)
- J E Truscott
- London Centre for Neglected Tropical Disease Research, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College, Norfolk Place, St. Mary's Campus, London, UK.
| | - D Gurarie
- Department of Mathematics, Case Western Reserve University, 10900 Euclid Avenue LC: 4983, Cleveland, OH 44106, United States
| | - R Alsallaq
- Department of Mathematics, Case Western Reserve University, 10900 Euclid Avenue LC: 4983, Cleveland, OH 44106, United States
| | - J Toor
- London Centre for Neglected Tropical Disease Research, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College, Norfolk Place, St. Mary's Campus, London, UK
| | - N Yoon
- Center for Global Health and Diseases, Case Western Reserve University, 10900 Euclid Avenue LC: 4983, Cleveland, OH 44106, United States
| | - S H Farrell
- London Centre for Neglected Tropical Disease Research, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College, Norfolk Place, St. Mary's Campus, London, UK
| | - H C Turner
- London Centre for Neglected Tropical Disease Research, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College, Norfolk Place, St. Mary's Campus, London, UK
| | - A E Phillips
- Schistosomiasis Control Initiative, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College, Norfolk Place, St. Mary's Campus, London, UK
| | - H O Aurelio
- Schistosomiasis Control Initiative, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College, Norfolk Place, St. Mary's Campus, London, UK
| | - J Ferro
- Universidade Catholica de Moçambique, Beira, Mozambique
| | - C H King
- Center for Global Health and Diseases, Case Western Reserve University, 10900 Euclid Avenue LC: 4983, Cleveland, OH 44106, United States
| | - R M Anderson
- London Centre for Neglected Tropical Disease Research, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College, Norfolk Place, St. Mary's Campus, London, UK
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Mitchell KM, Foss AM, Prudden HJ, Mukandavire Z, Pickles M, Williams JR, Johnson HC, Ramesh BM, Washington R, Isac S, Rajaram S, Phillips AE, Bradley J, Alary M, Moses S, Lowndes CM, Watts CH, Boily MC, Vickerman P. Who mixes with whom among men who have sex with men? Implications for modelling the HIV epidemic in southern India. J Theor Biol 2014; 355:140-50. [PMID: 24727187 PMCID: PMC4064301 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2014.04.005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/04/2013] [Revised: 04/01/2014] [Accepted: 04/02/2014] [Indexed: 11/19/2022]
Abstract
In India, the identity of men who have sex with men (MSM) is closely related to the role taken in anal sex (insertive, receptive or both), but little is known about sexual mixing between identity groups. Both role segregation (taking only the insertive or receptive role) and the extent of assortative (within-group) mixing are known to affect HIV epidemic size in other settings and populations. This study explores how different possible mixing scenarios, consistent with behavioural data collected in Bangalore, south India, affect both the HIV epidemic, and the impact of a targeted intervention. Deterministic models describing HIV transmission between three MSM identity groups (mostly insertive Panthis/Bisexuals, mostly receptive Kothis/Hijras and versatile Double Deckers), were parameterised with behavioural data from Bangalore. We extended previous models of MSM role segregation to allow each of the identity groups to have both insertive and receptive acts, in differing ratios, in line with field data. The models were used to explore four different mixing scenarios ranging from assortative (maximising within-group mixing) to disassortative (minimising within-group mixing). A simple model was used to obtain insights into the relationship between the degree of within-group mixing, R0 and equilibrium HIV prevalence under different mixing scenarios. A more complex, extended version of the model was used to compare the predicted HIV prevalence trends and impact of an HIV intervention when fitted to data from Bangalore. With the simple model, mixing scenarios with increased amounts of assortative (within-group) mixing tended to give rise to a higher R0 and increased the likelihood that an epidemic would occur. When the complex model was fit to HIV prevalence data, large differences in the level of assortative mixing were seen between the fits identified using different mixing scenarios, but little difference was projected in future HIV prevalence trends. An oral pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) intervention was modelled, targeted at the different identity groups. For intervention strategies targeting the receptive or receptive and versatile MSM together, the overall impact was very similar for different mixing patterns. However, for PrEP scenarios targeting insertive or versatile MSM alone, the overall impact varied considerably for different mixing scenarios; more impact was achieved with greater levels of disassortative mixing. Different mixing scenarios are explored for 3 groups of role-segregated MSM. Models show that the mixing scenario affects both R0 and endemic HIV prevalence. When models are fit to data, predicted HIV trends are unaffected by mixing. Impact of targeted (but not non-targeted) interventions can be affected by mixing.
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Affiliation(s)
- K M Mitchell
- London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
| | - A M Foss
- London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
| | - H J Prudden
- London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
| | - Z Mukandavire
- London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
| | - M Pickles
- London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK; Imperial College London, London, UK.
| | | | - H C Johnson
- London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
| | - B M Ramesh
- Karnataka Health Promotion Trust, Bangalore, India; University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, Canada.
| | - R Washington
- Karnataka Health Promotion Trust, Bangalore, India; St. John's Research Institute, Bangalore, India.
| | - S Isac
- Karnataka Health Promotion Trust, Bangalore, India.
| | - S Rajaram
- CHARME-India Project, Bangalore, India.
| | | | - J Bradley
- CHARME-India Project, Bangalore, India; Centre de recherche du CHU de Québec, Québec, QC, Canada.
| | - M Alary
- Centre de recherche du CHU de Québec, Québec, QC, Canada; Département de medicine sociale et preventive, Université laval, Québec, QC, Canada; Institut national de santé publique du Québec, Québec, QC, Canada.
| | - S Moses
- University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, Canada.
| | - C M Lowndes
- Centre de recherche du CHU de Québec, Québec, QC, Canada; Public Health England, London, UK.
| | - C H Watts
- London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
| | - M-C Boily
- Imperial College London, London, UK.
| | - P Vickerman
- University of Bristol, Bristol, UK; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
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Beake EOR, Dove MT, Phillips AE, Keen DA, Tucker MG, Goodwin AL, Bennett TD, Cheetham AK. Flexibility of zeolitic imidazolate framework structures studied by neutron total scattering and the reverse Monte Carlo method. J Phys Condens Matter 2013; 25:395403. [PMID: 24002115 DOI: 10.1088/0953-8984/25/39/395403] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/02/2023]
Abstract
The zeolitic imidazolate framework ZIF-4 undergoes an amorphization transition at about 600 K, and then transforms at about 700 K to ZIF-zni, the densest of the crystalline ZIFs. This series of long-range structural rearrangements must give a corresponding series of changes in the local structure, but these have not previously been directly investigated. Through analysis of neutron total diffraction data by reverse Monte Carlo modelling, we assess the changes in flexibility across this series, identifying the key modes of flexibility within ZIF-4 and the amorphous phase. We show that the ZnN4 tetrahedra remain relatively rigid, albeit less so than SiO4 tetrahedra in silicates. However, the extra degrees of freedom afforded by the imidazolate ligand, compared to silicate networks, vary substantially between phases, with a twisting motion out of the plane of the ligand being particularly important in the amorphous phase. Our results further demonstrate the feasibility of reverse Monte Carlo simulations for studying intermolecular interactions in solids, even in cases, such as the ZIFs, where the pair distribution function is dominated by intramolecular peaks.
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Affiliation(s)
- E O R Beake
- School of Physics and Astronomy, Queen Mary University of London, Mile End Road, London E1 4NS, UK
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Andritsos EI, Zarkadoula E, Phillips AE, Dove MT, Walker CJ, Brazhkin VV, Trachenko K. The heat capacity of matter beyond the Dulong-Petit value. J Phys Condens Matter 2013; 25:235401. [PMID: 23676992 DOI: 10.1088/0953-8984/25/23/235401] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/02/2023]
Abstract
We propose a simple new way to evaluate the effect of anharmonicity on a system's thermodynamic functions, such as heat capacity. In this approach, the contribution of all the potentially complicated anharmonic effects to the constant-volume heat capacity is evaluated using one parameter only: the coefficient of thermal expansion. Importantly, this approach is applicable not only to crystals, but also to glasses and viscous liquids. To support this proposal, we perform molecular dynamics simulations of several crystalline and amorphous solids as well as liquids, and find a good agreement between the results from theory and simulations. We observe an interesting non-monotonic behavior of the liquid heat capacity with a maximum, and explain this effect as being a result of competition between anharmonicity at low temperature and decreasing number of transverse modes at high temperature.
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Affiliation(s)
- E I Andritsos
- School of Physics and Astronomy, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
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Phillips AE, Cole JM. Photorefractivity vialinkage isomerism: from detecting small responses to engineering large ones. Acta Crystallogr A 2011. [DOI: 10.1107/s0108767311095547] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
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Cole JM, Phillips AE. Time-resolved photo-crystallography of ruthenium sulfur dioxide complexes. Acta Crystallogr A 2011. [DOI: 10.1107/s0108767311095596] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/03/2023] Open
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Phillips AE, Lowndes CM, Boily MC, Garnett GP, Gurav K, Ramesh BM, Anthony J, Moses S, Alary M. Men who have sex with men and women in Bangalore, South India, and potential impact on the HIV epidemic. Sex Transm Infect 2010; 86:187-92. [PMID: 20522632 DOI: 10.1136/sti.2009.038216] [Citation(s) in RCA: 44] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/03/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The aim of this study was to quantify differences in patterns of sexual behaviour among men who have sex with men and women (MSMW) compared with men who have sex with men only (MSMO), and to examine the extent to which bisexual behaviour may act as a bridge for introducing HIV infection into the general population. METHODS A cross-sectional survey in Bangalore city in 2006, which sampled men seeking sex with men in public places and hammams (bath houses where transgender individuals sell sex to men). RESULTS Among a sample of 357 men reporting same-sex behaviour; 41% also reported sex with a woman in the past year and 14% were currently married to a woman, only two of whom had informed their wives about having sex with men. Condom use was very inconsistent with all male partners, while 98% reported unprotected vaginal sex with their wives. MSMW reported lower rates of risky behaviour with other men than MSMO: fewer reported selling sex (17% vs 58%), or receptive anal sex with known (28% vs 70%) or unknown (30% vs 59%) non-commercial partners. CONCLUSION Bisexual behaviour was common among men seeking sex with men sampled in this survey. Although MSMW reported lower rates of risky sexual behaviour with male partners than MSMO, inconsistent condom use with both male and female partners indicates a potential means of HIV transmission into the general population. HIV prevention programmes and services should reach bisexual men who potentially expose their male and female partners to HIV.
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Affiliation(s)
- A E Phillips
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, St Mary's Campus, Imperial College, London, UK.
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Phillips AE, Boily MC, Lowndes CM, Garnett GP, Gurav K, Ramesh BM, Anthony J, Watts R, Moses S, Alary M. Sexual identity and its contribution to MSM risk behavior in Bangaluru (Bangalore), India: the results of a two-stage cluster sampling survey. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2009; 4:111-26. [PMID: 19856744 DOI: 10.1080/15574090902922975] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/20/2022]
Abstract
In India, there are categories of MSM (hijras, kothis, double-deckers, panthis and bisexuals), which are generally associated with different HIV-risk behaviors. Our objective was to quantify differences across MSM identities (n = 357) and assess the extent they conform to typecasts that prevail in policy-orientated discourse. More feminine kothis (26%) and hijras (13%) mostly reported receptive sex, and masculine panthis (15%) and bisexuals (23%) insertive anal sex. However, behavior did not always conform to expectation, with 25% and 16% of the sample reporting both insertive and receptive anal intercourse with known and unknown noncommercial partners, respectively (p < 0.000). Although behavior often complied with stereotyped role and identity, male-with-male sexual practices were fluid. Reification of these categories in an intervention context may hinder our understanding of the differential HIV risk among MSM.
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Affiliation(s)
- A E Phillips
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College, St Mary Hospital, London, UK.
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Yarbrough JA, Armstrong JL, Blumberg MZ, Phillips AE, McGahee E, Dolen WK. Allergic rhinoconjunctivitis caused by Harmonia axyridis (Asian lady beetle, Japanese lady beetle, or lady bug). J Allergy Clin Immunol 1999; 104:704-5. [PMID: 10482851 DOI: 10.1016/s0091-6749(99)70347-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 37] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/25/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- J A Yarbrough
- Allergy and Asthma Clinics of Northeast Georgia, Gainesville, GA, USA
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Abstract
BACKGROUND Patients with allergic fungal sinusitis demonstrate skin test reactivity to many fungal extracts. Various fungi have been isolated from the characteristic allergic mucin. OBJECTIVE This study was designed to identify allergens in allergic mucin and to compare them to those found in commercial fungal extracts. METHODS Allergic mucin was collected during functional endoscopic sinus surgery from 11 patients meeting strict diagnostic criteria for allergic fungal sinusitis and from three allergic rhinitis patients with chronic sinusitis. A portion was solubilized in saline and centrifuged. To identify allergens, proteins in allergic mucin and fungal extracts were separated by SDS-polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis, transferred to nitrocellulose and immunostained using patient sera and enzyme-labeled anti-human IgE. RESULTS All patient sera recognized numerous bands ranging from 18 to 90 kD. In mucin, bands were consistently found in the 35 to 50 kD range. Corresponding bands in fungal extracts were found in only 1/11 patients with allergic fungal sinusitis. Sera from 4/11 patients detected an 18-kD protein in allergic mucin, but sera from all patients with allergic fungal sinusitis recognized an 18-kD protein in commercial fungal extracts. Sera from selected patients with allergic fungal sinusitis detected human epithelial proteins in the 35 to 50 kD range. CONCLUSIONS Fungal allergens were not detected in allergic mucin of all patients with allergic fungal sinusitis. The 18-kD allergen appears to be shared by many fungi, and may be a fungal panallergen. The source of the apparent allergens in the 3550-kD range warrants further study.
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Affiliation(s)
- R R Chrzanowski
- Department of Pediatrics, Medical College of Georgia, Augusta, USA
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Phillips AE, Rudeforth MG, Davies L, Maher MP. Case studies: acute admission and assessment. Geriatric nursing. Nurs Times 1974; 70:696-9. [PMID: 4840606] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [MESH Headings] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/12/2023]
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Phillips AE. Recent Research Work in Deep Sea Diving. Proc R Soc Med 1932; 25:693-703. [PMID: 19988644 PMCID: PMC2183634] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/28/2023]
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