Risk factors and interventions associated with mortality or survival in adult COVID-19 patients admitted to critical care: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background: Patients with confirmed COVID-19 admitted to intensive care units have a high mortality rate, which appears to be associated with increasing age, male sex, smoking history, hypertension and diabetes mellitus. Methods: A systematic review to determine risk factors and interventions associated with mortality/survival in adult patients admitted to an intensive care unit (ICU) with confirmed COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2 infection. The protocol was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42020181185). Results: The search identified 483 abstracts between 1 January and 7 April 2020, of which nine studies were included in the final review. Only one study was of low bias. Advanced age (odds ratio [OR] 11.99, 95% confidence interval [CI] 5.35–18.62) and a history of hypertension were associated with mortality (OR 4.17, 95% CI 2.90–5.99). Sex was not associated with mortality. There was insufficient data to assess the association between other comorbidities, laboratory results or critical care risk indices and mortality. The critical care interventions of mechanical ventilation (OR 6.25, 95% CI 0.75–51.93), prone positioning during ventilation (OR 2.06, 95% CI 0.20–21.72), and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) (OR 8.00, 95% CI 0.69, 92.33) were not associated with mortality. The sample size was insufficient to conclusively determine the association between these interventions and ICU mortality. The need for inotropes or vasopressors was associated with mortality (OR 6.36, 95% CI 1.89–21.36). Conclusion: The studies provided little granular data to inform risk stratification or prognostication of patients requiring intensive care admission. Larger collaborative research is needed to address this limitation.

Predictors of post-spinal hypotension in elderly patients; a prospective observational study in the Durban Metropole

Aims and objective: To evaluate the pre-spinal risk factors for hypotension associated with spinal anaesthesia in elderly surgical patients. Summary of background data: Hypotension is associated with morbidity and mortality following noncardiac surgery. Reducing the incidence of hypotension associated with spinal anaesthesia may be associated with improved postoperative outcomes. Methods: This was a prospective, observational study, using convenience sampling. All patients over 55 years of age scheduled to receive spinal anaesthesia for lower limb surgery were eligible. Exclusion criteria included the need for resuscitation and/or the need for vasopressors prior to anaesthesia and surgery, and patients who declined spinal anaesthesia. The dosage of spinal anaesthesia and the use of intraoperative sedation were left to the attending anaesthesiologist. The primary outcome was hypotension, which was defined as a decrease in the systolic blood pressure by 25% from the baseline, or a systolic blood pressure below 100 mmHg. The following pre-spinal risk factors were assessed in a multivariable logistic regression for their association with spinal hypotension: age, American Society of Anaesthesiologists-Physical September 2019 Status, sex, dose of local anaesthetic, isobaric bupivacaine or bupivacaine with dextrose, baseline blood pressure, baseline heart rate and fluid preloading prior to spinal anaesthesia. Results: Three hundred and eighty-nine patients were recruited. The primary outcome of spinal hypotension was independently associated with female sex (odds ratio [OR] 1.97, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.19–3.28), increasing dosage of bupivacaine (OR 1.14, CI 1.01–1.29), and the use of isobaric bupivacaine (OR 1.50, CI 0.95–2.36). Conclusion: Spinal hypotension was associated with female sex, increasing dosage of bupivacaine, and the use of isobaric bupivacaine.

South African Paediatric Surgical Outcomes Study: a 14-day prospective, observational cohort study of paediatric surgical patients

BACKGROUND

Children comprise a large proportion of the population in sub-Saharan Africa. The burden of paediatric surgical disease exceeds available resources in Africa, potentially increasing morbidity and mortality. There are few prospective paediatric perioperative outcomes studies, especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs).

METHODS

We conducted a 14-day multicentre, prospective, observational cohort study of paediatric patients (aged <16 yrs) undergoing surgery in 43 government-funded hospitals in South Africa. The primary outcome was the incidence of in-hospital postoperative complications.

RESULTS

We recruited 2024 patients at 43 hospitals. The overall incidence of postoperative complications was 9.7% [95% confidence interval (CI): 8.4-11.0]. The most common postoperative complications were infective (7.3%; 95% CI: 6.2-8.4%). In-hospital mortality rate was 1.1% (95% CI: 0.6-1.5), of which nine of the deaths (41%) were in ASA physical status 1 and 2 patients. The preoperative risk factors independently associated with postoperative complications were ASA physcial status, urgency of surgery, severity of surgery, and an infective indication for surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk factors, frequency, and type of complications after paediatric surgery differ between LMICs and high-income countries. The in-hospital mortality is 10 times greater than in high-income countries. These findings should be used to develop strategies to improve paediatric surgical outcomes in LMICs, and support the need for larger prospective, observational paediatric surgical outcomes research in LMICs.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT03367832.