A Clinical Prediction Rule for Thrombosis in Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients: Step 1 Results of the Thromcco Study

The incidence of thrombosis in COVID-19 patients is exceptionally high among intensive care unit (ICU)-admitted individuals. We aimed to develop a clinical prediction rule for thrombosis in hospitalized COVID-19 patients. Data were taken from the Thromcco study (TS) database, which contains information on consecutive adults (aged ≥ 18) admitted to eight Spanish ICUs between March 2020 and October 2021. Diverse logistic regression model analysis, including demographic data, pre-existing conditions, and blood tests collected during the first 24 h of hospitalization, was performed to build a model that predicted thrombosis. Once obtained, the numeric and categorical variables considered were converted to factor variables giving them a score. Out of 2055 patients included in the TS database, 299 subjects with a median age of 62.4 years (IQR 51.5-70) (79% men) were considered in the final model (SE = 83%, SP = 62%, accuracy = 77%). Seven variables with assigned scores were delineated as age 25-40 and ≥70 = 12, age 41-70 = 13, male = 1, D-dimer ≥ 500 ng/mL = 13, leukocytes ≥ 10 × 10³/µL = 1, interleukin-6 ≥ 10 pg/mL = 1, and C-reactive protein (CRP) ≥ 50 mg/L = 1. Score values ≥28 had a sensitivity of 88% and specificity of 29% for thrombosis. This score could be helpful in recognizing patients at higher risk for thrombosis, but further research is needed.

SARS-CoV-2 vaccination reduces the risk of thrombotic complications in severe COVID-19

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between SARS-CoV-2 vaccination and the occurrence of thrombotic complications in patients admitted to intensive care for severe COVID-19 pneumonia.

DESIGN

Observational, descriptive, prospective, multicentre study.

SETTING

Intensive care units of five university hospitals.

PATIENTS

A total of 255 patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia, confirmed by RT-PCR in throat swab or tracheal aspirate, starting the date the first vaccinated patient against SARS-CoV-2 was admitted in one of the participating ICUs, were included in the analysis.

MAIN VARIABLES OF INTEREST

Vaccination status against SARS-CoV-2 and thrombotic events.

RESULTS

18.8% of patients had received some form of vaccination. Thrombotic events occurred in 21.2% of patients. Lack of vaccination was associated with thrombotic events (OR 5.024; 95% CI: 1.104-23.123; p = 0.0037) and death (OR 5.161; 95% CI: 1.075-24.787; p = 0.04). ICU mortality was not associated with the occurrence of thrombotic complications.

CONCLUSIONS

In this series of patients, vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 reduced the risk of thrombotic events and mortality in patients with severe COVID-19 admitted to the ICU. Thrombotic complications did not alter ICU mortality.