Population-wide weight loss and regain in relation to diabetes burden and cardiovascular mortality in Cuba 1980-2010: repeated cross sectional surveys and ecological comparison of secular trends

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the associations between population-wide loss and gain in weight with diabetes prevalence, incidence, and mortality, as well as cardiovascular and cancer mortality trends, in Cuba over a 30 year interval.

DESIGN

Repeated cross sectional surveys and ecological comparison of secular trends.

SETTING

Cuba and the province of Cienfuegos, from 1980 to 2010.

PARTICIPANTS

Measurements in Cienfuegos included a representative sample of 1657, 1351, 1667, and 1492 adults in 1991, 1995, 2001, and 2010, respectively. National surveys included a representative sample of 14 304, 22 851, and 8031 participants in 1995, 2001, and 2010, respectively.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Changes in smoking, daily energy intake, physical activity, and body weight were tracked from 1980 to 2010 using national and regional surveys. Data for diabetes prevalence and incidence were obtained from national population based registries. Mortality trends were modelled using national vital statistics.

RESULTS

Rapid declines in diabetes and heart disease accompanied an average population-wide loss of 5.5 kg in weight, driven by an economic crisis in the mid-1990s. A rebound in population weight followed in 1995 (33.5% prevalence of overweight and obesity) and exceeded pre-crisis levels by 2010 (52.9% prevalence). The population-wide increase in weight was immediately followed by a 116% increase in diabetes prevalence and 140% increase in diabetes incidence. Six years into the weight rebound phase, diabetes mortality increased by 49% (from 9.3 deaths per 10 000 people in 2002 to 13.9 deaths per 10 000 people in 2010). A deceleration in the rate of decline in mortality from coronary heart disease was also observed.

CONCLUSIONS

In relation to the Cuban experience in 1980-2010, there is an association at the population level between weight reduction and death from diabetes and cardiovascular disease; the opposite effect on the diabetes and cardiovascular burden was seen on population-wide weight gain.

Smoking prevalence in Cienfuegos City, Cuba

INTRODUCTION Over the last 40 years, high smoking prevalence has been reported throughout Cuba, including in Cienfuegos city in the central part of the island. OBJECTIVES Determine smoking prevalence and potential associated risk factors in Cienfuegos city for 2010-2011. METHODS A descriptive cross-sectional study was conducted in Cienfuegos city in the context of CARMEN (Collaborative Action for Risk Factor Prevention & Effective Management of Non-communicable Diseases), a PAHO multi-country initiative for a multidimensional approach to chronic non-communicable diseases. Participants totaled 2193 (aged 15-74 years), randomly selected through complex probabilistic three-stage sampling. Variables examined in relation to smoking included age, sex, skin color, civil status and educational level. RESULTS Approximately 25% of those surveyed were smokers (30.3% of men and 21.0% of women). For men, prevalence was highest in the groups aged 25-34 and 55-64 years; for women, in the group aged 45-54 years. Concerning skin color, smoking rates were higher among black and mestizo persons (29.5%); and concerning civil status, higher among those who were separated, widowed or divorced (30.0%). Smoking prevalence fell with higher educational level; in keeping with that trend, the university-educated group had the lowest prevalence (16.2%). CONCLUSIONS Although one in four Cienfuegos residents aged ≥15 years smoked in 2010-2011, prevalence there is lower than in previous surveys. Knowledge of differences observed in age, sex, skin color, civil status and educational level can be useful for planning future smoking prevention and control actions.

Comparison of the prognostic value of AJCC cancer staging system 7th and 8th editions for differentiated thyroid cancer

BACKGROUND

In the last American Joint Committee on Cancer/Tumor, Node, Metastasis (AJCC/TNM) 8th edition (TNM8), several changes were introduced to this risk stratification system to improve the prognosis of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC).

AIM

To validate the impact of TNM8 vs. TNM 7th edition (TNM7) in DTC in terms of predictive value in two hospitals from Buenos Aires, Argentina.

METHODS

Retrospective study of DTC patients from two institutions. Reclassification from TNM7 to TNM8, disease-specific survival (DSS), and final clinical outcomes at the end of follow-up (recurrent/persistent structural disease) (median 5 years) were analyzed. The proportion of variation explained (PVE) was used to compare the predictive capability of DSS of both classification systems.

RESULTS

Reclassification of 245 patients, aged (mean ± SD) 55 ± 15.36 years, 91% women, to TNM8 from TNM7 showed: 82% vs 57% stage I (SI), 10% vs 8.5% SII, 5% vs 22% SIII, 3% vs 12% SIV (p < 0.01). Forty percent of the population was downstaged with TNM8. Ten-year DSS rates for SI, SII, SIII and SIV in TNM7 were 100, 100, 100 and 74%, respectively and in TNM8: 97.6, 100, 100 and 37.5%, respectively. Out of 4 disease-specific deaths in SIV TNM7, one was subclassified to SI TNM8, corresponding to a 53-year-old patient with structural persistence. PVE for TNM8 (29%) was more than twice that of TNM7 (13%).

CONCLUSION

In this Argentinian DTC patients sample, it was confirmed that the new TNM8 classification is more accurate in predicting survival attributable to cancer than its previous version.

Protective effects of Surfacen® in allergen-induced asthma mice model

Airway obstruction with increased airway resistance in asthma, commonly caused by smooth muscle constriction, mucosal edema and fluid secretion into the airway lumen, may partly be due to a poor function of pulmonary surfactant. Surfacen®, a clinical pulmonary surfactant, has anti-inflammatory action, but its effect on asthma has not been studied. This work aimed to evaluate the effect of Surfacen® in a murine allergen-induced acute asthma model, using house dust mite allergens. In a therapeutic experimental setting, mice were first sensitized by being administered with two doses (sc) of Dermatophagoides siboney allergen in aluminum hydroxide followed by one intranasal administration of the allergen. Then, sensitized mice were administered with aerosol of hypertonic 3% NaCl, Salbutamol 0.15 mg/kg, or Surfacen® 16 mg in a whole-body chamber on days 22, 23, and 24. Further, mice were subjected to aerosol allergen challenge on day 25. Surfacen® showed bronchial dilation and inhibition of Th2 inflammation (lower levels of IL-5 and IL-13 in broncoalveolar lavage) which increased IFN-γ and unchanged IL-10 in BAL. Moreover, Sufacen® administration was associated with a marked inhibition of the serum specific IgE burst upon allergen exposure, as well as, IgG2a antibody increase, suggesting potential anti-allergy effects with inclination towards Th1. These results support also the effectiveness of the aerosol administration method to deliver the drug into lungs. Surfacen® induced a favorable pharmacological effect, with a bronchodilator outcome comparable to Salbutamol, consistent with its action as a lung surfactant, and with an advantageous anti-inflammatory and anti-allergic immunomodulatory effect.

An efficient sampling approach to surveillance of non-communicable disease risk factors in Cienfuegos, Cuba

One of the most common shortcomings in non-communicable disease risk factor surveillance, especially in prevalence studies, is sampling procedures, which can and do compromise accuracy and reliability of derived estimates. Moreover, sampling consumes significant time and resources. Since the early 1990s, risk factor surveys in Cienfuegos province, Cuba have paid particular attention to careful sampling methods. The new survey conducted in 2011 was not only statistically rigorous but introduced an innovative, more efficient method. This article provides a detailed description of the sample design employed to optimize resource use without compromising selection rigor.