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Chi YL, Blecher M, Chalkidou K, Culyer A, Claxton K, Edoka I, Glassman A, Kreif N, Jones I, Mirelman AJ, Nadjib M, Morton A, Norheim OF, Ochalek J, Prinja S, Ruiz F, Teerawattananon Y, Vassall A, Winch A. What next after GDP-based cost-effectiveness thresholds? Gates Open Res 2020; 4:176. [PMID: 33575544 PMCID: PMC7851575 DOI: 10.12688/gatesopenres.13201.1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 11/20/2020] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Public payers around the world are increasingly using cost-effectiveness thresholds (CETs) to assess the value-for-money of an intervention and make coverage decisions. However, there is still much confusion about the meaning and uses of the CET, how it should be calculated, and what constitutes an adequate evidence base for its formulation. One widely referenced and used threshold in the last decade has been the 1-3 GDP per capita, which is often attributed to the Commission on Macroeconomics and WHO guidelines on Choosing Interventions that are Cost Effective (WHO-CHOICE). For many reasons, however, this threshold has been widely criticised; which has led experts across the world, including the WHO, to discourage its use. This has left a vacuum for policy-makers and technical staff at a time when countries are wanting to move towards Universal Health Coverage
. This article seeks to address this gap by offering five practical options for decision-makers in low- and middle-income countries that can be used instead of the 1-3 GDP rule, to combine existing evidence with fair decision-rules or develop locally relevant CETs. It builds on existing literature as well as an engagement with a group of experts and decision-makers working in low, middle and high income countries.
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Affiliation(s)
- Y-Ling Chi
- Center for Global Development, London, SW1P 3SE, UK
| | | | - Kalipso Chalkidou
- Center for Global Development, London, SW1P 3SE, UK.,Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK
| | - Anthony Culyer
- Centre for Health Economics, Department of Economics and Related Studies, University of York, York, YO10 5DD, UK
| | - Karl Claxton
- Centre for Health Economics, Department of Economics and Related Studies, University of York, York, YO10 5DD, UK
| | - Ijeoma Edoka
- School of Public Health, Wits University, Parktown, 2193, South Africa
| | | | - Noemi Kreif
- Centre for Health Economics, Department of Economics and Related Studies, University of York, York, YO10 5DD, UK
| | - Iain Jones
- Sightsavers, Haywards Health, RH16 3BW, UK
| | - Andrew J Mirelman
- Centre for Health Economics, Department of Economics and Related Studies, University of York, York, YO10 5DD, UK
| | - Mardiati Nadjib
- Faculty of Public Health, Department of Health Policy and Administration, Universitas Indonesia, Depok, Indonesia
| | | | - Ole Frithjof Norheim
- BCEPS, Department of Global Public Health and Primary Care, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway
| | - Jessica Ochalek
- Centre for Health Economics, Department of Economics and Related Studies, University of York, York, YO10 5DD, UK
| | - Shankar Prinja
- Department of Community Medicine & School of Public Health, Post Graduate Institute of Medical Education and Research, Chandigarh, 160 012, India
| | - Francis Ruiz
- Center for Global Development, London, SW1P 3SE, UK.,Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK
| | - Yot Teerawattananon
- Health Intervention and Technology Assessment Program, Ministry of Public Health, Thailand, Nonthaburi, 11000, Thailand
| | - Anna Vassall
- Department of Global Health and Development, Faculty of Public Health and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, WC1H 9SH, UK
| | - Alexander Winch
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK
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