A simple scoring to predict symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage after stroke thrombolysis: the EGAN score

BACKGROUND

Symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH) after intravenous thrombolysis represents a critical and fatal complication observed in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients. This study aims to establish a simple scoring model to predict sICH.

METHODS

We retrospectively conducted a cohort study of eligible AIS patients treated with rt-PA at a tertiary comprehensive stroke center from January 2018 to December 2022. Backward stepwise multivariable logistic regression provided the final model. The point score was generated from β-coefficients. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test were used to assess the discrimination and calibration of the model. The conditional probabilities were derived based on the Bayes theorem.

RESULTS

Of the included patients, sICH occurred in 26 (3.97%) of the 655. The EGAN score consisted of an early infarct sign (10 points), baseline glucose ≥200 mg/dL (11 points), atrial fibrillation (AF) (13 points), and an NIH Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score ≥10 (12 points). With a cut-off point of 13, the EGAN score demonstrated good discrimination (0.7453 [95% CI: 0.649-0.841]), sensitivity (80.77%), and specificity (58.19%), respectively, for identifying sICH.

CONCLUSIONS

This easy-to-use scoring model, based on predictors quickly obtained in clinical practices, offers a simple approach to screening for post-thrombolysis sICH and can serve as an alternative option in hospitals with limited resources for thrombolysis therapy.

Clinical and Morphological Factors for Ruptured Anterior Communicating Artery Aneurysms

Introduction

The anterior communicating artery (ACoA) aneurysm, the most frequent cerebral aneurysm to rupture, carries a significant clinical burden, yet the factors influencing its rupture are limited in Indonesia. This study aims to determine the clinical and morphological features associated with ruptured ACoA compared to non-AcoA aneurysms among Indonesians.

Patients and Methods

We retrospectively reviewed our center's aneurysm patient registry from January 2019 to December 2022, and compared the clinical and morphological features between ruptured ACoA aneurysms and ruptured aneurysms elsewhere with univariate and multivariate analyses.

Results

Of the 292 patients with 325 ruptured aneurysms, 89 were from ACoA. The mean age of patients was 54.99 years, with female preponderance in the non-ACoA group (non-ACoA: 73.31%, ACoA: 46.07%). On univariate analysis, ages ≥60 [ages 60-69: OR = 0.311 (0.111-0.869), p=0.026; ages ≥70: OR = 0.215 (0.056-0.819), p=0.024], female gender [OR = 0.311 (0.182-0.533), p<0.001], and smoking [OR=2.069 (1.036-4.057), p=0.022] exhibited significant association with ruptured ACoA aneurysm. On multivariate analysis, only the female gender was independently associated with ruptured ACoA aneurysm (aOR 0.355 [0.436-1.961], p=0.001).

Conclusion

In our study, ruptured ACoA aneurysm was inversely associated with advanced age, female gender, presence of daughter aneurysm, and directly associated with smoking. After multivariate adjustment, the female gender showed an independent association with ruptured ACoA aneurysm.

Thrombectomy Failure and Associated Factors for Large-Vessel Occlusion Stroke

BACKGROUND

Ischemic stroke due to Large Vessel Occlusion (LVO) represents a critical and time-sensitive neurological emergency. Advancements in imaging technology and endovascular therapies have transformed the management of LVO. Nonetheless, thrombectomy failure diminishes the chances of patients achieving a favorable clinical outcome.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to determine the factors influencing recanalization failure in order to optimize thrombectomy therapy along with enhancing patient outcomes.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed employing consecutive LVO patients who underwent Endovascular Thrombectomy (EVT) in a tertiary comprehensive stroke center between January 2020 and June 2024. Recanalization failure (mTICI 0-2a) following thrombectomy was assessed using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, χ2 test, Fisher's exact test, and multivariable logistic regression to identify the related factors.

RESULTS

A total of 82 EVT patients were analyzed. The mean age was 58.20 years and 70.73% of the patients were male. The rate of recanalization failure was 61%. Multivariable logistic regression analysis with age-sex adjusted factors has revealed hypertension [aOR: 5.31 (95% CI: 1.23-22.77); p =0.025] and no IVT [aOR: 2.75 (95% CI: 1.06-7.14); p =0.037] to be independent predictors of recanalization failure in this study.

CONCLUSION

Hypertension and the absence of prior intravenous thrombolysis have been found to be significant contributing factors to the high rate of thrombectomy failure in large-vessel occlusion.

Risk factors of cerebral aneurysms rupture in an Indonesian population

BACKGROUND

The demographic, clinical, and angiographic features of ruptured aneurysms compared to unruptured cerebral aneurysms in Indonesia are still limited. This study aims to determine risk factors for rupture according to clinical patterns and morphological features in the Indonesian population.

METHOD

We retrospectively reviewed all cerebral aneurysm registries at the largest comprehensive stroke center in Indonesia from January 2019 to January 2022. We compared demographic and vascular risk factors as well as angiographic features between patients with ruptured and unruptured aneurysms with univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

Of 275 patients, 231 (84%) had ruptured cerebral aneurysms. We found a significant difference between the ruptured and unruptured groups in variables such as age, hypertension, dyslipidemia, smoking, location, and type of aneurysm. It was found that only the anterior circulation site (OR 4.91, 95% CI 1.47-16.48; p < 0.01) and saccular type (OR 5.45, 95% CI 1.42-20.93; p = 0.01) were significantly linked to ruptured aneurysms.

CONCLUSION

Our findings revealed that anterior location and saccular type were substantially linked with ruptured aneurysms in the Indonesian population.

Clinical prediction score for prolonged length of hospital stay in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Length of stay (LOS) is an important indicator of the optimization of health services and hospital financing efficiency in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) patients. The purpose of this study was to develop a scoring model to predict the LOS of patients with aSAH.

METHOD

A clinical scoring was developed based on retrospectively collected data from the cerebral aneurysm registry of the National Brain Center Hospital, Jakarta, from January 2019 to June 2022. Multivariate logistic regression was used to determine the odds ratio for risk-adjusted prolonged LOS. LOS predictors were obtained based on the regression coefficients and converted into a point score model.

RESULTS

Of the 209 aSAH patients observed, 117 patients had prolonged LOS (> 14 days of hospital stay). A clinical score was developed with a range of 0-7 points. Four variables were chosen as predictors of prolonged LOS: the presence of high-grade aSAH (1 point), aneurysm treatment (endovascular coiling: 1 point; surgical clipping: 2 points), cardiovascular comorbidities (1 point), and hospital-acquired pneumonia (3 points). The score showed good discrimination with an area under the receiving operating characteristics curve (AUC) of 0.8183 (SE 0.0278) and a p-value for the Hosmer-Lemeshow (HL) goodness-of-fit of 0.9322.

CONCLUSION

This simple clinical score reliably predicted prolonged LOS in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage cases and may aid clinicians in improving patient outcomes and decreasing healthcare costs.

Endovascular Thrombectomy for Acute Ischemic Stroke in Indonesia: Challenging and Strategic Planning

High rates of morbidity and mortality indicate that stroke is a major health concern. Unfortunately, the management of ischemic stroke is hindered by several obstacles, particularly in developing countries such as Indonesia, where the burden of morbidity and mortality remains high. In this literature review, we intend to conduct a thorough investigation and analysis of the obstacles to stroke thrombectomy in developing countries, with a focus on Indonesia. Even though numerous studies and recent advances in thrombectomy techniques have been developed, many centers around the world continue to struggle to implement them. The majority of these institutions are located in developing nations like Indonesia. It faces numerous obstacles, including a lack of public awareness, infrastructure, human resources, and financial difficulties. The absence of early education and large-scale campaigns contributes to the dearth of public awareness. Inadequate imaging facilities, prehospital and referral systems, as well as disparities in healthcare expenditure and accessibility, contribute to the absence of infrastructure. Inadequate numbers of neurointerventionists, neurologists, and neurosurgeons, as well as a disparate distribution of these professionals, contribute to human resource issues. Inadequate national insurance coverage, high import tariffs on medical devices, and the high cost of healthcare have a negative impact on the financial situation. We provide related strategies regarding the current situation in Indonesia based on the recent evidence and comparison with developed countries. Academic institutions, medical associations, and government agencies must collaborate to overcome these challenges.