PRESOLRE: study protocol for a primary school-based, cluster randomised controlled trial of three sun exposure risk prevention strategies on Reunion Island

INTRODUCTION

Reunion Island, a French overseas department, is located in the southern hemisphere, close to the Capricorn tropic. This island has a multicultural and multiethnic population of 860 000 inhabitants, a quarter of whom are at high risk of developing skin cancer due to intense ultraviolet radiation. Melanoma is responsible for the majority of skin cancer deaths. The early prevention of melanoma is based on sun protection in childhood, but French regulations are not adapted to the environmental conditions of this tropical region.The main objective of our study is to evaluate the effectiveness of three sun protection programs conducted in Reunionese primary schools through a pupil knowledge questionnaire.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

PRESOLRE is an interventional, open-label, cluster-randomised controlled trial, in four parallel arms, that is being conducted throughout 2022-2023 on Reunion Island. The trial design assumes an escalation interventional effect using: first, a control arm without proposed intervention (arm 1); second, an arm whose classes are encouraged to use the validated educational programme 'Living With the Sun' (LWS) (arm 2); third, an arm whose classes are encouraged to use both 'LWS' combined with 'Mission Soleil Réunion's sun protection awareness programme (arm 3); fourth, an arm benefiting from an intervention similar to arm 3, combined with the distribution of hats, sunglasses and sun creams (arm 4). In all, 1780 pupils from 18 classes of 20 pupils, on average, will be included. Randomisation applies to the classes of pupils (so defined as clusters). The primary outcome is based on the proportion of correct answers to the knowledge questions after the awareness programme, compared between the four arms using a linear mixed model with random intercept.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The study obtained ethics approval in 2022 (ID: 2022-A00350-43). Results will be published in peer-reviewed journals.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT05367180.

A transformer model for cause-specific hazard prediction

BACKGROUD

Modelling discrete-time cause-specific hazards in the presence of competing events and non-proportional hazards is a challenging task in many domains. Survival analysis in longitudinal cohorts often requires such models; notably when the data is gathered at discrete points in time and the predicted events display complex dynamics. Current models often rely on strong assumptions of proportional hazards, that is rarely verified in practice; or do not handle sequential data in a meaningful way. This study proposes a Transformer architecture for the prediction of cause-specific hazards in discrete-time competing risks. Contrary to Multilayer perceptrons that were already used for this task (DeepHit), the Transformer architecture is especially suited for handling complex relationships in sequential data, having displayed state-of-the-art performance in numerous tasks with few underlying assumptions on the task at hand.

RESULTS

Using synthetic datasets of 2000-50,000 patients, we showed that our Transformer model surpassed the CoxPH, PyDTS, and DeepHit models for the prediction of cause-specific hazard, especially when the proportional assumption did not hold. The error along simulated time outlined the ability of our model to anticipate the evolution of cause-specific hazards at later time steps where few events are observed. It was also superior to current models for prediction of dementia and other psychiatric conditions in the English longitudinal study of ageing cohort using the integrated brier score and the time-dependent concordance index. We also displayed the explainability of our model's prediction using the integrated gradients method.

CONCLUSIONS

Our model provided state-of-the-art prediction of cause-specific hazards, without adopting prior parametric assumptions on the hazard rates. It outperformed other models in non-proportional hazards settings for both the synthetic dataset and the longitudinal cohort study. We also observed that basic models such as CoxPH were more suited to extremely simple settings than deep learning models. Our model is therefore especially suited for survival analysis on longitudinal cohorts with complex dynamics of the covariate-to-outcome relationship, which are common in clinical practice. The integrated gradients provided the importance scores of input variables, which indicated variables guiding the model in its prediction. This model is ready to be utilized for time-to-event prediction in longitudinal cohorts.

Appearance of the bladder on initial voiding cystogram in boys with PUV and its relation to pre and postnatal findings

Introduction

Bladder profile in boys with Posterior Urethral Valves can be very varied with a spectrum going from high pressure, unstable, hypocompliant small bladders to hypercompliant, large acontractile bladders, with some being near-normal. Our question was whether appearance, specifically of the bladder, on initial VCUG was correlated to prenatal features and whether it could predict early postnatal outcome.

Method

We used a prospectively gathered database of boys with prenatally suspected PUV. We analyzed whether the appearance, specifically of the bladder, was related to date of prenatal diagnosis, presence of a megacystis on prenatal ultrasound, presence of vesico-ureteral reflux (VUR), presence of abnormal DMSA scan, nadir creatinine or presence of febrile urinary tract infection (fUTI) during the first two years of life.

Results

The database comprised 90 cystograms. 15% of bladders were judged normal/regular, 54 % were small/diverticular and 31% were large/diverticular. Bladder appearance was not associated with presence of prenatal megacystis, abnormal DMSA scan, VUR, nor rate of fUTI. The only significant associations were normal/regular bladder and early prenatal diagnosis (p = 0.04) and normal/regular bladder and elevated nadir creatinine (>75µmol/l) (p = 0.01).

Discussion

We believe that when focusing solely on the appearance of the bladder, excluding information about the urethra and presence of reflux, the cystogram alone is insufficient to inform on future bladder function. This could be used as an argument in favor of performing early urodynamics in this population.

Clinical utility of a deep-learning mortality prediction model for cardiac surgery decision making

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study using decision curve analysis (DCA) was to evaluate the clinical utility of a deep-learning mortality prediction model for cardiac surgery decision making compared with the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) II and to 2 machine-learning models.

METHODS

Using data from a French prospective database, this retrospective study evaluated all patients who underwent cardiac surgery in 43 hospital centers between January 2012 and December 2020. A receiver operating characteristic analysis was performed to compare the accuracy of the EuroSCORE II, machine-learning models, and an adapted Tabular Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers deep-learning model in predicting postoperative in-hospital mortality. The clinical utility of these models for cardiac surgery decision making was compared using DCA.

RESULTS

Over the study period, 165,640 patients underwent cardiac surgery, with a mean EuroSCORE II of 3.99 ± 6.67%. In the receiver operating characteristic analysis, the area under the curve was significantly greater for the deep-learning model (0.834; 95% confidence interval, 0.831-0.838) than the EuroSCORE II (P < .001), the random forest model (P = .03), and the Extreme Gradient Boosting model (P = .03). In the DCA, the clinical utility of the 3 artificial intelligence models was superior to that of the EuroSCORE II, especially when the threshold probability of death was high (>45%). The deep-learning model showed the greatest advantage over the EuroSCORE II.

CONCLUSIONS

The deep-learning model had better predictive accuracy and greater clinical utility than the EuroSCORE II and the 2 machine-learning models. These findings suggest that deep learning with Tabular Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers prediction model could be used in the future as the gold standard for cardiac surgery decision making.

Validation of the French version of the Caregivers' Priorities and Child Health Index of Life with Disabilities questionnaire

INTRODUCTION

The Caregivers' Priorities and Child Health Index of Life with Disabilities (CPCHILD) is a questionnaire that measures the health-related quality of life (HRQL) of children with cerebral palsy (CP). Though measuring HRQL is challenging in these children, it is a valuable help for medical decision-making. There is no questionnaire to assess HRQL in French-speaking children with severe CP.

OBJECTIVE

To translate and adapt transculturally the CPCHILD questionnaire into French (CPCHILD-FV).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The CPCHILD was translated from English into French by forward and backward translation by independents translators. The questionnaire was then tested on 32 caregivers of patients with CP classified as GMFCS IV or V, remarks of caregivers were analyzed by an expert committee and, if necessary, modifications were performed. Internal consistency of the CPCHILD-FV was assessed using a sample of 32 parents or caregivers and test-retest reliability was assessed on a random sample of 10 patients.

RESULTS

The translation and transcultural process resulted in a French version of the CPCHILD. Some items of the CPCHILD required careful discussion to ensure that items had the same meaning as in the original. Internal consistencies were over 0.70 for each domain except for health, and 0.97 for the total scores. The ICC for the test-retest reliability of the CHILD-FV total score was 0.98 (95% CI: 0.93-0.99) and ranged from 0.59 to 0.99 for the domains.

CONCLUSION

The translation and cross-cultural adaptation of the CPCHILD questionnaire provides a French version than can measure the HRQL of children with severe CP.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

IV; prospective study without control group.

Introducing the BlendedICU dataset, the first harmonized, international intensive care dataset

OBJECTIVE

This study introduces the BlendedICU dataset, a massive dataset of international intensive care data. This dataset aims to facilitate generalizability studies of machine learning models, as well as statistical studies of clinical practices in the intensive care units.

METHODS

Four publicly available and patient-level intensive care databases were used as source databases. A unique and customizable preprocessing pipeline extracted clinically relevant patient-related variables from each source database. The variables were then harmonized and standardized to the Observational Medical Outcomes Partnership (OMOP) Common Data Format. Finally, a brief comparison was carried out to explore differences in the source databases.

RESULTS

The BlendedICU dataset features 41 timeseries variables as well as the exposure times to 113 active ingredients extracted from the AmsterdamUMCdb, eICU, HiRID, and MIMIC-IV databases. This resulted in a database of more than 309000 intensive care admissions, spanning over 13 years and three countries. We found that data collection, drug exposure, and patient outcomes varied strongly between source databases.

CONCLUSION

The variability in data collection, drug exposure, and patient outcomes between the source databases indicated some dissimilarity in patient phenotypes and clinical practices between different intensive care units. This demonstrated the need for generalizability studies of machine learning models. This study provides the clinical data research community with essential data to build efficient and generalizable machine learning models, as well as to explore clinical practices in intensive care units around the world.

Psychometric properties of a Creole version of Medical Outcome Study - Short Form 36 among type II diabetes patients on Reunion Island

Introduction

Health quality of life assessment is particularly important to measure the impact of chronic diseases. The aims of this study were to provide a cross-culturally adapted Creole-translation of the Medical Outcome Study Short-Form 36 (SF-36) and to assess psychometric performance of the Creole and French versions of the SF-36 among patients with type II diabetes in Reunion Island.

Materials and methods

The Creole translation and cross-cultural adaptation processes were based on the International Quality Of Life Assessment (IQOLA) methods. Internal consistency, test-retest reliability, convergent and discriminant validity using Multi-Trait-Multi-Method analysis and structural validity using exploratory factor analysis of the SF-36 for both versions were performed.

Results

In the Creole version of the SF-36, Cronbach's alpha exceeded 0.70 for all subscales except general health. In the French SF-36, Cronbach's alpha exceeded 0.70 on all subscales except general health and bodily pain. In the Creole SF-36, intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) for reproducibility was suboptimal. Multi-trait multi-method analysis showed that item-scale correlation exceeded 0.4 for all items except two general health items of the Creole SF-36 and one of the French SF-36. Factor analysis of 2 versions showed that the physical functioning, vitality, and mental health were each divided into two subscales.

Discussion

Overall, our findings provided evidence that the SF-36 is adapted to Reunion Island in both Creole and French versions. However, further research could be conducted to investigate French-Creole differences in perceived health status and a cultural adaptation of the French version will be considered.

Financial and relational impact of having a boy with posterior urethral valves

Introduction

Childhood chronic diseases affect family functioning and well-being. The aim of this study was to measure the impact of caring for a child with PUV, and the factors that most impact the burden of care.

Patients and method

We gave a questionnaire on the familial impact of having a child with posterior urethral valves to all parents of a child included in the CIRCUP trial from 2015 onwards. The questionnaire included questions about the parents' demographics, health, professional, financial and marital status and how these evolved since the child's birth as well as the "impact on family scale" (IOFS), which gives a total score ranging from 15 (no impact) to 60 (maximum impact). We then analyzed both the results of the specific demographic questions as well as the factors which influenced the IOFS score.

Results

We retrieved answers for 38/51 families (74.5% response rate). The average IOFS score was 23.7 (15-51). We observed that the child's creatinine level had an effect on the IOFS score (p = 0.02), as did the parent's gender (p = 0.008), health status (p = 0.015), being limited in activity since the birth of the child (p = 0.020), being penalized in one's job (p = 0.009), being supported in one's job (p = 0.002), and decreased income (p = 0.004). Out of 38 mother/father binomials, 8/33 (24.2%) declared that they were no longer in the same relationship afterwards.

Conclusion

In conclusion, having a boy with PUV significantly impacts families. The risk of parental separation and decrease in revenue is significant. Strategies aiming to decrease these factors should be put in place as soon as possible.

Quality of life assessment in diabetic patients: validity of the creole version of the EQ-5D-5L in Reunion Island

Introduction

Due to the high prevalence of diabetes and its complications, evaluating the patient's quality of life is critical. EQ-5D-5L is a valid tool for assessing health-related quality of life (HRQOL) in chronic diseases, including diabetes. However, no psychometric measures have been validated in a Creole-speaking population. Therefore, this study aimed for the first time to validate and cross-culturally adapt Creole and French versions of EQ-5D-5L on Type II diabetes patients in Reunion Island.

Materials and methods

The Creole translation and cross-cultural adaptation process were based on the EUROQOL methods. Internal consistency and construct validity were determined using confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) of EQ-5D-5L for both versions. CFA model for HRQOL and global fit measures were calculated based on the EQ-5D-5L items using the maximum likelihood (ML) method.

Results

From November 2016 to October 2017, 148 patients were included in the Creole group and 152 in the French group. EQ-5D-5L measures were unidimensional for both versions. Cronbach's coefficient alpha was 0.76 for the Creole version and 0.81 for the French version in CFA models. The root mean square error of approximation (RMSEA) was 0.06 for the Creole version and 0.02 for the French version. The Comparative Fit Index (CFI) was closer to 1 for both versions. CFA models for both the Creole and French versions fit the data adequately.

Discussion

Overall, our findings provided evidence that both the Creole and French versions of EQ-5D-5L are suitable for assessing HRQOL in diabetes patients in Reunion Island. However, further research could be done to investigate French-Creole differences concerning the perception of health status, and a cultural adaptation of the French version will be considered.

Running Endurance in Women Compared to Men: Retrospective Analysis of Matched Real-World Big Data

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

To determine whether the gap in endurance performance between men and women is reduced as distances increase, i.e. if there is a sex difference in endurance, one can analyse the performance of elite runners, all participants, or one can pair women and men during short-distance events and examine the difference over longer distances. The first two methods have caveats, and the last method has never been performed with a large dataset. This was the goal of the present study.

METHODS

A dataset including 38,860 trail running races from 1989 to 2021 in 221 countries was used. It provided information on 1,881,070 unique runners, allowing 7251 pairs of men and women with the same relative level of performance to be obtained, i.e. the same percentage of the winner time of the considered race on short races (25-45 km-effort) that were compared during longer races (45-260 km-effort). The effect of distance on sex differences in average speed was determined using a gamma mixed model.

RESULTS

The gap between sexes decreased as distance increases, i.e. men's speed decreased by 4.02% (confidence interval 3.80-4.25) for every 10 km-effort increase, whereas it decreased by 3.25% (confidence interval 3.02-3.46) for women. The men-women ratio decreases from 1.237 (confidence interval 1.232-1.242) for a 25 km-effort to 1.031 (confidence interval 1.011-1.052) for a 260 km-effort. This interaction was modulated by the level of performance, i.e. the greater the performance level of the runner, the lower the difference in endurance between sexes.

CONCLUSIONS

This study shows for the first time that the gap between men and women shrinks when trail running distance increases, which demonstrates that endurance is greater in women. Although women narrow the performance gap with men as race distance increases, top male performers still outperform the top women.

Effectiveness of intraoperative use of dexmedetomidine in reducing the incidence of tachyarrhythmia after congenital cardiac surgery in neonates and infants: a doubly robust method estimation analysis

OBJECTIVES

The antiarrhythmic effects of dexmedetomidine (DEX) have been suggested, but there are controversial reports on the effectiveness of intraoperative use of DEX to reduce the incidence of post operative tachyarrhythmia (POT).

METHODS

From a local ECHSA database, we included patients operated for congenital heart diseases (CHD) under cardiopulmonary bypass within a five-year period (2017-2021), during which intraoperative use of high dose of DEX (1-1.4 µg/kg/h) was implemented. A doubly robust matching estimation of the causal effect of DEX on the incidence of POT was conducted. We combined a multimodal estimation model in patients not exposed to DEX (Disease Risk Score) as well as a regression analysis in a matched cohort for patients exposured to DEX.

RESULTS

From a cohort of 593 surgeries (514 patients) occurring during the study period, doubly matched analysis consisted of the analysis of 426 surgeries conducted under DEX or not (213 per group). The probability of developing POT in patients exposed to DEX was 6.6% (95% CI 0.032-0.099) versus 14.5% (95% CI 0.098-0.193) in the group of patients not exposed to DEX. The doubly robust matched estimation method showed a mean reduction of 8.8% (95% CI -0.137 to -0.023)) of POT when DEX is used for intraoperative anaesthesia.

CONCLUSION

The use of high doses of DEX during anaesthesia for congenital heart surgery in neonates and infants is associated with a moderate but significant reduction of POT.

Image augmentation and automated measurement of endotracheal-tube-to-carina distance on chest radiographs in intensive care unit using a deep learning model with external validation

BACKGROUND

Chest radiographs are routinely performed in intensive care unit (ICU) to confirm the correct position of an endotracheal tube (ETT) relative to the carina. However, their interpretation is often challenging and requires substantial time and expertise. The aim of this study was to propose an externally validated deep learning model with uncertainty quantification and image segmentation for the automated assessment of ETT placement on ICU chest radiographs.

METHODS

The CarinaNet model was constructed by applying transfer learning to the RetinaNet model using an internal dataset of ICU chest radiographs. The accuracy of the model in predicting the position of the ETT tip and carina was externally validated using a dataset of 200 images extracted from the MIMIC-CXR database. Uncertainty quantification was performed using the level of confidence in the ETT-carina distance prediction. Segmentation of the ETT was carried out using edge detection and pixel clustering.

RESULTS

The interrater agreement was 0.18 cm for the ETT tip position, 0.58 cm for the carina position, and 0.60 cm for the ETT-carina distance. The mean absolute error of the model on the external test set was 0.51 cm for the ETT tip position prediction, 0.61 cm for the carina position prediction, and 0.89 cm for the ETT-carina distance prediction. The assessment of ETT placement was improved by complementing the human interpretation of chest radiographs with the CarinaNet model.

CONCLUSIONS

The CarinaNet model is an efficient and generalizable deep learning algorithm for the automated assessment of ETT placement on ICU chest radiographs. Uncertainty quantification can bring the attention of intensivists to chest radiographs that require an experienced human interpretation. Image segmentation provides intensivists with chest radiographs that are quickly interpretable and allows them to immediately assess the validity of model predictions. The CarinaNet model is ready to be evaluated in clinical studies.

Machine learning for predicting neurodegenerative diseases in the general older population: a cohort study

BACKGROUND

In the older general population, neurodegenerative diseases (NDs) are associated with increased disability, decreased physical and cognitive function. Detecting risk factors can help implement prevention measures. Using deep neural networks (DNNs), a machine-learning algorithm could be an alternative to Cox regression in tabular datasets with many predictive features. We aimed to compare the performance of different types of DNNs with regularized Cox proportional hazards models to predict NDs in the older general population.

METHODS

We performed a longitudinal analysis with participants of the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing. We included men and women with no NDs at baseline, aged 60 years and older, assessed every 2 years from 2004 to 2005 (wave2) to 2016-2017 (wave 8). The features were a set of 91 epidemiological and clinical baseline variables. The outcome was new events of Parkinson's, Alzheimer or dementia. After applying multiple imputations, we trained three DNN algorithms: Feedforward, TabTransformer, and Dense Convolutional (Densenet). In addition, we trained two algorithms based on Cox models: Elastic Net regularization (CoxEn) and selected features (CoxSf).

RESULTS

5433 participants were included in wave 2. During follow-up, 12.7% participants developed NDs. Although the five models predicted NDs events, the discriminative ability was superior using TabTransformer (Uno's C-statistic (coefficient (95% confidence intervals)) 0.757 (0.702, 0.805). TabTransformer showed superior time-dependent balanced accuracy (0.834 (0.779, 0.889)) and specificity (0.855 (0.0.773, 0.909)) than the other models. With the CoxSf (hazard ratio (95% confidence intervals)), age (10.0 (6.9, 14.7)), poor hearing (1.3 (1.1, 1.5)) and weight loss 1.3 (1.1, 1.6)) were associated with a higher DNN risk. In contrast, executive function (0.3 (0.2, 0.6)), memory (0, 0, 0.1)), increased gait speed (0.2, (0.1, 0.4)), vigorous physical activity (0.7, 0.6, 0.9)) and higher BMI (0.4 (0.2, 0.8)) were associated with a lower DNN risk.

CONCLUSION

TabTransformer is promising for prediction of NDs with heterogeneous tabular datasets with numerous features. Moreover, it can handle censored data. However, Cox models perform well and are easier to interpret than DNNs. Therefore, they are still a good choice for NDs.

A descriptive study of routine laboratory testing in intensive care unit in nearly 140,000 patient stays

To describe the relationship between the use of laboratory tests and changes in laboratory parameters in ICU patients is necessary to help optimize routine laboratory testing. A retrospective, descriptive study was conducted on the large eICU-Collaborative Research Database. The relationship between the use of routine laboratory tests (chemistry and blood counts) and changes in ten common laboratory parameters was studied. Factors associated with laboratory tests were identified in a multivariate regression analysis using generalized estimating equation Poisson models. The study included 138,734 patient stays, with an ICU mortality of 8.97%. For all parameters, the proportion of patients with at least one test decreased from day 0 to day 1 and then gradually increased until the end of the ICU stay. Paradoxically, the results of almost all tests moved toward normal values, and the daily variation in the results of almost all tests decreased over time. The presence of an arterial catheter or teaching hospitals were independently associated with an increase in the number of laboratory tests performed. The paradox of routine laboratory testing should be further explored by assessing the factors that drive the decision to perform routine laboratory testing in ICU and the impact of such testing on patient.

Prognosis of patients with acute respiratory failure due to the SARS-CoV-2 501Y.V2 variant: a multicenter retrospective matched cohort study

The aim of this study was to compare the prognosis of patients with acute respiratory failure (ARF) due to the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variant 501Y.V2 to that of patients with ARF due to the original strain. This retrospective matched cohort study included all consecutive patients who were hospitalized for ARF due to SARS-CoV-2 in Reunion Island University Hospital between March 2020 and March 2021. Twenty-eight in hospital mortality was evaluated before and after matching. A total of 218 patients with ARF due to SARS-CoV-2 were enrolled in the study. Of these, 83 (38.1%) were infected with the 501Y.V2 variant. During intensive care unit stay, 104 (47.7%) patients received invasive mechanical ventilation and 20 (9.2%) patients were supported by venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. Patients infected with the 501Y.V2 variant were younger (58 [51–68] vs. 67 [56–74] years old, P = 0.003), had less hypertension (54.2% vs 68.1%, P = 0.04), and had less chronic kidney disease (13.3% vs. 31.9%, P = 0.002) than patients infected with the original strain. After controlling for confounding variables (62 matched patients in each group), 28-day mortality was higher in the group of patients infected with the 501Y.V2 variant (30.6%) than in the group of patients infected with the original strain (19.4%, P = 0.04). In Reunion Island, where SARS-CoV-2 incidence remained low until February 2021 and the health care system was never saturated, mortality was higher in patients with ARF infected with the 501Y.V2 variant than in patients infected with the original strain.

Nadir creatinine predicts long-term bladder function in boys with posterior urethral valves

INTRODUCTION

Posterior urethral valves (PUV) cause lower urinary tract obstruction leading to increased intravesical pressure during fetal urinary tract development. Though the bladder and kidneys are separate organs, with different embryological origins, they are complementary and influence each other both before and after birth. We aimed to assess the relationship between renal and bladder function in boys with PUV and whether early renal markers could predict future bladder function.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We included all boys with prenatally suspected lower urinary tract obstruction, born between 2000 and 2013, in two University Hospitals, with at least 5 years follow-up. We excluded patients who presented a Lower Urinary Tract Obstruction other than PUV, children who presented multiple birth defects and neonatal deaths and those with incomplete long-term renal or bladder function data. We included data on nadir creatinine (NC), long-term renal function and long-term bladder function (defined by Uroflow parameters). Boys with PUV were divided into three severity groups for renal function according to their NC and three severity groups for bladder function as determined by Uroflow.

RESULTS

We included 73 boys. Average nadir creatinine was 43.4 ± 26.1 μmol/L. Twenty-nine boys (49.3%) presented a NC < 35 μmol/L, thirty-eight (52.1%) a NC between 35 and 75 μmol/L, and 6 (8.2%) a NC > 75 μmol/L. Thirty-eight (52.1%) presented normal bladder function, 23 (31.5%) presented moderately impaired bladder function and 12 (16.4%) presented severely impaired bladder function. 41.4% of boys with NC < 35 had abnormal bladder function vs 46.2% of those with an NC between 35 and 75 μmol/L and 83.3% of boys with NC > 75 μmol/L. Nadir creatinine both predicted both bladder function and renal status (table 1). Correlation between presence of grade 3-5 CKD and poor uroflow was also significant (p < 0.005).

DISCUSSION

Nadir creatinine was significantly correlated to bladder function at 5 years of age. What this study suggests is that as nadir creatinine increases so does the risk of severe bladder dysfunction. Our results, though limited to flowmeter and renal function, could help pediatric urologist tailor bladder function monitoring, and indicate which patients could benefit from more aggressive bladder therapy.

CONCLUSION

Bladder and renal function are linked in boys with posterior urethral valves. Boys with high nadir creatinine could benefit from early bladder function evaluation and management.

Incidence and factors associated with out-of-hospital peri-intubation cardiac arrest: a secondary analysis of the CURASMUR trial

The Incidence of peri-intubation cardiac arrest (PICA) has been rarely assessed in the out-of-hospital setting. The objectives of this study were to assess the incidence and factors associated with PICA (cardiac arrest occurring within 15 min of intubation) in an out-of-hospital emergency setting, wherein emergency physicians perform standardized airway management using a rapid sequence intubation technique in adult patients. This was a secondary analysis of the "Succinylcholine versus Rocuronium for out-of-hospital emergency intubation" (CURASMUR) trial, which compared the first attempt intubation success rate between succinylcholine and rocuronium in adult patients requiring emergency tracheal intubation for any vital distress except cardiac arrest. Enrollment occurred from January 2014 to August 2016 in 17 French out-of-hospital emergency medical units. All operators were emergency physicians. The PICA incidence was recorded and multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to identify the factors associated with its occurrence. A total of 1226 patients were included with a mean age of 55.9 ± 19 years. PICA was recorded in 35 (2.8%) patients. Multivariable analysis indicated that the occurrence of PICA was independently associated with a body mass index (BMI) > 30 kg m² [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 4.85; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.82-12.90, p = 0.02], oxygen saturation (SpO₂) before intubation < 90% (aOR 3.4; 95% CI 1.50-7.60, p = 0.003), difficult intubation (defined by an Intubation Difficulty Score [IDS] > 5, [aOR 3.59; 95% CI 1.82-8.08, p = 0.02], the use of rocuronium instead of succinylcholine (aOR 2.47; 95% CI 1.08-5.64, p = 0.03), post intubation hypoxaemia (aOR 2.70; 95% CI 1.05-6.95, p = 0.04), post-intubation hypotension (aOR 4.07; 95% CI 1.62-10.22, p = 0.003), and pulmonary aspiration(aOR 4.78; 95% CI 1.48-15.36, p = 0.009). Early PICA occurred in approximately 3% of cases in the out-of-hospital setting. We identified several independent risk factors for PICA, including obesity, hypoxaemia before intubation and difficult intubation.

Risk factors for febrile urinary tract infection in boys with posterior urethral valves

OBJECTIVE

Boys with posterior urethral valves (PUV) present an increased risk of febrile urinary tract infection (fUTI). Identifying specific risk factors could allow for tailoring UTI prevention. The aim of this study was to use the data from the CIRCUP randomized controlled trial data to identify patient characteristics associated with a higher risk of fUTI.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We performed a secondary analysis of the data from the CIRCUP randomized trial which included boys with PUV, randomized to circumcision and antibiotic prophylaxis vs. antibiotic prophylaxis alone and followed for 2 years. There was only 1 episode of fUTI in the circumcision group vs. 17 in the uncircumcised group. We therefore only studied the antibiotic prophylaxis alone group and compared age at prenatal diagnosis, size and weight at birth, presence of dilating VUR at diagnosis, abnormal DMSA scan at 2 months, and nadir creatinine between children who presented a fUTI and those who did not, as well as age at first episode of fUTI.

RESULTS

The study group consisted of 42 patients of which 17 presented at least on fUTI. Presence of dilating VUR was significantly associated with risk of fUTI (p = 0.03), OR: 6 [CI 95% = (1.13-27.52)]. None of the other parameters were associated with increased risk of fUTI. We observed three distinct time periods for presenting a fUTI with a decrease in infection rate after the first 40 days of life, then at 240 days of life.

CONCLUSION

In boys with PUV, presence of high-grade VUR is associated with a higher risk of presenting a fUTI. The rate of febrile UTIs seems to decrease after 9 months.

Evaluating the impact of pop-off mechanisms in boys with posterior urethral valves

INTRODUCTION

Posterior urethral valves are urethral leaflets that cause Lower Urinary Tract Obstruction (LUTO) in boys and are associated with congenital renal dysplasia and abnormal bladder function. They affect 1:4,000 to 1:25,000 births and can be responsible for End-Stage Renal Failure in childhood. There have been several studies on the effect of pop-off mechanisms in boys with posterior urethral valves, but results are contradictory. We aimed to assess and discuss the effect of pop-off mechanisms on renal function in a large cohort of patients.

PATIENTS AND METHOD

Boys with PUV with and without pop-off mechanisms (urinoma, VURD or giant bladder diverticula) were divided into three severity groups for renal function according to their nadir creatinine (low-risk NC < 35 μmol/L, intermediate-risk NC between 35 and 75 μmol/L, and high-risk NC > 75 μmol/L). We compared children with and children without pop-off mechanisms for mean renal function as well as patient distribution within each severity group.

RESULTS

We included 137 boys of which 39 had a pop-off mechanism. Patients had complete data for at least 5 years follow-up. Though there was no significant statistical difference in mean renal function between the pop-off and non-pop-off group, patient distribution within each severity group varied according to whether patients had a pop-off mechanism or not.

CONCLUSION

Though there was no significant difference in mean renal function between boys with and without pop-off mechanisms, it is possible that these are two different patient populations and direct comparison is not possible.

Effect of antibiotic therapy on the prognosis of ventilator-associated pneumonia caused by Stenotrophomonas maltophilia

BACKGROUND

Ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) caused by Stenotrophomonas maltophilia is poorly described in the literature. However, it has been shown to be associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Probabilistic antibiotic therapy against S. maltophilia is often ineffective as this pathogen is resistant to many antibiotics. There is no consensus at present on the best therapeutic strategy to adopt (class of antibiotics, antibiotic combination, dosage, treatment duration). The aim of this study was to evaluate the effect of antibiotic therapy strategy on the prognosis of patients with VAP caused by S. maltophilia.

RESULTS

This retrospective study evaluated all consecutive patients who developed VAP caused by S. maltophilia between 2010 and 2018 while hospitalized in the intensive care unit (ICU) of a French university hospital in Reunion Island, in the Indian Ocean region. A total of 130 patients with a median Simplified Acute Physiology Score II of 58 [43-73] had VAP caused by S. maltophilia after a median duration of mechanical ventilation of 12 [5-18] days. Ventilator-associated pneumonia was polymicrobial in 44.6% of cases, and ICU mortality was 50.0%. After multivariate Cox regression analysis, the factors associated with increased ICU mortality were older age (hazard ratio (HR): 1.03; 95% CI 1.01-1.04, p = 0.001) and high Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score on the day of VAP onset (HR: 1.08; 95% CI 1.03-1.14, p = 0.002). Appropriate antibiotic therapy, and in particular trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole, was associated with decreased ICU mortality (HR: 0.42; 95% CI 0.24-0.74, p = 0.003) and decreased hospital mortality (HR: 0.47; 95% CI 0.28-0.79, p = 0.04). Time to start of appropriate antibiotic therapy, combination therapy, and duration of appropriate antibiotic therapy had no effect on ICU mortality (p > 0.5).

CONCLUSION

In our study, appropriate antibiotic therapy, and in particular trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole, was associated with decreased ICU and hospital mortality in patients with VAP caused by S. maltophilia.

Economic analysis of the contribution of sialendoscopy in managing non-tumoral principal salivary gland pathology in the Réunion Island: Economic evaluation following the CHEERS methodology

GOALS

Cost analysis of the contribution of sialendoscopy in the treatment of non-tumoral pathologies of the main salivary glands, in Réunion Island, a French overseas territory.

OBJECTIVES

Calculation and comparison of median pricing (i.e., median payment to the healthcare establishment) per patient before and after the introduction of sialendoscopy, in the only regional establishment practicing sialendoscopy and in the whole of Réunion Island. Material and method A multicenter retrospective cost study was conducted over an 8-year period, before and after the introduction of sialendoscopy (period A: 2011-2014 and period B: 2015-2018), according to the CHEERS guidelines for economic studies, and included inpatients with non-tumoral pathology of the main salivary glands, whether treated by sialendoscopy or not.

RESULTS

Two hundred sixty-five patients were included, 139 of whom were treated by sialendoscopy: 74 in 2011-2014 and 191 in 2015-2018. Between the two periods, median pricing in the only center practicing sialendoscopy did not vary significantly: €3468 vs. €3368 (i.e., +2.9% (P=0.1)). In the Island as a whole, pricing increased significantly: €598 vs. €2332, (i.e., +390% (P<0.0001)).

CONCLUSION

Sialendoscopy is cost-effective in France in the public healthcare sector if outpatient management is optimal, but significantly increases the public health budget. It makes it possible to recruit and manage previously untreated patients (small stones, salivary strictures, etc.).

Medical analysis of the contribution of sialendoscopy in managing non-tumoral main salivary gland pathology in Reunion Island: Observational study following STROBE guidelines

GOALS

To perform a medical analysis of the contribution of sialendoscopy in the treatment of non-tumoral pathologies of the main salivary glands, in Reunion Island, a French overseas territory.

MATERIAL AND METHOD

A multicenter retrospective observational study was conducted for an 8-year period, before and after introduction of sialendoscopy (2011-2014 and 2015-2018), following STROBE guidelines.

OBJECTIVES

To compare populations treated before (period A) and after (period B) the introduction of sialendoscopy in terms of clinical characteristics, and analyze the characteristics of patients treated by sialendoscopy.

RESULTS

Two hundred and sixty-five patients were included: 74 in 2011-2014 and 191 in 2015-2018; 139 had sialendoscopy. Populations A and B were comparable except for the proportion of parotids treated (9% vs. 31%, respectively; P<0.0001), and smaller stones (11mm vs. 7.4mm, respectively; P=0.003). One hundred and ten pure sialendoscopies and 29 combined routes (20.8%) were performed: 63% submandibular and 37% parotid. Median age was 46 years. The M/F sex ratio was 0.96. Thirty-seven patients presented stenosis. There were 10 cases of papillary catheterization failure (7.1%), and 16 false routes or creation of false channels (11.5%), including 9 during the learning period. The rate of crossover to gland resection decreased: 10.45% for 2015-2016 and 5.56% for 2017-2018.

CONCLUSION

Although follow-up ranged between 12 and 55months (median, 30months), sialendoscopy appeared to be a useful and reliable technique, with a role in therapeutic strategy for the management of non-tumoral salivary pathologies in Reunion Island.

Circumcision and Risk of Febrile Urinary Tract Infection in Boys with Posterior Urethral Valves: Result of the CIRCUP Randomized Trial

BACKGROUND

Boys with posterior urethral valves (PUVs) have an increased risk of febrile urinary tract infections (fUTIs). Circumcision is believed to reduce the risk of fUTIs in boys, although there are no randomized trials demonstrating this.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the effect of circumcision on the risk of fUTIs in boys with PUVs.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

A clinical randomized trial that ran between August 2012 and July 2017 was conducted. The trial was multicentric, including 13 referral centers for pediatric urology. Male boys, aged 1-28 d, diagnosed with posterior urethral valves, confirmed by voiding cystogram, were included. The exclusion criteria included presence of a genital malformation contraindicating performing a circumcision.

INTERVENTION

Participants were randomized to neonatal circumcision + antibiotic prophylaxis (CATB) or antibiotic prophylaxis alone (ATB), and followed for 2 yr.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

The primary outcome was a risk of presenting fUTIs in each group. An fUTI was defined as fever (>38.5 °C) with evidence of pyuria and culture-proven infection on urinalysis, obtained by urethral catheterization or suprapubic aspiration. A bivariate analysis of the primary outcome was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

In total, 91 patients were included: 49 in group CATB and 42 in group ATB. The probability of presenting an fUTI was 20% in group ATB versus 3% in group CATB. The hazard ratio of presenting an fUTI within 2 yr in the ATB group compared with that in the CATB group was 10.3 (95% confidence interval: 1.3-82.5). Sixty-four children (70.3%) had a complete follow-up at 2 yr of age.

CONCLUSIONS

Circumcision significantly decreases the risk of presenting an fUTI in boys with PUVs.

PATIENT SUMMARY

In this report, we compared, in a multicentric trial, the number of febrile urinary tract infections (UTIs) in boys with posterior urethral valves who had either antibiotic prophylaxis alone or antibiotic prophylaxis and circumcision. We found that those who had a circumcision had a significantly lower risk of febrile UTIs.

Incidence, Complications, and Factors Associated with Out-of-Hospital First Attempt Intubation Failure in Adult Patients: A Secondary Analysis of the CURASMUR Trial Data

Objectives: The objectives of this study were to evaluate first attempt intubation failure rate, its associated factors, and its related complications in out-of-hospital emergency setting, when emergency physicians perform standardized airway management using rapid sequence intubation in adult patients. Material and methods: The present study was a substudy of the Succinylcholine versus Rocuronium for out-of-hospital Emergency Intubation (CURASMUR) Trial, which compared Succinylcholine and Rocuronium used for Rapid sequence intubation. First attempt Intubation failure rate and early intubation related complications were recorded. We used multivariable logistic regression analysis to determine first intubation failure associated factors. Results: A total of 1230 patients were included with mean age of 55.9 +/- 19 years. First attempt intubation failure was recorded in 285 (23.2%) patients. The occurrence of a first attempt intubation failure was independently associated with history of ear, nose, and throat neoplasia (OR 2.20, CI 95% 1.06-4.60). Early intubation related complications were more frequent in case of first attempt intubation failure: 80 of 285 (28.4%) in patients with first attempt intubation failure and 185 of 945 (19.6%) in patients with successful first attempt intubation [OR 1.44; CI 95%, 1.11-1.87]. Conclusion: Based on a large multicenter study on out-of-hospital tracheal intubation of adult patients, we found that first attempt intubation failure rate was high and that history of ear, nose, and throat (ENT) neoplasia was an independent associated factor. Failure in first intubation attempt was associated with significantly more intubation related complications.

Psychometric validation of a patient-reported outcome questionnaire (Qualipsosex) assessing the impact of psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis on patient perception of sexuality

ABSTRACT

Psoriasis (Pso) and psoriatic arthritis (PsA) frequently have a negative impact on patients' sexual health. We have developed a specific questionnaire assessing the impact of Pso and PsA on patient perception of sexuality: the QualipsoSex Questionnaire (QSQ). The aim of the present study was to further validate this questionnaire by checking its psychometric properties including validity, reliability, and responsiveness.A cross sectional observational study with a longitudinal component for responsiveness and test-retest reliability was performed in 12 centers in France including 7 dermatologists and 5 rheumatologists. Psychometric properties were examined according to the COnsensus-based Standards for the selection of health Measurement INstruments (COSMIN) check-list.At baseline, 114 patients had Pso and 35 patients had PsA including 17 peripheral arthritis, 4 axial disease, 13 patients with both axial disease and peripheral arthritis and one patient with an undifferentiated phenotype. The mean Pso Area and Severity Index score was 12.5. Genital organs were involved in 44.7% of Pso cases. Internal consistency, construct validity, and reliability were good with Cronbach's α coefficient, measure of sampling adequacy and intraclass correlation coefficient respectively at 0.87, 0.84, and 0.93. The QSQ also demonstrated acceptable sensitivity to change.The QSQ has demonstrated good psychometric properties fulfilling the validation process relative to the recommendations of the COSMIN check list. The QSQ is simple to score and may hopefully be valuable in clinical practice and in clinical trials.

Adversarial attack on deep learning-based dermatoscopic image recognition systems: Risk of misdiagnosis due to undetectable image perturbations

Deep learning algorithms have shown excellent performances in the field of medical image recognition, and practical applications have been made in several medical domains. Little is known about the feasibility and impact of an undetectable adversarial attacks, which can disrupt an algorithm by modifying a single pixel of the image to be interpreted. The aim of the study was to test the feasibility and impact of an adversarial attack on the accuracy of a deep learning-based dermatoscopic image recognition system.First, the pre-trained convolutional neural network DenseNet-201 was trained to classify images from the training set into 7 categories. Second, an adversarial neural network was trained to generate undetectable perturbations on images from the test set, to classifying all perturbed images as melanocytic nevi. The perturbed images were classified using the model generated in the first step. This study used the HAM-10000 dataset, an open source image database containing 10,015 dermatoscopic images, which was split into a training set and a test set. The accuracy of the generated classification model was evaluated using images from the test set. The accuracy of the model with and without perturbed images was compared. The ability of 2 observers to detect image perturbations was evaluated, and the inter observer agreement was calculated.The overall accuracy of the classification model dropped from 84% (confidence interval (CI) 95%: 82-86) for unperturbed images to 67% (CI 95%: 65-69) for perturbed images (Mc Nemar test, P < .0001). The fooling ratio reached 100% for all categories of skin lesions. Sensitivity and specificity of the combined observers calculated on a random sample of 50 images were 58.3% (CI 95%: 45.9-70.8) and 42.5% (CI 95%: 27.2-57.8), respectively. The kappa agreement coefficient between the 2 observers was negative at -0.22 (CI 95%: -0.49--0.04).Adversarial attacks on medical image databases can distort interpretation by image recognition algorithms, are easy to make and undetectable by humans. It seems essential to improve our understanding of deep learning-based image recognition systems and to upgrade their security before putting them to practical and daily use.

Compared to randomized studies, observational studies may overestimate the effectiveness of DOACs: a metaepidemiological approach

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are criticized for including patients who are overselected. Health authorities consequently encourage "real-world" postmarketing cohort studies. Our objective was to determine the differences between RCTs and observational studies as regards their populations and efficacy/safety results.

METHODS

A systematic review was conducted to identify RCTs and observational studies including patients with venous thromboembolism receiving direct oral anticoagulants or conventional treatment. Ratios of hazard ratio (RHR) comparing epidemiological studies (prospective and retrospective cohort studies and studies using living databases) with RCTs were computed.

RESULTS

Six RCTs (27,121 patients) and twenty observational studies (248,971 patients) were identified and analyzed. Prospective cohort studies seemed to recruit patients who were no less selected than those of RCTs whereas other types of observational studies may reflect the population treated in real life. Among observational studies, prospective cohort studies yielded the most favorable estimates of treatment effect compared with RCTs. These studies were associated with a nonsignificant 33% increase in efficacy estimate (RHR 0.67, [95% CI, 0.39-1.18]) but no effect on safety estimate. Studies using living databases were associated with nonsignificant trends toward a greater effect on efficacy (RHR 0.82, [0.66-1.01]) and a smaller effect on safety (RHR 1.33, [0.96-1.84]).

DISCUSSION

Overall, in this clinical setting, an exaggeration of the treatment efficacy estimate was seen with observational studies compared with RCTs.

CONCLUSIONS

As the presence of residual confounding cannot be excluded, these results should be interpreted cautiously.

Bleeding risk of ticagrelor compared to clopidogrel in intensive care unit patients with acute coronary syndrome: A propensity-score matching analysis

BACKGROUND

Intensive care unit (ICU) patients with the most severe forms of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) require invasive therapies such as extracorporeal life support. The risk of bleeding in ICU patients with ACS treated with a dual antiplatelet therapy of aspirin and ticagrelor is unknown. The primary objective of this study was to compare the bleeding risk of ticagrelor and clopidogrel in ICU patients with ACS.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We conducted a retrospective study based on a propensity score and a proportional hazards model. All patients with ACS hospitalized in the ICU of a French university hospital between January 2013 and January 2017 were included in the study. Bleeding during ICU stay was defined as all Thrombolysis in myocardial infarction (TIMI) major or minor events. A total of 155 patients were included in the study. According to propensity score matching, 57 patients treated with aspirin and ticagrelor were matched with 57 patients treated with aspirin and clopidogrel. Median (first-third quartile) Simplified Acute Physiology Score II was 61.5 (41.0-85.0). Bleeding during ICU stay occurred in 12 patients (21.1%) treated with clopidogrel and in 35 patients (61.4%) treated with ticagrelor (p<0.0001). This significant association was found for both TIMI major bleeding (12.3% vs. 35.1%, p = 0.004) and TIMI minor bleeding (8.8% vs. 26.3%, p = 0.01). The relative risk of bleeding occurrence during ICU stay was 2.60 (confidence interval 95%: 1.55-4.35) for ticagrelor compared to clopidogrel. No significant difference in ICU mortality was found between the two groups (45.6% in the clopidogrel group vs. 29.8% in the ticagrelor group, p = 0.08).

CONCLUSIONS

Bleeding complications are frequent and serious in ICU patients with ACS. A dual antiplatelet therapy of aspirin and ticagrelor is associated with a higher risk of bleeding compared to a dual antiplatelet therapy of aspirin and clopidogrel.

Local Management of Anogenital Warts in Non-Immunocompromised Adults: A Network Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials

INTRODUCTION

No hierarchy of first-line treatments for anogenital warts (AGWs) is provided in international guidelines. This study aimed to determine the efficacy of topical treatments and ablative procedures for the management of AGWs.

METHODS

Twelve electronic databases were systematically searched from inception to August 2018. All randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing immunocompetent adults with AGWs who received at least 1 provider-administered or patient-administered treatment in at least 1 parallel group were included. Risk of bias assessment followed the Cochrane Handbook. The study endpoint was complete lesion response after clearance and recurrence assessment. A network meta-analysis was performed.

RESULTS

A network geometry was constructed based on 49 of the 70 RCTs included in our systematic review. All but 4 RCTs had a high risk of bias. The most efficacious treatments compared to placebo were surgery (RR 10.54; CI 95% 4.53-24.52), ablative therapy + imiquimod (RR 7.52; CI 95% 4.53-24.52), and electrosurgery (RR 7.10; CI 95% 3.47-14.53). SUCRA values confirmed the superiority of surgery (90.9%), ablative therapy + imiquimod (79.8%), and electrosurgery (77.1%). The most efficacious patient-administered treatments were podophyllotoxin 0.5% solution (63.5%) and podophyllotoxin 0.5% cream (62.2%).

CONCLUSIONS

With low-level evidence of most included RCTs, surgery and electrosurgery were superior to other treatments after clearance and recurrence assessment. Podophyllotoxin 0.5% was the most efficacious patient-administered treatment. Combined therapies should be evaluated in future RCTs in view of their identified effectiveness. The results of future RCTs should systematically include clinical type, number and location of AGWs, and sex of the patient, to refine therapeutic indications.

PROTOCOL REGISTRATION

PROSPERO-CRD42015025827.

Effect of Rocuronium vs Succinylcholine on Endotracheal Intubation Success Rate Among Patients Undergoing Out-of-Hospital Rapid Sequence Intubation: A Randomized Clinical Trial

IMPORTANCE

Rocuronium and succinylcholine are often used for rapid sequence intubation, although the comparative efficacy of these paralytic agents for achieving successful intubation in an emergency setting has not been evaluated in clinical trials. Succinylcholine use has been associated with several adverse events not reported with rocuronium.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the noninferiority of rocuronium vs succinylcholine for tracheal intubation in out-of-hospital emergency situations.

DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

Multicenter, single-blind, noninferiority randomized clinical trial comparing rocuronium (1.2 mg/kg) with succinylcholine (1 mg/kg) for rapid sequence intubation in 1248 adult patients needing out-of-hospital tracheal intubation. Enrollment occurred from January 2014 to August 2016 in 17 French out-of-hospital emergency medical units. The date of final follow-up was August 31, 2016.

INTERVENTIONS

Patients were randomly assigned to undergo tracheal intubation facilitated by rocuronium (n = 624) or succinylcholine (n = 624).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary outcome was the intubation success rate on first attempt. A noninferiority margin of 7% was chosen. A per-protocol analysis was prespecified as the primary analysis.

RESULTS

Among 1248 patients who were randomized (mean age, 56 years; 501 [40.1%] women), 1230 (98.6%) completed the trial and 1226 (98.2%) were included in the per-protocol analysis. The number of patients with successful first-attempt intubation was 455 of 610 (74.6%) in the rocuronium group vs 489 of 616 (79.4%) in the succinylcholine group, with a between-group difference of -4.8% (1-sided 97.5% CI, -9% to ∞), which did not meet criteria for noninferiority. The most common intubation-related adverse events were hypoxemia (55 of 610 patients [9.0%]) and hypotension (39 of 610 patients [6.4%]) in the rocuronium group and hypoxemia (61 of 616 [9.9%]) and hypotension (62 of 616 patients [10.1%]) in the succinylcholine group.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Among patients undergoing endotracheal intubation in an out-of-hospital emergency setting, rocuronium, compared with succinylcholine, failed to demonstrate noninferiority with regard to first-attempt intubation success rate.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02000674.

Derivation and validation of a simple score to predict the presence of bacteria requiring carbapenem treatment in ICU-acquired bloodstream infection and pneumonia: CarbaSCORE

Background

The recommendations of learned societies mention risk factors for the presence of multidrug resistant bacteria in hospital-acquired infections, but they do not propose a scoring system to guide empiric antibiotic therapy. Our study was aimed at developing a simple score for predicting "the presence of bacteria requiring carbapenem treatment" in ICU-acquired bloodstream infection and pneumonia.

Methods

Between December 2011 and January 2015, we conducted a retrospective study using a prospectively collected French database of nosocomial infections in the polyvalent intensive care unit of a French university hospital. All patients with ICU-acquired bloodstream infection or pneumonia were included in the study. Bivariate and multivariate analyses were performed to develop the CarbaSCORE, and this score was internally validated.

Results

In total, 338 patients were analyzed, including 27 patients requiring carbapenem treatment. The CarbaSCORE was composed of four criteria: "presence of bloodstream infection" (as opposed to pneumonia) scored 2 points, "chronic hemodialysis" scored 4 points, "travel abroad in the last 6 months" scored 5 points, and "MDR-colonization or prior use of a β-lactam of class ≥ 3" scored 6 points. Internal validation by bootstrapping showed an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.81 [0.73-0.89]. Sensitivity was 96% at the 6-point threshold and specificity was 91% at the 9-point threshold.

Conclusions

The CarbaSCORE is a simple and efficient score for predicting the presence of bacteria requiring carbapenem treatment. Further studies are needed to test this score before it can be used in practice.

Impact of levosimendan on weaning from peripheral venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation in intensive care unit

BACKGROUND

Few data are available on the impact of levosimendan in refractory cardiogenic shock patients undergoing peripheral venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO). The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of levosimendan on VA-ECMO weaning in patients hospitalized in intensive care unit (ICU).

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study was conducted in a French university hospital from 2010 to 2017. All patients hospitalized in ICU undergoing VA-ECMO were consecutively evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 150 patients undergoing VA-ECMO were eligible for the study. Thirty-eight propensity-matched patients were evaluated in the levosimendan group and 65 in the non-levosimendan group. In patients treated with levosimendan, left ventricular ejection fraction had increased from 21.5 ± 9.1% to 30.7 ± 13.5% (P < 0.0001) and aortic velocity-time integral from 8.9 ± 4 cm to 12.5 ± 3.8 cm (P = 0.002) 24 h after drug infusion. After propensity score matching, levosimendan was the only factor associated with a significant reduction in VA-ECMO weaning failure rates (hazard ratio = 0.16; 95% confidence interval 0.04-0.7; P = 0.01). Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that survival rates at 30 days were 78.4% for the levosimendan group and 49.5% for the non-levosimendan group (P = 0.02). After propensity score matching analysis, the difference in 30-day mortality between the two groups was not significant (hazard ratio = 0.55; 95% confidence interval 0.27-1.10; P = 0.09).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that levosimendan was associated with a beneficial effect on VA-ECMO weaning in ICU patients.

Complication patterns in patients undergoing venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation in intensive care unit: Multiple correspondence analysis and hierarchical ascendant classification

Background

Treatment by venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) is widely used today, even though it is associated with high risks of complications and death. While studies have focused on the relationship between some of these complications and the risk of death, the relationship between different complications has never been specifically examined, despite the fact that the occurrence of one complication is known to favor the occurrence of others. Our objective was to describe the relationship between complications in patients undergoing VA-ECMO in intensive care unit (ICU) and to identify, if possible, patterns of patients according to complications.

Methods and findings

As part of a retrospective cohort study, we conducted a multiple correspondence analysis followed by a hierarchical ascendant classification in order to identify patterns of patients according to main complications (sepsis, thromboembolic event, major transfusion, major bleeding, renal replacement therapy) and in-ICU death. Our cohort of 145 patients presented an in-ICU mortality rate of 50.3%. Morbidity was high, with 36.5% of patients presenting three or more of the five complications studied. Multiple correspondence analysis revealed a cumulative inertia of 76.9% for the first three dimensions. Complications were clustered together and clustered close to death, prompting the identification of four patterns of patients according to complications, including one with no complications.

Conclusions

Our study, based on a large cohort of patients undergoing VA-ECMO in ICU and presenting a mortality rate comparable to that reported in the literature, identified numerous and often interrelated complications. Multiple correspondence analysis and hierarchical ascendant classification yielded clusters of patients and highlighted specific links between some of the complications studied. Further research should be conducted in this area.

Decision curve analysis: a technical note

Multivariable regression models are widely used in medical literature for the purpose of diagnosis or prediction. Conventionally, the adequacy of these models is assessed using metrics of diagnostic performances such as sensitivity and specificity, which fail to account for clinical utility of a specific model. Decision curve analysis (DCA) is a widely used method to measure this utility. In this framework, a clinical judgment of the relative value of benefits (treating a true positive case) and harms (treating a false positive case) associated with prediction models is made. As such, the preferences of patients or policy-makers are accounted for by using a metric called threshold probability. A decision analytic measure called net benefit is then calculated for each possible threshold probability, which puts benefits and harms on the same scale. The article is a technical note on how to perform DCA in R environment. The decision curve is depicted with the ggplot2 system. Correction for overfitting is done via either bootstrap or cross-validation. Confidence interval and P values for the comparison of two models are calculated using bootstrap method. Furthermore, we describe a method for computing area under net benefit for the comparison of two models. The average deviation about the probability threshold (ADAPT), which is a more recently developed index to measure the utility of a prediction model, is also introduced in this article.

Effectiveness of motivational interviewing interventions on medication adherence in adults with chronic diseases: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Medication adherence is frequently suboptimal in adults with chronic diseases, resulting in negative consequences. Motivational interviewing (MI) is a collaborative conversational style for strengthening a person's motivation and commitment to change. We aimed to assess whether MI interventions are effective to enhance medication adherence in adults with chronic diseases and to explore the effect of individual MI intervention characteristics.

Methods

We searched electronic databases and reference lists of relevant articles to find randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that assessed MI intervention effectiveness on medication adherence in adults with chronic diseases. A random-effects model was used to estimate a pooled MI intervention effect size and its heterogeneity (I 2 ). We also explored the effects of individual MI characteristics on MI intervention effect size using a meta-regression with linear mixed model.

Results

: Nineteen RCTs were identified, and 16 were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled MI intervention effect size was 0.12 [95% confidence interval (CI) = (0.05, 0.20), I 2 = 1%]. Interventions that were based on MI only [β = 0.183, 95% CI = (0.004, 0.362)] or those in which interventionists were coached during intervention implementation [β = 0.465, 95% CI = (0.028, 0.902)] were the most effective. MI interventions that were delivered solely face to face were more effective than those that were delivered solely by phone [β = 0.270, 95% CI = (0.041, 0.498)].

Conclusions

This synthesis of RCTs suggests that MI interventions might be effective at enhancing of medication adherence in adults treated for chronic diseases. Further research is however warranted, as the observed intervention effect size was small.

Trends in initiation of direct oral anticoagulant therapies for atrial fibrillation in a national population-based cross-sectional study in the French health insurance databases

OBJECTIVE

Unlike several other national health agencies, French health authorities recommended that the newer direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) agents only be prescribed as second choice for the treatment of newly diagnosed non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF), with vitamin K antagonists (VKA) remaining the first choice. We investigated the patterns of use of DOACs versus VKA in the treatment of NVAF in France over the first 5 years of DOAC availability. We also identified the changes in patient characteristics of those who initiated DOAC treatment over this time period.

METHODS

Based on the French National Health Administrative Database, we constituted a population-based cohort of all patients who were newly treated for NVAF between January 2011 and December 2015. Trends in drug use were described as the percentage of patients initiating each drug at the time of treatment initiation. A multivariate analysis using logistic regression model was performed to identify independent sociodemographic and clinical predictors of initial anticoagulant choice.

RESULTS

The cohort comprised 814 446 patients who had received a new anticoagulant treatment for NVAF. The proportion of patients using DOACs as initial anticoagulant therapy reached 54% 3 months after the Health Ministry approved the reimbursement of dabigatran for NVAF, and 61% by the end of 2015, versus VKA use. In the multivariate analysis, we found that DOAC initiators were younger and healthier overall than VKA initiators, and this tendency was reinforced over the 2011-2014 period. DOACs were more frequently prescribed by cardiologists in 2012 and after (adjusted OR in 2012: 2.47; 95% CI 2.40 to 2.54).

CONCLUSION

Despite recommendations from health authorities, DOACs have been rapidly and massively adopted as initial therapy for NVAF in France. Observational studies should account for the fact that patients selected to initiate DOAC treatment are healthier overall, as failure to do so may bias the risk-benefit assessment of DOACs.

Decision Analysis for the Assessment of a Record Linkage Procedure

Objectives: According to European legislation, we must develop computer software allowing the linkage of medical records previously rendered anonymous. Some of them, like AUTOMATCH, are used in daily practice either to gather medical files in epidemiologic studies or for clinical purpose. In the first situation, the aim is to avoid homonymous errors, and in the second one, synonymous errors. The objective of this work is to study the effect of different parameters (number of identification variables, phonetic treatments of names, direct or probabilistic linkage procedure) on the reliability of the linkage in order to determine which strategy is the best according to the purpose of the linkage.

Methods: The assessment of the Burgundy Perinatal Network requires the linking of discharge abstracts of mothers and neonates, collected in all the hospitals of the region. Those data are used to compare direct and probabilistic linkage, using different parameterization strategies.

Results: If the linkage has to be performed in real time, so that no validation of indecisions generated by probabilistic linkage is possible, probabilistic linkage using three variables without any phonetic treatment seems to be the most appropriate approach, combined with a direct linkage using four variables applied to non-conclusive links. If a validation of indecisions is possible in an epidemiological study, probabilistic linkage using five variables, with a phonetic treatment adapted to the local language has to be preferred. For medical purpose, it should be combined with a direct linkage with four or five variables.

Conclusion: This paper reveals that the time and money available to manage indecision as well as the purpose of the linkage are of paramount importance for choosing a linkage strategy.

Can quantity of amniotic fluid reliably predict postnatal renal function in boys with posterior urethral valves: a decision curve analysis

OBJECTIVE

Prenatal management of male fetuses with suspected posterior urethral valves depends on reliable markers for postnatal long-term renal function. Whether ultrasound parameters, including the presence or absence of oligohydramnios, are reliable remains the subject of debate. We decided to evaluate the reliability of quantity of amniotic fluid to predict postnatal renal function using decision curve analysis (DCA), a method for evaluating the clinical utility of a diagnostic test.

METHODS

We analyzed retrospectively 51 male fetuses born with prenatally suspected posterior urethral valves between 2009 and 2012. We studied the relationship between quantity of amniotic fluid on prenatal ultrasound and the nadir creatinine during the first year of life as a proxy of postnatal renal function using DCA.

RESULTS

Twelve fetuses presented with prenatal oligohydramnios. Thirty-one children had a normal nadir creatinine, of which one had prenatal oligohydramnios (3.2%). Thirteen had a nadir creatinine between 35 and 75 μmol/L, of which four had prenatal oligohydramnios (30.8%). Seven had a nadir creatinine >75 μmol/L, all of them had prenatal oligohydramnios.

CONCLUSION

In this retrospective study, DCA confirms the relationship between prenatal quantity of amniotic fluid volume and postnatal renal function. © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

A Comparison of a Machine Learning Model with EuroSCORE II in Predicting Mortality after Elective Cardiac Surgery: A Decision Curve Analysis

Background

The benefits of cardiac surgery are sometimes difficult to predict and the decision to operate on a given individual is complex. Machine Learning and Decision Curve Analysis (DCA) are recent methods developed to create and evaluate prediction models.

Methods and finding

We conducted a retrospective cohort study using a prospective collected database from December 2005 to December 2012, from a cardiac surgical center at University Hospital. The different models of prediction of mortality in-hospital after elective cardiac surgery, including EuroSCORE II, a logistic regression model and a machine learning model, were compared by ROC and DCA. Of the 6,520 patients having elective cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass, 6.3% died. Mean age was 63.4 years old (standard deviation 14.4), and mean EuroSCORE II was 3.7 (4.8) %. The area under ROC curve (IC95%) for the machine learning model (0.795 (0.755–0.834)) was significantly higher than EuroSCORE II or the logistic regression model (respectively, 0.737 (0.691–0.783) and 0.742 (0.698–0.785), p < 0.0001). Decision Curve Analysis showed that the machine learning model, in this monocentric study, has a greater benefit whatever the probability threshold.

Conclusions

According to ROC and DCA, machine learning model is more accurate in predicting mortality after elective cardiac surgery than EuroSCORE II. These results confirm the use of machine learning methods in the field of medical prediction.

Simplified Acute Physiology Score II as Predictor of Mortality in Intensive Care Units: A Decision Curve Analysis

Background

End-of-life decision-making in Intensive care Units (ICUs) is difficult. The main problems encountered are the lack of a reliable prediction score for death and the fact that the opinion of patients is rarely taken into consideration. The Decision Curve Analysis (DCA) is a recent method developed to evaluate the prediction models and which takes into account the wishes of patients (or surrogates) to expose themselves to the risk of obtaining a false result. Our objective was to evaluate the clinical usefulness, with DCA, of the Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPS II) to predict ICU mortality.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study from January 2011 to September 2015, in a medical-surgical 23-bed ICU at University Hospital. Performances of the SAPS II, a modified SAPS II (without AGE), and age to predict ICU mortality, were measured by a Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis and DCA.

Results

Among the 4.370 patients admitted, 23.3% died in the ICU. Mean (standard deviation) age was 56.8 (16.7) years, and median (first-third quartile) SAPS II was 48 (34–65). Areas under ROC curves were 0.828 (0.813–0.843) for SAPS II, 0.814 (0.798–0.829) for modified SAPS II and of 0.627 (0.608–0.646) for age. DCA showed a net benefit whatever the probability threshold, especially under 0.5.

Conclusion

DCA shows the benefits of the SAPS II to predict ICU mortality, especially when the probability threshold is low. Complementary studies are needed to define the exact role that the SAPS II can play in end-of-life decision-making in ICUs.

[Technical improvement of cohort constitution in administrative health databases: Providing a tool for integration and standardization of data applicable in the French National Health Insurance Database (SNIIRAM)]

AIM

Administrative health databases such as the French National Heath Insurance Database - SNIIRAM - are a major tool to answer numerous public health research questions. However the use of such data requires complex and time-consuming data management. Our objective was to develop and make available a tool to optimize cohort constitution within administrative health databases.

METHODS

We developed a process to extract, transform and load (ETL) data from various heterogeneous sources in a standardized data warehouse. This data warehouse is architected as a star schema corresponding to an i2b2 star schema model. We then evaluated the performance of this ETL using data from a pharmacoepidemiology research project conducted in the SNIIRAM database.

RESULTS

The ETL we developed comprises a set of functionalities for creating SAS scripts. Data can be integrated into a standardized data warehouse. As part of the performance assessment of this ETL, we achieved integration of a dataset from the SNIIRAM comprising more than 900 million lines in less than three hours using a desktop computer. This enables patient selection from the standardized data warehouse within seconds of the request.

CONCLUSION

The ETL described in this paper provides a tool which is effective and compatible with all administrative health databases, without requiring complex database servers. This tool should simplify cohort constitution in health databases; the standardization of warehouse data facilitates collaborative work between research teams.

Can separation of the scrotal sac in proximal hypospadias reliably predict the need for urethral plate transection?

INTRODUCTION

One of the main challenges in proximal hypospadias repair is correcting curvature. The best technique to achieve this remains the object of debate. Indeed, some authors believe the urethral plate should be kept and used as often as possible. In some cases, however, even after extensive mobilization and dorsal plication, significant curvature remains and it is necessary to transect the urethral plate. Having a reliable pre-dissection marker of the need for urethral transection would be useful in choosing a technique.We wanted to determine if presence of marked separation of the scrotal sac (SSS), also referred to as bifid scrotum, could reliably predict the need for urethral plate transection.

STUDY DESIGN

We prospectively enrolled a series of boys with proximal hypospadias. We noted age, degree of hypospadias, meatal position, presence of cryptorchidism, and presence or absence of SSS. During surgery we fully degloved the penile shaft, freeing all ventral tissues, and radically dissected the more proximal bulbar urethra. We then performed an erection test. If there was residual curvature <30° we performed a dorsal plication, if it was >30° we transected the urethral plate.

RESULTS

Twenty-nine patients were included, of whom 18 presented SSS. The average age was comparable in both groups, as was type of hypospadias and meatal position. We estimated transection of the urethral plate to be necessary in 15 out of the 18 children with SSS, and 2 out of the 11 children without SSS. The relative risk for requiring urethral plate transection in case of SSS in this series was 4.58.

CONCLUSION

Techniques that commit to urethral plate transection are criticized because they preclude using the urethral plate. In our study presence of SSS was predictive for the need to transect the plate. Obviously one can decide to keep the urethral plate at all cost, and mobilize it more than we did, or accept more residual curvature, but in reality our aim was to determine a preoperative marker allowing us to define a patient category. We believe presence of SSS is a marker of severity, and that this "severity" translates into "a less usable urethra". As recent studies caution us about the evolution of the reconstructed native urethra and the possibility that it may not grow as well as the other penile tissues, we believe this extra information could influence the surgeon's decision as to the most appropriate technique for each patient.