Intake of flavonoids and risk of dementia

It has been postulated that oxidative stress may play a key role in dementia. This is substantiated by the recent discovery of the protective effect of wine. In wine, the flavonoids--powerful antioxidant substances also contained in tea, fruits and vegetables--have been thought to offer such protection. We investigated whether flavonoid intake could be associated with a lower incidence of dementia in a cohort of 1367 subjects above 65 years of age (Paquid). A questionnaire was used to evaluate their intake of flavonoids and subjects were followed-up for 5 years between 1991 and 1996: 66 incident cases of dementia were observed. We estimated the relative risk (RR) of dementia according to tertiles of flavonoid intake using a Cox model. The age-adjusted RR of dementia was 0.55 for the two highest tertiles compared to the lowest (95% CI: 0.34-0.90; p = 0.02). After additional adjustment for gender, education, weight and vitamin C intake, the RR was 0.49 (95% CI: 0.26-0.92; p = 0.04). We conclude that the intake of antioxidant flavonoids is inversely related to the risk of incident dementia.

Elimination of atrioventricular nodal reentrant tachycardia using discrete slow potentials to guide application of radiofrequency energy

BACKGROUND

Ablation of the slow pathway has been performed to eliminate atrioventricular (AV) nodal reentrant tachycardia (AVNRT) either by a surgical approach or by using radiofrequency catheter technique guided by retrograde slow pathway activation mapping. From previous experience of midseptal and posteroseptal mapping, we were aware of the existence of peculiar slow potentials in most humans. Postulating their role in AVNRT, we studied these potentials and the effects of radiofrequency energy.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Sixty-four patients (mean age, 48 +/- 19 years) with the usual form of AVNRT were studied. Slow, low-amplitude potentials were recorded when using the anterograde AV conducting system. Slow potentials occupied all (giving a continuum of electrograms) or some of the time between the atrial and ventricular electrograms. Their most specific patterns were their progressive response to increasing atrial rates, which resulted in a dramatic decline in amplitude and slope, a corresponding increase in duration, and a separation from preceding atrial potentials until the disappearance of any consistent activity. Slow potentials were recorded along a vertical band at the mid or posterior part of the septum near the tricuspid annulus. Radiofrequency energy applied at the slow potential site resulted in interruption of induced tachycardia within a few seconds and rendered tachycardia noninducible in all patients. A median of two impulses was delivered to each patient. In 69% of patients, postablation atrial stimulation cannot achieve a long atrial-His interval, which previously was critical for tachycardia induction or maintenance. No patient had AVNRT over a follow-up period of 1-16 months, and all had preserved AV conduction. In all except two patients, the PR interval was unchanged. In 47 patients, long-term electrophysiological studies confirmed the efficacy of ablation and the nonreversibility of results by isoproterenol; however, echo beats remained inducible in 40% of patients.

CONCLUSIONS

An area showing slow potentials is present at the perinodal region in humans. In patients with AVNRT, application of radiofrequency energy renders tachycardia noninducible through the preferential modification of the anterograde slow pathway. With present clinical methods, the exact origin and significance of these physiological potentials cannot be specified.

Instrumental activities of daily living as a screening tool for cognitive impairment and dementia in elderly community dwellers

OBJECTIVE

To identify which Instrumental Activities of Daily Living (IADL) are related to cognitive impairment, independent of age, sex, and education; to assess the performance of an IADL score using these items in screening for cognitive impairment and dementia in elderly community dwellers.

DESIGN

Survey based on the baseline interview of the PAQUID study on functional and cerebral aging.

SETTING

Community survey in 37 randomly selected parishes in Gironde, France.

SUBJECTS

Random sample of 2,792 community dwellers aged 65 and over (participation rate: 69%).

MEASUREMENTS

Two-phase screening: (1) functional assessment, Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) and DSM-III criteria for dementia; (2) in DSM-III-positive patients, NINCDS-ADRDA criteria applied by a neurologist. Functional assessment: IADL scale of Lawton and Brody. Criterion standards: cognitive impairment: MMSE score lower than 24; dementia: DSM-III and NINCDS-ADRDA criteria.

RESULTS

Four IADL items are correlated with cognitive impairment independent of age, sex, and education: telephone use, use of means of transportation, responsibility for medication intake, and handling finances. A score adding the number of IADL dependencies has a sensitivity of 0.62 and a specificity of 0.80 at the lowest cut-off point (score > 0) for the diagnosis of cognitive impairment. The same score at the same cut-off has a sensitivity of 0.94 and a specificity of 0.71 for the diagnosis of dementia. The prevalence of dementia (2.4%) is reduced by a factor of 12 in subjects independent for the four IADL.

CONCLUSION

The four IADL score could be incorporated into the screening procedure for dementia in elderly community dwellers.

Are sex and educational level independent predictors of dementia and Alzheimer's disease? Incidence data from the PAQUID project

OBJECTIVES

To examine the age specific risk of Alzheimer's disease according to sex, and to explore the role of education in a cohort of elderly community residents aged 65 years and older.

METHODS

A community based cohort of elderly people was studied longitudinally for 5 years for the development of dementia. Dementia diagnoses were made according to the DSM III R criteria and Alzheimer's disease was assessed using the NINCDS-ADRDA criteria. Among the 3675 non-demented subjects initially included in the cohort, 2881 participated in the follow up. Hazard ratios of dementia were estimated using a Cox model with delayed entry in which the time scale is the age of the subjects.

RESULTS

During the 5 year follow up, 190 incident cases of dementia, including 140 cases of Alzheimer's disease were identified. The incidence rates of Alzheimer's disease were 0.8/100 person-years in men and 1.4/100 person-years in women. However, the incidence was higher in men than in women before the age of 80 and higher in women than in men after this age. A significant interaction between sex and age was found. The hazard ratio of Alzheimer's disease in women compared with men was estimated to be 0.8 at 75 years and 1.7 at 85 years. The risks of dementia and Alzheimer's disease were associated with a lower educational attainment (hazard ratio=1.8, p<0.001). The increased risk of Alzheimer's disease in women was not changed after adjustment for education.

CONCLUSION

Women have a higher risk of developing dementia after the age of 80 than men. Low educational attainment is associated with a higher risk of Alzheimer's disease. However, the increased risk in women is not explained by a lower educational level.

Social and leisure activities and risk of dementia: a prospective longitudinal study

OBJECTIVE

To study the relationship between social and leisure activities and risk of subsequent dementia in older community residents.

SETTING

A cohort study of people aged 65 and older were followed-up 1 and 3 years after a baseline screening (the Paquid study).

PARTICIPANTS

2040 older subjects living at home in Gironde (France) were randomly selected and followed for at least 3 years.

DATA COLLECTION

Information about social and leisure activities was collected during the baseline screening with an interview by a psychologist. Incident cases of dementia were detected during the first and third year follow-up screenings according to the DSM-III-R criteria.

MAIN RESULTS

All but one of the social and leisure activities noted were significantly associated with a lower risk of dementia. Only golden club participation was not significantly associated with this risk. After adjustment for age and cognitive performance measured by the Mini-Mental State Exam, visual memory test, and verbal fluency test, only traveling (Relative risk (RR) = .48,95% Confidence Interval (95% CI) = .24-.94), odd jobs or knitting (RR = .46,95% CI = .26-.85), and gardening (RR = .53, 95% CI = .28-.99) remained significant.

CONCLUSIONS

Regular participation in social or leisure activities such as traveling, odd jobs, knitting, or gardening were associated with a lower risk of subsequent dementia.

Relation between aluminum concentrations in drinking water and Alzheimer's disease: an 8-year follow-up study

To investigate the effect of aluminum and silica in drinking water on the risk of dementia and Alzheimer's disease, the authors analyzed data from a large prospective cohort (Paquid), including 3,777 subjects aged 65 years and over living at home in 75 civil parishes in Gironde and Dordogne in southwestern France in 1988-1989. The subjects were followed for up for 8 years with an active search for incident cases of dementia or Alzheimer's disease. Mean exposure to aluminum and silica in drinking water was estimated in each area. The sample studied included 2,698 nondemented subjects at baseline, for whom components of drinking water and covariates were available. A total of 253 incident cases of dementia (with 17 exposed to high levels of aluminum), including 182 Alzheimer's disease (with 13 exposed to high aluminum levels), were identified. The relative risk of dementia adjusted for age, gender, educational level, place of residence, and wine consumption was 1.99 (95 percent CI: 1.20, 3.28) for subjects exposed to an aluminum concentration greater than 0.1 mg/liter. This result was confirmed for Alzheimer's disease (adjusted relative risk = 2.14, 95 percent CI: 1.21, 3.80). However, no dose-response relation was found. Inversely, the adjusted relative risk of dementia for subjects exposed to silica (> or = 11.25 mg/liter) was 0.74 (95 percent CI: 0.58, 0.96). These findings support the hypothesis that a high concentration of aluminum in drinking water may be a risk factor for Alzheimer's disease.

A 5-year longitudinal study of the Mini-Mental State Examination in normal aging

The Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) measures global cognitive performance and is often used as a screening test for dementia. This paper presents a 5-year longitudinal study of the MMSE score in a sample of 2,537 non-demented French community residents aged 65 years and older who were participants in the Paquid Study in 1988-1992. Subjects were evaluated at the baseline visit (T0) and 1 year (T1), 3 years (T3), and 5 years (T5) later. Analyses performed with a random effects linear model showed that the score rose between T0 and T1 (by 0.60 points for subjects aged 65 years at T0 to 0.83 points for subjects aged 85 years at T0), then it decreased very slightly between T1 and T5 (by 0.02 points for subjects aged 65 years to 0.57 points for subjects aged 85 years). The improvement during the first year, which was larger for less educated subjects, may be explained by the stress due to the test situation at T0 or by a learning effect at T1. The decline during the last 4 years was more pronounced for older and less well educated subjects. The cross-sectional measure of age effect was larger than the longitudinal measure of time effect. This difference may be explained by a cohort effect or by a practice effect induced by repetition of the test. The authors conclude that the MMSE score declines very slightly in non-demented subjects, thus suggesting that the cognitive processes involved are spared by the aging process. These results may have implications for dementia screening.

Aluminum and silica in drinking water and the risk of Alzheimer's disease or cognitive decline: findings from 15-year follow-up of the PAQUID cohort

The authors examined associations between exposure to aluminum or silica from drinking water and risk of cognitive decline, dementia, and Alzheimer's disease among elderly subjects followed for 15 years (1988-2003). They actively searched for incident cases of dementia among persons aged 65 years or over living in 91 civil drinking-water areas in southern France. Two measures of exposure to aluminum were assessed: geographic exposure and individual exposure, taking into account daily consumption of tap water and bottled water. A total of 1,925 subjects who were free of dementia at baseline and had reliable water assessment data were analyzed. Using random-effects models, the authors found that cognitive decline with time was greater in subjects with a higher daily intake of aluminum from drinking water (>or=0.1 mg/day, P=0.005) or higher geographic exposure to aluminum. Using a Cox model, a high daily intake of aluminum was significantly associated with increased risk of dementia. Conversely, an increase of 10 mg/day in silica intake was associated with a reduced risk of dementia (adjusted relative risk =0.89, P=0.036). However, geographic exposure to aluminum or silica from tap water was not associated with dementia. High consumption of aluminum from drinking water may be a risk factor for Alzheimer's disease.

Mortality with dementia: results from a French prospective community-based cohort

Despite the magnitude of the problem, little is known about the duration of dementia. Survival and risk factors of mortality with dementia and the impact of dementia on the risk of death were investigated using the Personnes Agées Quid (PAQUID) prospective population-based cohort study between 1988 and 1998. Statistical models dealing with interval censoring were performed. Among 3,675 participants aged 65 years or older and initially nondemented, 2,923 have been followed up for 8 years. Of these, 281 persons with incident dementia were actively diagnosed. The mean age of onset of dementia was 82.3 years. In the total population, the relative risk of dying after developing dementia was estimated to be 1.82 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.77, 2.68) when adjusted for sociodemographic variables and comorbidity. Deaths from cerebrovascular diseases and respiratory diseases were particularly increased among persons with dementia, compared with those without. The median survival time of the persons with dementia was estimated to be 4.5 years. Women with dementia had a longer survival than did men with dementia, particularly for Alzheimer-type dementia (relative risk = 0.47, 95% CI: 0.27, 0.83). Educational level was not significantly associated with survival in persons with dementia. These results provide further evidence of the malignancy of dementia, which will be a challenge for the 21st century.

Incidence of dementia and Alzheimer's disease in elderly community residents of south-western France

BACKGROUND

Dementia is a growing problem in developed countries. The aim of this paper is to estimate incidence rates of dementia, Alzheimer's disease and vascular dementia in a community population of South-Western France.

METHODS

A sample of 2792 subjects was selected and followed-up 1 year and 3 after the initial screening. At each visit, a standardized questionnaire was administered by trained psychologists. Demented subjects were identified using a two-step procedure. The first step consisted of a systematic screening by the psychologist using DSM IIIR criteria for dementia. In the second step, subjects who fulfilled the DSM IIIR criteria were examined by a neurologist. NINCDS-ADRDA criteria were applied to diagnose Alzheimer's disease.

RESULTS

Incidences of dementia and Alzheimer's disease were estimated at 16.3 and 11.4 per 1000 per year, respectively. Incidence estimates increased with age from 2 per 1000 in subjects aged 65-69 years to 74 per 1000 in subjects > 90 years. Incidence estimates of Alzheimer's disease showed the same increased from 0.7 per 1000 to 66 per 1000. Incidences of dementia and of Alzheimer's disease did not level off with age and were not different between genders.

Cognitive process in preclinical phase of dementia

Several recent prospective studies have demonstrated the existence of a preclinical stage of dementia, identifiable by neuropsychological assessment showing impairments with a great variety of cognitive tests. However, test scores are often colinear, largely because common cognitive components are involved in different tests; in spite of an apparent heterogeneity, it is still possible that a common cognitive component may be responsible for the deterioration shown in different tests in the preclinical phase. We studied the cognitive performances of 1159 elderly residents in the PAQUID (Personnes Agées quid) cohort, at a fixed lag time of 2 years before the clinical diagnosis of dementia. Seven neuropsychological tests were administered (Mini-Mental Status Examination, Benton Visual Retention Test, Wechsler Paired-Associates Test, Isaacs Set Test, Zazzo's Cancellation Task, Digit Symbol Substitution Test and Wechsler Similarities Test). Among the initially non-demented 1159 subjects, 25 developed a dementia 2 years later, of whom 16 were classified as cases of Alzheimer's disease. In order to dissect the multicolinearity of the tests we used a multivariate approach with principal component analysis (PCA). The patients' loading on each of the first four PCA factors were subsequently correlated with the risk of dementia and Alzheimer's disease 2 years later. The logistic regression with backward stepwise selected only the first factor as an independent predictor of dementia or Alzheimer's disease. Analysis shows that there are good reasons to suspect that the first PCA factor represents a general factor corresponding to aspects of control in the tasks used. Our results therefore seem to show that preclinical deficits in dementia and Alzheimer's disease reflect the deterioration of a general cognitive factor, which may be interpreted as the disturbance of central, control processes.

Long-term prognosis in two forms of childhood epilepsy: typical absence seizures and epilepsy with rolandic (centrotemporal) EEG foci

Findings in children seen between 1955 and 1965 during the year of onset of typical absence seizures (90 patients) or rolandic epilepsy (79 patients) were analyzed by actuarial methods. One hundred and eighteen patients were followed for more than 15 years. Rolandic epilepsy is a true benign epilepsy ending with puberty. Although school and family problems are common during the acute stage of the disease, the social adaptability of such patients is excellent. We considered only typical absences occurring as a first epileptic sign in normal children. Myoclonic or atonic absences have a poor prognosis. Many patients with simple and automatic absences experience remission 15 years after withdrawal of medication. The overall cessation rate in those experiencing absences was only 57.5%, however, and 36% of patients developed tonic-clonic seizures. Social adaptability was often inadequate. Simple and automatic absences (constituting a homogeneous group) are not truly a benign form of epilepsy, even though prognosis for those afflicted is better than that for those with other forms of primary generalized epilepsy.

Marital status and risk of Alzheimer's disease: a French population-based cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the relationship between marital status and risk of AD or dementia.

METHODS

This study was carried out from the Personnes Agées QUID (PAQUID) cohort, an epidemiologic study on normal and pathologic aging after age 65 years. The PAQUID cohort began in 1988. Individuals were followed up at 1, 3, and 5 years, with an active detection of dementia. Marital status was divided into four categories: widowed, never married, divorced or separated, and the reference category, married or cohabitant. The longitudinal relationship between marital status and risk of incident AD or dementia was analyzed by a Cox model with delayed entry.

RESULTS

Among the 3,675 individuals initially not demented, 2,106 were married or cohabitants, 1,287 were widowers, 179 were never married, and 103 were divorced or separated. Among the 2,881 individuals reevaluated at least once for the risk of dementia during the 5-year follow-up, 190 incident cases of dementia were identified, including 140 with AD. The relative risks (RRs) of dementia (RR = 1.91, p = 0.018) and of AD (RR = 2.68, p<0.001) were increased for the never-married individuals compared with those who were married or cohabitants. This excess of risk was specifically associated with AD. Adjustment for other risk factors of dementia (education, wine consumption), or for factors reflecting social environment, leisure activities, and depression, did not modify the risk of AD for never-married individuals (RR = 2.31, p = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

We confirmed an association between marital status and AD, with an excess risk observed among never-married individuals. This association may provide clues about the pathogenesis of AD.

Evidence for an age-dependent pyrogenic threshold of Plasmodium falciparum parasitemia in highly endemic populations

The high prevalence of asymptomatic malaria infections and the nonspecific signs and symptoms of the disease make the individual diagnosis of clinical malaria uncertain in highly endemic areas. Longitudinal data obtained during a four-month period from a daily survey of 200 permanent inhabitants (one month-83 years old) living in a holoendemic area were analyzed in a random-effects logistic regression model to investigate the relationship between the level of Plasmodium falciparum parasitemia and risk of fever. It was not possible to build a model that described/summarized correctly this relationship by a continuous function. Findings provide evidence for an age-dependent threshold effect of parasitemia on the occurrence of fever. The level of this threshold varied by 2.45 trophozoites per leukocyte, maximum at one year of age, to 0.5 trophozoites per leukocyte, minimum at 60 years of age. When the parasite density of a person crossed the threshold level corresponding to his or her age, the individual's risk of fever was multiplied by 44 (95% confidence interval = 13.6-144.8). The existence of this threshold effect allows parasite density to be used to distinguish malaria attacks from other causes of fever within an individual and should facilitate the accurate evaluation of the incidence of clinical malaria in highly endemic areas.

The Paquid epidemiological program on brain ageing

Paquid is an epidemiological study designed to gather and follow-up a cohort of 3,777 elderly subjects (65 years and older) living at home. In order to study normal and pathological brain ageing, these subjects were randomly chosen in the general population of 75 communities of Gironde and Dordogne, two administrative areas of South-Western France. The subjects were interviewed at home by trained psychologists and followed-up with the same procedure at 1, 3 and 5 years after the initial data collection. The identification of the demented cases is made with a two-stage design: the first stage is a systematic screening by the psychologists with application of the DSM-IIIR criteria and the second stage consists in a confirmation of the diagnosis by a neurologist according to the NINCDS-ADRDA criteria. Paquid is complemented by the study of a random sample of 357 subjects living in institutions in Gironde.

Score test of homogeneity for survival data

If follow-up is made for subjects which are grouped into units, such as familial or spatial units then it may be interesting to test whether the groups are homogeneous (or independent for given explanatory variables). The effect of the groups is modelled as random and we consider a frailty proportional hazards model which allows to adjust for explanatory variables. We derive the score test of homogeneity from the marginal partial likelihood and it turns out to be the sum of a pairwise correlation term of martingale residuals and an overdispersion term. In the particular case where the sizes of the groups are equal to one, this statistic can be used for testing overdispersion. The asymptotic variance of this statistic is derived using counting process arguments. An extension to the case of several strata is given. The resulting test is computationally simple; its use is illustrated using both stimulated and real data. In addition a decomposition of the score statistic is proposed as a sum of a pairwise correlation term and an overdispersion term. The pairwise correlation term can be used for constructing a statistic more robust to departure from the proportional hazard model, and the overdispersion term for constructing a test of fit of the proportional hazard model.

Illustration of analysis taking into account complex survey considerations: the association between wine consumption and dementia in the PAQUID study. Personnes Ages Quid

Epidemiologists are increasingly looking to large-scale sample surveys to provide data for studies of the associations between known or suspected risk factors and disease. More often than not, widely available statistical software packages have been used to analyze such data, particularly when multivariable modeling is involved. Such packages assume that the data have resulted from simple random samples. However, when the survey design incorporates such features as clustering and stratification, the results of statistical analyses based on this assumption can be incorrect. The authors utilized data from the PAQUID (Personnes Agees Quid) study, collected periodically from 1988 to 1996, to illustrate the ease of performing a "design-based" (vs. a "model-based") analysis of complex survey data, and they compared the results obtained using both approaches. The PAQUID study is a stratified cluster sample of elderly community residents in the southwestern departments of Gironde and Dordogne, France. In the illustration presented-in which 3,777 community residents aged 65 years or older were selected to permit identification of baseline and lifetime factors that might be related to cognitive loss, dementia, and Alzheimer's disease--measures of association (such as odds ratios and their associated standard errors) were comparable for both analytical strategies. However, this may not be the case for other examples. Descriptive measures (such as estimates of means and proportions) may be more seriously compromised by the decision to ignore the sampling design. The availability of modern statistical packages with survey analysis capabilities should encourage data analysts to perform design-based analyses whenever possible.

A penalized likelihood approach for an illness-death model with interval-censored data: application to age-specific incidence of dementia

We consider the problem of estimating the intensity functions for a continuous time 'illness-death' model with intermittently observed data. In such a case, it may happen that a subject becomes diseased between two visits and dies without being observed. Consequently, there is an uncertainty about the precise number of transitions. Estimating the intensity of transition from health to illness by survival analysis (treating death as censoring) is biased downwards. Furthermore, the dates of transitions between states are not known exactly. We propose to estimate the intensity functions by maximizing a penalized likelihood. The method yields smooth estimates without parametric assumptions. This is illustrated using data from a large cohort study on cerebral ageing. The age-specific incidence of dementia is estimated using an illness-death approach and a survival approach.

Analysis of left-censored longitudinal data with application to viral load in HIV infection

The classical model for the analysis of progression of markers in HIV-infected patients is the mixed effects linear model. However, longitudinal studies of viral load are complicated by left censoring of the measures due to a lower quantification limit. We propose a full likelihood approach to estimate parameters from the linear mixed effects model for left-censored Gaussian data. For each subject, the contribution to the likelihood is the product of the density for the vector of the completely observed outcome and of the conditional distribution function of the vector of the censored outcome, given the observed outcomes. Values of the distribution function were computed by numerical integration. The maximization is performed by a combination of the Simplex algorithm and the Marquardt algorithm. Subject-specific deviations and random effects are estimated by modified empirical Bayes replacing censored measures by their conditional expectations given the data. A simulation study showed that the proposed estimators are less biased than those obtained by imputing the quantification limit to censored data. Moreover, for models with complex covariance structures, they are less biased than Monte Carlo expectation maximization (MCEM) estimators developed by Hughes (1999) Mixed effects models with censored data with application to HIV RNA Levels. Biometrics 55, 625-629. The method was then applied to the data of the ALBI-ANRS 070 clinical trial for which HIV-1 RNA levels were measured with an ultrasensitive assay (quantification limit 50 copies/ml). Using the proposed method, estimates obtained with data artificially censored at 500 copies/ml were close to those obtained with the real data set.

Modelling age-specific risk: application to dementia

We give up-to-date methods for estimating the age-specific incidence of a disease and for estimating the effect of risk factors. We recommend taking age as the basic time scale of the analysis; then, the hazard function can be interpreted as the age-specific incidence of the disease. This choice raises a delayed entry problem. We present three methods: the person-years method; the smoothed Nelson-Aalen estimator, and the penalized likelihood approach. When explanatory variables are available, the Poisson model and the Cox model with delayed entry may be used for estimating relative risks; the penalized likelihood approach can also be used. We apply these methods to estimate the age-specific incidence of dementia using data from a large cohort study, Paquid. This 5-year study followed a random initial sample of 3675 subjects with 190 incident cases of dementia. We compare the estimates based on the three possible methods. The estimated incidences computed separately for men and women cross and it is verified that a non-proportional hazards model for gender holds; women below 75 have a lower risk than men while women above 75 have a higher risk.

Validity of the Mini-Mental State examination as a screening instrument for cognitive impairment and dementia in French elderly community residents

A survey was made of 2,792 subjects aged 65 and older living in the community of Gironde (South-Western France). The predictive value of the Mini-Mental state examination (MMS) as a screening instrument for the detection of cognitive impairment was tested against DSM-III criteria for dementing syndromes. Of the 2,792 subjects who consented to participate in the study, 101 met the DSM-III criteria for dementia, giving a 3.62% prevalence rate. With an MMS threshold of 24, the sensitivity was 100%, the specificity was 78%, and the positive predictive value was equal to 15%. Using the same MMS threshold, 572 subjects (85%) were false-positive for the diagnosis of dementia. A multiple logistic regression analysis revealed that age, sex, depressive symptomatology and educational level were independently correlated with false-positive cases of the MMS. Several issues are raised for using the MMS as the only screening instrument for cognitive impairment in elderly community residents.

Health measures correlates in a French elderly community population: the PAQUID study

PAQUID is an epidemiologic prospective study of mental and functional aging. A sample of 4,050 community-dwelling individuals, aged 65 and over, was randomly selected from electoral lists of 37 parishes of Gironde after stratification by age, sex, and size of urban unit; 68.9 percent agreed to participate. Baseline information was obtained from a one-hour home interview. Health measures included ADL, IADL, mobility, Rosow scale, and two subjective health assessments. Depressive symptomatology was assessed by the CES-D scale and cognitive functioning by Folstein's MMS. Dependence rates vary from 9.7 percent to 71.9 percent according to the indicator under consideration. Cross-sectional correlations with dependence are significant for age, sex, education, rural setting, joint pain, dyspnea, hearing and visual impairment, MMS score, and depression. In logistic regressions, only dyspnea, MMS score, and depression are always significantly correlated with dependence, whichever the indicator.

Bivariate linear mixed models using SAS proc MIXED

Bivariate linear mixed models are useful when analyzing longitudinal data of two associated markers. In this paper, we present a bivariate linear mixed model including random effects or first-order auto-regressive process and independent measurement error for both markers. Codes and tricks to fit these models using SAS Proc MIXED are provided. Limitations of this program are discussed and an example in the field of HIV infection is shown. Despite some limitations, SAS Proc MIXED is a useful tool that may be easily extendable to multivariate response in longitudinal studies.